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SQ

PUTS on SQAfter hovering around its monthly resistance, SQ has recently showed signs of bearishness. The VPCI shows that its recent uptrend isn't supported by the necessary amount of volume to keep the trend continuing. Followed by the indications on the 4hour of reduced buying momentum and narrow emas. A great way to play this out is to wait for reduced buying momentum on the daily time frame because although the VPCI dictates bearishness, some trends can still continue with low volume, but for only so long. There is great support around 254 so that may be a potential target for puts but it is best to only exit when we are given signs to do so; letting our plays play out. Bearish Signals -VPCI(low volume) -Narrow EMA + Oversold -reduced buying momentum on 4h Potential Price Target -254
NYSE:SQShort
by ddcakez
Earnings Week (08/02-08/06): Move Predictions, IV CrushBelow I've posted a compiled spreadsheet (Google Drive spreadsheet), outlining a large portion of upcoming earning releases for the week of August 2 through August 6, 2021. Options market overestimation percentages, predicted/actual earnings release moves, and average implied volatility (IV) numbers have all been sourced from Market Chameleon ( marketchameleon.com ). Google Drive spreadsheet public link: docs.google.com If and where I've posted quarterly analyst revision numbers, that data has been sourced from Seeking Alpha ( seekingalpha.com ). PLEASE take any analyst "recommendations" with a literal kilogram of salt, as any/all critical thinkers have noted a tendency toward foul play with "analyst" target numbers and recommendations (hint, they do not have YOUR best interests in mind). Current prices are obviously as of market close, Friday, 07/30/2021. The most important data provided lie in the first five columns immediately proceeding "Current Price." This spreadsheet provides a readily accessible, macro view of potential earnings plays for the week. I often use this overview to aid with decisions to either buy or write put/call spreads, credit/debit iron condors, or more standard long plays with protective puts, dependent upon overall market volatility (VIX), and equity-specific IV. Please post any comments/questions/concerns, and best of luck this busy week traders. NASDAQ:NXPI RIG SPG NYSE:BABA NYSE:BP COP UA LLY CLX ATVI OXY AYX CPE CVS SMG CLVS MPC ROKU UBER ETSY FSLY MPC WDC WYNN QRVO MRNA FVRR W REGN SQ NET ZG NVAX DKNG CGC GT NASDAQ:CRON
NYSE:BABA
by JRSone
4
Two scenarios explained on Square INCToday we will analyze SQ. This company is the 4th biggest Holding of ARKK and is run by Jack Dorsey (Twitter funder) So what can we see here? 1) The main structure: We have a horizontal compressive channel that has been in formation since its peak on FEBRUARY 2021. This is useful because we can know if the price has made a clear breakout or not based on the reaction on these levels and daily candlesticks closing above or below. The main idea here is: If the price stays inside these levels, don't assume any breakout yet. 2) Possible Bearish Scenario: If the price reaches the highest level of the structure and reacts there, we can expect a bearish movement towards the other side of the range. (Interesting level for reversal traders) 3) Possible Bullish Scenario: When we want to develop swing setups based on new trends starting, we take some considerations before risking our money. First of all (Clear Breakout), we want to observe a new ATH (no doubt that the price broke the structure). After that, we want to observe a small consolidation, as you can see with the yellow lines. IF that happens, we can trade above that and set stop loss below the level. This provides a great confirmation and a setup with a perfect Risk-Reward Ratio of almost 1:3 to the first target. Expected time towards the final target (150 - 200 days if the scenario goes as expected) As you can see, we don't care at all about the direction of the market. Taking rigid views with any asset is not a good idea because it doesn't allow you to adapt to changing conditions. That's the reason we work with "Scenarios." Based on this, the only situation we are interested in is the bullish one (Swing Setup); otherwise, we will stay on the sidelines. Thanks for reading! Feel free to show your view in the comments.
NYSE:SQ
by ThinkingAntsOk
2
Banking on SoFiFinancial Technology (FinTech) is revolutionizing the way we transact in our daily lives. The days of paying in cash are far and few between. Say goodbye to those pesky coins. Regardless of blockchain disruption, the future of finance will for certain be digital. So how do you play this industry? You can go through high flyers like Paypal (PYPL) or Square(SQ) but these companies have had their run. Instead rely on an industry-low flier, Social Finance (SoFi). This company is going above and beyond traditional finance. This company is creating a one-stop-shop, financial community. The company has endeavored in debit, credit, insurance, crypto, and much more. This is exactly the financial innovation that the millennial+ (1981-present) generation needed. Image an entity that you can use for daily transactions, mortgage loans, auto insurance, and stock/crypto investing, that is SoFi. Did I mention they have a community aspect as well? SoFi is the banking industry in multiple facets. SoFi provides membership to its clients to where you can get financial planning, transaction summaries, store discounts, personalized career advice, and exclusive events. That the antonym to traditional, wall-street banking. A community environment that provides you knowledge and partnership in your financial journey. The insights provided are enlightening and insightful. The best part yet, the recent price action. The company has been on a downtrend for the past couple of months but it is reaching a potential inflection point at its well-established support. The company has previously bounced off these levels indicating a possibility for another reversal. The risk-reward is very compelling considering that the downside is less than -10% while the upside is a more favorable +75% to the prior resistance. That is a modest price target of ~$23. However, the company is currently trading at a market cap of ~$13B. At the same time, PYPL and SQ have market caps of $353B and $108B, respectively. If it is truly the disruptor in its infancy ages, in due time the stock will have similar market cap trajectories, a potential 10x. Finally, the smart money is already in this name. Although the coverage by analysts is minimal they are all indicating upside movement. If other analysts start covering the name it could serve as a catalyst. Renowned venture capitalist, Chamath Palihapitiya, is the CEO and a major shareholder (good management). Large institutional money such as SoftBank entered the stock at a higher price. Smart money is leading the way. Bank on it.
