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Redington looking red hot. Redington Ltd. provision of machinery, equipment and supplies. It includes computers, computer peripheral equipment, software, electronic, and telecommunications equipment and parts. It operates through the India, and Overseas segments. Redington Ltd. CMP is 193.37. The Negative aspects of the company are MFs decreased their shareholding last quarter. The positive aspects of the company are Attractive Valuation (P.E. = 12.5), Company with Low Debt, Company with Zero Promoter Pledge, Dividend yield greater than sector dividend yield, High Volume, High Gain and Stocks Outperforming their Industry Price Change in the Quarter. Entry can be taken after closing above 199 Targets in the stock will be 204, 212 and 220. The long-term target in the stock will be 225 and 236. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 180 or 169. depending upon your risk taking ability. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:REDINGTONLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
The Big Exit | How One Auditor Walked Away from Super MicroThe Governance Shortfall: Inside Super Micro’s Auditor Crisis On Wednesday, shares of the high performance server and storage solutions provider faced renewed selling pressure after the unexpected resignation of its audit firm, Ernst & Young LLP(EY) In July 2024, EY alerted the Audit Committee about several concerns related to governance, transparency, internal controls, and the risk of delayed filing of the company's annual report. In response, the Board formed an independent Special Committee to investigate these matters, engaging Cooley LLP and forensic accounting firm Secretariat Advisors, LLC. Although EY and the Board received preliminary updates on the investigation, the final conclusions have not yet been shared. The ongoing review raised doubts for EY regarding the company’s adherence to the COSO Framework principles for internal controls. EY questioned the company’s commitment to integrity, the independence of the Audit Committee, and the reliability of management’s and the Audit Committee's representations. In its resignation letter, EY expressed its inability to rely on these representations or be associated with the company's financial statements, citing legal and professional obligations. Despite the developments, Super Micro has indicated no expected changes to previously issued financial statements. The company plans to provide a Q1/FY2025 business update next week. However, it’s surprising that management didn’t include preliminary Q1 results in Wednesday's announcement, which could have mitigated the negative impact on its stock. Super Micro is nearing a Nasdaq deadline to either regain compliance with listing requirements or submit a plan. With the auditor’s unexpected departure, it may be difficult for the company to present a viable plan, raising the risk of a near-term delisting. This resignation comes at a critical time for Super Micro, as its rapid growth requires substantial working capital. Based on management’s projections, FY2025 cash needs could reach up to $3 billion, likely necessitating additional capital early next year. However, raising funds without audited financials could be challenging, potentially forcing Super Micro to relinquish market share to competitors like Dell Technologies or Hewlett Packard Enterprise. In my view, EY’s departure increases the likelihood of a prolonged accounting review, which could hinder Super Micro’s ability to secure funding for anticipated growth. Therefore, it is crucial for the company to report strong preliminary Q1/FY2025 results and present a positive outlook next week. Super Micro Computer’s troubles continue, as its auditor resigned due to concerns over management’s integrity and the Audit Committee's independence. This situation makes it unlikely for the company to achieve compliance with Nasdaq requirements soon, raising the potential for a near-term delisting. With a need to re-enter the capital markets in early 2025, audited financials remain essential. A failure to secure funding could result in significant market share loss to major competitors like Dell Technologies and Hewlett Packard Enterprise. Given these challenges, the increased risk of prolonged financial review, and a likely near-term delisting, I am reaffirming my "Sell" rating on Super Micro Computer's common shares.
