Technology
Altman + Microsoft: Will AI Wizardry Catapult Stocks ?Microsoft's trajectory into the future takes a compelling turn with the addition of Sam Altman, an AI luminary, to its internal team. This analysis explores the fusion of technology and finance, specifically delving into Altman's impact on AI development within Microsoft. We examine the integration of advanced AI features into Microsoft 365 and assess Microsoft's competitive position in the dynamic AI market.
On the financial front, Microsoft's robust fundamental rating sets the stage for closer scrutiny, emphasizing its stability and profitability. Altman's potential influence on Microsoft's stock value, given his renowned AI contributions, is a key focus, highlighting the pivotal role of innovation in sustaining and enhancing stock performance.
This concise analysis aims to unravel the symbiotic relationship between technological prowess and financial resilience, providing insights into Microsoft's post-Altman journey. As we navigate challenges and opportunities, the conclusion offers a holistic perspective on Microsoft's potential to lead in AI technology and maintain a competitive edge globally.
Technology Analysis:
Impact of Sam Altman Joining the Microsoft AI Team:
With Sam Altman's experience in AI development through OpenAI, his presence in Microsoft's internal team can positively influence the advancement of more sophisticated AI technology. The potential integration of Altman's ideas and strategies can strengthen innovation within Microsoft applications.
AI Technology in Microsoft 365 Applications:
Recent changes in Microsoft 365, such as the addition of Copilot features, demonstrate Microsoft's commitment to integrating artificial intelligence into its products. This can enhance user appeal and expand the user base of Microsoft applications.
Competitors and Position in the AI Market:
In the intense competition in the artificial intelligence sector with companies like Amazon, Google, and Facebook, Microsoft's strategic move with Sam Altman joining can help maintain and enhance its position in the AI market.
Financial Analysis:
Fundamental Rating of MSFT:
With a fundamental rating of 7 out of 10, Microsoft is considered highly profitable with no liquidity or solvency issues. A good dividend rating and consistent profits over the last 5 years indicate financial stability.
Impact of Sam Altman's Presence on MSFT Stock:
In addition to his contributions to technology development, Sam Altman's presence can also act as a positive catalyst for Microsoft's stock. Altman's reputation in the AI field and his connection with Microsoft can build investor confidence.
Innovation as the Key to Stock Value Increase:
In the face of tough competition, continuous innovation in AI technology is crucial to maintaining and increasing stock value. Altman's joining provides an additional potential for innovation that can influence the performance of MSFT stock.
Combined Analysis:
Synergy of Technology and Finance:
The combination of superior technology and stable financial conditions strengthens Microsoft's position in facing the future. Technological innovation is key to reinforcing the company's value, and, therefore, the potential for stock increase.
Challenges and Opportunities:
Despite Microsoft's solid fundamentals, challenges in AI competition persist. Hence, the company needs to stay focused on innovation and adapt to market developments.
With Sam Altman's support, Microsoft has the opportunity to continue leading in AI technology development. This enhancement can play a crucial role in the growth of MSFT stock value; however, long-term success also depends on the company's ability to stay competitive in the dynamic and competitive market.
NVIDIA Incredible strength long-term. Is $1100 realistic?NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) gave us a great bottom buy entry last time (October 22) we made a call on it and invalidated the Head and Shoulders pattern (see chart below):
This time we look at it on the 1W time-frame where it is on the 4th straight green weekly candle, approaching the Higher Highs trend-line. The 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level and the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) provide Support, while the 1W RSI is on a Bearish Divergence (Channel Down) but the 1W MACD is about to form a Bullish Cross.
The last we had the above combination of indicators, was February 16 2021. At the time, the 1W MACD failed to make the Bullish Cross and the stock pulled back to the 1W MA50 but when it formed the Cross on April 12 2021, it broke above the Higher Highs. What followed was a 7-month rally to the -0.618 Fibonacci extension.
