Alikze → BNB | Upward wave 5 scenario Upward wave 5 scenario Or The end of wave 4 of erosion correction
In the weekly time, the current corrective wave, which is a 4-erosive corrective wave, according to the break of the 250 range, seems to have ended and it can be shifted to the support of the $313 range. Therefore, according to the failure of the current supply area and the dynamic trigger of any correction up to the Fibo area of 1.618 and the range of $313, it can be a pullback to continue the upward path for the specified areas. If the behavior and structure of the post changes, it will be updated.
🟩Sup: 313 ~ 331
⛳️Tp 1:375 ~406
⛳️ Tp2 : 437 ~ 460
⛳️ Tp3 : 608 ~ 615
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Supply_and_demand
Copper Breaches Key Support but Tech & Fundamentals FavorableThe commodity has registered a notable pullback from last month’s record highs and has now moved below the pivotal EMA200 (black line) and 38.2% Fibonacci of this year’s advance. This pauses the bullish momentum and exposes Copper to the ascending trend line from the 2024 low and the daily Ichimoku Cloud.
However, this region could contain the correction and multiple roadblocks follow, making the downside unfriendly, while the RSI points to oversold conditions. As such, we expect Copper to find renewed vigor and push towards 5.000 and eventually new all-time highs (5.200), with the fundamentals also being supportive.
The improved supply-demand dynamics have driven this year’s rally and can fuel further strength. There may be some risks in the consumption outlook, mostly form China’s property sector and the slowdown in the pace of EV adoption, but consumption for the metal is set to increase due to the AI revolution and the clean energy transition. At the same time, things don’t look good on the supply side, with major miners slashing their output targets for the year.
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Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
BTC Range Bound on H1The potential reversal points for Bitcoin (BTC) within the specified ranges of $66,600-$67,200 and $70,100-$70,600 are critical levels to watch for traders. Here’s a detailed analysis based on current technical indicators and market sentiment:
Support Range ($66,600-$67,200):
Volume and Price Action: There is a noticeable increase in buy volume when Bitcoin approaches the $66,600 support level, indicating that buyers are stepping in at these lower prices to accumulate BTC. This accumulation can lead to a price reversal if sustained buying pressure continues.
Technical Indicators: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) often indicates oversold conditions when Bitcoin dips to this range, suggesting a potential upward correction. Additionally, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) oscillator shows a bullish divergence in this zone, which is a strong signal for a potential reversal.
Resistance Range ($70,100-$70,600):
Volume and Price Action: Bitcoin has faced significant selling pressure near the $70,100 to $70,600 range, making it a crucial resistance zone. The price tends to reverse from this level due to profit-taking by traders who bought at lower levels.
Candlestick Patterns: Bearish candlestick patterns, such as the bearish engulfing or doji, often form near this resistance level, indicating a potential price reversal. Monitoring these patterns can help in predicting short-term pullbacks.
Technical Indicators: The RSI and Stochastic oscillators often show overbought conditions when BTC reaches this range, signaling that a correction may be imminent. Furthermore, the moving averages (e.g., 50-period and 200-period EMAs) can act as dynamic resistance, reinforcing the likelihood of a reversal at these levels.
Potential Trading Strategy
For Long Positions: Traders might consider entering long positions if BTC shows strong support and bullish confirmation signals within the $66,600-$67,200 range. Setting stop-loss orders slightly below $66,600 can manage risk effectively.
For Short Positions: Conversely, entering short positions around the $70,100-$70,600 range can be prudent if bearish signals and resistance confirmation are observed. Stop-loss orders just above $70,600 can protect against unexpected bullish breakouts.
Conclusion
Monitoring these key levels, along with volume and technical indicators, can provide a strategic edge in anticipating potential reversals in Bitcoin’s price. Keeping an eye on market sentiment and broader economic factors will also enhance decision-making in trading BTC within these range
Alikze => IOTX | Pullback to broken supply areaIn the previous post, it was mentioned about the movement of the currency in the weekly time. In this post, it is moving in a medium-term ascending channel in daily time. After the high strength failure of the supply area, pullback to the broken structure is currently being completed. Therefore, it is expected that this pool will be completed in the green box area, and in the first phase, it will be supplied to the next area, and after its failure, it will be able to grow to the next area. If the behavior and structure of the post changes, it will be updated.
