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Supply and Demand

BTCUSDT 4h-8h long updatelast BTC idea was a succes check it out for reference. we managed to find good support on the SND after some bloody absorption which made me take a nice and easy 2rr trade. it might not seem much to some of you but this is how real trading goes. actual analysis, actual trading rules, actual entry criteria and a good amount of backtest data to back it up. this is what makes a profitable trader. I tried to look for a re-entry on the second SND touch but it didnt match my entry criteria so i sat on my hands. I'll be looking for new trades now since another big MB was formed which needs to be mitigated ofcourse.
by BreadFish
EURUSD Nearest Target: SHORT before LONGOn the 5-minute timeframe, we can see a Market Structure Shift (MSS) around 1.05126, and the imbalance (iFVG) at 1.05171 has already been filled. While the weekly timeframe bias remains bullish, targeting 1.05952, this is a quick short-term move, so it won’t take much time. That’s why I call it "SHORT before LONG." My target is at 1.04925, as there’s a high probability the price will bounce upwards from that level. That’s where I’ll set my take profit (TP).
Short
by ryananggara
Potential mid-to-short-term movements.Chart Overview And Daily Chart Context: The overall market is back in an uptrend, with a potential pullback after reaching $2,700. A Fibonacci retracement shows us potential buy zones for the continuation of the bullish move. Key Levels High: The recent swing high near $2,700 acts as a liquidity zone where buyers got exhausted, and sellers took temporary control. Mid-Range (Golden Zone): The Fibonacci 0.618 - 0.786 retracement levels suggest where price may retrace to before resuming its upward move. These levels, around $2,650, align with previous consolidation areas. The retracement into this discount area (lower half of the recent swing) aligns with smart money logic, buy at lower prices for a move back into premium levels. The market remains bullish in the mid-term as long as price doesn’t break below the 2,600 level, which is a key structural support zone. The retracement into the Golden Zone is a logical place to anticipate a higher low forming before a continuation to higher levels. Once the price finds support in the Fibonacci Golden Zone, the next logical movement would be a return toward the $2,700 liquidity zone. Wait for price to enter the 0.618–0.786 zone and confirm support through bullish price action on lower timeframes, you know I trade M1 mostly, so keep an eye in minds!! Trade safe!!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Med_In_Trade
XAU/USD 16 December 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price is clearly unable to target weak internal. This is due to the fact that Daily and Weekly Timeframe remain in bearish pullback phase. Price Action Analysis: Technically price is to target weak internal priced at 2,721.420. Price has sweeped liquidity, for two possible reasons. 1. To assist price to complete bearish pullback phase, react at either discount of internal 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high. 2. To assist Daily and H4 TF's to complete bearish pullback phase with price to print a bearish iBOS and target strong internal low priced at 2,536.855. Intraday Expectation: Intraday expectation and alternative scenario as per points 1 and 2. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price Action Analysis: Since last analysis dated 13 December 2024, price has printed a double bearish iBOS Bullish CHoCH has been printed, therefore, we are now trading within an established internal structure. Intraday Expectation: Price has tapped in to M15 supply zone. Technically price to target weak internal low priced at 2,643.595. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
XAUUSD - Gold went below $2700!Gold is below the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 1H time frame and is trading in its descending channel. If we maintain the drawn channel, we can witness the continuation of gold's decline and limited visibility of the bottom of the channel. Within the demand zone, we can buy with a suitable risk reward. In case of valid failure of the ceiling of the channel, it is possible to sell within the supply zones. Gold demonstrated a strong performance earlier last week, surging nearly $100 from its weekly low and sparking fresh optimism among traders. However, higher-than-expected inflation data and a stronger U.S. dollar reversed the market dynamics, putting renewed selling pressure on precious metals. The latest weekly Kitco survey revealed that industry analysts are evenly split between bullish and bearish views, with a notable portion of respondents adopting a neutral stance. Meanwhile, retail traders’ optimism for gold remained unchanged compared to the previous week. Marc Chandler, CEO of Bannockburn Global Forex, stated, “Gold saw an $85 rally in the first three days of the week, likely driven by reports of China’s central bank (PBOC) adding gold to its reserves for the first time in months. The metal reached $2,726 per ounce on the spot market on Thursday, marking its highest level in over a month, but then turned downward.” He further added, “Some analysts attributed the price decline to stronger-than-expected U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) data. Nonetheless, gold ended the week on a positive note, breaking its two-week losing streak.” Chandler also noted, “Since late October, this marks only the second positive week for gold. A cautious approach by the Federal Reserve to rate cuts—indicating that rates will be reduced but further cuts are unlikely next year, with a potential halt to tightening policies in early 2025—could pave the way for another test of the $2,600 level.” This week, the Federal Reserve is set to hold a two-day policy meeting, with monetary decisions expected to be announced on Wednesday. The central bank is anticipated to reduce the interest rate by 0.25%, bringing it to a range of 4.25%-4.5%. Additionally, the Fed will release its updated “Summary of Economic Projections,” known as the dot plot. In September, the median Fed