NASDAQ:SMCIShort
by moonypto
2
META can turn bearish if it fails to break this Channel.Our previous call on Meta Platforms (META) was on July 26 (see chart below), almost 4 months ago when we gave a strong long-term buy signal on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line): Despite the excellent timing of the call, we has seen in the past 30 days that the price action has diverged from the model and the current Bullish Leg of the Channel Up isn't as strong as the previous two inside a 2 year span that each rose by +95%. The price has instead turned sideways, mimicking the price action of the two Accumulation Phases that emerged after each of the Bullish Legs topped. The 1D RSI being on a Bearish Divergence (Channel Down already) technically agrees with that, so if you followed our July buy call, it might be best to book the handsome profit now and wait. What to wait for? Well it all depends on a new pattern that has emerged, a Diverging Channel Up (dashed trend-lines). As long as the price is trading inside it, there is greater probability to give us a lower buy entry near the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) again. In that case we will take it and target the top of the Diverging Channel Up at $660. In the event that the price breaks above the Diverging Channel Up, we will buy the bullish break-out and pursuit the previous $800 Target as that would mean that the original 2-year Channel Up remains the underlying pattern dictating the long-term movement of the stock. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:METALong
by TradingShot
BABA | A trillion dollar criticismChinese tech titan Jack Ma had been having it rough ever since his criticism of Beijing triggered a backlash on his companies and wealth but a recent development may change the tide. On Friday, China's central bank announced a fine of 7.12 billion yuan, or $985 million, for Ant Group the fintech giant co-founded by Ma that operates the Alipay payments app signaling that its years-long regulatory crackdown is ending. But the years-long crackdown has taken a heavy toll on Ma's wealth and the market valuations of the companies he holds stakes in. Alibaba the flagship company he cofounded saw a 45%, or $620 billion, drop in market value since shares hit their peak in 2020, per Bloomberg's calculations on Sunday. Ant Group is now valued at around $78.5 billion marking a steep 75% discount to its valuation of $315 billion in a scuttled IPO before Beijing's regulatory crackdown in 2020. The collective $850 billion wipe out in Alibaba and Ant's valuations has sent Ma's net worth plunging from about $61 billion in October 2020 to $34.1 billion as of Monday On a personal level, Ma has also been lying low for more than two years.Ma angered Chinese authorities after giving a speech in October 2020 in which he criticized China's financial regulatory system and claimed Chinese banks were operating with a "pawnshop" mentality. His words prompted intense regulatory scrutiny of his businesses including Alibaba and Ant and a wider crackdown on tech firms in China. In January, he was spotted in Bangkok, where he visited a Michelin-starred street-food restaurant and watched a Muay Thai fight. He also popped up in Hong Kong in the same month. In March, Ma returned to a school he founded in his hometown of Hangzhou in eastern China. In April, he was appointed an honorary professor at the University of Hong Kong. In May, Ma took up a teaching position in Japan, one of the first public roles he has assumed since disappearing from the spotlight in 2020. Last month, Ma attended the Alibaba Global Mathematics Competition finals in Hangzhou, where Alibaba is based. Alibaba shares in Hong Kong were up 3% at 86.90 Hong Kong dollars apiece at midday, buoyed by news of the fine. The company's shares in New York closed 8.1% higher at $90.55 apiece on Friday.
NYSE:BABA
by moonypto
2
AMAZON Minor pull-back and then off to $240.Amazon Inc. (AMZN) has been following our bullish signal within the Channel Up we indicated on August 23 (see chart below) very accurately and is halfway through to our $240.00 long-term Target: This is also confirmed on the lower time-frames, namely the 1D on this chart, where the stock can be seen trading within a Channel Up and having started its most recent rebound on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). The first Bullish Leg of the Channel Up, pulled-back to the 1D MA50 (and Fib 1.0) after approaching the 1.382 Fibonacci extension level and then rebounded aggressively to hit (and even break) the 2.0 Fibonacci extension. Even the 1D CCI sequences between the two fractals are quite similar. As a result, we don't dismiss the possibility of a 1D MA50 pull-back but that will be another buy opportunity on Amazon's way to $240.00. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:AMZN
by TradingShot
3
TCI EXPRESS Massive Short Trade Caught on RisologicalTechnical Analysis: TCI Express (15-Minute Timeframe) The chart demonstrates a highly successful short trade on TCI Express, with a stellar 12% decline captured within just five trading days. Here's a breakdown of the technical scenario: Trade Overview Stock: TCI Express Timeframe: 15-Minute Entry Price: ₹986 (on 7th November) Current Market Price: ₹867 Price Movement: -₹119 (-12%) in approximately 5 days. Trend Confirmation: The chart showcases a well-defined downtrend with consistent lower highs and lower lows. This structure highlights strong bearish momentum. Indicators in Action: The visible red bands represent a dynamic resistance zone (Risological Trading Indicator). The price has consistently respected these resistance levels, confirming the strength of the sell-off. Volume Support: The volume aligns with the price action, increasing volume during the breakdown reinforced the bearish sentiment. Momentum Breakdown: The significant gap and subsequent bearish continuation patterns suggest that sellers are in complete control, with no signs of reversal yet. The tight clustering of the Risological resistance bands further validates the ongoing strength of the downtrend. Performance This short trade has outperformed expectations by delivering a 12% return in just five days, underscoring the precision of the entry at ₹986. Such rapid declines in a short timeframe highlight the effectiveness of the technical analysis and adherence to trend-following strategies. Outlook Support Zone: The price may find psychological support near ₹850, where traders should watch for potential profit booking or consolidation. Next Levels to Watch : A break below ₹850 could trigger further downside, targeting ₹820 or lower. Reversal Triggers: Reversal signals, such as a strong bullish engulfing pattern or price closing above the resistance bands, could indicate an exit point. Key Takeaway This short trade exemplifies disciplined execution, leveraging technical indicators and market momentum to achieve remarkable gains in a short timeframe. With the stock still in a robust downtrend, traders should continue monitoring for trailing stop adjustments to maximize profits while managing risk effectively.