NASDAQ:SOFILong
by howdydany
Fairy DustTo keep it simple, fair value or intrinsic value for a stock can be measured by calculating earnings with a reasonable long term growth rate. Some tech stocks are currently enjoying extraordinary growth rates averaging around 40%. Some are even higher. Tesla has an earnings growth rate for the current year of 99.6% and the PE ratio is 684.15 at the current price. Fair value for the stock price on earth is currently $42.02 (or 136 DOGE) Let's take a look at these popular names using the formula below: Fair Value formula: EPS = earnings per share 8.5 = time in years G = long term growth rate FV = EPS X (8.5 + 2G) Then you adjust for corporate bond yields, the alternative, "safe" investment Currently we could say they at around 4% yield Final Value = FV * (4.4 / 0.04) Below is a list of popular stocks with the current Fair Value assuming they can keep a long term earnings growth rate of 15% annually , which is still an impressive number compared to most companies. Long term it is virtually guaranteed that earnings will decline from current levels so it will be interesting to see this play out in the stock price. In addition, included below is a chart of where fair value is and text of the current growth rate this year and the P/E ratio. Data pulled from Yahoo Finance and TD Ameritrade API Apple Growth rate: 57.6% PE ratio: 31.40 Adobe Growth rate: 21.4% PE ratio: 51.26 Amazon Growth rate: 33.5% PE ratio: 66.81 Facebook Growth rate: 30% PE ratio: 30.38 Google Growth rate: 49% PE ratio: 31.68 Microsoft Growth rate: 34.9% PE ratio: 37.78 Shopify Growth rate: 11.8% PE ratio: 114.8 Square Growth rate: 78.6% PE ratio: 395.75 Zoom Growth rate: 40.1% PE ratio: 134.18 The Trade Desk Growth rate: -10.10% PE ratio: 157.6 Nvidia Growth rate: 58.3% PE ratio: 97.12 PayPal Growth rate: 21.9% PE ratio: 66.13 Using this method the only growth stocks that have realistic upside are Apple, Facebook, Google and Microsoft.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by trade-God
3
Square: Next Long & Short OpportunityHi traders! Square has completed a 5-ways impulse move up, and we have shorted it at the end of wave 5 to capture a potential breakdown in case the Nasdaq falls. If that does not happen, we will take profit and invert the position into a long. The green box is our long entry (LE) where price may reverse with high probability, however the other fib levels are also possible. A move above the green "Bullish confirmation" line will confirm our bias and we can start adding to our position. Levels We find the strongest volume support at the .382 fib. Averages The 200 MA also heads towards the $220 area, a MA that has been respected well before. Waves Look for a completion of the ABC correction with a wave C that consists of 5 smaller subwaves. Invalidation If price keeps dropping without any sign of reversal, we let our short run and take profit towards the double bottom, or speculate on a total breakdown below the red line for the most bearish scenario. Happy trading!
NYSE:SQLong
by UnknownUnicorn12250317
1
SQ, An ideal setup to come! No More Thinking !SQ is offering a text book example of ideal setup to go long ! It is showing a beautiful ABC form of correction with clear subdivisions of wave A, B and C. There is just one leg down to complete the structure of correction. More beautiful is minor final leg down is going to make a fractal 5 wave downgoing impulse itself. Proposed support zones have formed by cluster of different Fibonacci levels of different Elliott wave cycles including 0.382 and 0.50 retracement levels of last impulse rally from 2020 Mar 18th to 2021 Feb 16th ( from 32.33 to 283.19 USD). This last rally is probably wave 3 of larger Elliott wave cycle and we are now in wave 4. We are going to catch upgoing wave 5. Larger Elliott wave cycle wave count will be published separately. I guess that stochastic indicator in both weekly and daily time frames will be in oversold zone when price reaches to support zones which adds another piece of ideal setup trading to SQ. Please Do Not Forgot that we need a bullish sign to go long at every proposed support zone. If true , more than 50% profit is waiting for you. Try not to miss the chance. Good luck every one and enjoy trading.
NYSE:SQLong
by SaeedSajedi
7