Trend Reversal?Last week price was met with a strong reaction at 0.6500, an important level for KIWI. Last time price traded at this level was in August after which a 900 pip move to the downside followed and a bottom was later found in October around 0.5500. Since then, buyers have been in charge and have brought prices back to 0.6500. For the first time since October we have now seen the market close the week with doji candles for 2 weeks in a row. Also, for the first time since the uptrend started, we saw Thursday close with over a 100pip move to the downside (a big move for KIWI). This came following Tuesday's rejection of 0.6500 indicating the presence of sellers in this zone. A strong dollar would favor sellers to step in and push prices lower.
Swingtrader
1800 Still holdingFrom the last update a week ago price was wedged between support and resistance below 1800. On Tuesday we then saw price spike to the upside triggering buy orders as well as taking out any stop losses above the zone. Price consolidated above the 1800 zone until Thursday enticing even more buyers to go long. A strong reversal then came on Thursday which saw prices drop back below 1800 and the week closed on Friday with prices back below 1800 where it started the week. If the level continues to hold and we see Dollar strength return in the market this could very well trigger shorts on Gold and we could see lower prices in the foreseeable future. An Engulfing close below Friday's low around 1774 will be an important level for bears to watch.
Breakout in PlayFrom the last update a week ago price was approaching the end of consolidation inside the triangle. On Tuesday we then saw price 'Fake Out' to the upside triggering buy orders as well as taking out any stop losses above the triangle. Price consolidated above the zone for 2 days enticing even more buyers to go long. A sharp reversal then came on Thursday which saw prices drop back into the triangle and proceeded lower with a breakout to the downside. If the June low is taken out we expect the next target to be around the 1000 area which is a psychological number. As for pullbacks and opportunities to ride the trend, history shows that during trends, Etherium, just like Bitcoin usually offers shallow to no pullbacks on the high timeframes therefore looking at lower timeframes such as the M5, M15 on M30 may offer opportunities to capitalize on the move.
Near break outSuitable for a swing trade, the stock created a new 52-week high,
may break ATH in little time, the volume also good for uptrend continuation
NZDJPY: How to Catch The Next Bullish Wave 🇳🇿🇯🇵
NZDJPY is trading in a long-term bullish trend.
Since February, however, the price is stuck on 87.0 - 88.0 structure resistance.
To catch a bullish wave, wait for its breakout. We need a weekly candle close above that to confirm the violation.
A bullish continuation will be expected to 91.3 level then.
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EURNZD: Your Trading Plan For This Week 🇪🇺🇳🇿
EURNZD is trading within a falling channel on a daily time frame.
For the last 2 weeks, the pair is consolidating, though.
The price formed a descending triangle formation - a bearish accumulation pattern.
To catch a bearish continuation, wait for a bearish breakout of 1.673 - 1.679 horizontal support.
After a daily candle close below that, a bearish continuation will be expected.
Goals will be 1.66 / 1.65
Be patient and wait for a breakout.
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GBPUSD H4 - Short Correction SignalGBPUSD H8 - Dollar bullish means we are generally seeing the YEN offload and vice versa. We are still technically in the bull trend here on cable on the H4 and H8. We have pinned into 1.20 which is a psychological price, and yet to see anything major on a pullback front, so that does concern me. Similar outlook on gold, we seem to be exhausting
GBPUSD: Long-Term Technical Outlook 🇬🇧🇺🇸
GBPUSD is trading in a global bearish trend.
The price perfectly respects the boundaries of an expanding falling wedge pattern on a weekly.
Reaching its support, the pair started a correctional movement.
The market is already growing for more than a month.
Ahead is the resistance of the wedge. Depending on the reaction of the price to that,
I see 2 potential scenarios:
If the price respects that, a new bearish wave may initiate.
If the price breaks and closes above that, it will most likely lead to a continuation of a current correctional movement.
I will post an update once I see a decent confirmation.
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ADANIPORT SPECIAL SWING TRADEStock is looking good on most of the timeframes.
On the hourly chart, it is consolidating above the previous resistance, which is now working as support i.e 818-820.
Sustaining the support, the stock can probably move towards 840 to 860 levels in the coming trading sessions.
EURJPY: Important Breakout 🇪🇺🇯🇵
Have you seen that bearish breakout on EURJPY?
The price broke and closed below a major rising trend line on a daily.
Now a bearish continuation is expected.
Next supports: 144.0 / 141.4
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EASEMYTRIP - looks goodThere is a Big Bull Candle formation of the hourly chart, followed by consolidation in the upper half range of the candle.
Daily weekly , monthly charts all looks positive.
Hence, if it sustains 396-398 , in the short term it can move towards 413, 423-425 levels in no time.
Type of trade : Swing
DOLLAR INDEX (DXY) Time of Weak Dollar?! 💵
A lot of bearish clues on Dollar Index:
the market violated a major rising trend line last week and broke a horizontal key level yesterday.
The underlined blue zone is based on broken horizontal and vertical structures.
From there, the index will most likely drop.
Next support - 108.
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USDJPY: Where The Market is Going 🇺🇸🇯🇵
USDJPY violated 25 years' high without any hesitation.
Analysing the historical levels, the closest structure that I spotted is 158 - 160 area
based on 30 years' high.
I believe that it will be the next long-term goal for buyers.
Be extremely careful trading the pair, especially shorting it.
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AUDJPY: Very Bearish Outlook 🇦🇺🇯🇵
AUDJPY looks very bearish to me:
after a strong bearish wave, the pair was consolidating within a narrow horizontal trading range on a daily.
Yesterday, the price finally broke and closed below that.
I believe that it will push the market to the next support.
Target - 90.55
For entries, consider an occasional retest.
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GBPNZD: Important Breakout 🇬🇧🇳🇿
GBPNZD broke and closed above a major supply area last week.
The broken structure turned into a demand zone now.
I believe that it will trigger a bullish continuation to 2.02 / 2.04 levels.
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EURCAD: Very Bullish Outlook 🇪🇺🇨🇦
One more breakout that I spotted today is a bullish violation of a horizontal supply zone and a major falling trend line on EURCAD.
Forming a high momentum bullish candle, the market successfully closed above them both.
I think that it will trigger a further bullish continuation.
Next resistances: 1.358 / 1.368
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NZDJPY: Breakout & Bearish Forecast 🇳🇿🇯🇵
Update for NZDJPY pair.
It turned out, that the price managed to break and close below a key daily support.
82.1 - 83.28 is a solid supply zone now.
The pair will most likely keep falling to 80.0 support.
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EURUSD: Detailed Structure Analysis 🇪🇺🇺🇸
A lot of questions about EURUSD.
Here is my latest structure analysis and key levels to watch for you:
Analyzing a monthly time frame, I spotted 0.94 - 0.96 historical support
based on a price action of 2001 and 2002.
On a daily time frame, a bit lower, we have a support line of a major falling parallel channel.
The trend line and a monthly horizontal structure compose a solid demand zone from where the pair may bounce.
Concerning the resistances, I see 0.986 - 0.99 horizontal resistance and a resistance line of a channel.
They compose a supply area.
Consider these structures for pullback / breakout trading.
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