NSE:TCIEXPShort
by ProfitsNinja
Nitin Spinners can spin profitNitin Spinners Ltd. engages in the manufacture of cotton yarn and knitted fabric. Its products include apparels and garments, under garments, terry towels, woven fabrics, home furnishings, carpets, denim, industrial textiles, medical textiles and socks. It operates under the Within India and Outside India geographical segments. Nitin Spinners Ltd. CMP is 409.95. The positive aspects of the company are Attractive Valuation (P.E. = 14.9), Company with Zero Promoter Pledge, FII / FPI or Institutions increasing their shareholding and Increasing profits every quarter. The Negative aspects of the company are Stocks Underperforming their Industry Price Change in the Quarter, Inefficient use of shareholder funds and Poor cash generated from core business. Entry can be taken after closing above 412 Targets in the stock will be 431 and 449. The long-term target in the stock will be 462 and 475. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 385 or 375 depending on your risk taking ability. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:NITINSPINLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
Gravita looks Great for a long run. Gravita India Ltd. engages in the manufacture of lead metals by the process of smelting and recycling followed by refining, alloying and manufacture of lead oxide. The firm also trades lead scrap, ore, concentrates, battery scrap and allied Lead products globally. It operates through the following segments: Lead, Aluminium, Turn Key Solution, and Others. Gravita India Ltd. CMP is 2243.25. The positive aspects of the company are Company with Zero Promoter Pledge, MFs increased their shareholding last quarter, FII / FPI or Institutions increasing their shareholding, Increasing Revenue every quarter for the past 3 quarters and Growth in Net Profit with increasing Profit Margin. The Negative aspects of the company are high Valuation (P.E. = 57.7), Stocks Underperforming their Industry Price Change in the Quarter, Declining Net Cash Flow : Companies not able to generate net cash and Increasing Trend in Non-Core Income. Entry can be taken after closing above 2337 Targets in the stock will be 2413 and 2593. The long-term target in the stock will be 2688. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 1963 or 1770 depending on your risk taking ability. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:GRAVITALong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
NVIDIA at a Crossroads: $141 Dip or $155 Push?Alright, trading family, let’s break down NVIDIA. Here’s the game plan: 1️⃣ If we break below $144, we could see a dip to $142, maybe even $141 before looking for a bounce. 2️⃣ If the market pushes up from here, the next target is $153–$155. That’s the zone to watch for momentum to keep rolling. Stay calm, trade what you see, and let NVIDIA show you the way. Whether it’s a dip or a pop, there’s always a wave to catch. Mindbloome Trading/ Kris
NASDAQ:NVDA
by Mindbloome-Trading
2
T-MOBILE No signs of stopping this rally before $350.T-Mobile (TMUS) has been trading within a 12-year Channel Up since the October 2012 High. Since the weekly break-out on the May 20 2013 1W candle, the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) has been the absolute Support of this pattern, never broken, offering the most optimal buy opportunities as close to is as possible every time the price broke below the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). The 1W RSI indicates that we are in a similar stage of the uptrend as the two mega Bullish Legs the preceded it. The Sine Waves accurately catch the tops (Higher Highs) of this Channel Up pattern, and the next one should be around $350 by the end of 2025. A really good opportunity to buy even on the current levels. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:TMUSLong
by TradingShot
Nvidia Bearish again! [S2]---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ***ALL ANALYSIS, SIGNALS, AND ANY CONTENT IS FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY AND ARE NOT MEANT TO BE PROFITED OFF.*** ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- I called the top last time, and now I call it again. Last time we hit TP1 and going towards TP2 but then the election interfered. Now lets see what will happen! Nvidia is bearish once again, the TA remains the same. Got some bear flags showing along with bearish divergences. Also some custom indicators are pointing down as well. Nvidia pumped and made a new high thanks to Donald J. Trump. But I believe the FOMO in the market caused from the election is weaning down plus TA is point down too we should see a decent dump. $146.50-$148.50 TP1: $142.93 TP2: $134.65 TP3: $131.75 Tight Stop Loss: $149.50 Good Stop Loss: $151.25 Loose Stop Loss:$154.50 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ***ALL ANALYSIS, SIGNALS, AND ANY CONTENT IS FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY AND ARE NOT MEANT TO BE PROFITED OFF.*** ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by MarketAnalyzerFX
