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Support
BTC to reach new all-time highs in Q1 2025I am not yet convinced BTC has fallen far enough to be written off as the end of this push.
My idea here is based on perceived symmetry between Nov-Dec 2023, and Nov-Dec 2024.
fig. 1a
As you can see here, in both 2023 and 2024 following pushes started around September that took the price above the levels I consider to indicate a long term uptrend. the uppermost peach coloured line is an upper bollinger band based on a 90-week SMA... I have found it provides an accurate idea of multi-year trends, allowing better judgement of the end of a trend as seen when viewing data from the 2020-2021 bullish push.
fig. 1b
The other set of peach bollinger bands are 2-week length with a positive offset. They act similar to a normal moving average but can give earlier buy-in points, and earlier sell signals.
Other than those, there are shorter timeframe versions of both in use, that give indications of oversold/overbought, and of buy and sell points for shorter-term trades.
Back to fig 1a, we that following the identified pushes, from November to December, we see a consolidation phase in almost the exact same shape. There's a sharp drop at first, then a short push to attempt a continuation of the bullish trend, and then a sudden sharp drop, forming the largest leg of the pattern. Now, looking at this closely we see that in 2023 BTC hits the upper of the 90-week BB and then bounces back up from it starting the Q1 push of 2024. As we remain above this level, I do not believe the final nail has been driven into BTC's coffin.
These next two images, taken from a 6hr chart, demonstrate that this pattern previously mentioned is not just perceived, but reflected in technical indicators. In both cases, the CCI reaches overbought, and pulls back below the MA until it's under 100, where we see a false signal caused by a very short bullish push, after which we see a real push back into overbought, and then a drop to below -100.
At this point, I will add that I am neither bullish nor bearish right now. I am not saying the market WILL go up, but that it still has the potential to. Fibonnaci retrace projections are giving me a bit of trouble as using them for the long-term trend is showing that we're at the limit of this push, whereas just viewing this push separately, shows we've hit a key support level which may be why we aren't seeing a real push below 93,000.
To conclude, I don't think it's best to write off the possibility of another push just yet, but be ready because that point will be reached within the next month or so.
Thanks for reading, if you made it this far - lmk your opinions in the comments. I'll try to update with any interesting developments :)
$BA Analysis and Prediction for Boeing CompanyChart Overview:
Instrument: Boeing Company (BA)
Timeframe: Daily Chart
Indicators and Features:
Dark Pool Levels: Key levels at 183.30, 180.79, and 169.48.
Trendlines:
Red trendlines indicate resistance and support zones.
Green trendline shows the long-term ascending support.
Moving Averages: Likely 8 EMA, 21 EMA, and 50 EMA to confirm trend direction.
Volume: Not visible but implied for confirmation at breakouts or reversals.
Key Observations:
Current Price Action:
BA is trading near a dark pool resistance level at $183.30, which has shown historical relevance for reversals or slowdowns.
The price has been in a consistent uptrend, supported by the ascending green trendline and staying above key moving averages.
Resistance Levels:
$183.30: Immediate dark pool resistance and psychological barrier.
$186-$188: Potential extension target based on upward momentum, aligning with the upper red trendline.
Support Levels:
$180.79: Nearest dark pool support level.
$176.87: Key support level aligned with the red trendline, acting as a potential bounce zone.
$169.48: Strong support and dark pool level, marking the base of the current uptrend.
Trendlines and Momentum:
The red ascending channel suggests BA is nearing the top of its short-term range.
The green ascending trendline reinforces the long-term bullish trend.
Trading Scenarios:
Scenario 1: Bullish Continuation:
If the price breaks and sustains above $183.30, it could trigger further upside momentum.
Entry:
Go long above $183.30, confirmed with a strong candle close and volume.
Profit Targets:
Target 1: $186 (upper resistance).
Target 2: $188 (potential upper boundary of the red trendline).
Stop Loss:
Place below $180.79, the nearest support and dark pool level.
Scenario 2: Pullback to Support:
If the price fails to break above $183.30, it may retrace to lower support levels.
Entry:
Go long at $176.87, where the price aligns with support from the red trendline.
Profit Targets:
Target 1: $180.79 (dark pool resistance turned support).
Target 2: $183.30 (current resistance level).
Stop Loss:
Place below $176.00, just under the trendline support.
Scenario 3: Bearish Breakdown:
If the price breaks below $176.87, it could trigger a deeper correction.
Entry:
Go short below $176.00 with confirmation.
Profit Targets:
Target 1: $169.48 (strong dark pool support level).
Target 2: $165 (potential psychological level and historical support).
Stop Loss:
Place above $180.00, invalidating the bearish move.
Risk Management:
Use a 1:3 risk-to-reward ratio to optimize trade profitability.
Adjust position size based on individual risk tolerance.
Volume Consideration:
Watch for a volume spike at key levels ($183.30 for breakout or $176.87 for pullback). Increased volume validates institutional activity and provides confirmation for the move.
