EUR/USD outlook December 24In light of the strong decline that occurred as a result of the Fed news, it is expected to fill this gap that fell more than 150 pips last week. In order for this to happen, the EUR/USD is expected to rebound from the 1.0365 level. This area will be good for the pair to rise to the order block at the 1.04660 level. What confirms this analysis is that there is a strong SMT on the GBPUSD, as it was able to break the low, but the Euro Dollar is still holding and couldn't break it, that's indicates this low is protected.
SMT
$COIN - Update: Buy + TPHello Friends,
For those of you looking to capitalize on NASDAQ:COIN you may want to add to your position, or start accumulating for the first time.
My original post:
UPDATED IDEA:
NASDAQ:COIN moving nice with CRYPTOCAP:BTC in this 2024-2025 Bull Run!
Remember, NASDAQ:COIN basically mimics CRYPTOCAP:BTC so we want to trade them in a similar fashion.
As you can see NASDAQ:COIN is still trading below the $368.90 High & the ATH of $429.54.
I am expecting those levels to be traded to as CRYPTOCAP:BTC continues higher.
The chart showing "Swing Protection TP 1" based on our current swing we left ($283-$149) is giving us a projection of $419.61.
That being said, if you wish to add to your NASDAQ:COIN holdings at ~$318 (or lower), you have upside available to take profits.
Please note: $429.54 ATH is a good objective.
Will NASDAQ:COIN go higher with this bull run? IT all depends on when CRYPTOCAP:BTC tops out - I will update you then or follow along with my CRYPTOCAP:BTC exit strategy...
Check out this link for my BTC Exit Strategy :
Class A/B RSI Bearish Divergence on SPY Futures?Really posting here to see if anyone would validate this for me but I was looking on the chart and this idea came about. On the weekly chart for ES1!, there seems to be class A or B Bearish Divergence developing on the Weekly timeframe.
Listen, of course we all know SPY trends upwards over time but is this an indicator of a larger sell the market needs to go higher every once in a blue moon? This is guarenteed a macro trend and I probably will have to wait a year for this analysis to play out but hey, at least we're here. (***ponders on how I charted Gamestop at $10 but never traded because of lack of knowledge***) Anyways, this is something I will of course monitor but let me highlight instances in history this has happened. Please feel free to give your input on this analysis!
Jan 1998 thru Apr 2001 (News Driver: Dot-Com Bubble)
Price makes higher highs from Jan 98' thru Mar 00'
From Mar 98' thru Mar 00', the 3 peaks formed on the RSI leading to price establishing a lower high (SMT) on Sep 00'. Fails to make new all-time high
From Sep 00' to Apr 01' price moves down as much as 30% over the next 224d
Jan 2013 thru Feb 2016
Price makes higher highs from Jan 13' thru May 15'
From May 13' thru Jun 14', the 3 peaks formed on the RSI leading to price establishing a lower high (SMT) Jul 15' and a following lower high on Nov 15'
From Jul 15' to Aug 15' (42d) (News Driver: Lagging China Market) price moves down as much as 14% and as much as 14% on the Nov '15 lower high to Jan 16' (78d) (News Driver: Oil Prices)
Current: Jan 24' thru Nov 24'
Price has been making higher highs all year
From Mar 24' thru , the RSI has been making lower highs while price is making higher highs
We are now at a point where price is pushing to go higher but what I would want to see based off of historical data is for price to consolidate or some type of Bearish Turtle Soup forming. If this happens and the RSI returns to Fair Value, we could be in for a sizeable sell of for at least a couple of weeks in the near future.
I will come back to this in the next few months. Happy Trading!
Futures Week 47 Monday AnalysisAs I see it the close target of both ES and NQ is the True Month Open.
On both of the True Month Open there is a gap from previous Monday in 6h chart.
The bullish movement that we had this week is supported by SMT between CME_MINI:ES1! , CME_MINI:NQ1! and CBOT_MINI:YM1! and 6h gap from previous Tuesday (Q2).
I don't see any relevant higher time frame gaps that the price can encounter until the True Month Open so my current target is that.
In my opinion CME_MINI:ES1! will get to the True Month Open first and will liquidate it, at the same time CME_MINI:NQ1! will get to a 90 minutes gap at AM session (Q3) and won't liquidate the True Month Open and we'll get a bearish SMT
Why Swarm Markets Could Be a Hidden Gem in the DeFi EcosystemSwarm Markets ( SET:SMT ), the world’s first licensed decentralized finance (DeFi) platform, has positioned itself as a trailblazer in merging traditional financial markets with blockchain technology. Backed by Germany’s Federal Financial Supervisory Authority (BaFin), Swarm Markets ensures the governance, transparency, and compliance of traditional financial institutions while offering the agility and innovation of DeFi.