officials’ projection for interest rates by the end of 2025 stood at 3.4%. If this forecast is revised down by more than 1%, the U.S. dollar could face immediate downward pressure. In such a scenario, U.S. Treasury yields may decline, boosting gold prices. Market participants will also closely monitor remarks by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. Should Powell strike a cautious tone regarding further monetary easing and emphasize a gradual approach, the dollar may maintain its strength against its rivals. Conversely, if he raises concerns about declining labor market conditions and their potential adverse impact on economic growth, the dollar could come under selling pressure. Additionally, on Thursday, the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis will release the final revision of Q3 GDP data, and on Friday, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index for November will be published. Market reactions to the PCE inflation report are likely to remain muted after the Fed’s announcement. According to Bloomberg, Wall Street is shifting its outlook on the U.S. dollar, as Trump’s policies and the Federal Reserve’s rate cuts in the latter half of 2025 could weigh on the greenback. Analysts from Morgan Stanley to JPMorgan predict that the global reserve currency will peak by mid-2025 and then begin to decline. Société Générale also forecasts a 6% drop in the U.S. Dollar Index by the end of next year.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by Ali_PSND
Bitcoin Dominance Analysis Update (12H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section The price reached the green zone and is now pumping. We anticipate the start of a drop and an alt-season from the upper red zone. Note that, in terms of price, we consider this area to be the peak of Bitcoin dominance. However, in terms of timing and the number of times this level is tested, there is no certainty. This means that when Bitcoin dominance reaches the upper red level, you can enter altcoins. However, altcoin fluctuations might increase, and it could take some time, as the market maker might cause some turbulence before the main move. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management Comment if you have any questions Thank You
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by behdark
1
Bitcoin: Bitcoin is still above 100,000 dollars!Bitcoin is above the EMA50 and EMA200 in the 4H time frame and is trading in its ascending channel. Risk On sentiment in the US stock market or investing in Bitcoin ETF funds will lead to its continued upward movement. which will cause the failure of the resistance zone(ATH) . After the authentic failure of this area, we will see Bitcoin reach the ceiling of the channel. Capital withdrawals from Bitcoin ETFs or risk OFF sentiment in the US stock market will pave the way for Bitcoin to decline. The target of this downward movement will be the level of 92 thousand dollars. It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. Last week, Bitcoin spot ETFs saw capital inflows on every single day, recording a total of $2.2 billion in investments.Similarly, Ethereum spot ETFs continued their strong performance from the previous two weeks, accumulating approximately $1 billion in inflows last week, which is a significant amount. Meanwhile, Microsoft shareholders voted against the proposal to add Bitcoin to the company’s balance sheet during its annual meeting on December 10. The resolution was introduced by the National Center for Public Policy Research (NCPPR), a free-market think tank based in Washington, D.C., which framed the proposal as a way to provide value to shareholders through profit diversification. However, the shareholders ultimately rejected it. Daniel Batten, an environmentalist and Bitcoin advocate, claimed that Alex de Vries’ “singular opinion” in 2018, as the founder of Digiconomist, was the foundation for all flawed studies on Bitcoin’s environmental impact. Batten argued that this misinformation has led to widespread misunderstandings among the public, investors, and policymakers, causing Bitcoin to be mistakenly seen as an environmental threat. However, newer studies suggest that many of these claims are incorrect, and Bitcoin could even have environmental benefits. He emphasized that Bitcoin’s energy consumption is not tied to the number of transactions and that the network can exponentially increase transaction volumes without raising emissions. Robert Kiyosaki, a Bitcoin investor, entrepreneur, and author of the bestselling book Rich Dad, Poor Dad, has once again predicted an imminent major crash and urged his followers to buy Bitcoin before it happens. In his recent tweet, Kiyosaki specifically addressed the Baby Boomer generation, to which he belongs, highlighting that Bitcoin is a new and confusing asset for many in that demographic. In his tweet, Kiyosaki wrote, “The biggest crash in history is coming. Please act early and get rich.” This warning came as Bitcoin surpassed the $100,000 mark for the first time in history. Earlier this year, Kiyosaki predicted that Bitcoin would reach $500,000 by 2025 and as much as $1 million by 2030, citing AI-based forecasts for his projections. The number of daily active crypto users has reached an all-time high of 18.7 million, a sharp increase from just 7.7 million at the beginning of 2024. A group of Amazon shareholders, led by the National Center for Public Policy Research (NCPPR), has suggested that Amazon invest at least 5% of its assets in Bitcoin. They argue that Bitcoin has outperformed most asset classes, including corporate bonds. Notably, MicroStrategy, a company that has integrated Bitcoin into its treasury management, has seen its stock outperform Amazon by a significant 537% over the past year. Meanwhile, BlackRock recently purchased an additional 3,910 Bitcoin, bringing its total holdings to approximately 535,000 Bitcoins, valued at $53 billion. As the world’s largest asset manager, BlackRock has shifted its focus to Bitcoin and Ethereum while delaying the launch of any new altcoin-based ETFs. The head of BlackRock’s ETF division stated that the company now aims to expand its existing Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs, given their stellar performance so far. Additionally, Michael Saylor, Executive Chairman of MicroStrategy, hinted at another Bitcoin purchase in a recent tweet. He wrote, “Does saylortracker miss a green dot?” This cryptic message appears to reference yet another significant Bitcoin acquisition by Saylor. Similar messages from him in the past have often preceded announcements of large Bitcoin purchases. For instance, Saylor has previously teased major Bitcoin buys through similar tweets, which were later confirmed. Nasdaq also announced that the largest Bitcoin-holding company will be added to the Nasdaq-100 index starting December 23.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Ali_PSND
