“Cryptocurrencies on the Move”The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission has approved the listing and trading of options for BlackRock's IBIT. Bitcoin options trading on IBIT is expected to comply with BlackRock's standards. Following this development, the rise in cryptocurrencies has accelerated, with Bitcoin maintaining its push towards the 65,000 level.
Tecnically, if it surpasses the 65,000 resistance level, the 68,500 and then 71,675 resistance levels could be tested. On the downside, if Bitcoin breaks below the 63,300 level, a further decline toward the 60,000 and then 57,330 support levels could occur.
Supportandresistancezones
“The Eurozone manufacturing PMI is weak”Following the interest rate decisions by the ECB and the Fed, the EUR/USD pair has risen to the 1.12 level. Meanwhile, the dollar index is recovering its losses post-Fed, which is limiting further gains in the EUR/USD pair. Today, the manufacturing PMI figures released for the Eurozone and Germany came in below expectations. This increased the pressure on the euro currency.
From a technical perspective, if the upward trend continues and the 1.1115 resistance is broken, the next resistance levels to watch are 1.12 and 1.1275. On the downside, if pricing drops below the 1.1045 level, 1.0970 and 1.09 could act as important support levels for further declines.
BTCUSDT / BREAKOUT THE DESCENDING CHANNEL - 4HBTCUSDT / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
1. August Price Movements:
- Early August: The price declined by 29.54%.
- Mid-August: The price increased by 32.55%.
2. September Price Movements:
- Early September: The price declined by 18.96%.
- Mid-September: The price increased by 14.37%.
Technical Analysis:
1. Current Market Condition:
The asset is under bullish pressure following a breakout from a channel , As long as the price remains above 60.767, the bullish momentum is expected to continue.
2. Upward Condition:
- Target 1: If the price trades above 60.767, it's expected to rise to 65.015.
- Target 2: If the price stabilizes above 65.015, the next target is 69.573.
3. Downward Condition:
- If the price falls below 60.767, it suggests a potential decline:
- Target 1: A decline to 56.154.
- Target 2: If it breaks below 56.154, further decline is expected to 52.679.
Nvidia looks pretty flat these days but it needs to MOVE ! We believed Nvidia would make the turn to validate and then break point #5, but that wasn’t the case.
Nvidia remains within the bearish sequence, but it still hasn’t been able to give us confirmation of reaching point #5. The only thing we need to consider is the structure of the bearish channel, in which the most important part of this structure is our GAP zone (blue), as that’s where most buy orders are positioned, and we can see it has respected it correctly (see green circles).
The scenario over the last few days looks very flat; Nvidia has to break the line it’s currently on to activate our point #5 or, in another scenario, retest the GAP Zone, which it has already tested and is of great importance since that's where the largest number of buy positions are concentrated.
So, if it comes back to touch our GAP Zone (Blue), you know what to do!
Best regards, and thanks for supporting my analysis.
SWING IDEA - PELNSE:PEL has completed its Lower Low Pattern last year March and has ever since being forming a new Higher High Pattern.
At the same time the Price Action and MACD also formed a good Convergence Divergence. Currently the MACD also about to cross in the coming week. This indicates a bullish pattern and chances of going up from here.
915 has formed as a good Support Level and is holding well so far. Once the crossover happens, the stock looks good at least until its Swing High levels.
SWING IDEA - LTIMStock seems to have following the Trendline as given. There has been 4 touches so far on this trendline, indicating a strong Support formation.
If the stock continues to obey the trendline, it could revisit its Swing High again.
MACD Crossover also indicates a good bullish momentum.
While there us a Support formed at 4748 level, even our Trendline intersects at the same region in the coming weeks. So if you want a better entry, you can wait for a retest at the Trendline again and then take an entry based on your Risk Management.
ETHUSDT BuyAs Ethereum has broke its Resitance and now is taking support over it and will fly high anothet confluence for going in buys is it has formed a Continuation pattern flag pattern which is completed some of my Friends taking it as a penunt over H4 and H1 accordingly but its a bullish setup also it can be categorized as a rally base rally formation till now lets see whats waiting but as today is concerned we had all bullish signs around us
XAUUSD / TRADING ABPVE ATH 2,600$ - 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
The asset is trading above its all-time high (ATH) price of $2,600.The price has risen by %1.82.
If the price closes below the ATH level of $2,600 on a 4-hour (4h) candle, further decline is expected, estimated at 1.90%.
As long as the price remains above $2,600, it suggests a bullish trend.
A 4h candle closing below $2,600 would indicate potential bearish movement, predicting a decline of around 1.90%.
Technical analysis :
If the price remains above $2,600 and breaks above $2,620, we could see an upward move towards $2,635.
A break below $2,600 may lead to a decline towards $2,575 and potentially $2,551, indicating a bearish trend.
