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S&P500 AND NAS100 SHORT TERM SELL (SMS)The weekly bias was on a bullish condition as of last week but still expect short term trends on s&p500/us100 so as price rebounds back to bullish bias after stop hunts have beein driven out, On LTF i would expect short sells by Monday order flow and a great rebound to the upside for the all week unless news events take effect on the market Note: Last Friday News release had a bigger impact on the market as we wait for the price to neutralize and gain momentum to the upside or below after short sells on stop hunt and reverses to the upside
OANDA:SPX500USD
by UnknownUnicorn35651725
EURJPY: Time For A Correction ✅Most XXXJPY pairs are well overdue a correction, this does not mean they will turn bearish, it simply means a correction is needed to gather more liquidity before shooting off again. Ideally, I would like to locate sells from the daily established supply. However, I won't rule out the possibility of a final liquidity sweep above the high before sellers enter. Alerts have been set and the team will be notified when the time is right. Traders, if you have your own opinion about this idea, write in the comments section, I always reply. 💬 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Please like, subscribe, and share this idea with others! ⬇️ --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
by AlkalineFX
18
EURJPY - Swing Sells ⬇️Price aggressively pushed away from the key round psychological number of 140 and created a head and shoulders formation. The majority of traders who missed the breakout will have attempted a sell at the EQH's - they have now been liquidated. The only liquidity that remains is the sellers with stops above the right shoulder. I am observing price action around this area, depending on the daily close I may initiate a swing sell. Hopefully, you enjoyed this analysis, give it a thumbs up 🧠
Short
by AlkalineFX
17
Most Visited Price by RuckSackEarly phase testing for our latest script, known as RS_MVP which highlights the Most Visited Price level in a specified range. Different to a standard support/resistance indicator in that it targets the most visited price where orders have been executed. Doing so allows traders to visually see what price has the most potential orders which can help with entries as much as with stop loss placement. You can see in this example how the price cluster leads to a trigger point. With the Most Visited Price being neither at a traditional support or resistance level, but markedly the following price action comes down to test the MVP several times. This gives potential entry opportunities, but also a useful tool for stop loss placements. We're going to explore this latter option more as we continue to build out this indicator, as many traders are looking for ways of avoiding unwanted stop hunts. more @ traders-rucksack.co.uk
Education
by RuckSack
Bullish GBP/USD Trade Prediction and AnalysisOn May 9th we see price run below the low of May 6th and then quickly reverses back above the low (the stop hunt). Price then breaks market structure to the upside, as indicated on the chart by the grey arrow pointing to the right. If you read my previous post, then you are aware of what we are looking for as institutional traders once we see this type of price action, if you didn't you can read my previous post via the "Related Ideas" section at the end of this post. Institutional traders directly highlight the bullish candle which initiated the stop hunt beneath the low of May 6th. This is our 1H bullish ICT breaker block and it is represented by the dark blue rectangle on the chart. Notice how price is currently accumulating within the breaker block (the calm before the storm). My entry was taken just below the equal lows of the May 10th 06:00 (UTC-4) candle and the May 9th 10:00 (UTC-4) candle. I placed my entry here because I expected price to stop hunt the sell side liquidity below these equal lows (this stop hunt is shown by the higher white line). Notice how the candle I entered on trades below the white line and then reverses, closing above it. This is the exact same phenomenon which occurred on May 9th and can be seen more clearly on a lower timeframe. My stop loss is placed below the close of the 1H +OB (represented by the light blue rectangle) giving the trade sufficient room to breathe. My target is placed above the current high of the week (represented by the lower green line) at the start of the imbalance formed on May 5th (represented by the upper green line). The trade is framed on the weekly bullish order block equilibrium level. Price doesn't quite reach this level but given the market is currently trading within the 1W +OB the trade is still valid. The market could trade as far as the 1D -BB level represented on the chart by the red line before we see any selling return. Note that GBP/USD is currently in a long-term downtrend and as such this is a counter-trend trade. Price could easily fall beneath the lows of May 9th and continue its downward trend. As traders, all we can do is follow our rules, buy and sell at levels which make sense and let the market handle the rest. If this trade loses I will not be bothered or angry because no system is perfect. A wise man called Mark Douglas once said "the trades we lose are the expenses we pay in order to be available for the trades that win," or something like that haha. The point is there will be losers and winners, as long as your winners pay more than your losing trades take away, you can make it in this business. Thank you for reading and may the markets be with you.