As you can see, the symmetry between the two fractals is striking. When the MACD Bullish Cross takes place, we would assume a similar rise and the -0.618 Fib target will be at $1100. Is that in your opinion realistic for Q3 2024?
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WOW OH WOW. Minus $1 to target please!!INTC is failed the most recent high, it broke its uptrend and sold off right below the point of control (yellow line). I would expect a sell-off to continue to the .382 (white line which is also the next area with the most amount of volume traded.
Calculate Your Risk/Reward so you don't lose more than 1% of your account per trade.
Every day the charts provide new information. You have to adjust or get REKT.
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This is not financial advice. This is for educational purposes only.
AMD to BUY & HOLDDear Investors,
AMD is showing a strong buying signal after good fundamentals this year.
this could be your opportunity to invest in a low-risk high-reward trade.
you can contact me for more info on why this is a good trade & give you a strategy on how to manage this trade and close it in the best scenario possible.
you can check my old trades too to get an idea of my trading mentality.
AirBNB: Arriving 🛬 🌴Due to the recent sell-off, the price of AirBNB has now reached our magenta target zone between $116.53 and $96.73. This means that the minimum requirements of the magenta wave (2) have been met, implying that the price could theoretically complete its reversal. However, we still expect a drop to the 61.80% retracement first, in order to make the low there. Wave (3) should then take the price clearly higher.
A Glimpse Into the Future of AI Companies StocksInvesting in AI companies can be a wise decision, but like any investment, it is important to do your research and understand the potential risks and rewards. Companies such as UiPath, Intuitive Surgical, and Palantir Technologies have seen significant growth in recent years, but it is important to consider their market capitalization and share prices before investing.
UiPath, a software automation company, went public in April 2021 with an initial market capitalization of around $36 billion.
Intuitive Surgical, a company that produces surgical robots, has a market capitalization of over $93 billion.
Palantir Technologies, a data analytics company, went public in September 2020 with an initial market capitalization of around $22 billion.
It is also important to consider the rating of the shares and the security of the company before investing. For example, UiPath was rated as a buy by several analysts following its IPO, but investors should also consider the potential risks and competition in the market.
In terms of upcoming IPOs, there are several AI companies that are expected to go public in the near future, including UiPath's competitor Automation Anywhere, online education platform Coursera, Google’s company Waymo, and others.
As with any investment, it is important to do your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions. While the investment potential of these companies is undoubtedly significant, investors should be aware of the risks involved in investing in new and untested technologies. AI companies are subject to a variety of risks, including regulatory risk, intellectual property risk, and competition from other companies in the sector. As such, investors should carefully consider their investment options and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
In terms of investment potential, it's important to note that investing in AI Companies can be risky, as with any new technology. However, for those willing to take the risk, the potential rewards could be substantial. The key is to do your research and choose companies that have a solid business plan and a proven track record of success. It's also important to keep an eye on the broader market trends and economic indicators, as these can have a significant impact on the success of any investment.
When it comes to security, AI technology is still in its early stages and there are certainly risks involved. However, companies that are dedicated to building secure AI systems and investing in the necessary security measures should be able to mitigate these risks to some extent. It's also important to note that as AI technology continues to evolve, so too will the security measures that are needed to protect it.
As AI technology becomes more advanced and more widely adopted, there will be a growing demand for companies that can provide innovative solutions in this space. This presents a significant opportunity for investors who are willing to take a long-term view and invest in companies that are dedicated to the ongoing development of AI technology.
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Risk Warning
Trading stocks and options is a risky activity and can result in losses. You should only trade if you understand the risks involved and are comfortable with the potential for losses.
Risk Disclaimer!
General Risk Warning: Trading on the Financial Markets, Stock Exchange and all its asset derivatives is highly speculative and may not be suitable for all investors. Only invest with money you can afford to lose and ensure that you fully understand the risks involved. It is important that you understand how Trading and Investing on the stock exchange works and that you consider whether you can afford the high risk of loss
Rating: Risky Buy with High Upwards Potential
Risk Disclaimer!