UPWARD TARGET : 2,620$ , 2,635$ .
DOWNWARD TARGET : 2,575$ , 2,551$.
“Bitcoin is rising."Cryptocurrency markets are going through a dynamic period with significant developments. In Germany, 47 cryptocurrency exchanges were shut down by the Federal Criminal Police Office and the Internet Crime Complaint Center as part of efforts to combat money laundering activities. However, following the Fed's decision to cut interest rates by 50 basis points, there is a decline in dollar-denominated assets. This situation is supporting upward movements in Bitcoin.
From a technical perspective, if it surpasses the 63,300 resistance level, the 65,000 and then 68,500 resistance levels could be tested. On the downside, if Bitcoin breaks below the 60,000 level, a further decline toward the 57,330 and then 54,000 support levels could occur.
“USDZAR on a Downward Trend”The South African Reserve Bank has reduced the policy interest rate to 8.00%. Following this move, the reversals at the 17.40 level in the USDZAR pair have drawn attention. The Fed had unexpectedly cut rates by 50 basis points at its September meeting. This situation has led to significant losses in dollar assets, while we can observe that any increases in the USDZAR pair remain limited.
From a technical perspective, if the exchange rate surpasses the 17.70 level, rises may initially extend to 17.95 and then to the 18.20 resistance level. On the downside, if the 17.40 level is breached, we could see a decline to 17.15 and then to the 16.90 support level.
“Can USD/JPY Surpass the 144.0 Level?”The Bank of Japan (BoJ) kept its policy interest rate unchanged, holding it steady at 0.25%. The bank noted that Japan's economic recovery is continuing, and inflationary pressures have eased due to a decline in import prices. According to data released today, Japan's Consumer Price Index (CPI) for August increased by 3% year-over-year, in line with expectations. As a result, the USD/JPY pair has gained momentum, rising from the 140.85 level.
From a technical perspective, if the 144.10 level is surpassed, the pair may test the 147.30 resistance first, followed by 149.55. On the downside, if it falls below the 140.85 support level, a drop toward 138.0 and then 135.15 could occur.
“The pound gained strength”The Bank of England (BoE) maintained its policy interest rate at 5.00%, with no changes. BoE Governor Andrew Bailey stated that since they lowered the policy rate in August, inflationary pressures have continued to ease. Bailey also emphasized the importance of avoiding rate cuts that are too quick or too large. Following this development, the GBP/USD pair rose above the 1.33 level.
From a technical perspective, if the 1.3355 level is permanently surpassed, the rise could accelerate toward 1.3430, followed by the 1.35 resistance level. On the downside, if prices fall below the 1.3270 level, the decline could extend first to 1.3150 and then further to the 1.3030 support level.
“Gold Prices Target 2600 Level”After the Fed cut its policy rate for the first time in four years, the dollar index saw further declines. The yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury bond dropped to 3.63% following the decision. This market reaction accelerated the push for gold prices towards the 2600 level. Additionally, the Fed indicated the possibility of another 50 basis point rate cut this year. Fed Chair Jerome Powell noted that upward risks to inflation have decreased, while downward risks to employment have increased.
From a technical perspective, if prices remain consistently above the 2580 level, an increase to 2600 and then to 2650 could occur. On the downside, if the price falls below the 2570 support level, a pullback could extend to 2535 and then to 2482.
“Dollar Index Declines After Fed Decision”The U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) cut its policy rate for the first time in four years, lowering it by 50 basis points to the range of 4.75%-5.00%. Following this decision, the decline in the dollar index accelerated. Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that the decision shows increased confidence in maintaining a strong labor market while ensuring moderate growth and bringing inflation down to 2% sustainably. Additionally, the Fed lowered its federal funds rate projection for the end of this year from 5.1% to 4.4%, suggesting the possibility of a further 50 basis point rate cut by the Fed this year.
Technically, if the index falls below the 100.50 level, the 100.0 and 99.50 levels can be considered support. However, if it recovers and moves above the 101.0 level, resistance can be observed at the 101.85 and 102.70 levels.
XAUUSD - AFTER FOMC SPEECH - 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
In the month of August, prices started to increase until September by 10.04%, reaching a new historical peak of $2,600. As long as they remain below this level, it indicates a decline at a rate of 2.66%.
Technically analysis :
Gold reached a historical peak of $2,600 but began to decline following a speech by Jerome Powell. The decline was significant, hitting the target of +420 pips.
Prices are now trading under downward pressure. The key levels to watch are $2,589 and $2,575. As long as the price remains below these levels, it indicates a downtrend
If gold continues to stay below $2,575, it is expected to drop further to $2,551, and potentially down to $2,531.