A Game-Changer in DeFi
Swarm Markets’ ability to tokenize real-world assets like US Treasury bills and public stocks is revolutionary. By enabling both institutional and retail investors to trade and stake tokenized assets alongside cryptocurrencies, the platform addresses a significant gap between traditional and decentralized finance. This unique proposition enhances liquidity, accessibility, and inclusivity, making it a standout player in the DeFi ecosystem.
The leadership of co-founders Philipp Pieper and Timo Lehes has been pivotal. Pieper’s expertise in technology and regulatory navigation and Lehes’ strategic growth vision have built a solid foundation for Swarm Markets. This synergy ensures the platform meets the rigorous standards of BaFin regulation, providing a secure and accountable environment for all users.
Market Metrics and Sentiment
The SET:SMT token trades actively on platforms like MEXC, Gate.io, and Uniswap V3 (Ethereum). Despite a daily trading volume of $205,879 (up 2.40% in the past 24 hours), the token’s price performance has been lackluster. Currently priced 85.39% below its all-time high of $1.32, SMT faces significant headwinds.
The token has a market capitalization of $15.97 million and a fully diluted valuation (FDV) of $30.57 million, indicating room for growth if market sentiment shifts positively. However, the recent 7-day decline of 10.30% highlights its struggles, particularly against a broader crypto market surge of 12.60%.
Technical Outlook
At the time of writing, SET:SMT is trading down 13.75%, trapped within a bearish symmetrical triangle pattern. The daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 42 reflects weak momentum, with the price approaching critical support at $0.12.
A concerning development is the "death cross" observed on the daily chart—a strong bearish signal where the 50-day moving average crosses below the 200-day moving average. Additionally, SET:SMT recently broke a structural support level at $0.43, invalidating its previous pattern of lower highs and higher lows.
This break has exacerbated bearish sentiment, with successive peaks and troughs now forming a lower low trend. The potential for further downside is significant unless broader market conditions improve or a catalyst sparks renewed interest.
External Factors and Market Potential
The broader crypto landscape remains optimistic, with Gary Gensler’s resignation as SEC Chair effective November 18, 2024, potentially reducing regulatory uncertainty. This change could lift sentiment across the market, indirectly benefiting SET:SMT if it manages to capitalize on renewed investor interest.
Conclusion
Swarm Markets holds immense potential as a pioneering platform in regulated DeFi. Its tokenization initiatives and compliance with BaFin set it apart in an increasingly crowded market. However, SMT’s current technical and price performance suggests caution.
The near-term outlook remains bearish, with critical support levels and external factors like general crypto market trends dictating its future. Long-term prospects, however, hinge on the platform’s ability to innovate and align with the broader financial industry’s evolving dynamics.
Investors should closely monitor SMT’s performance, particularly any fundamental developments or shifts in market sentiment that could drive a recovery. While the technical picture is challenging, the unique value proposition of Swarm Markets cannot be ignored in the DeFi space.
US100 19,554.8 -0.21% SHORT INTRADAY IDEA US500 SMTHELLO TRADERS
Hope everyone is doing great
📌 A look at NAS 100 & S&P500 intra-day set up
A look from the 4H ON NAS100
* 7am 4H candle closes bearish but which is currently seeing a beautiful rejection heading into London session probably heading into that 4H fvg, should this fvg hold looking for a bearish NY AM & PM SESSION.
* with a -FVG & -OB looking for a small reversal Into the PD ARRAY before bearish continuation or LQ RUNS.
* Because The weekly & daily TF show we are still trading in BULLISH conditions on the NAS100 & S&P500.
* This is just a short term bias on the indices.
* we just rejected from a weekly FVG possibly signalling we might see bullish momentum.
ON THE HOURLY
* What is most interesting is the hourly SMT between NAS100 & THE S&P500, whereby we see the S&P 500 take highs and the NAS100 fails to do so which could be a signal to prepare for some short moves on NAS100 or even S&P500 depending on price action and which gives nice set-ups.
S&P500
NAS100
* It becomes interesting as this DIVEGENCE is a strong signal SO WE WILL SEE .
On the 15M not looking for much
* I just wanna see upwards moves to prepare for sells
* from the 4H fvg to sell side.
* same sentiment with the S&P500
* JUST WAITING TO SEE WHAT LONDON DOES, as we just opened.