🟩Sup: 0.04880
⛳️Tp 1:0.07940 ~ 0.08550
⛳️ Tp2 : 0.14045 ~ 0.15067
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Sell EURUSD Channel BreakoutThe EUR/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.0850, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.0819
2nd Support – 1.0805
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.0885 This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Thank you.
AUDUSD. Medium-term and short-term forecastHello traders and investors!
I'll share the forecast I made in mid-March.
On the weekly chart, there's a sideways movement, with a bullish vector 5-6 targeting 0.69205.
On the daily chart, we also see a sideways movement, with a bullish vector 7-8 targeting 0.66345, 0.66676.
I'm awaiting price interaction with the daily targets to update the forecast.
For a more detailed explanation of how to read charts and consider different timeframes when looking for trades, you can refer to the article
Alikze »» Link | Support on the major ceiling💎 In the daily and weekly time, it is moving in an ascending channel, which is currently suffering after breaking the channel on the ceiling of the previous wave channel that broke.
💎 If this three-wave corrective movement ends in the green box area, I expect it to move towards the next target of the supply zone specified in the chart.
💎 The first scenario : in the corrective microwaves of these three waves, the last log seems to have finished the correction and the probable scenario is the completion of this correction in the support zone, which we must witness the continuation of the trend.
🔔 The second scenario : In addition, if it penetrates the green subbox, the next alternative scenario can be imagined for it.
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Sell GBPCAD Bearish ChannelThe GBP/CAD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a well-defined channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Poin ts:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.7405, positioned close to the top of Channel. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.7373
2nd Support – 1.7352
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.7425 This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Thank you.
Sell AUDCAD Symmetrical TriangleThe AUD/CAD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position below The Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 0.9070.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 0.9028
2nd Support – 0.9007
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 0.9090. This helps limit potential losses if the price falls back unexpectedly.
Bearish Breakdown:
Triangle Breakout Retest: The price action recently broke above a bullish triangle, indicating a potential uptrend. However, it has now returned to retest the broken resistance line of the triangle. This retest often precedes a reversal.
Ichimoku Cloud Resistance: The price is currently hovering near the Ichimoku cloud, which can act as a resistance zone. A rejection from this area could further strengthen the bearish case.
Thank you.
Buy USDCHF Triangle BreakoutThe USD/CHF pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position Above The Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 0.9150
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 0.9178
2nd Resistance – 0.9191
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below 0.9125. This helps limit potential losses if the price falls back unexpectedly.
Opportunity Breakdown:
Triangle Breakout: Price action recently broke above a bullish triangle, a continuation pattern suggesting further upside potential.
Retest Confirmation: The price has retested the broken resistance line of the triangle and held, indicating strong buying pressure. This retest adds confidence to the breakout.
Ichimoku Cloud Support: The current price sits comfortably above the Ichimoku cloud, a technical indicator that often signals bullish momentum when the price is above the cloud.
Thank you.
Buy GBPAUD Triangle BreakoutThe GBP/AUD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position Above The Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 1.9235.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 1.9334
2nd Resistance – 1.9400
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below 1.9180. This helps limit potential losses if the price falls back unexpectedly.
Opportunity Breakdown:
Triangle Breakout: Price action recently broke above a bullish triangle, a continuation pattern suggesting further upside potential.
Retest Confirmation: The price has retested the broken resistance line of the triangle and held, indicating strong buying pressure. This retest adds confidence to the breakout.
Ichimoku Cloud Support: The current price sits comfortably above the Ichimoku cloud, a technical indicator that often signals bullish momentum when the price is above the cloud.
Thank you.
Alikze »» MANA | Ready to retest the resistance zoneIn the last two posts, the Mana currency experienced a growth up to the specified area. After making a head and shoulder pattern in the roof of the channel, it faced a correction, which continued until the 36 cent area.
💎 Currently, due to the candle that has broken the support zone, it has become a stubborn resistance.
💎 Therefore, I expect that considering that a double bottom is currently formed with a retest of the area and with the support of the 39 cents range, it can attack again to break it, that this attack can continue up to the midline of the channel and then it can reach the ceiling. Continue the growth channel.
💎 Alternate scenario: If it loses the range of 39 cents and stabilizes below it, the next scenario can be substituted for it, which can extend to the green box area.