The article and the data is for general information use only, not advice!
Combined US Indexes slammed furtherPreviously mentioned that the supports are being broken. It gave way after an expected bounce. The dip that followed came with confirmation technical signals as well as a lower low… suggesting that there is downward momentum still. Saving grace lies with a pullback rally to end the previous week just above the support line. However, this appears to be futile, with shallow bullish bounces expected, and a close below the major support line.
Thing is this… there should be a close below the line and it needs to hold below for another three weeks to firm up more downside. But a rally back up above that critical support (then turned resistance) would be a good bullish rally to look for, albeit later in the year end/beginning.
Next four weeks should see at least two weekly closes below support.
In line and in support of this indication, TIPS and TLT, with JNK have led the markets by pushing further new lows of late.
Heads up.
Vertex, will it work this time? Vertex provides corporate tax processing software and consulting services to 4200 customers over 310 countries
I bought it on June but I got stopped out very fast
Now the pattern is looking better and with less participants? Count me in
All year with good relative strength, more up volume spikes and yesterday broke through long term resistence
Let's wait for the follow up
ETH - Wait For The Bulls 🏹Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
on H4: Left Chart
As mentioned yesterday, ETH is approaching a strong support zone so we will be expecting the bulls to kick in around the blue circle zone as it is the intersection of two rejections.
on H1: Right Chart
For the bulls to take over short-term, we need a break above the last high in blue.
Meanwhile, ETH would be bearish and can still trade lower to test the 1600.0 support in red.
For now, we wait ⏱
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
ETH - Longing For One More Impulse ↗️Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
After rejecting the 1500.0 support zone, ETH has been overall bullish trading inside the rising wedge in blue, and it is currently approaching the lower bound of the wedge.
Moreover, the zone 1600.0 is a support zone.
🏹 So the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for trend-following buy setups as it is the intersection of the red support and lower blue trendline acting as a non-horizontal support.
As per my trading style:
As ETH approaches the lower blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
MSFT Takeoff🚀
Here we have Microsoft Corporation (MSFT). I have a very bullish sentiment on this stock because of the charts and analytics as well. Technology as a sector has been doing good this past week according to performance. The weekly and daily chart are looking like we have a bearish trend reversal. On the weekly timeframe we bounced off of the bottom Bollinger band but we are still early in the week. If we can close this week with a strong green candle, I would definitely look for some long calls. And on the Daily timeframe we were over-extended from the bottom Bollinger line which could signal a reversal as well as we were oversold on the RSI. As always, thank you for reading and I hope you learned something educational in this post. Feel free to like, and comment on this post.
BTC - For now, We Wait ⏱Greetings, TradingView Family! This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
BTC is still bearish trading inside a falling wedge pattern and lately it has been stuck inside a narrow range.
📈 For the bulls take over again short-term , it's crucial for BTC to surpass the last high in gray around 26,500 and upper red trendline.
📉 Meanwhile, BTC would be bearish, and if it breaks below 26,000 we will expect further bearish movement till the 25,000 - 25,250 support and demand zone.
Which scenario do you think is more likely to happen? and why?
📚 Always remember to follow your trading plan when it comes to entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
Remember, all strategies are good if managed properly!
~Rich
XLK QQQ Down -10% Since the last BIG Short idea | Whats NEXT?AMEX:XLK Weekly structure changed, and the price is in a huge volume gap. Weekly head and shoulder breakdown and pops gonna get sold back down IMO.
First target hit and is now aggressively approaching the big target, which is the massive volume node around 150 🎯
AVGO and SOXS Preparing to Move BigSOXS the 3x Inverse ETF for Semiconductors, has broken out of a Bullish Head and Shoulders and now sits at the 89EMA. If things go as expected, SOXS should be clear to at least give us a 60-150% rally. At the same time, we also have a Bearish AB=CD on AVGO and what looks to simply be filling of a gap it made at $830 after breaking below its own slanted Bearish Head and Shoulders neckline as seen here:
If things go as I expect them to, we will see AVGO open the week to aggressive downside with minimum overall targets as deep as 50% below current prices.
