AMD EXTENED LINE'S EXTENDED LINE EDITION (CONTINUE OR FALL)If you've been following me with AMD, we're pretty much out at this point, as we've been targeting the trade since 93, and there isn't much point to miss a few extra percentage points on the topside at the risk of losing all or much of the profits.
HOWEVER, there are still trades to the topside, as far as trades heading to the bottom side.
Marked in thick green and thick red are the TWO STRONGEST support and rejection trends I could find. Do more exist? Maybe, but you'll need a better analyst that me to find those.
Light red are steep support trends that have been building on top of each other (stacking)
Think of this like a skyscraper being built.
All indicators point that we are nearing a top. However, this means nothing as short term indicators can theoretically keep pumping the price over the long term targets, which would see numbers at 200+
Notice the time frame of the chart, 2h, meaning it won't last for more than a couple weeks and you'll likely have a whole new set of trends.
A move like this into earnings is going to be the big question.
179
189
are two really strong rejection lines. May not be exact, but close. You really need to analyze in real time at this point because move will happen faster and faster.
I would say, should the price not hold 171.00, I would wait to see what happens in the short term, and try and buy the dip if it occurs pre earnings, with a potential trade before, on or right after earnings. I would then be waiting on topside for a short entry rather than pushing my luck as a bull.
If you follow me with trades, you'll know that we essentially speak in probability. Meaning, at or above 189, I'm more likely to screw up than make a good trade, and if I screw up, there is a lot of downside showing, which will do absolutely nothing to cover the mistake (loss). Having said that, if you're a short term trader and familiar with short term trading, yes there are absolutely still chances to trade above this level should it occur.
We would also say, there is a better than average chance that should I wait for some of these topside targets to hit and enter short, I have a better than average chance to both profit, and make more overall money, than trying to time out more really short term trades.
It's all about profitability, risk, percentages, and patience. Waiting for the RIGHT trade IS 1000% better than jumping into a trade you missed because you have FOMO.
There will almost always be another buy, there will almost always be another stock moving up the percentage you missed. Idk, what it would be called in formal terms, but I call it the sniper strategy.
Good luck!!
I've attached all previous AMD charts to this chart.
Technology
NASDAQ100 Slows Down For An Intraday CorrectionNasdaq100 is in strong bullish trend and there can be room for more upside within a projected intraday five-wave bullish cycle. Nasdaq100 futures recently slide as Alphabet shares drop on disappointing Google ad revenue. However, that's pretty nice textbook 17300 - 17200 support area within an (a)-(b)-(c) correction for wave "iv", so ahead of today's FED meeting, be aware of a bullish continuation for wave "v". Invalidation level is at 17050.
DataDog break of resistanceI have marked all the previous attemts at this zone with blue flags. In Aresistance of the area was broken in AUG 2021 resulting in an ATH of 199.9. We have confirmed support on the weekly TF. I do think we will spend some time in consolidation based on the weekly stochastic imo it needs to reset at the bottom before we can make the push to 150. so target time 40 to60 days 150
JK TYRE - Cup & Handle Breakout Cup & Handle pattern breakout done in JK TYRE
Please kindly wait for Retesting the level 205
You just keep an eye on this stock
I will update instantly about this stock
Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only,
we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made.
HAPPY TRADING GUYS
$NET near pivotCloudflare develops software for firewall, routing, traffic optimization, load balancing, and other network services
IS ranked #1 in its industry by IDB and has a IBD relative strength rating of 94.
research.investors.com
NYSE:NET is looking very good, it just gapped up after a flag patter and is on its way to new highs
A close above $87.75 would be my signal to buy with a target sell at $110
I'd use the gap zone as support zone to place my stop just below it, is good risk-reward.
NETFLIX Will the stream giant correct after the Earnings?Netflix (NFLX) is reporting Earnings today and what we see from the past 4 weeks that has been unable to make new Highs, it might be pricing a peak. That peak might be a technical Higher High formation on the 1.5 year Channel Up, which is the Earnings disappoint, can initiate a medium-term correction towards the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) and 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) Support Zone.
The technical confirmation for a sell will most likely be a 1W candle closing below the 1D MA50 (red trend-line), which has been the standard support of uptrends within the Channel Up. In addition to that, we will be expecting to see the 1W MACD form a Bearish Cross. On that signal, we will target 425.00.
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CISCO Strong Bullish Break-outCisco Systems (CSCO) is sustainably breaking above the Lower Highs trend-line that started on the September 01 2023 High, which was a Higher High on the 1.5 year Channel Up pattern. This break-out has turned the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) into a Support and the only barrier that remains before a new bullish wave is the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line).