1
COINBASE Ahead of an enormous bullish break-out.In recent times, we have focused on Coinbase's (COIN) long-term potential on higher time-frames (1W) like the one below (September 09) where we gave a great buy signal on the absolute bottom of the 2-year Channel Up: On today's analysis we look into the 1D time-frame as Coinbase is about to test its longest 2024 Resistance, the Lower Highs trend-line that started after the March 25 2024 High. With added bullish pressure by the 1D MACD Bullish Cross formed 2 days ago, if this Lower Highs trend-line breaks, we can technically have a very aggressive rally. The September 06 bottom can be seen as the start of the Head of an Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S) pattern, which has a standard Target on the 2.0 Fibonacci extension. That is just above $340. As a result, if the Lower Highs trend-line breaks, you can take additional buys to target $340. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:COINLong
by TradingShot
3
FBTC: Break Out After 12 Months of Sideways - DCA TradeAll the white lines are buys. My weighted average price per share would be somewhere in the middle. I Dollar Cost Averaged into the position from basically the launch of the product on exchanges earlier this year, Say March 24. The trade looks to finally be playing out. Long Term Hold position for me, and will add on higher timeframe (1 Day, 3 Day, Weekly) oversold conditions outside a normal standard deviation. Fun time to be a trader at the moment.
CBOE:FBTCLong
by BitInfo12
SMCI is -85% a buy opportunity while accounting issues continue?Super Micro Computer Inc (SMCI) still haven't found a new Auditing Firm, after it was announced last week that Ernst & Young left them raising governance and management communication issues. Yesterday's Low represents almost a -85% drop from the March $122.50 All Time High (ATH). So is this level a bargain and a buy opportunity for long-term investors? Well while the company hasn't filed the necessary paperwork to meet the regulatory requirements to remain listed on the stock market and no auditor is hired to confirm and signs their reports, investor confidence will remain low (to say the least). It appears that SMCI has turned into the new short favorite for Hedge Funds and that's never ideal. Technically though, the stock hit yesterday its 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time in 4 years (since October 26 2020)! With that contact, the price initiated a strong multi-week rally that made a new High. This is a textbook buy for long-term investors. Of course it is all about risk and money management and since regulatory risks remain, the capital invested best to be less than usual. Another technical factor supporting a buy on these levels is the 1W RSI, which got oversold (<30.00) for the first time since the weeks of March 16 2020 (almost 31.50) and October 01 2018 (U.S. - China trade wars). Both these times, SMCI kick-started enormous rallies. The October 01 2018 bottom in particular is the starting date of the Fibonacci Channel Up on this chart, which encompasses SMCI's logarithmic growth these past years. As a result the company has only experienced 3 major long-term buy opportunities with the most recent 4 years ago. At the same time, yesterday's Low didn't only make contact with Fibonacci 1.0 of the Channel Up (i.e. the initial top until the price turned parabolic and broke-out) but also almost touched the 0.382 horizontal Fib level, starting all the way from October 2018. It is obvious that purely from a technical perspective such levels are as good as a buy can get. Proper risk management and an exit strategy are needed (in case of delisting) and long-term investors can be patient and take their time to target the $122.50 High again for enormous gains (could take even 1 year). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:SMCILong
by TradingShot
2
