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CHFJPY → Trade Analysis | SELL SetupCHFJPY is currently testing a previously broken horizontal support level, which is now likely acting as resistance following the breakout. To confirm the bearish trend, I have observed a horizontal range on the hourly chart and a bearish breach of its support level. Is moving in an ascending channel, move to the resistance level and We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level. Hello Traders, here is the full analysis. I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity CHFJPY I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment. ------------------- Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 🤝
Short
by TheGrove
3
FDX FedEx Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought FDX calls ahead of the previous earnings: Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of FDX FedEx Corporation prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 260usd strike price Calls with an expiration date of 2024-12-20, for a premium of approximately $19.30. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
NYSE:FDXLong
by TopgOptions
GOLD : Gold is looking forward to today's dataMarket analysts forecast positive numbers for the May report. Expect the cost of goods and services to increase at an annual rate of 2.6%, down slightly from April's 2.7%. More importantly, core PCE is expected to fall to 2.6% (on an annual basis) in May, from 2.8% in April. If these forecasts come true, it would signal a further reduction in inflationary pressures. , bringing the economy closer to the Fed's 2% inflation target. Fed officials, including Chairman Jerome Powell, have repeatedly emphasized the need for a sustained positive economic data trend before considering a change in monetary policy. In the recent press conference of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), Mr. Powell reaffirmed this view: "We have stated that reducing the federal funds rate target range will not be appropriate until when we have greater confidence that inflation is moving towards 2% sustainably." The market's growing confidence in the Fed's ability to change policy is reflected in the probability of cutting interest rates. CME's FedWatch tool currently shows that there is only a 35.9% chance that the Fed will keep current interest rates unchanged (from 5.25% to 5.50%) through September. This is a significant change in market sentiment, down from 37.7% just one day ago and 50.2% a month ago. This trend shows growing optimism about when the Fed will move toward normalizing interest rates. On Thursday afternoon, 6:00 pm ET, the August gold futures contract was trading actively, soaring 28.90 USD (equivalent to 1.25%) to 2,338.70 USD/oz. Although a weaker USD provided some support, the main driver of the rally was bullish market sentiment centered on expectations for Friday's PCE report.
TVC:GOLD
by SantaTradeGold
XAUUSD : Gold increased slightly after two days of declineUS economic data on June 27 was not very positive: the number of applications for unemployment benefits reached the highest level since November 2021, the number of durable goods orders showed a bad signal for Q2 GDP, sales Pending home sales hit a record low, and finally, the Kansas Fed's manufacturing activity stagnated for the 21st straight month. World gold prices are slightly decreasing, fluctuating around 2,320 USD/ounce. XAU/USD had a positive trading session, rising more than $30 to $2,329 an ounce on Thursday. World gold prices have recovered from their lowest level in 2 weeks thanks to the weakening of the USD, after a series of data showed that the US economy is slowing down, reinforcing expectations of lowering interest rates by the Fed. The market is currently paying attention to important US inflation data today for more clues about the Fed's interest rate path.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by SantaTradeGold
GOLD : Is gold preparing to test a breakout?The downward pressure on gold prices increased further due to rising US government bond yields. This yield has increased from 5-7 bps across all bond terms. A recent five-year US Treasury bond auction showed positive results, with bids from non-dealer investors exceeding the average. Recent statements by Fed officials have also further influenced market sentiment. Fed Governor Lisa Cook acknowledged progress in curbing inflation and the labor market is gradually cooling, but she did not give a specific time to reduce interest rates. Meanwhile, Fed Board of Governors Member Michelle Bowman stated that now is not the time to start cutting interest rates, even suggesting the possibility of raising interest rates if inflation persists. These developments come just ahead of the important PCE index report, scheduled for release on Friday. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones Newswires and the Wall Street Journal predicted consumer prices would fall last month. The core PCE index, which excludes food and energy costs, is expected to hit its lowest level since March 2021. If the PCE report matches forecasts, this could suggest inflation is on track toward the Fed's goals. This could encourage the Fed to consider reducing its benchmark interest rate as early as September, despite recent hawkish statements from some Fed officials. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell previously emphasized the need for greater confidence in economic data before making policy adjustments. The positive PCE report could mark the start of the "string of positive economic data" the Fed is looking for, potentially paving the way for an earlier rate cut than Cook and Bowman suggested. recently released. The combination of a strong USD, rising yields and mixed signals from Fed officials continue to create a difficult environment for gold prices in the short term. However, the upcoming PCE report could significantly influence the Fed's future policy decisions, and therefore market sentiment towards gold.