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LINKUSDT | MT Long H4 | Chainlink's Supply-Demand ZonePair: HTX:LINKUSDT
Timeframe: H4 - Medium Term (MT)
Direction: Long
Technical Confluences for Trade:
- Price have bounced off 61.8% Fibo retracement levels
- Price action is within two different parallel channels; 1 acts as a bottom channel support and the other is within a supply-demand zone channel
- Aiming for the 32.8% Fibo Retracement with 23.6% as the TP 1 level
Fundamental Confluences for Trade:
- Chainlink's progress has been remarkable and their latest application, Transporter allows users to move crypto assets and data across multiple networks.
- Further escalation of war risk may see risk assets get affected
Suggested Trade:
Entry @ Area of Interest 12.90 - 13.50
SL @ 11.59
TP 1 @ 14.48 (Close Half-Position & move SL to Entry level once TP1 is achieved)
TP 2 @ 16.03
Risk-to-Reward @ Approx. 2.26 (Depending on Entry Level)
May the pips move in our favor! Good luck! :D
*This trade suggestion is provided on an advisory basis. Any trade decisions made based on this suggestion is a personal decision and am not responsible for any losses derived from it.
EURGBP | Short H4 | Market Exec | Still Betting Against the EURTechnical Confluences for Trade:
- Stochastics are in Overbought Conditions on H4 and H1 time-frames
- Price action has multiple resistance from trendlines & also a horizontal trendline (supply zone)
Fundamental Confluences for Trade:
- Nothing much can dictate the movement of this FX pair as they are heavily trade-related like the AUDNZD. Any major movement will come from supply-demand areas, monetary policies or economic data gyrations.
Suggested Trade:
Entry @ Area of Interest 0.8590 - 0.8620
SL @ 0.8643
TP 1 @ 0.8562 (Close Half-Position & move SL to Entry level once TP1 is achieved)
TP 2 @ 0.8522
Risk-to-Reward @ Approx. 1.73 (Depending on Entry Level)
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Alikze »» LPT | Pullback to broken structureAccording to the previous analysis that was reviewed in 1H time, after the correction to the support box, the demand was met, and the target touched the ceiling of the channel after the correction.
💎But currently, in 1H time, after hitting the ceiling of the channel, it is being corrected, and this correction can extend to the green box, in case of renewed support, it will face demand and touch the supply range target.
💎 Alternative scenario. If this rapid correction is extended to the green box, it will be possible to break it up to the range of 15.63.
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Alikze »» RUNE | Demand area supportIn the continuation of the daily time frame analysis, after the break of the trigger line and pullback to the broken structure, RUNE had a growth in accordance with the movement path, which again showed a positive reaction to this trigger line after correction.
💎 But in the 12H time frame, due to the momentum and upward guard and support in the green box, it can continue to grow after filling the FVG gap and breaking the trigger line up to the supply range and neck line.
💎 Therefore, in the first scenario: a possible scenario with support in the green box, we should see the FVG gap fill and climb up to the trigger line, which can continue this growth after its failure until the supply range.
💎 Second scenario: in case of weakness in the continuation of the trend and loss of the green box area, this correction can continue until 3.13.
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EURUSD. Trading opportunityToday I will analyze the asset on several time frames (1M, 1W, 1D, 4H) to find out where it is advisable to buy and where it is advisable to sell.
On the monthly timeframe , there is a bearish trend. The last bearish impulse started from the price of 1.25557. The price has touched the 50% level (1.10458) of the last bearish impulse several times. So far, I don't see a good resumption of the seller.
On the weekly timeframe , the price has formed a sideways range around the 1.10458 level (50% of the monthly bearish impulse). The bearish vector 5-6 has met the mandatory target (see the related idea for more details). Currently, the relevant buyer's vector is 6-7 with a potential target of 1.11393.
On the daily timeframe , there is a bearish trend. The last bearish impulse started from the price of 1.09812. The price has consolidated above the 50% level of the last bearish impulse (1.07912). So far, we haven't seen a resumption of the seller.
On the 4-hour timeframe , there is a bullish trend. The last buyer's impulse started from the price of 1.08129. The price dropped into the discount zone (below the 50% level of the last impulse - 1.08539). The buyer showed a good resumption (result, spread, volume) from the key candle of the impulse (marked "KC" on the chart).