Long
by CorpusFX
GBP/USD Bullish Breaker Block Trade AnalysisIn my last publication I discussed the bearish breaker block so I thought it only appropriate to follow up with an analysis of a trade taken using the bullish breaker block. This is a similar setup to the one I last discussed on EUR/USD, except that it was bullish and on the lower 15m timeframe. Do not be fooled however, this trade was taken with a higher timeframe level in mind. This level was the equilibrium of the 1W bullish order block shown in the chart image below. These higher timeframe levels are very reliable since institutions trade off of them. Furthermore, given that GBP/USD has been in a longterm downtrend, I am only interested in taking bullish setups which form at higher timeframe levels i.e levels on the 1M, 1W and the 1D. On April 13th the market runs below the low of April 8th and then quickly returns above the low, back into the range (the stop hunt), but why does this price action occur? In and around this April 8th low lies sell side liquidity in the form of market orders to sell GBP/USD whenever price gets in and around this level. Breakout traders who would have sold the pair once the April 8th low was broken in hope of a breakout and traders who would be taking profits after shorting the pair at higher prices all have market sell orders at this level. Banks need all of this liquidity in order to pair with their huge buy orders, hence why the market "sweeps" the liquidity below the April 8th low and then turns bullish. Once price runs the low and returns into the range we look for the bullish candle which initiated the stop hunt below the low, this is the green candle before the bearish momentum, as seen on the chart. This is our ICT bullish breaker and it is represented by the blue rectangle in the chart. To trade it we wait until price breaks convincingly above its high, personally I wait for a break in market structure (BMS), and then entry is made on a retest of the breaker block's open. Note that the high of the breaker can also be used, however, using the open price allows for a smaller stop loss. Since this breaker was so small I used its high as my entry and my stop loss was placed below the low of the 15m order block. My stop loss was placed here because price should not violate this level if banks are seeking higher prices, if this level is violated then all interest in longs are lost and I accept my loss and remain on the sidelines. Additionally, I didn't place my stop loss directly below the low of the bullish breaker because this is a smaller timeframe and the stop loss would have been too small for my liking. Personally, I like to give my trades the necessary room to breathe, allowing for some movement against my entry. My target was the first buy side liquidity (bsl) area where banks will take profit by selling their longs. I have also outlined a 2nd buy side liquidity area which can be seen clearer on the chart if you scroll to the left. This post in combination with my previous one provides a complete guide on trading ICT breaker blocks. Thanks for reading and may the markets be with you.
Long
by CorpusFX
ES have some migration left to the downside??1w- Range broke bullish ( 1BOS) into Range LG Creating (2) buyside UOB's 4HR-(2) Buyers OB's Pushed PA Down into BOS tapping the highs of previous LL Range, and testing Recent OB, creating equal lows in 4hr TOB 4HR in range liquidity top and bottom 1HR quick LG to 1hr TOB Creating Range equal Highs and lows, with Liquidity sitting on both sides, 4375 has 1hr UOB Current Price 4389 1HR is below 4hr Bullish CHoCH on 1hr chart if it breaks 4440 and LG, look for down move to 4365.25 to collect unmigrated liquidity. before making move back up to 4560. Gloss BOS - Break of Structure LG - Liquidity Grab ( Stop Hunt) OB- Order Block UOB - Untested Order Block TOB - Tested Order Block PA - Price Action LL - Lower Low CHoCH- Change of Character
CME_MINI:ES1!
by quantumiam
GBPJPY: Liquidity Run 🚴I expected price to collapse after the liquidity run but it seems like new equal highs have been created to trap more sellers. Because of this new formation, I will be waiting to see if price wants to go higher into the next supply zone before considering sells. Traders, if you have your own opinion about this idea, write in the comments section, I always reply. 💬 🚨 RISK DISCLAIMER: Trading Crypto, Futures, Forex, CFDs, and Stocks involves a risk of loss. Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always limit your leverage and use a tight stop loss. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Please like, subscribe, and share this idea with others! ⬇️ --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Short
by AlkalineFX
24
We lost 4,6% in 20 minutes, like I said ! - BTCUSDT ANALYSISHere we are again, like said in the past analysis (attached to this one) we can see the stop hunt pattern. We lost 4,6% in approximatly 20 minutes and all of it due to the stop hunt pattern. However it don't seems to be a flush to my eyes (for the moment at least) so this mean that there will be opportunities to enter on the support. And it's not finished too ... Like I said I target the yellow area to consider the movement like a proper spring of Wyckoff accumulation pattern (lower it is in the area better it is). But we just entered on a closer area which can do the job also (red one). Like I already explained, it's hard to determinate ths SC point, because there is this big flush on the 4th december which hide it in an exaggeration of market. However if the red one had to do the job we will see it directly in the next hours with huge buying volume, but I don't think so and my vision is always to aim the yellow area. There could be a good conjuncture between the broken resistance of the down channel and this area also (we didn't reinstate into the channel so it's always a support). Also, even if we go lower than the yellow area, don't forget that we are on support until $39,500 and we are not in bear market until $28,200. It's an hard moment for some beginners where emotions are roughed up. But it's also the moment where you win most of your momey .... by not losing it . So don't worry, be happy, be patient for opportunities and like always, only one advice to give : "Making money in trading is math and respect of strategy, so never let your emotions guide you in uncomfortable positions" . PS : Apologize for my english, I do my best. Don't forget to like, follow or even comment if you like, it give me some strength to continue !
by Kentg
10