If broken (1D candle closing above it), we will target Resistance 1 at 53.50. Notice how based on the 1D MACD symmetry we are on the exact same consolidation levels (blue ellipse) before which a strong rally followed.
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Microsoft - Triangle BreakoutHello Traders, welcome to today's analysis of Microsoft.
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Explanation of my video analysis:
All the way back in 2014 Microsoft stock perfectly broke above a major resistance area at the $35 level and entered a +1.000% bullmarket. Over the past three years Microsoft has been trading within an ascending triangle and recently broke out towards the upside. If we see a retest of the breakout level mentioned in the analysis, I am looking for bullish trading setups.
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I will only take a trade if all the rules of my strategy are satisfied.
Let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions.
Keep your long term vision.
TESLA Breaking below the 1W MA50 again but NOT a BUY yet.Three weeks ago we mentioned the importance of the All Time High (ATH) Lower Highs trend-line on Tesla (TSLA) and how critical it would be for the price to finally break above it for the first time in more than 2 years:
The 'Do or die moment' as we called it failed to deliver and the price got emphatically rejected on the Lower Highs for the 5th time. This rejection has brought the price below the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) yet again on pre-market. The natural zone of Support now is the January 06 2023 Higher Lows trend-line (Cycle bottom) and the April 27 2023 Higher Lows (dashed) trend-line. As long as it holds, we expect a short-term bounce and another test of the ATH Lower Highs trend-line.
If the stock breaks above the ATH Lower Highs, we will buy for a long-term rally and target 345.00. If the price breaks below the (dashed) April 27 2023 Higher Lows, we can expect a bottom as low as even 180.00, which is the Lower Lows (bottom) trend-line) of the Channel Down that started on the July 19 2023 High. If the 1D RSI though breaks first the 30.00 oversold barrier, we will take the profit on shorts and turn into a long-term buy (Target at $345.00 again) as every time the RSI turned oversold at 30.00, since December 2022, it was the most efficient buy opportunity we could get.
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AMD Correction expected on this Double Top.Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) has given excellent pull-back buy opportunities since our last analysis (December 12 2023, see chart below):
We believe though that it is time to take profit on those buy positions as the short-term Channel Up has made a Double Top similar to the June 13 2023 pattern, which started a prolonged correction. Even though the new correction doesn't have to be that long, even a shorter one is plausible as the same 1D RSI Bearish Divergence (on Lower Highs) that we currently have, was seen on all corrections within the 18-month Channel Up, with the shortest of them being -15%.
Assuming this worst case scenario, we turn now bearish and target 129.00 (-15% from the Top). Then as long as the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) holds, or even if broken when it gets reclaimed, we will buy again for the long-term.
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SNOW (Long) - Beautiful Technicals, Don't look at FundamentalsFundamentals
Really not here to admire the pristine fundamentals - the stock is severely overpriced with a price-to-sales over 20
However, having been at this for a while, for a 6-month horizon, the technicals, price and the momentum are the things to focus on
Regardless, NYSE:SNOW is an outstanding company with a very bright future. However, its price might fluctuate wildly over the coming years until its sales catch up with the valuation
For now, the technicals are the key...
Technicals
The longer a firm has been forming a bottom, the more excited I tend to get about a breakout
The price of SNOW has been oscillating around for a while, forming a basing pattern (pick any of the three names on the screen) and accumulating share demand and momentum
If everything goes well, the price breaks out cleanly over the resistance (black line)
Looking at the stochastics, momentum is strong and volume has been on our side for the duration of the most recent up leg - shown by the Chaikin Money Flow indicator.
However, considering my slight doubts about the overall market, I would shorten the horizon on this trade to 2-3 months - to hedge the best in case the market calls the investors' "soft-landing" bluff
Trade
I see two potential way s of playing this trade: (i) enter where the price touched the red-coloured line, catching the pullback and frontrunning the breakout (if you have a strong conviction) or (ii) wait for the actual breakout - best-case scenario is a long, fat green candle which sustains the highs towards the close and does so on volume
Given the first choice, stop loss just below the red line or the 19-day EMA. With the second option, the black line is the obvious stop
Failed breakout would be an obvious no-no for me and I would abort the trade and wait how the price action develops
Also closely watch the NASDAQ:QQQ , Snowflake likes to follow it and I have some worries about the sustainability of the tech rally
Follow me for more analysis & Feel free to ask any questions you have, I am happy to help
If you like my content, Please leave a like, comment or a donation, it motivates me to keep producing ideas, thank you :)
SHOPIFY More downside to come. Where to buy?Shopify (SHOP) has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the October 13 2022 market bottom. It recently made a Higher High but not at the top of the pattern and started to pull-back, losing most of its strength and momentum as the 1D RSI dropped to 45.50 (neutral). The price is still above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which keeps it bullish but in our opinion it won't be for long as it has started to resemble the pull-back after the December 02 2022 High.