* We will see what does the market dish.
🤷♂️😉🐻📉🐮📈
HOPE YOU ENJOYED THIS OUT LOOK, SHARE YOUR PLAN BELOW,🚀 & LETS TAKE SOME WINS THIS WEEK.
SEE YOU ON THE CHARTS.
IF THIS IDEA ASSISTS IN ANY WAY OR IF YOU ENJOYED THIS ONE
SMASH THAT 🚀 & LEAVE A COMMENT.
ALWAYS APPRECIATED
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
* Kindly follow your entry rules on entries & stops. |* Some of The idea's may be predictive yet are not financial advice or signals. | *Trading plans can change at anytime reactive to the market. | * Many stars must align with the plan before executing the trade, kindly follow your rules & RISK MANAGEMENT.
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
| * ENTRY & SL -KINDLY FOLLOW YOUR RULES | * RISK-MANAGEMENT | *PERIOD - I TAKE MY TRADES ON A INTRA DAY SESSIONS BASIS THIS IS NOT FINACIAL ADVICE TO EXCECUTE ❤
LOVELY TRADING WEEK TO YOU!
BTCUSDAfter doing top-down analysis I can see that we've hit the monthly resistance level and was unable to break through it. Although major influencers and government official have spoken about FUSIONMARKETS:BTCUSD going to ATH's as of right now it's not happening. We are in a premium array so i'm looking to short sell for a bit.
DXY political elections| FOR MORE INFO READ THE SIGNATURE SPACE AT THE BOTTOM |
Good morning Traders.
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| DXY AND TRUMP? |
Could another Republican show us a bearish dollar again?
From the chart, we can see that Democrats have always pumped the dollar. Is it a coincidence? We'll see what happens.
But now???
Biden has resigned. Will he stay until November or will Kamala take over early?
Does it make sense to let a president take office who still has to go to the polls?
What could we see?
What will happen in the coming months?
For now, I can't see the future,
but as soon as I know, I'll tell you.
For doubts, questions, or requests, comment or write to me!
I will be happy to answer you.
-HAPPY TRADING
-MANAGE YOUR RISK
-BE PATIENT
(For more info, read the signature space.)
EURUSD Trade study short/longTrade study using Asian range.
Trade went below opening candle in London session indicating bullish but wasn't noticed. Price also took the Asian lows before moving up. Price then consolidated before taking the Asian high, then took the recent swing low at lower timeframe indicating out POI. Price then eventually achieved our target Price Asian range low then took Thursdays (Asian high +4) before taking our initial Target (Asian range -1). Trading in Friday is complicated but with proper risk management we was able to take a 1:1.2rr trade
Using proper risk management is always necessary which I didn't do for some reason
NOTE : PRICE ALWAYS MOVES FOR A REASON
CHFJPY ShortMARKET PHASE
OANDA:CHFJPY is in a long term downtrend (daily) with a short term corrective structure that has been taking place (4 hour).
AREA OF VALUE
Price continued to break new highs within this corrective structure. Eventually, price reached an area where sellers stepped in, resulting in a buildup of liquidity (buy stops, longs, short stop losses) above the corrective structure swing highs. During London session, price violently moved up to trigger the buy stops (liquidity) to pair against the sell orders needed to take price down. Price has started it's initial move down but due to the velocity of the downward move, it's gapped some orders around 170.280. Price has retraced to this level to capture additional supply.
TRADE
I have entered short on OANDA:CHFJPY with the following parameters:
Sell Limit: 170.280
Stop Loss: 170.490
Take Profit: 169.860
divergence on us30 and us100just now
we can see bearish divergence between us30 and us 100 i took it as additional confirmation to expect us100 or nas100 price to go lower and mitigate 4h fvg and then going up as the price already on discount array, sell side liquidity taken and now offering buy side liqudity
dyor and keep safe
Gold analysis for the week of July 9, 2023.Last week I mentioned I wanted to see a bullish week with an sweep of buy side liquidity in the form of previous weeks High as an upside objective. That objective was met perfectly, price did exactly as explained, price fell into an 1hr +FVG forming the low of the week drawing to LWH sweeping the liquidity resting above it.
This week I'm still bullish gold, with great confidence given the fact that the DXY is bearish. Bearish dollar means bullish gold. I'm anticipation at some point this week possibly
Tues/Wed, for the low of the week to form below current price. We do have some high impact news on Wed, in the form of CPI, that I think helps price get to the buy side liquidity.
I go into more detail of potential entries and targets. Have a great week trading.