something technicalsDISCLAIMER
NO BUMS allowed, if you don't like making money and consistently downvote radical ideas and thinking because you are bitter and haven't made money for the past 12 months, then stop following me and LEAVE. This is a strictly NO-BUMS allowed post....
The previous week's NFP data session exhibited significant volatility, offering opportunities for both bears and bulls. However, amidst the fluctuations, the price action formed a distinctive heartbeat pattern. These patterns are more prevalent than commonly perceived, and by carefully examining various time frames, you can identify them.
I particularly appreciate this pattern due to its vast profit potential. However, success in capitalizing on it depends on having a clear understanding of the market dynamics and all movements will be data driven.
It should be considered as a consolidation point as market participants decide on the next direction.
On Monday we the CPI, equally as important but I don't think it will be as volatile. What will be important will be the fed speakers, all scheduled to speak on Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday!
Now lets zoom out to a monthly TF, again we are printing the same heart beat pattern. Still one of my favorite to accumulate a lot of money very quickly, but only if you know what you are doing!
Technicals
GBPUSD SELLSo here we have price forming lower highs and respecting our MA's. I don't usually rely this much on my MA's but since price has repeatedly rejected on the 30 min TF during the London session, theres indication buyers don't have enough liquidity in the market, and with US news coming out shortly and giving the economic month we had in December last month, the dollar could increase due to consumer spending. I'm price to retest my entry level for more confirmation in a bearish trend. Hopefully my SL isn't too tight lol. Please leave some feedback!
V EARNINGS CHART - BIG SUPPORT COMINGV has a really steep downtrend that is literally about to close out, probably tomorrow.
The movement from like 230-226 is pretty bullish.
Price targets and trends are marked.
Careful around that 242 mark, and look for possible support to coming back in around 236-238, which can easily take us up to that final rejection point.
With the trends and movement heading into earnings, it's hard to say that we should favor the bearish movement. IF we open super positive and run-up, I'd just wait to buy.
LONGTERM BIASEDDid not use any of indicators or any. Just wanted to know your thoughts on my longterm thinking about GU.
If I am counting DXY weakening (FED possible decrease of Interest rates, now or later.. even if they leave them on same levels, USD loosing on value) plus England getting better on longterm.
We can see possible rise in upcoming months and years. Let me know with your opinions or correct me. I will gladly change my mind if I am wrong.
Do NOT forget this is D TF.
Trade wisely and wish you only greens!
J
GROV - IF you want a "Squeeze candidate" try this one. There is some serious potential here on this stock. After such a big drop, those short positions are going to close, which will end up springing the price upwards. There is potential for a big short term run-up on this stock.
Price targets are marked.
Relevant trends are marked.
This trade won't be for those not okay with massive risk!!
The lowest price target I currently see is marked in red. Imo, this price target will ultimately spring the price higher in the end, and you can probably buy that dip with some confidence in some kind of bullish price action to come and cover losses.
Ultimately, we could very well see a situation like this play out. This line won't be very accurate overall, please follow the actual chart and indicators, however, this movement projects to be quick, but it's hard to tell. If the trends are projected accurately, it times the crash to mid-late Jan, and it times the run-up into starting next week.
If I was trading, I'd pay close attention to that 3.83 mark, with potential to keep going up to like 5.8 or so..
USDCAD POTTENTIAL SETUPS FOR THE WEEK.1. Identify the Current Trend: Begin by assessing the current trend of the USDCAD pair. Is it in an uptrend or a downtrend? Trends can be identified by drawing trend lines or using technical indicators as observed our current trend is shifting to the bearish setups
2. Spot the Change of Character: To anticipate a potential change in character, you should look for signs of exhaustion or reversal in the existing trend. When we have Brocken the lower high of the previous run
3. Wait for Deeper Retest: After identifying potential signs of a change in character, it's important to be patient and wait for confirmation. This often involves waiting for a deeper retest of key support or resistance levels. A deeper retest means that price retraces further into the prior trend, offering a clearer confirmation signal.
4. Confirmation of New Trend: To confirm the change of trend, look for the following:
Breakout: Once the retest is complete, watch for a breakout above a significant resistance level (if anticipating a reversal from a downtrend). The breakout should ideally be accompanied by increased trading volume.
5 Higher Highs and Higher Lows: Observe if the price starts forming higher highs and higher lows. This pattern is characteristic of an uptrend and indicates a potential change in character.
6. Monitoring and Adaptation: Keep a close eye on the market once you've entered a trade. Continuously monitor price action and adjust your strategy as needed based on emerging developments.
GM TA - General Motors going downhey guys whats up its amir
So General Motors, what exactly do we have here:
- Beautiful bearish flag just got broke down
- I want you to notice to the RMACD we had last week a bull trigger and got rejected and now were closing a bearish trigger, and exactly the same happened in the drop last time (vertical lines) its a sign that the bears are stronger than the bulls.
- Watch at the volume indicator, for about two years you can see clearly who have control on the stock look at all the red bars, clearly the bears are in charge here.
- Good risk reward ratio 1:3 its fine.
defintely work for me.
*not financial advisor*
DD LongBeautiful consolidation occurring above the weekly 365 MA
This chart has held up near the highs remarkably well despite the market pullback.
this name has had relative performance during this pullback which makes it a likely candidate to trend higher if the markets firm up.
Using the breakout neckline as a stoploss. If this Inverse Head & Shoulders plays out, there is massive implied upside.