XLK - Bullish Weekly CrossFor the third time in XLK price history we have had a crossover of the 50 weekly MA & 100 Weekly MA.
the previous 2 times coming out of the Dot com crash and GFC when this happened it resulted in a quick multi week double digit rally.
Will this rally happened again?
XLK could rally while other aspects of the market rollover. Why? simply the cash moats of some of the Mega Cap companies insulate them more from rising yields.
Im expecting a bounce off the support level.
Nasdaq (NDX) -> Dump And PumpMy name is Philip, I am a German swing-trader with 4+ years of trading experience and I only trade stocks , crypto , options and indices 🖥️
I only focus on the higher timeframes because this allows me to massively capitalize on the major market swings and cycles without getting caught up in the short term noise.
This is how you build real long term wealth!
In today's anaylsis I want to take a look at the bigger picture on Nasdaq.
For more than 10 years the Nasdaq has been trading in a quite obvious rising channel and just recently retested and already perfectly rejected the rising support trendline.
Since the Nasdaq is now retesting the parallel resistance trendline, I first do expect a short term drop to retest the $13.000 support level and then I think that we will see another rally.
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I know that this is a quite simple trading approach but over the past 4 years I've realized that simplicity and consistency are much more important than any trading strategy.
Keep the long term vision🫡
120 target by EOYAMD is basing and looking to retest the 120 supply zone.. bounced from the B leg of the bearish cypher (previous support is now resistances) A leg retested the supply zone, and retraced back to D leg of the bearish cypher pattern that was sold off. Now D leg is looking to act as support (previous resistances acting as support, same as it did for b leg). buy the dips and look for a retest of the 120 supply zone.
NVDA Great opportunity on the next pull-back of the Channel Up.NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) has been trading within a Channel Up pattern for the past 4 months with the price currently on its middle, consolidating around the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). This price struggle to pick up a rebound, resembles the previous bearish leg of the Channel Up, which after a series of Lower Highs, got rejected to form a new bottom (Higher Lows. The 1D MA50 sideways action as halfway through.
We can see a similar consolidation between the 1D RSI structures of the two fractals. The 1D MACD will give a bullish confirmation when it forms a Bullish Cross, but it may a little after the bottom is in, which means you may catch the uptrend on a slightly later stage. In any case it will give a lower risk factor (technically confirmed signal).
We will wait for the price to approach the bottom of the Channel Up, assuming of course it doesn't break below the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and target $515.00.
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Pandemic Champion Zoom will be back!In this work, I will analyze Zoom Video Communications, Inc., a leading company in the cloud communication and collaboration sector, which offers online videoconferencing, chat, telephony, webinars, among other services, for different segments and audiences. My investment thesis is that Zoom is an innovative and profitable company that has the potential to remain a leading video-based unified communications platform well into the future. To support this thesis, I will evaluate the qualitative and quantitative aspects of the company. In the qualitative part, I will describe Zoom's business model and strategy, showing how it differs from its competitors, what are its strengths and weaknesses, the opportunities and threats it faces in the global market. In the quantitative part, I will present Zoom's financial and operational data, demonstrating how it has grown in recent years, and what its projections are for the future, for a well-structured technical analysis based on Wyckoff, structures and volume delta.
_____ _____ _____
Company History
The company emerged in 2011, as a result of the vision of Eric Yuan, a former engineer at Cisco Systems, who recognized the need to create a simpler, reliable, and high-quality communication platform. The company launched its main product, Zoom Meeting, in 2013, and has since been growing rapidly in terms of customers, revenue, and profit. The company went public on the NASDAQ stock exchange in April 2019, with an initial public offering (IPO) of $36 per share. In June 2019, the company became part of the Russell 2000 index, which comprises smaller-cap companies in the United States. In April 2020, the company was promoted to the Russell 1000 index, which includes larger-cap companies in the United States. In august 2020, the company surpassed a market value of $100 billion, becoming one of the most valuable technology companies in the world.