Summary:
BA is currently in a strong uptrend, testing significant resistance at $183.30. A breakout above this level could lead to further bullish momentum, while a failure may result in a pullback to key supports at $180.79 or $176.87. Traders should monitor volume and price action closely for confirmation at these levels.
BTC - Mind the GapVERY IMPORTANT: This is not a prediction in time. In fact, there's a 40-45% chance of one more high in BTC. But, what is pointed out here is the target, whether it turns around here completely or makes a new high.
You would be hard pressed to find a gap that hasn't filled since the inception of BTC futures. There's always a "This time is different" and I've heard every one of them since the inception of this contract.
Gaps are a place in time where the market became extremely imbalanced (assuming the market has adequate liquidity). The market is always looking to find balance, so even if the gap holds for hours or days, it commonly revisits that old price area. Traders like to say “all gaps fill,” but the timing can be erratic. If it takes too long, you might go broke before it closes.
It’s not a strategy by itself—context is everything. After the gap, I watch bar-by-bar follow-through. If momentum is strong, the gap might wait days or weeks to fill. If bars stall and reverse, the gap fill typically starts quickly. When the gap is left behind, it's only a matter of time.
As I said, it is not a strategy in and of itself, so you would be wise to overlay it with other market concepts and the narratives that affect the market you're trading.
One I left on the screen is the dashboard, which pulls over 100 signals from 14 indicators used in many trading systems. This metric sums to a bearish outlook (but it always will at the bottom of a downtrend too, so there is still no silver bullet).
The orange line is predicated on k-clustering, Fibonacci systems, price action patterns, trend rules.
The path is consistent with Elliott Wave Theory. There are other patterns that could develop, such as a prolonged B-wave (as a part of a larger 3-wave configuration rather than the 5 shown), a triangle. or some other pathing.
Timing is hard to predict because time is not a critical feature of price development. Prices and price derivatives are the critical features and from those we can derive levels and paths (patterns). So timing is hard because time is irrelevant to price progression.
...something you're probably not going to be taught anywhere.
Disney - Don't Miss This Reversal Now!Disney ( NYSE:DIS ) is about to retest strong support:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Even though Disney has been consolidating for about 10 years now, it is still providing bullish trading setups. Especially the current horizontal support has been holding Disney above water and it is more than likely that Disney will create another bullish reversal away from this level.
Levels to watch: $85
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
COTI/USDT 1W chart reviewHello everyone, let's look at the 1W COTI to USDT chart, in this situation we can see how the price was moving in a downtrend channel from which the upper one dynamically emerged, but now we have returned to the upper border of the channel which keeps the price from moving further.
After unfolding the Fib Retracement mesh, resistance can be seen at the following levels:
T1 = $0.137
T2 = $0.158
T3 = $0.173
T4 = $0.196
Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to decline:
SL1 = $0.111
SL2 = $0.088
SL3 = $0.07
Looking at the RSI indicator, we see
as it returned to the middle of the range where the upward trend had previously reversed.
Bitcoin - Playing around weak support#BTC/USDT #Analysis
Description
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+ Currently bitcoin is trading around its support zone of 95K and this is weak support which held and broke multiple times.
+ Strong resistance for bitcoin is around 92K, if bitcoin falls to this level, we can expect the support to hold.
+ I'm expecting a drop in price with a wick to touch 92K and bounce back immediately.
+ If bitcoin breaks below 92K then we can expect further crash to 80K level.
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Enhance, Trade, Grow
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Feel free to share your thoughts and insights. Don't forget to like and follow us for more trading ideas and discussions.
Best Regards,
VectorAlgo
KDA - Price has hit the floor#KDA/USDT #Analysis
Description
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+ KDA has experienced a significant downtrend, with the price hitting rock bottom.
+ It's seen a 98% correction from its previous all-time high (ATH).
+ We're now observing a slight bounce back from the support zone, indicating a potential reversal in the trend. This presents a good opportunity to go long and capture the reversal.
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VectorAlgo Trade Details
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Entry Price: 0.47818
Stop Loss: 0.35421
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Target 1: 0.64553
Target 2: 0.90276
Target 3: 1.75005
Target 4: 3.67304
Target 5: 5.56133
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Timeframe:1W
Capital Risk: 1-2% of trading amount
Leverage: 5-10x
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Enhance, Trade, Grow
---------------------------------------------------------------
Feel free to share your thoughts and insights.
Don't forget to like and follow us for more trading ideas and discussions.
Best Regards,
VectorAlgo
LINK/USDT 4h chart reviewHello everyone, let's look at the 4h LINK to USDT chart, in this situation we can see how the price is moving along the local upward trend line, but here we have bounced off the visible resistance at the levels:
T1 = $25.44
T2 = $26.71
T3 = $28.48
Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to decline:
SL1 = $23.70
SL2 = $22.29
SL3 = $21.29
SL4 = $19.75
Meta - The Final Resistance Breakout!Meta ( NASDAQ:META ) could actually break the resistance trendline:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
As we are speaking, Meta is actually retesting the major (and only) resistance trendline of the reverse triangle pattern. If we actually see the bullish breakout - which obviously has to then be confirmed - this triangle breakout could lead to an immediate rally of more than +40%.