TVC:GOLD
by SantaTradeGold
XAUUSD : Is gold looking towards the target of $2,150?World gold prices moved sideways after falling more than 30 USD/ounce yesterday, fluctuating around 2,298 USD/ounce. Gold prices fell for a second straight session and hit their lowest in more than a week on Wednesday. Recent "hawkish" comments from a series of Fed officials show that the US central bank is unlikely to lower interest rates soon in the context of a recovering economy. This has supported the USD and weakened it. Yellow. Experts say that gold will fluctuate within a narrow range because investors are cautious ahead of the release of US inflation data later this week. If gold loses the $2,300 mark, it is likely that the $2,100-$2,150 range will be retested. However, this is nothing to worry about. If the US economy continues to slow down, the possibility of interest rate cuts will increase, and gold will recover. After gold retested its breakout in 1978, the precious metal rose 122% in 13 months. A similar scenario occurred in 2009 with an increase of 63% after 13 months. If the current correction continues, it will be a gift as one will get a second and perhaps last chance to catch the gold bottom.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by SantaTradeGold
XAUUSD : Gold will recover after falling in priceXAU/USD is fluctuating around 2,325 USD/ounce. World gold prices moved sideways as investors waited for US inflation data, expected to be released later this week with the focus on the US core PCE index. This makes investors increase their expectations that the Fed will soon reduce interest rates in the next few months, supporting gold - a non-yielding asset. SPDR Gold Shares fund sold a net 2.88 tons of gold on June 24, reducing its holdings to 829.05 tons.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by SantaTradeGold
XAUUSD : Gold cools down after strong growthXAU/USD is moving sideways and fluctuating around 2,324 USD/ounce. After a volatile week, the world gold market is expected to stabilize this week with few important new data released. The most awaited information by the market is the core PCE index report expected to be published at the end of the week. This report is expected to create strong volatility in the market, if weaker data could increase the possibility that the Fed will lower interest rates in 2024 and will support the precious metal. On the contrary, "hotter" inflation than expected will cause XAU/USD to fall deeper.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by SantaTradeGold
XAUUSD : Does gold have the ability to recover strongly?XAU/USD is increasing slightly and hovering around 2,337 USD/ounce. According to American Bank Wells Fargo, this precious metal may continue to consolidate throughout the summer as the market accepts the Fed's tightening policy. In an interview with Kitco News, John LaForge, Director of Real Asset Strategy at the bank, said: "Central banks will continue to buy wine, while also seeing solid upside potential in gold." quarterly through 2025. According to Wells Fargo's mid-year updated price forecast, gold prices are expected to trade between 2,300-2,400 USD/ounce."
OANDA:XAUUSD
by SantaTradeGold
XAUUSD : Gold will bounce back stronglyXAU/USD is moving sideways and trading around 2,322 USD/ounce. According to senior market analyst Jim Wyckoff of Kitco Metals, gold prices fluctuate when influenced by external factors due to a lack of important new fundamental news. In this context, Wyckoff predicts, prices will likely move sideways about 2,300 - 2,400 USD/ounce for the next important catalyst and he believes that these catalysts will not appear until July. World gold prices weakened in the context of some US Federal Reserve (Fed) officials predicting interest rate cuts in December this year. This causes US government bond interest rates to increase to nearly 4.3%, causing disadvantages for gold - a non-yielding asset.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by SantaTradeGold
XAUUSD : Gold will turn up again this weekXAU/USD is trading around 2,322 USD/ounce, down 11.6 USD/ounce compared to last week's result. Adrian Day, of Adrian Day Asset Management, said gold prices are recovering after last week's sell-off amid dovish US economic news, weak inflation figures and higher unemployment claims, both support cuts interest rate. Colin Cieszynski, market strategist at SIA Wealth Management, said gold prices are poised for a technical bounce from support levels. Darin Newsom, senior market analyst at Barchart, said gold's next target is $2,370/ounce, followed by resistance at $2,391/ounce.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by SantaTradeGold
XAUUSD: Gold will grow strongly in the last 6 months of the yearWorld gold price moved sideways around 2,306 USD/ounce after falling sharply yesterday session. The gold market is under pressure as recent US economic data shows that the Fed will only have one interest rate cut this year. However, some economists note that the possibility of two interest rate cuts is still possible. According to data from the US Department of Labor, in May, the US core CPI index increased by 3.3% over the same period last year and increased by 0.2% over the previous month, both figures are lower than the previous month. compared to forecasts and decreased slightly compared to April. This shows that inflation in the US cooled faster than expected, and at the same time put pressure on the US dollar. After the report, the USD plummeted with the Dollar Index falling from 105.08 points to 104.2 points. Silver and platinum prices also skyrocketed afterward.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by SantaTradeGold
XAUUSD: Gold will likely recover strongly at the end of the weekXAU/USD decreased slightly, currently trading around 2,314 USD/ounce. Yesterday, XAU/USD turned down after the Federal Reserve (Fed) signaled that there would only be one interest rate cut this year in the context of inflation still far from the target level. The Fed kept interest rates steady on Wednesday, while policymakers forecast just one rate cut in 2024. Jeffrey Christian, Managing Partner at American Government Group, commented: “The Fed neither lowered nor raised interest rates, so investors turned to less risky assets, including gold, thus the price of gold. increased very high and profit taking took place." Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said the inflation outlook issued by the Fed is a “rather conservative forecast,” that may not be confirmed by upcoming data and could be adjusted. Mr. Powell added that the better-than-expected CPI inflation data was something officials welcomed.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by SantaTradeGold