Company's Sector of Operation
The company operates in the software as a service (SaaS) sector, which is a business model that provides information technology solutions over the internet, without the need for customers to install or maintain hardware or software. The SaaS sector is a growing and competitive industry, benefiting from digitization, mobility, and cloud trends. Within the SaaS sector, the company excels in the cloud communication and collaboration (CCaaS) segment, which offers online services to facilitate remote work, distance education, and social interactions. The CCaaS segment is dynamic and innovative, adapting to technological changes and consumer demands. It is also a challenging and regulated segment, facing competition from major market players like Microsoft Teams, Google Meet, Cisco Webex, and Skype.
Diversification and Innovation Strategy
The company's strategy is to diversify and innovate its products and services to meet customer needs and differentiate itself from competitors. The company aims to become an open and flexible platform that integrates various cloud communication and collaboration solutions. Some examples of products and services that the company has launched or acquired in recent years include:
Zoom Phone: a cloud telephony system that allows users to make and receive calls using the same Zoom Meeting application.
Zoom Rooms: an integrated system that transforms any physical space into a virtual meeting room with video, audio, and screen sharing.
Zoom Webinar: an online service that enables users to host virtual events with up to 50,000 participants and 100 speakers.
Zoom Chat: an online service that allows users to exchange instant messages with other Zoom users or external contacts.
OnZoom: an online platform that allows users to create, host, and monetize interactive virtual events, such as classes, shows, workshops.
Kites: a startup specialized in real-time automatic translation for video conferences.
SWOT Analysis
It is an essential tool for evaluating a company to invest in, as it offers a broad and organized view of the company's current situation. It consists of identifying the Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities, and threats that affect the company's performance. This is a qualitative analysis and does not replace technical or fundamental analysis.
The company's SWOT analysis is as follows:
Strong points:
Freemium model: Zoom offers a free basic plan that allows up to 100 participants and unlimited sessions of up to 40 minutes, attracting those looking for an affordable and quality solution for online communication. Ease of use: It is known for its simple and intuitive interface, which allows participants to start and join sessions with just a few clicks. The company also offers features such as virtual backgrounds and video retouching to enhance the look and feel of those involved during sessions. Global Usage: The platform has a global presence, with more than 300 million daily session participants and more than 213,000 enterprise customers worldwide. It also supports multiple languages and currencies, meeting the needs of diverse audiences. Financial strength: The company has experienced significant revenue and profit growth in recent years, driven by the high demand for online communication during the COVID-19 pandemic. Zoom's total revenue for fiscal 2023 was $4,393 billion, up 7% year-over-year. Business revenue was US$2.409 billion, an increase of 24% compared to the previous year. Brand name: The solution has become a household name and synonymous with online communication, thanks to its popularity and recognition among consumers. Zoom has also received several awards and recognition for its quality and innovation, such as the Webby Award for Best Mobile App in 2020.
Weak points:
Security issues: The company has faced many security and privacy issues in the past, such as “zoom bombing”, which is the unauthorized invasion of sessions by malicious people who interrupt or share inappropriate content. It has also been criticized for sharing consumer data with third parties without proper consent. They don't offer end-to-end encryption: Despite claiming to offer end-to-end encryption, the platform actually uses a type of encryption that allows the company to access session data if it wants to. This raises concerns about the confidentiality and integrity of participant communications. Zoom Rooms: Zoom rooms are a feature that allows stakeholders to create dedicated physical spaces for online communication using specialized Zoom or partner hardware. However, this feature is expensive and requires an additional monthly subscription, which may limit its adoption among customers.