NAS100 - Nasdaq, the only green index last week!The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. If the index corrects towards the demand zones, you can look for the next Nasdaq buy positions with the appropriate risk reward. The valid failure of the previous ATH will provide the conditions for the continuation of the rise of this index. The Economist predicts that as 2025 approaches, the U.S. economy is in a highly favorable position. It expects a soft economic landing in the upcoming year, meaning the U.S. will successfully reduce inflation to its 2% target without harming economic growth. While analysts previously forecasted a recession for the U.S., Washington now stands out as the only major economy whose output exceeds pre-pandemic trends. This year, the Nasdaq index has significantly outperformed other major U.S. stock market indices. The primary reason is the heavy weighting of tech stocks in the index. Technology stocks, particularly the “Big Seven” tech giants, have seen remarkable growth due to the AI revolution and market optimism.On the other hand, the Dow Jones index, which is more focused on industrial stocks, has lagged behind Nasdaq despite notable gains. The United States is preparing new restrictions on AI chips to block China’s indirect access to this technology. According to a report by The Wall Street Journal, these restrictions aim to prevent China from using hidden pathways to obtain AI chips. Sources familiar with the plan revealed that the U.S. intends to hold companies like Google and Microsoft accountable for managing access to advanced AI chips. The most significant economic event this week is the Federal Reserve’s final interest rate decision of 2024, set to be announced on Wednesday. Markets are already anticipating a 25-basis-point rate cut, but attention will focus on the Fed’s policy statement and Jerome Powell’s remarks during the press conference. Traders will look for clues about the Fed’s monetary policy outlook for the upcoming year. Additionally, the Bank of England will announce its interest rate decision on Thursday, which could have a global market impact. Key economic data on American consumer health will also be released this week. On Tuesday, the November retail sales report will provide fresh insights into consumer behavior during the holiday season. Moreover, on Friday, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index—a key inflation metric closely watched by the Fed—will be released, potentially clarifying the direction of future monetary policy. Other important economic data include the Empire State Manufacturing Survey and the S&P Global PMI leading index, both set for release on Monday. On Thursday, critical figures such as the final Q3 GDP growth rate, the Philadelphia Fed manufacturing survey, November existing home sales, and weekly jobless claims will also be published. Analysts expect the Fed to cut rates by 25 basis points this week, but the pace of rate cuts in 2025 is expected to be slow. Due to sticky inflation and some inflationary policies from Donald Trump, economists anticipate only three rate cuts in 2025. The U.S. dollar has performed impressively this year, supported by the country’s economic conditions. However, Morgan Stanley analysts, including David Adams, believe buying the dollar at this point may be a mistake, as there is a downside risk for the currency. Based on their discussions, many investors expect the dollar index to rise further. Morgan Stanley argues that positive news is already fully priced into the dollar and that markets may be overestimating the speed, scope, and impact of economic measures.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by Ali_PSND
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 12/16/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2024 - PR High: 21800.00 - PR Low: 21762.00 - NZ Spread: 85.0 Key scheduled economic events: 09:45 | S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI S&P Global Services PMI Contract rollover week - Holding auction at 21800 zone, near ATH - QQQ gap below 520 remains open Session Open Stats (As of 12:25 AM 12/16) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Session Gap 12/13 +0.42% (open < 21640) - Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272) - Session Open ATR: 263.61 - Volume: 18K - Open Int: 239K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -0.5% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 22096 - Mid: 20954 - Short: 19814 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQZ2024
by mv3trader5
US DOLLAR STILL STRONG BULLISHUS DOLLAR potentially continue it's strong bullish movement as several economic data released last week show us strong labor and inflation is still under control. This week we will face FED Meeting on 18 Dec and FED FUND FUTURES gives 96% number of lower rates (425-450 bps). In general, interest rate cut will give a weak movement for dollar. But, as a good trader, we must know that FED cut rate is a normalization that driven by optimism that inflation is under control and labor market remain strong. This is the reason why dollar still in a strong condition. Technically, dollar could go up to 109.6xx and i see 105.6xx as a invalid level for buyer to hold dollar. And please be careful for you who hold counter currency of dollar (AUDUSD, EURUSD, etc) in long position because those pairs still driven by strong bearish movement.
TVC:DXYLong
by vicariuzchrist