Pidilite - Cup & Handle Formation
PIDILITE IND LTD (JULY23 - CMP RS 2662.80)
Cup Pattern
#Phase1 - saw a sharp down move from Dec22 to Jan23
#Phase2 - Formed a slow base between Jan23 to Apr23
#Phase3 - From May23 - Jun23 it steadily moved up
When you add up the 3 phases - the Cup Pattern is visible in the Price Action.
Handle Pattern
#Phase4 - Between Jun23 and Jul23 the Price of Pidilite underwent the next small phase of correction
Phase#5 the Stock price saw a gradual upmove.
When you look at the full move of #Phase4 and #Phase5 - it resembles the Handle of the Cup
The Cup & Handle is a bullish continuation pattern which means that it is usually indicative of a future increase in price once the pattern is complete. Willing Buyers take exposure after the formation of the Handle is complete and push the Price upwards.
If the Pattern is successful, the Price can be expected to rally towards the life time highs of Rs 2918.95 implying a potential 9.6% up-move from the CMP of Rs 2662.80 as on July 21, 2023. The Price appreciation could play out over the next 3-4 months.
USDJPY bullish week = more upsideDay 47/100
Contrary to popular forecasts, my current USDJPY outlook is leaning to the upside
Fundamental Catalysts:
- Fed rate hikes
- BoJ policy updates
Bullish base-case:
- Fed remains hawkish using tight jobs markets as reason to continue on "hawkish" path
- BoJ will remain dovish // not as hawkish as expected
If base-case is wrong, only then I'll be considering further downside
Technicals
- This week rejecting 138 key pivot area
- If it closes bullish this week, more upside is to come; a push back into 145
🥂
$TSLA Down on Over-SpeculationNASDAQ:TSLA reported earnings after market close yesterday. Pro traders took profits before the close as the run became technically overextended. It gapped down today, but not on the extreme volume we'd expect from the usual HFT activity around earnings.
Profit and Operating margins are decreasing quarter over quarter, but revenues and net income are increasing.
This is not so much an onslaught of sellers but profit-taking along with a lack of buyers at this price range. As occurs often for this high-profile yet important EV company, the stock is over-speculated and needs to pattern out the excess. It could test the next support levels, but ultimately it's likely to head sideways as it challenges the resistance from Aug-Oct of last year...barring any surprises from Musk ;)
Dark Pool Buy Zones are in the bottom formation. The question is: will those buy zones be moved up or not?
CHFJPY Try to understand the movementAs we can see, at 2h Timeframe it is very clear that the price made a channel pattern, and yesterday it has broken through the resistance. where will the price go? from my point of view and how the candle moves ( you can see the daily candle ), the price will go to the strong area and will come back again. what's unique from here is that I found the possibility of a triple top pattern occurring
let see,
dyor
USD crucial week ahead... 😏Hey Traders! 👋
For Day 32/100 of our challenge, we will take a jab at USD and where it could head to next week
Technicals:
- Last week has been aggressively bearish
- We're now at potential support at 102.2
- Also the 62% fib retracement from swing high
> Can possibly see USD gain some strength on rebound at these levels
> Or at 101 support
BUT: Invalidation Area
- If 101 is breached to the downside, expect further bearish conviction
NETSOL - initial target of 10% upside
After witnessing a rapid recovery in IT stocks worldwide, especially on the NASDAQ, it seems that a similar trend may be expected in Pakistan's IT sector in the near future. The IT sector is poised to be a significant beneficiary of the current economic environment, with the government likely to provide further tax rebates. Given this outlook, I hold a bullish stance on the IT sector and have identified NETSOL and TRG as top picks.
Currently, NETSOL is trading at $80. I have set an initial target of 10% upside, and once this target is achieved, we can review and discuss the next set of targets.
Please note that the above analysis represents my personal opinion as a financial analyst. It is important to conduct further research and analysis before making any investment decisions.
#BABA #ALIBABA LONGALIBABA is nearing support and should be ready for some big upside in the coming weeks/months. Analyst price targets are downside HKEX:72 upside median HKEX:150 and long HKEX:220 , considering the market is a bit shaky and volatile i would be more conscious to the downside and put an even lower downside target of about 45/50 range. however, the recent news coming out of BABA on splitting the business is a very solid news for the stock and is definitely the one to hold on to for big gains.
GBP/USD Trade setup (Short Position) Potential trade setup on the 1-hour timeframe for GU. Price action is creating a nice "expanding bearish triangle" pattern which could make another retest towards the price level (1.24000) before continuing in the sellers direction. Going back to April 10th, you will notice the support that was created multiple times before price created indecision candles closing above & below that support zone. Finally, both EMA's are confirming sellers momentum is slowly shifting over to a bearish selloff. Updates will be posted when price enters our area of interest. Stay tuned.
30 year yield: Bullish as everThe long end yields have been climbing recently and many stock market participants are not recognizing this.
The long end yields market may be signaling to us that inflation is going to be entrenched longer than what mainstream experts are calling for.
On a technical basis the 30 year has now recaptured all the key daily moving averages and looks primed to head higher.
CHTR Potential Trade AlertThis is a top short target. Keep this name on your watchlist as its been lagging the communications sector.
If the communication sector sees weakness which we think it will, this name will be a relative weakness trade to the downside.
Earnings approaching is the major outlier event.
CAD-CHFThe price of this currency pair has been moving in a downward trend on the D1 chart since June 2022. On the H4 chart, the price has reached a resistance level that previously served as an important support level. In addition, the price is very close to the upper line of the descending trend channel, which is another indication of an opportunity to open a SELL position.