Opportunities:
Growing demand: Demand for online communication is set to continue to grow in the future as more people embrace remote work and hybrid work models. The company can capitalize on this opportunity by expanding its customer base and offering customized solutions for different industries and needs. Up-selling: It can increase its revenue by encouraging basic plan consumers to upgrade to paid plans, which offer more features and benefits, such as longer sessions, more participants, recording and cloud storage, Zoom Phone and Zoom Rooms. Diversification: The platform can diversify its offer of products and services, exploring new markets and segments, such as health, education, entertainment, and e-commerce. The company can also develop new technologies and features, such as augmented reality, artificial intelligence and machine translation, to improve the user experience and differentiate itself from the competition.
Threats:
Intense competition: The company faces strong competition from other players in the online communication market, such as Microsoft Teams, Google Meet, Cisco Webex, Skype, and Facebook Messenger. These competitors have greater financial, technological and marketing resources than it does and can offer integrated and competitive solutions to customers. Regulatory changes: The platform is subject to various laws and regulations in different countries and regions, which may affect its operations and revenues. For example, it may face restrictions or bans from operating in certain markets due to national security, data privacy or human rights concerns. The company may also face fines or penalties for violating these laws and regulations. Dependence on network infrastructure: The quality and performance of Zoom services depend on the availability and reliability of network infrastructure, such as bandwidth, internet speed and stability. Any interruption or degradation of these factors could negatively impact the user experience and the reputation of the solution.
Final qualitative analysis opinion
ZM benefits from its freemium model, ease of use, global usage, financial strength and brand name. But, it also faces challenges such as security issues, lack of end-to-end encryption, cost of Zoom rooms, intense competition, regulatory changes and dependence on network infrastructure. The company can take advantage of videoconferencing demand growth, up-selling and diversification opportunities to overcome its weaknesses and threats. The platform must invest in improving its security and privacy, innovating its products and services and expanding its presence in new markets and segments. Zoom has the potential to remain one of the leading video-based unified communications solutions in the future.
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Fundamental Analysis:
We will introduce fundamental analysis, focusing on the company's financial health and performance. For this, we will use financial data from the second quarter of the fiscal year 2024 (ended on July 31, 2023). The financial indicators we will consider are: EBITDA, CFO, ROE, ROIC, Gross Margin, and Operating Margin.
Description of fundamentals:
Source: Yahoo Finance
The company has good liquidity, as it has a high ratio of liquid assets in relation to liquid liabilities, which indicates a low default rate on its basic obligations and low default rates. Furthermore, the company has a large loss in relation to equity and this further reduces its potential market value.
Source: Yahoo Finance
The company has excellent financial health and strong performance. The company demonstrates high operating profit (EBITDA), good cash generation (CFO), good return on equity (ROE) and invested capital (ROIC), and good gross and operating margins. These results show that the company is efficient, profitable, sustainable, and competitive in the video conferencing and online collaboration market.
Other Fundamentals indicators
We will address other economic indicators that are not as necessary but can be incorporated into our fundamental analysis.
Source: Yahoo Finance
The data in this table shows that the company has a good financial performance, but also faces some problems. For one, Zoom Meeting has a high P/E Ratio, which indicates that investors expect future earnings growth from the company. Zoom Meeting also has a high Enterprise Value, which represents the company's total value in the market. These indicators suggest that Zoom Meeting is a successful and innovative company, offering a high-quality and in-demand communication service. On the other hand, Zoom Meeting has a low P/B Ratio and a low PSR, which indicate that the company is trading at a price well above its book value and sales. This could mean that Zoom Meeting is overvalued or faces strong competition in its industry. Furthermore, Zoom Meeting does not pay dividends to its shareholders, which may discourage some investors looking for a stable and secure income. These indicators propose that Zoom Meeting is a risky and volatile company that depends heavily on market expectations and industry trends.