Take Two (TTWO) & ROCKSTARTakeTwo Intractive's costs are rising as fast as revenues, and the Zynga acquisition has yet to prove itself. Of course, GTA 6 is an excellent argument, but even this is not without risk; after all, it is not guaranteed that every new GTA is of the highest quality. Overall, it seems that an investment in the company is currently a pure bet on the massive success of GTA 6. But if that's the investment thesis, why invest now? TakeTwo has an excellent reputation in the industry and trades with a premium valuation compared to the competition. But several points do not look entirely positive. Costs are rising as fast as revenues, and the Zynga acquisition has yet to prove itself. At the same time, shareholders are slowly but steadily burdened by stock dilution and stock-based compensation. Plus, the CEO sold 21% of his shares in April. Yes, eventually, GTA 6 will be released, but if that's the main argument for the investment, you might as well wait another six months and possibly get in at a cheaper price. The last quarter was not very successful for the company. Revenue was $1.4B but missed expectations by $140M. On a GAAP basis, there was a significant loss per share of -$1.54. They also lowered FY 2023 revenue guidance from $5.8B to $5.4B. The chart below shows the evolution of some metrics over the last five years. Here we see that revenues are increasing strongly, but costs are increasing almost at the same rate, so real profits are not growing. The company is currently valued at an enterprise value of $19B. The market cap is $16.9B, and the total debt is $3.7B. The P/S ratio is 4.4, and the forward P/E ratio is approx. 25. The share is thus more cheaply valued than the last few years' averages this year we going to see GTA6 first trailer and probably release data announcement, plus a next gen update for Red dead redemption2 TTWO under 99$ is a buy zone , I managed to buy some shares at 94$ and will buy more if back to 90-80$ zone again
NASDAQ:TTWOLong
by moonypto
20
Linde plc | LIN Linde, Timeless Excellence Linde is a timeless business with even better stability than other basic materials businesses. The company works in gases and has a near-unbroken EPS growth record of 8% annually Linde is a market leader, and if you invest in the company, you're investing in the world's largest company for industrial gases. The company was originally a result of a takeover of British BOC in 2006, and again the 2018 merger of Linde and Praxair, a US company. On the macro upside, there was a 1) supportive regulatory framework in the USA and in the EU on green opportunities and hydrogen, 2) the Ukraine invasion was also a key catalyst towards the energy transition, 3) the EU chip acts with €43 billion in supporting funds as well as the United States Chips and Science Act development for a value of approximately $52 billion, and 4) higher needs of specialty gas in EV car. Related to the micro upside, the company is more diversified on a GEO revenue basis and sells different product solutions starting from cylinders to bulk liquid. In addition with a follow-up note titled "Positive News Ahead", we reported Linde's lower cost structure with the Frankfort delisting. Aside from removing the dual listing expenses, we positively view this development because US companies' P/E multiple are usually higher compared to the EU one. To support our MACRO buy case recap, in the second quarter, Linde announced two new projects with Evonik and Heidelberg Materials (both companies covered by our internal team). The company signed a long-term agreement to produce green hydrogen for Evonik in a 9-megawatt alkaline electrolyzer plant in Singapore. With Heidelberg, Linde will build a large-scale carbon capture close to the Lengfurt plant in Germany. As a reminder, cement production is estimated to be responsible for around 7% of global in 2022, APD's earnings per share were at $8.38, and Linde's earnings per share were fairly similar at $8.23. For 2023, Air Products and Chemical EPS guide a midpoint at $11.40 while Linde's EPS is forecasted at $13.65. Looking at the ROCE, in Q4 2022, APD stood at 11.7% and Linde at 13.4%. In the last quarter, APD’s ROCE was flat on the two-year comparison, while Linde’s after-tax ROCE reached 24.0%. While there are some business & regional nuances between the two leading companies (for instance, APD is lacking U.S. packaged gas business), here at the Lab, we believe are more inclined toward Linde, particularly when organic growth has been fairly similar. Cross-checking APD and Linde's last quarter results, we should recall that on a comparable basis, the German player volumes were flat with an average selling price up by 8%. On the other hand, APD increased its volume by 6% with an increase in the average selling price of 8% too. APD adj EBITDA grew by 13% while Linde achieved a plus 11%. However, Linde's EU exposure is greater than APD. Therefore, this is supportive of Linde's bottom line. In numbers, excluding the Engineering divisional performance, Linde's EMEA sales reached $2,177 million and represented 29.72% of the company's total sales. Compared to Q1 2022 number, turnover grew by 10% and was driven by a 13% of cost pass-through increase.
