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Elliott Wave Analysis: Russell-Small Caps May Face More WeaknessHello traders and investors! Today we will talk about small caps - Russell 2000 Index in which we see nice and clean bearish setup, which means that Russell may face even more weakness in current risk-off sentiment. From Elliott wave perspective Russell can be trading in bigger, higher degree A-B-C corrective decline, where wave C is still missing. We can see five waves of decline into first leg A, followed by a three-wave corrective rally in wave B, so wave C can be now in play. From technical point of view, Russell made an impulsive drop from the highs and retraced perfectly back to the former wave 4 resistance area, from where we can already see sharp sell-off that can take us much lower, especially if breaks channel support line. Well, seems like bears are still in control and we should expect more downside pressure in upcoming days/weeks, maybe even down to 1500 area, but firstly we want to see broken 1900 bearish confirmation level. Trade well! If you like what we do, then please like and share our idea. Disclosure: Please be informed that information we provide is NOT a trading recommendation or investment advice. All of our work is for educational purposes only.
CME_MINI:RTY1!Short
by ew-forecast
1
New Oriental: A Sleeping Giant. I was attracted to this chart from a Technical Analysis point of view and reward: risk ratio on a potential trade. Price has finally found support at a previous Weekly level after dropping 95% from all time high. It seems as if there is more upside potential than downside potential. I'm not going to buy here. If I buy, it will be at the fib levels outlined in the chart. A retest would show strength and could incentivise buyers to push volume to the EDU. I'm not sure if I will get that buy but I don't like to chase breakouts. I didn't know about this company until last week. Reading more about the company and their annual report I was surprisingly impressed. Despite the huge drop in price, the company has actually increased revenue from 2020. They've total assets have doubled from close to five million US dollars in 2019 to 10 million US dollars in 2021. With that said there are some negative components such as decrease in Net Income and Net Profit Margin. Looking at their business model, providers of private education in China, this makes sense. Schools have been massively affected by pandemic. Some big names have EDU in their portfolio, their largest five holders include Morgan Stanley, Blackrock, Vanguard, Goldman Sachs and Bank of America. According to Yahoo Finance it was also one of Ray Dalio's Bridgewater Associates top ten small cap stock picks. They increased their position size in Q4 by 24%.
NYSE:EDU
by CViewsTH
$PYPL Clears the way for a breakout to the Upside PT $200A year after PayPal adopted the crypto market and allowed users to receive and use crypto for goods, PayPal has returned to its Pre-Covid levels that most tech companies have recently returned to after seeing an extraordinary last two years. Now in a clear uptrend with the stock market and crypto heading back up to breakout levels I anticipate PayPal to follow suite and gain considerable ground over the next few weeks. My current PT is $180-$200 I've bought May 20th $150 Calls in anticipation of this. GLTU All
NASDAQ:PYPLLong
by StockGuild
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CLong
by GodBlessCrypt0
IWM - Looks like small caps might be in for a bit more hurtThe daily chart from the Covid crash to the peak of the Covid recovery paints a picture of the Russell 2000 that is eerily similar to a textbook sketch of Wyckoff's distribution theory. For the bulk of 2021 IWM respected a very clear support line that has been crashed through in 2022. Recent price action shows that old support being tested as a new resistance and buyers attempting to push prices through that level were flatly rejected. Furthermore, volume began spiking on drops in price below the 200 day moving average and any movement above it recently was met with anemic volume. This is not the excitement that we've been accustomed to in the small caps of 2020. The game has changed. With 1/3 of the Russell (at least) being non-revenue producing speculative companies that were exponentially over-valued during the 2020 bull run, it's hard to imagine that the grounding of the Russell isn't real and that it isn't coming. In today's market, giants like TSLA, AAPL, and MSFT are being dragged down to fundamental value. The small caps aren't immune, unfortunately. What's even worse is that a correction to AAPL's charts isn't as ghastly as some small caps that are trading at tens or hundreds of millions above their quarterly earnings. The Russell is an important index to watch if one is interested in small cap boomers. It serves as not only a tradable ETF but as a thermometer for the sentiment toward speculation. Right now, it appears that bullish sentiment and risk taking is waning and bearish sentiment is growing. This could lead to a gut wrenching performance for small caps going forward into 2022 and larger drops in former penny stocks that retail investors drove to epic heights in 2020 and early 2021. Many of these companies are still heavily overvalued after 50%+ drops in share prices. I'd expect volatility in the coming months as tax returns are pumped into these old favorites with the rallying cries of "buy the dip" and "moon next PR" on the breath of most novice investors and traders, especially those who are holding bags likely exponentially higher than current share prices. Once that surge of small money ends I would think that an abysmal summer is approaching for many of these strongholds. Most of the companies have made lofty promises and many of them have targeted this summer for validation of their business models and strategies. But in the face of generationally high inflation, wars, rate hikes, and supply chain disruptions along with a pandemic that is cyclically impacting humanity, will it matter? If Mr. Russell is any indication of what is to come, that answer is likely no. Spiking prices will likely be met with hard sell-offs and shorts that start to feel the squeeze will get a layer of protection from the trapped bulls just looking to get their money back out of the markets. It's not the best of news, but it shouldn't be considering that we aren't in the best of economic situations currently. Of course this is the markets and the markets have a mind of their own. It's wise not to get too caught up in bias and predictions to the point where you are unable to react appropriately and according to your plans. Good luck out there and God bless!!
AMEX:IWM
by TradingTacticsPro
$IWM — Potential H&S forming on the 1hr We can either go lower to fill that open gap right off the bat... or We're going to go a bit higher to form the second shoulder, creating the H&S with a downside target of $193... Either way, that gap is filling — not sure if it will today, but likely for next week and for certain before March's 3rd Friday. The StochasticSlow is looking overbought, and the CCI is hinging lower just under that momentum line — bad sign for the bulls, if you ask me.
AMEX:IWMShort
by OptionsAddicts
1