Thus, on the monthly and daily timeframes, there is a bearish trend, with the price on both timeframes corrected to the 50% level, and no strong seller is observed at these levels. On the weekly timeframe, there is a sideways range with the relevant buyer's vector, and on the 4-hour timeframe, there is a buyer's trend. Based on this, in my opinion, it is now more appropriate to look for buying opportunities .
To understand where to look for buying opportunities, let's consider the lower timeframes: 90M, 15M, 3M.
On the 90-minute timeframe , the price has formed a sideways range. The mandatory target of the seller's vector 6-7 has been reached. The relevant buyer's vector is 7-8 with a potential target of 1.08785. The lower boundary of the sideways range is 1.08356. The upper boundary of the sideways range is 1.08828.
On the 15-minute timeframe , there is a bullish trend. The last buyer's impulse started from the price of 1.0846. The price has not yet interacted with the 50% level of the impulse (1.08623). At the base of the impulse, a buyer's zone has formed (blue rectangle on the chart) with the upper boundary at 1.08564.
On the 3-minute timeframe , the price has formed a sideways range. The seller's vector 9-10 has reached the mandatory target and touched the lower boundary of the sideways range at 1.08651 (point 6 of the sideways range). Below 1.08651, I assume there is seller's liquidity that the buyer might collect. Meanwhile, the 50% level of the buyer's impulse on the 15-minute timeframe is slightly lower - 1.08623.
It is appropriate to look for buying opportunities :
On the 4-hour timeframe from the buyer's defense of 1.08129.
On the 90-minute timeframe from the buyer's defense of 1.08356.
On the 15-minute timeframe from the buyer's defense of 1.08623 or from the resumption of the buyer from the zone (1.0846 - 1.08564).
On the 3-minute timeframe from the buyer's defense of 1.08651.
All long positions should be monitored closely or set with minimal targets due to the bearish trend on the daily timeframe.
It is appropriate to look for selling opportunities :
On the daily timeframe from the levels of 1.09425 or 1.09812.
On the weekly timeframe from the level of 1.11393.
Alikze → LINA | Pullback is broken into the swingtime D1 and W1, after supporting in the green box area and breaking the swing and pullback, it is now ready to continue growing and has the ability to move to the specified areas. The most important resistance in the weekly time is the range of 0.012210, the breaking of which and its high stabilization will continue the upward trend until the area of the weekly supply zone.
🟩Sup:0.009155
⛳️Tp 1:0.012210
⛳️ Tp2 :0.012980 - 0.013730
⛳️ Tp3 :0.027460 - 0.030520
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Alikze »» KSM |Upward wave 5 scenarioAccording to the analysis of the previous post, both targets are touched with the support of $40. Again, after touching the bottom of the channel, there is a demand that will be able to break this supply area to the $59 range. But in the daily and weekly time, it is in the 5th rising wave, which will at least have the ability to reach the previous supply range or the previous major ceiling. After completing this cycle in the weekly time, if the $100 area is broken, its path will be paved to the $250 area to continue climbing.
🟩Sup:50
⛳️Tp 1:59
⛳️ Tp2 : 64
⛳️ Tp3 :81- 87
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Alikze → ETC | Completing wave B correctiveIn time D1, with an ascent in the form of three waves, it is out of density with several spike candles. According to the type of behavior and structure, if the current correction moves in the form of three waves, two scenarios can be considered for it.
The first scenario: the upward corrective movement will continue to the $28 area and then to the $25 area as a higher correction and will not touch the previous floor, which, if supported, will have the ability to grow to the specified area of the supply zone.
Second scenario: the correction to $28 continues and then the C wave correction should break the $25 area and at least the bottom of the spike candle will continue.
🟩Sup:25$
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Alikze »» LPT | Ready to correct up to the support zoneIn time 1h, it is moving in an ascending channel, which is currently in the specified supply area, and has tried to break the range twice.
According to the structure, it can have a correction up to the green box area.
💎 In addition, if it meets the demand and can break the area, it can continue the route to the roof of the channel.
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AUD-USDThe audusd pair creates a resistance level at 0.66500. The market touched this zone three times.This resistance is very important because last three to four times price stop it's bullish momentum and moved down side towards the support area. if the market holds this resistance level then the market again goes to downward levels.