That was on the Channel Up first bullish leg and it eventually pulled-back to the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level, before the price rebounded again and almost reached the -0.382 Fib extension for a technical Higher High. Observe how similar the 1D RSI sequences are between the two.
As a result, we expect currently a downside as low as 60.50 (Fib 0.5) at least to test the 1D MA200 and then we will buy and target $94.00 (below the -0.382 Fib, projected +56% rise, which is 20% lower than the previous rise (+76.18%), similar to the difference the Feb 03 2023 High High had from its Dec 02 2022 High).
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Nasdaq - First Quarter Might Be Red➡️Hello Traders, welcome to today's analysis of Nasdaq.
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➡️I will only take a trade if all of the rules of my strategy are satisfied.
➡️Consider hitting that like button for more free, daily analysis. Your support means a lot!
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➡️Let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions.
➡️Keep your long term vision.
EOY Review $AMZN still some pivots to take out upsideNASDAQ:AMZN another bright green candle on the year
it did take out the low of previous year in Q1 by a bit
so, strat wise it's a 2 down on the year, obviously bright green
is it extended? maybe.....
but, the good thing for those with a bullish bias, still 2 previous yearly highs to take out
how strong will AMZN be in 2024? Let's see
AI about to break upwards aggressively.AI (C3.ai) has made a Higher High yesterday, the highest level it's been since August 15. Having put both the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) behind, this rebound is taking place after a perfect bottom on the long-term Channel Up.
The first Bullish Leg of this pattern peaked on the 1.382 Fibonacci extension before a 1D MA200 pull-back. As a result, we are taking this early buy signal to target $60.00.
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PALANTIR Buy opportunities within the Channel Up.Palantir (PLTR) is trading within a 16-month Channel Up and is right now below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and above the Channel's median. Once the 1D RSI hits again the Support Zone, it will be a buy opportunity again (assuming it also hits the Channel's median). The previous Bullish Leg on the median rose by 58.85%. As a result our target will be $25.00.
This trade will be invalidated if the price breaks below the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). In this case, we will wait until the stock approaches the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the Channel Up again. The previous Bullish Leg on the Channel's bottom rose by +136.50%, which is marginally above the $25.00 target.
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APPLE Technical top at $210.Apple (AAPL) hit on Friday our $195.00 short-term target which we called on our latest November 12 analysis (see chart below):
The rally seems far from over as the recent pull-back turned out to be only a Bull Flag pattern, which typically prompts to a continuation of the trend. Being within a long-term Rising Wedge pattern, this pull-back resembles, even on 1D RSI terms, that of March 02, only on weaker strength (reasonably as the sequences get narrower towards the end of the pattern).
That first rally of the Wedged peaked just above the 1.382 Fibonacci extension. The current sequence's 1.382 Fib is at $210.00, which falls perfectly at the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the Rising Wedge, and that is our medium-term target.
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A clear risk on event is taking placeI multiplied the less risky Dow and Spy while dividing it with a multiple of bio, the Russel and Ark. This shows a clear shooting star candle in development this month which should signal much greater future gains in higher risk stocks and an end to this pullback in the market.
You can see that we had nice rallies the last two times that this has happened on this chart at March 2020 and Feb 2016.
I also noticed some more supporting evidence that this is near the bottom from the dark orange wedge breakout. If you measure the bottom to the peak in 2015-16 you can get an ideal exit target for the wedge breakout. Typically, you would measure from the breakout point, which it hasn't reached at this time, but if you measure from the bottom, you can see that the target has interestingly been reached to an almost exact amount.
We also have the yellow resistance and the peak at March 2020 as a pivot point for all of these lines. Not too critical of a point, I just found that interesting haha.
We also have institutions like black rock capitulating on growth twitter.com
Many institutions were bearish on the market at the bottom of the covid dip.
Finally we have a heavily overbought RSI and stoch on the monthly that also signals a top.
Now the short term future outlook looks bullish on risk to me but I was thinking on potential long term possibilities from there:
I believe that the yellow trajectory is more likely to happen over the blue one at this point to be honest. The blue option just requires too much competence in all global leaders to pull off so it seems unlikely to me and would be frankly miraculous. But it could still happen.
The yellow one would basically give investors an opportunity to exit growth at more reasonable prices before the market continues its tank fest again. And while I have this pivot point at Jan 2024, it could happen much steeper and faster and pivot later this year.
The yellow support line and the blue breakout line are most important to watch and see what option it'll be.