LLong
by moonypto
6
Riding the Bullish Wave: HPQ Eyes $41.53 Long Term TargetHP Inc. (NYSE: HPQ) is showing promising signals for a short-term upside, despite recent volatility in the tech sector. According to recent reports, the stock outperformed its competitors on a strong trading day, yet faces ongoing risks to a PC market rebound, as highlighted by warnings from Citigroup. However, our Quantum Probability indicator, W.ARITAs, coupled with technical patterns, points to a solid trading opportunity. Technical Outlook: Bullish Patterns Indicate Upside Our analysis has identified two powerful overlapping bullish patterns in HPQ stock: the Bullish Harmonic Pattern - BAT and the Bullish Flag, both signaling potential upward movement. The stock has faced considerable pressure around the critical zone of $36.08, where we saw three retests, each validating the support level. Following these retests, we have now confirmed a breakout above this critical zone. The ideal entry price for investors looking to capitalize on this momentum is $36.09 . We are placing a stop loss at $34.18, protecting against potential downside, while the take-profit target is set at $41.53 , based on key resistance levels. This offers a strong risk-reward ratio of 2.89, making it a compelling short-term trade. Conclusion: High Potential Short-Term Opportunity While HPQ has faced challenges in the broader tech market, including concerns about the PC market rebound, the stock’s technical setup presents a positive outlook for short-term gains. Investors seeking to enter at $37.09 with a stop loss of $34.18 and target price of $41.53 stand to benefit from a bullish breakout and a favorable risk-reward scenario. Disclaimer: This analysis is based on technical indicators and market observations. It is not financial advice. Investors should conduct their own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
NYSE:HPQLong
by insidermike
MICROSOFT has bottomed. Dont miss this once/year buy opportunityMicrosoft (MSFT) has been trading within a Fibonacci Channel Up since the October 2022 market bottom following the Inflation Crisis. Since the August 05 2024 Low on the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), the stock has struggled to get detached from it and stage a sustainable rally. This prolonged volatility can be seen however on both previous Lows of the Channel Up, while the price was attempting to price a bottom. Technically it is around the same levels as February - March 2023 (again below the 1W MA50). As you can see, this kind of buy opportunity emerges roughly once a year on MSFT and posts a rise or roughly +50% from the bottom, with the last Higher High priced on the 1.5 Fibonacci extension. As a result, our long-term Target is now set at $550. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:MSFTLong
by TradingShot
3
Intel in Trouble or Ready for Redemption?There is growing potential for QUALCOMM Incorporated to acquire Intel. I now believe that this development has advanced enough to warrant a fresh look at the stock Qualcomm recently approached Intel about a takeover. According to WSJ , Qualcomm has expressed interest in acquiring Intel, which, if realized, would mark one of the most significant deals in recent history Initially, this seemed like a long shot, with limited details emerging from the report. However, QCOM has continued to pursue the idea. Also QCOM has been in contact with Chinese antitrust regulators over the past month about this potential deal and is waiting until after the US presidential election to decide on making a formal offer. Since the election is just less than a month away, I believe this acquisition is becoming more of a possibility that investors should factor into their assessment of INTC. If a deal goes through, it’s likely that the acquisition will come at a premium to the current stock price, creating an opportunity for significant short term gains for investors There is always a chance that no deal will occur. In that case, potential investors should evaluate whether the stock is worth holding as a long-term investment. My outlook here is not optimistic, and I’ll delve into INTC's competitive position, as indicated by its latest inventory data, in the next section Given these two potential scenarios, I am upgrading my rating from "Sell" to "Hold." In summary, the possibility of QCOM acquiring INTC introduces a major upside catalyst that I hadn’t accounted for in my previous analysis. This potential acquisition helps offset some of the concerns about INTC as a standalone company. Unlike many financial metrics that can be interpreted in different ways, inventory levels are more straightforward. He also explained that inventory trends can provide early indicators of business cycles. For cyclical industries, rising inventories can signal overproduction as demand wanes, while shrinking inventories can indicate strong demand As shown in INTC’s most recent balance sheet, its inventory levels have generally been on the rise. For instance, in December 2014, inventory was valued at $ 4.273 billion, while the most recent