Final opinion of fundamental analysis
It has significant potential for growth and generating value for shareholders, especially in a scenario of increased demand for digital solutions, but it needs to face the threats mentioned previously in the company's SWOT analysis. .
Technical Analysis
To begin the study, first, we observe that the stock was launched in April 2019, and in January 2020, there was a significant increase, as we can see in the weekly chart. With this, we will divide this technical analysis into three parts. In this chart, we have the presence of three volume profiles. It calculates volume by price level based on the Gaussian curve and is excellent for measuring long-term position buildups, especially in a weekly chart like this.
Analysis of the first profile:
ZM Weekly Chart
Note that, since the IPO process, the stock appreciated by 671.09%, which is quite substantial. Many companies were negatively affected during the pandemic, but this one inadvertently benefited from the COVID-19 pandemic. In this first profile, we see the largest position buildup right at the range of 68.75 to 76.95. You can already see 2 candles of aggression, as shown in the second graph, causing significant drops.
Analysis of the second profile:
ZM Weekly Chart
Observing the second profile, we see a lack of demand from buyers and a position buildup on the selling side, unlike what we observed at the beginning.
Analysis of the third profile:
ZM Daily Chart
Upon examining the last profile, we see that despite the market coming from a downtrend channel, we can observe a drastic increase in volume per price level, which is a characteristic of a position buildup. As we gradually see, the seller has been reducing their position, and furthermore, the stock is in a downtrend channel that if it surpasses 78.50, combining it with the fundamentals, we could potentially have an upward trend.
Macroeconomics and Technical Analysis
Surprisingly, Zoom is not the only one that experienced a drop that significantly devalued its stock. Several companies listed on the Nasdaq Composite, including the Nasdaq Composite itself, suffered from a drop that impacted the United States economy.
E-mini Nasdaq Weekly
This was motivated by high inflation, which reached around 9%, which is indeed a very concerning figure for the US economy. By February, inflation had already reached 7.5%, which was already a very high percentage, as technology companies react poorly to inflation. This explains the poor performance of these stocks.
February table
Source: Tradingview Economic Calendar
These data explain the drop in assets listed on the Nasdaq, but surprisingly, Zoom was affected much more than the other companies. Later, when the price started to increase slightly;
And the year 2022 contributed even further to the devaluation of ZM shares. But as we can see, the asset was already in the process of falling long before:
ZM Daily Chart
There was the beginning of a bearish rally there.
Even if the current data are not so favorable, the deflation process that occurred in the United States, together with the artificial intelligence race, could also be a detail that will greatly help in the ZM valuation process.
September table updated
Source: Tradingview Economic Calendar
September's data clearly reveals a drop in inflation, but with several very significant drops, in addition to some negative points such as the reduction in job creation and economic development. Look at the table below:
Source: Tradingview Economic Calendar
Based on this table, Zoom Communications could have a positive result as the company recorded a drop in inflation in September, implying that the costs of products and services decreased. This can benefit consumers and businesses that use the Zoom Service.
Conclusion
Zoom Video Communications Inc. is a company with good financial and market performance, despite the broad devaluation it suffered in 2021/2022. It demonstrates good fundamental analysis with strong revenue and profit growth, a high net margin, low debt and a good market value.
The company also presents good technical analysis. It is undervalued, having been at an all-time low since its IPO, building a position for a likely long-term upward trend. Although the macroeconomy does not favor the variable income market due to a high interest rate of 5.5% (possible readjustment to 5.75% in September), it can also benefit from the ongoing economic deflation, which should stabilize in the end of 2024.
It also has the potential to recover from the decline it has experienced and stand out in the technology market, especially in the videoconferencing segment, which has been less and less in demand post-pandemic and in times of remote work. Demonstrating its ability to innovate and adapt to changes in the economic and social panorama, offering quality and safe solutions to its customers. Therefore, it is believed that Zoom is a good investment option for those seeking long-term profitability and growth.
I hope you enjoyed this article and found it helpful. Thank you for your attention, and until next time!