Levels to watch: $650, $1.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Silver - Another Textbook Trade For 2025!Silver ( TVC:SILVER ) is again approaching strong support:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Silver has now been consolidating for more than 6 months and is slowly but steadily approaching the previous horizontal support. Another retest would perfectly match with the overall bullish trend, the rising channel formation, as well as the fact that Silver will soon catch up with Gold.
Levels to watch: $27.0, $34.0
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
MKR/USDT 4H Interval ChartHi everyone, let's look at the 4h MKR to USDT chart, in this situation we can see how the price has broken out of the uptrend line and the attempt to return above it has failed. Locally, a downtrend line is visible and the price remains below it. Currently, a correction is visible, but as the trend reverses, resistance levels are visible at the following levels:
T1 = 1708 USD
T2 = 1844 USD
T3 = 1955 USD
T4 = 2067 USD
T5 = 2225 USD
Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to fall:
SL1 = 1591 USD
SL2 = 1386 USD
SL3 = 1118 USD
On the RSI indicator, we can see how we have turned back after crossing the upper boundary and it can be seen that there is still room for the price to continue to fall.
Will XRP stay in the sideways trend channels?Hello everyone, I invite you to a quick review of the XRP to USDT chart on the 12H interval.
As we can see, the XRP price is moving in a sideways trend channel in which the price bounce did not effectively overcome the resistance at $ 2.27, the next resistance is at $ 2.47, but then we have visible resistance at $ 2.61, another strong resistance is at $ 2.78, and only when we have a positive exit from the channel, the price can get a strong upward impulse around the resistance at $ 3.29.
In a situation where the market will have a further reaction and the price will start to fall again, we have visible support at $ 2.22, then strong support at the lower limit of the channel at $ 1.94, however, if the price leaves the channel at the bottom, it may get a drop to around $ 1.72, and further, taking into account the height of the channel, there may be a price reversal to $ 1.39.
The RSI indicator has room for continued growth, but a lot depends on the behavior of BTC itself.
What's next for BTC? Will the correction go lower?Hello everyone, I invite you to review the situation of BTC, which has currently had a -15% price correction. This is a natural correction in the growth cycle, and what's more, much larger corrections at 20% or 30% levels often appeared in bull cycles.
Let's start with how the price moved in the local growth trend channel, in which we can see how dynamically we went down to the lower zone of the channel, which translated into a further drop in price reaching the support level at $ 91,712. In such a situation, it should be taken into account that very often leaving the channel gives a movement close to the channel height, which could cause the BTC price to drop to the support level at $ 84,072.
If the current rebound from the level of around $92,000 ends the current correction, however, here we see how the level of $95,004 poses effective resistance for the price, only when it is broken again will it go further to the area of $101,000, and then again move towards the strong resistance zone from $106,000 to $108,000. On the RSI, taking into account the 12H interval, we have a visible descent with crossing the lower limit, which in previous situations gave rise to renewed price increases.
DXY ANALYSISWe are focusing on the 4-hour time frame chart to analyze the potential moves and changes in DXY's price. Based on my bias, I am expecting a sell in the market today. Let's see what kind of opportunity the market provides. It is very important to get confirmation before taking a trade, so always wait for confirmation.
Always use stoploss for your trade.
Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio.
This is just my analysis or prediction.
#DXY 4H Technical Analyze Expected Move.
ETHBTC Is Sitting At Strong Monthly SupportETHBTC cross pair has been trading bearish for the last two years or so due to Bitcoin dominance, but now that Bitcoin dominance is slowing down and ALTcoin dominance kicking in, seems like we are in the ALTseason and ETHBTC pair may see a recovery soon.
ETHBTC chart can be actually still trading in a correction within uptrend. It’s right now sitting at interesting and strong support area when looking at the monthly chart. We have strong monthly trendline and impulsive five waves up, followed by a three-wave A-B-C correction into an important 67,8% Fibo retracement, which is a bullish pattern from technical and Elliott wave perspective. We are actually already in the ALTseason and if ETHBTC pair is really about to bounce and starts recovering soon, then ALTseason may resume and Ethereum can be one of the strongest.
PRICE ACTION MODULEIn this analysis we are focusing on 30M time frame for GOLD. According to my BIAS and my strategy I'm looking a buy trade opportunity. Let's wait and watch which opportunity market will give us.
Always use stoploss for your trade.
Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio.
This is just my analyze or prediction.
#XAUUSD M30 Technical Analyze Expected Move.
GBPCAD MODULEWe are focusing on the 4-hour time frame chart to analyze the potential moves and changes in GBP/CAD price. Based on my bias, I am expecting a sell in the market today. Let's see what kind of opportunity the market provides. It is very important to get confirmation before taking a trade, so always wait for confirmation.
Always use stoploss for your trade.
Always use proper money management and proper risk to reward ratio.
This is just my analysis or prediction.
#GBPCAD 4H Technical Analyze Expected Move.