XAUUSD : Gold decreased slightly then increased againXAU/USD decreased slightly and is trading around 2,312 USD/ounce. Traders are being quite cautious ahead of tonight's Fed policy meeting, because if the inflation report shows no improvement, the Fed may continue to hawkish. This means that both the USD and US yields will rise to the detriment of non-yielding assets like gold. "The next important level is 2,300 USD/ounce. If gold drops below this price, it is likely to fall back to 2,200 USD/ounce in the near future" - Ong Everett Millman, Director of Market Analysis of Gainesville Coins (san trading of precious metals in the US) forecast.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by SantaTradeGold
XAUUSD : Gold is focusing on Fed interest ratesThe world gold price recorded at 09:30 on June 11 according to Vietnam spot time was around 2,302 USD/ounce, down 8.50 USD compared to yesterday. Investors are trading cautiously as they wait for US inflation data and the US Federal Reserve's (FED) interest rate decision in the middle of this week. Derivatives trading involves high risks and may not be suitable for all investors. Therefore, consider carefully whether this transaction is suitable for your financial situation or not. Trading advice is based on information obtained from trading services and statistics and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC is bullish. We do not guarantee that the information is accurate or complete, as it should not be relied upon entirely. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a certain time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that our advice will lead to profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account owner. Past results do not necessarily reflect future results.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by SantaTradeGold
XAUUSD : Gold dropped sharply after a series of dataWorld gold price recovered slightly by 0.13% and is trading around 2,296 USD/ounce after a sharp decline of 3.45% last week. Gold's uptrend has weakened as the RSI on the daily chart is below the 50 level, moreover, XAU/USD is trading below the short-term SMA lines, reinforcing gold's downtrend. The Fed's latest interest rate decision and the May consumer price index expected to be released this week could be a key test for markets, especially after Friday's strong jobs report. continue to suggest that the Fed may hold off on lowering interest rates.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by SantaTradeGold
XAUUSD : Gold continues to increase strongly todayGold prices yesterday had an early rebound hitting a high of $2,375 then retreated again before closing at $2,378 after important news and market expectations were reflected in the price. Regardless of the reason behind it, this is it proving that investors are still interested in gold or have returned after recent dovish signals from major central banks. Maybe this is the first sign of a comeback. The market is probably quite nervous now ahead of tonight's NFP report. The US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report is expected to show an increase of 185,000 jobs in May. However, negative JOLTS Job Opportunities data and ADP Nonfarm Jobs Change data less than that in this week reduces investor optimism about the US Bureau of Labor Statistics report. If the NFP report also shows weakness, the USD may come under more pressure and increase market confidence that the Fed will soon cut interest rates, supporting gold prices.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SantaTradeGold
XAUUSD : Gold turned up slightly again after the USD newsYesterday on June 5, world prices increased to a high of 2,357 USD and reached 2,373 USD this morning, supported by the weakening of the USD and a decrease in US government bond yields after the latest data showed changes. The labor market is very hot. According to how high According to ADP, employers added 152,000 jobs in May, much lower than forecast and the number recorded last month, and also the lowest level since the beginning of the year. RJO Futures senior market strategist Bob Haberkorn said weak labor numbers such as the coronavirus outbreak could prompt the Fed to act somewhat. According to FedWatch CME, the market believes there is about a 67% chance that the Fed will conduct its first rate hike in September, up from less than 50% last week. A low interest rate environment reduces the cost of holding gold, thereby increasing the appeal of this precious metal amid global instability. In addition, the World Gold Council (WGC) said that net purchases by global central banks increased to 33 tons in April. This is also a big driving force pushing gold prices up recently.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by SantaTradeGold
Gold is in a downtrend and will fall sharplyGold prices (XAU/USD) may find support at the 50 EMA in case the price breaks out of a sideways range after initially trading off the May highs. XAU/USD has broken the main uptrend line and may be in a short-term downtrend. According to the mantra "the trend is the trend", the probability of price increase will continue to decrease. The 50 EMA at 2,310 USD and the May 3 low at 2,277 USD will be the final supports before gold prices fall further. The RSI indicator also dropped, surpassing level 50, further reinforcing this scenario. On the contrary, the resistance levels to pay attention to are the EMA 20 at 2,350 USD and the main resistance is the 2,400 USD area, corresponding to the main trendline of the rising wave from the beginning of the year. To overcome these levels will require a lot of effort from buyers and enough momentum and is unlikely to happen in the short term.
TVC:GOLD
by SantaTradeGold