figures show an increase to $ 11.244 billion. In some cases, rising inventory can signal business growth with increasing demand and production capacity, which was true for Intel in the early part of the last decade. When inventory growth exceeds the pace of business growth, it becomes a red flag. In this scenario, rising inventory suggests weakened competitiveness and declining market position—an issue that Intel currently faces, in my opinion. The following chart helps illustrate this point, showing a comparison of days of inventory outstanding (DIO) for Intel and NVIDIA over the last five years, from 2020 to 2024. DIO is a measure of how many days it takes a company to sell its inventory Given Intel's inventory buildup and declining competitive edge, I find its current valuation multiples hard to justify. Specifically, the chart highlights a comparison of price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios between Intel, NVIDIA, and AMD. Focusing on non-GAAP earnings estimates for fiscal years FY1 through FY3, Intel is currently trading with the highest P/E ratio for FY1 at 87.7 almost twice the multiple of NVIDIA and AMD, which are at 46.29 and 46.25, respectively That said, the outlook changes somewhat when considering the years further ahead. For instance, in FY2, NVIDIA’s expected P/E ratio rises to the highest at 32.77, compared to Intel's 20.02 and AMD's 29.02. However, I want to emphasize the substantial uncertainty in Intel's earnings forecasts. As shown in the next chart, the consensus estimates for Intel's earnings per share (EPS) in FY 2024 range from a low of $0.15 to a high of $0.31 (a more than twofold variation) and from a low of $0.65 to a high of $2.1 (an almost fourfold variation). Given such uncertainty, I believe investors should be cautious about relying too heavily on forward P/E ratios too far into the future. Both Intel and NVIDIA have experienced significant fluctuations in DIO over the years. Notably, both companies saw a spike in 2023 due to the COVID pandemic, which disrupted global supply chains. As the disruption faded, both firms saw a recovery (ie, a reduction in DIO). the difference in recovery is striking. Intel's DIO peaked at over 150 days in 2023 and has since decreased to 125 days a modest reduction but still above its historical average of 114 days. In contrast, NVIDIA's DIO surged to over 200 days but has rapidly dropped to 76 days, which is not only below its four-year average of 97.9 days but also near its lowest level in four years. I expect Intel to face increasing competitive pressure as rivals like NVIDIA and AMD roll out their next-generation chips, particularly NVIDIA’s Blackwell chips. I recommend potential investors keep a close eye on inventory data, as it can signal changes in competitive dynamics for the reasons discussed here. In addition to inventory issues and valuation risks, Intel faces a few other specific challenges. A significant portion of Intel’s current product lineup is concentrated in certain segments, such as PCs, which I believe are nearing market saturation plus a large share of Intel’s revenue comes from China. Given the ongoing trade tensions between the US and China, this heavy reliance on China poses a considerable geopolitical risk. These factors may limit Intel’s ability to adapt to technological advancements and shifting geopolitical conditions The potential for a QUALCOMM acquisition has emerged as a new major upside catalyst. While my outlook on Intel’s business remains pessimistic based on the latest inventory data, the acquisition possibility partially offsets these negatives, leading me to upgrade my rating from Sell to Hold or if you are risk taker like Me, load the dip
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by moonypto
Nvidia [NVDA] Top is in!! [S #1]---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- **First off, I have not posted in a while but the good news is I plan to become active and post consistently! I will be providing high quality signals, and only signals and analysis that I personally find worth showing. Any smaller less likely to succeed trades I will be avoiding. This will be a new series of content, I will label posts depending on category: = Signal (Expect clear and direct post, I will not be showing or explaining much of the TA) = Educative Post (I will be showing my Technical Analysis (TA) and teaching how it works) Since this is a new series of posts, I will label this post as the first signal (S #1) ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ***ALL ANALYSIS, SIGNALS, AND ANY CONTENT IS FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY AND ARE NOT MEANT TO BE PROFITED OFF.*** ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Current Price which is $140,25 at market close, and $140.30 during the pre market. It is already starting to dip a bit during the pre market! This Signal is based from bearish divergences, price action, miscellaneous bear flags, and my special indicator. $135.24 $127.87 $122.71 Tight Stop loss: $142.52 Good Stop loss: $144.50 Loose Stop loss: $146.20 ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ***ALL ANALYSIS, SIGNALS, AND ANY CONTENT IS FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY AND ARE NOT MEANT TO BE PROFITED OFF.*** ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by MarketAnalyzerFX