Conversely, if a 4-hour candle closes above $2,575, it suggests that prices could reverse upwards, targeting $2,589, and potentially returning to the all-time high of $2,600.
overall , that the short-term outlook for gold is bearish, but there is potential for a bullish reversal if the price stabilizes above $2,575. Traders should monitor these levels closely to gauge the next move in the market.
UPWARD TARGET : 2,589$ , 2,600$ .
DOWNWARD TARGET : 2,551$ , 2,531$.
USDCAD - UNDER DOWNWARD PRESSURE - 4HUSDCAD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Currently, prices are trading below the resistance trend line and the turning level at 1.361.
This sets the stage by identifying that the price is under a key resistance line and turning level, specifically at the 1.361 level. The resistance line acts as a ceiling preventing further upward movement.
As long as trading remains below this level, a decline is expected, potentially reaching 1.354 and 1.350.
Here, you're forecasting a possible downward trend. If prices don't break through 1.361, the expectation is for them to move lower, first targeting 1.354, and possibly continuing to 1.350. These levels are likely key support level where the price could find temporary stability.
However, breaking this level would indicate a rise toward 1.370.
This section shifts the focus to an alternative outcome. If the price breaches the 1.361 resistance, it would signal the start of an upward movement, aiming for the next key level at 1.370.
To confirm an uptrend, it is necessary to break through this level, which would then target the next level at 1.374.
Finally, you're stating that for a true and sustained uptrend to be confirmed, the price must break through 1.370. Once this happens, the price is expected to head towards the next resistance level at 1.374.
UPWARD TARGET : 1.370 , 1.374.
DOWNWARD TARGET : 1.354 , 1.350.
NAS100USD / KEY LEVEL 19,954 - 4HNAS100USD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency , prices trading below 19,954 , it indicates under downward pressure
Prices are expected to remain under bearish pressure as long as they trade below the key levels of 19,954 and 19,535. Should the price stabilize and remain below these thresholds, a decline towards 19,187 is anticipated. A breach below this point could signal a further drop to 18,688.
On the other hand, if the resistance at 19,954 is broken, we could witness upward momentum, with prices potentially rising first to 20,194 and then extending to 20,714.
UPWARD TARGET : 20,194 , 20,714.
DOWNWARD TARGET : 19,187 , 18,688.
GBPUSD / UNDER BEARISH PRESSURE - 4H GBPUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
The price movement reflects both technical and fundamental factors. The 3.58% decline in July can be attributed to global economic uncertainties, such as inflation fears or weakening consumer demand. This decline likely hit key support levels, prompting traders to adopt a more cautious stance.
However, the 4.71% recovery in August suggests a reversal in market sentiment. This could be driven by improving macroeconomic indicators, such as better-than-expected GDP growth or reduced inflation, which restored confidence. Additionally, this rally may reflect a technical bounce off support levels, with short-term traders capitalizing on oversold conditions.
The critical resistance level of 1.326 now acts as a psychological barrier. A failure to breach this level could confirm a bearish outlook, suggesting a downtrend continuation to the next support zones at 1.309 and 1.304. Market sentiment, geopolitical risks, or adverse economic data may further pressure prices.
On the flip side, a decisive break above 1.326 would likely attract bullish momentum, setting the stage for higher targets at 1.329 and 1.335. In this scenario, buyers would anticipate further gains, with potential drivers such as positive earnings reports or an easing of economic uncertainties bolstering confidence. A sustained move above these levels could even signal a broader market rally.
UPWARD TARGET : 1.329 , 1.335.
DOWNWARD TARGET : 1.309 , 1.304
Sell EURUSD Channel Breakout (FOMC) The EUR/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.1117, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.1076
2nd Support – 1.1051
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.1152. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
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Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
US30 / UNDER FOMC PRESSURE - 4HUS30 / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
In August, the prices saw a price decline of 6.91%, reflecting a period of downturn. However, in September, there was a notable recovery, with prices rising to an all-time high (ATH) of 41,852. This peak represents the highest level achieved thus far in the prices history. Currently, prices are trading below this ATH, which suggests that the market is still testing its limits.
If the current price trajectory remains below the ATH of 41,852, further declines could be anticipated. Support levels to watch for potential price corrections are at 41,340 and 40,853. These levels might serve as points where the price could stabilize or experience a rebound.
On the other hand, if the prices manages to close above the ATH on a 4-hour candle, it could indicate a shift towards a bullish trend. This would suggest that the market sentiment has turned positive and could lead to further gains. In this scenario, the price might approach new resistance levels, with potential targets at 42,282 and 42,703. These levels represent possible areas where the price might encounter selling pressure or where further gains could be capped.
Overall, the price dynamics are influenced by how it performs relative to the ATH, with potential implications for both downward corrections and upward advances depending on market behavior.
UPWARD TARGET : 42,282 , 42,703.
DOWNWARD TARGET : 41,852 , 40,853.