13
Berkshire Hathaway | No More Apple Pie & Bank Bread!No More Apple Pie and Bank Bread | Buffett’s Recipe for Market Caution Berkshire Hathaway has recently disclosed its earnings amid fluctuating around a $1 trillion valuation. A notable update is its continued reduction of stakes in overvalued assets, including a 20% decrease in holdings of Apple and Bank of America, boosting its cash reserves to $325 billion Although Warren Buffett himself isn't favoring share buybacks at present, Berkshire Hathaway stands as a compelling investment option Why Berkshire Hathaway's $325 Billion Cash Pile Signals Market Caution The company's net earnings remain subject to significant fluctuations due to rules requiring valuation changes of investment holdings. However, there was a slight decline in operating earnings, mainly driven by lower insurance underwriting income. Despite this, that segment is historically volatile, and year over year aka YoY, the company has maintained strong performance. Yea2date aka YTD, operating earnings have risen over 10%, totaling just under $33 billion compared to just below $29 billion last year. This points to an annualized earnings estimate of approximately $44 billion, implying a price2earnings aka P/E ratio of about 22, without factoring in over $320 billion in cash and significant investment holdings. Excluding cash and investments, the adjusted P/E ratio is closer to single digits. Share buybacks have paused, reflected in a ~1% decrease in the outstanding shares YoY, signaling Berkshire's assessment of current market valuations. Segment Highlights The various business units within Berkshire Hathaway showcase its robust asset base and earning capacity. Insurance underwriting income saw a sharp YoY drop, but other business areas performed strongly. Income from insurance investments remained solid, and BNSF, its railroad subsidiary, also showed strong results despite a double digit YoY decline. Berkshire Hathaway Energy continues its growth, cementing its position in the utility sector with significant renewable energy ventures. For context, NextEra Energy (NEE), with a market capitalization of $160 billion, posted quarterly earnings around 10% higher. Berkshire's other controlled and non-controlled businesses contribute over $13 billion annually, underpinning its diversification and consistent earnings performance. This strength across segments underscores its formidable financial health. Market Context Currently, market valuations are elevated by historical standards. Excluding periods of earnings dips, market enthusiasm is exceptionally high, with the S&P 500 P/E ratio nearing 30x, approaching levels last seen in 1999. Buffett and Berkshire appear to view a 3% yield from such a P/E as unattractive, especially when bonds offer higher returns. The 2008 Playbook Berkshire's track record of effectively utilizing its cash reserves is notable. Excluding its insurance float, the company still holds $150 billion in cash. During the 2008 financial crisis, Berkshire leveraged its liquidity for strategic investments in companies like General Electric, Swiss Re, Dow Chemical, and Bank of America, as well as finalizing the full acquisition of BNSF in 2010. This proactive use of capital proved advantageous. The current strategic sale of assets suggests Berkshire is preparing for potential market downturns. Given high S&P 500 valuations, reallocating part of an S&P 500 position into Berkshire Hathaway could be wise, ensuring exposure to a cash-rich portfolio capable of seizing future opportunities. Meanwhile, Berkshire’s earnings are valued lower than the broader market, potentially minimizing major downturn risks. Investment Risks A key risk is that timing the market is inherently challenging, with the adage "time in the market beats timing the market" serving as a caution. If Berkshire's market outlook is incorrect, its $300+ billion in cash could underperform while broader markets remain strong, which would diminish its appeal as an investment. Final Thoughts Berkshire Hathaway has taken the bold step of liquidating some of its most significant and priciest holdings, opting to incur capital gains taxes to increase liquidity. This move has bolstered its cash position to $325 billion, $150 billion above its float level. Meanwhile, its strong operational businesses continue generating healthy cash flow. Drawing on its successful strategies during the 2008 crisis, Berkshire appears to be positioning itself for another downturn amid current high market valuations. We advise investors to consider shifting part of their S&P 500 exposure into Berkshire Hathaway for enhanced diversification and potential benefits in a market correction, long story short Berkshire Hathaway remains a robust investment opportunity but wont make millionaire! What do you think moonypto fam?
NYSE:BRK.A
by moonypto