UsdJpy- Don't p..s against the wind!If there has been a clear trend in the past two years, it has been the devaluation of the JPY. Despite some corrections, even very deep ones, the trend has always resumed, leading to new lows for the JPY.
One of these deeper corrections occurred at the end of last year, triggered, as always, by JPY repatriation.
However, as shown on the chart, the beginning of 2024 saw the resumption of the upward move. Only the BoJ intervention at the end of April and beginning of May at the 160 level stopped the ascent.
The chart shows that the pair has been acting very technically since then, with the drop stopping and reversing precisely at the horizontal support that was previously resistance.
Since then, USD/JPY has started making higher lows again and is now trading around 160.
Only time will tell if the BoJ will be determined to defend this level but, in my personal opinion, it is better to look to buy on dips (around 158) rather than sell at this resistance, hoping for another intervention.
Signalservice
XAUUSD **Critical area for gold. **look for this pattern ! whats up gold gang!! a great day on the charts today catching the forecast sells down to the target and the last level for gold to be bullish.
This is a critical level for gold now as if it breaks this level at 2346 and closes below on the 4h .. the bias is bearish.
If we react here and we find the reversal pattern shown on the chart ... then we remain bullish and i want to buy up to 2412 area this week.
that reversal pattern occurs everywhere on the chart, if you can learn it, youll catch reversals much easier.
Lets let asian session let us know where we're going!
catch you in london
tommy
Trading minute impulseOn the minute timeframe of XAUUSD at the moment we have the completion of the impulse formation. If the price continues to move in the direction of the impulse and the support zones do not allow it to overcome the base of the impulse, it may reach the targets 1 and 2. If the price fails to advance in the direction of the momentum and overcomes the support zone at the base of the momentum, it is very likely that the price will move sideways or against the direction of the momentum.
XAUUSD Next moves for gold this weekgood morning gold gang and happy sunday! hope you're resting and doing a bit of backtesting
NFP! wow it whipsawed which we dont normally see ... took my buys out instantly but then i got the continuation to break even thankfully
Price continuing with the trend now leaving some holes to be filled .. i like to see the NFP candle filled in the next week so a move down to take lower buys would be great! .. sells only when confirmation is present.
Above the current zone is nice clean traffic with imbalance so expect a strong move up to the top engulfing marked on the chart
as always we react to price at the time so make sure you follow along for updates!
catch you tomorrow morning in london session
tommy
Alikze »» DOT | 61.8 Fibo retest scenarioAccording to the long-term analysis, the DOT currency is moving in the 1W time frame, which, as mentioned in the updated micro-waves of the previous post, completed a complete cycle in accordance with the path in the range of 11.92.
💎 First scenario: due to the recent three-wave correction and support in an important PRZ area, an upward corrective movement is currently underway, which is currently stopped at the 0.618 area. Therefore, if this X wave is not upward and after the completion of the correction log until the liquidity zone or PRZ leads to the failure of the zone and the daily candle is closed above it, it can continue the movement until the specified resistance PRZ zone. to give
💎 Second scenario: If the support PRZ area is broken, this can lead to a continuing corrective lag and a combined correction and correct the whole wave up to 0.23.
If the behavior and structure of the post changes, it will be updated.
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Lingrid | SOLUSDT long from the DEMAND areaBINANCE:SOLUSDT price has entered a consolidation phase after a significant bullish move, oscillating between 160.00 and 120.00. Given the classic trading strategy of buying at the bottom and selling at the top of the pattern, it's logical to anticipate a buy opportunity at the lower end of this range. Notably, the market has already reacted to the key support level at 120.00, with multiple rejection candles forming as it bounces off this level. I expect the price to retest this key level again before potentially moving upwards by taking liquidity below the equal lows. My target is resistance zone around 157.40
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Gold could test above 2400 once moreThe 2290 zone has proven to be very strong support for gold and bulls regained control from that area.
Last week, XAU/USD continued its ascent, and Friday's NFP brought a new rise, breaking above the 2365-2370 resistance zone and closing the week at 2391.
Currently, the structure is bullish with confluence support at 2365. Although I don't foresee sustained gains above 2400 in the medium term, a new test of levels above this important threshold is likely in the near term.
Short-term traders could consider buying dips near the support, with invalidation below Friday's low.
Alikze »» MATIC | Elliott Triangle pattern scenarioAccording to the previous analysis, the Metic currency went through an upward movement cycle. Currently, it is in a corner pattern in the weekly time, which was able to escape from it in the specified supply area with a short-term movement cycle.
💎 Currently, it has a corrective cycle up to the green box, which has moved downwards in a three-wave step in daily time.
💎 But now it can enter an upward cycle and retest the first supply area after confirming the green box. If confirmed, the area of upward movement can continue to extend to the base of the pattern, which can be checked further.
💎 Therefore, this upward movement can be followed in the form of wave 3 or 3 larger up to the specified areas.
💎 Alternative scenario: If the green box area is broken, this correction can be a combination correction that will have the ability to reach the 0.39 range.
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CARDANO | ADAThe price of ADA is $0.4 today with a 24hour trading volume of 285 million dollar. This represents a 5.7% price increase in the last 24 hours and a 12% price decline since last month
Ada managed the breakout at 0.38 and had a huge buy volume and now the crucial EMAs (50, 100, and 200) accumulated between the $0.41 and $0.396 barrier accentuate the high resistance zone which needs to be breached for further recovery. RSI and most indicators shows that bulls are in control
Charles Hoskinson, the founder of Cardano, announced that Atala PRISM, the project’s decentralized identity solution, is being open-core adopted by an unannounced large open source foundation. This move aims to accelerate the commercialization of decentralized identifiers and enhance the adoption of secure, private identity management.Atala PRISM is built on the Cardano blockchain, offering a unique approach to identity management where users retain ownership of their identity and have full control over the use and access of their personal data. This decentralized solution ensures that data is shared only through secure, private peer-to-peer communication channels, making it suitable for businesses, governments, and individuals.
Atala PRISM offers numerous advantages for various stakeholders. Businesses can quickly onboard new customers, reduce compliance risks and costs, and deliver seamless user experiences. Governments can issue digital identities and enable instant access to public and private services. Individuals gain ownership of their identity and data, controlling how their personal information is used and accessed
are you bullish on ADA or you think we talking about a stablecoin !?
AXLUSDT(Axelar) Daily tf Range Updated till 07-07-24AXLUSDT(Axelar) Daily timeframe range. its on price discovery level. below 0.4968 got pretty much unknown space to move. thats actually not a good part devs should have done something with their sell money. of course it can reverse recent resistance at 0.7270.
STMXUSDT(StormX) Daily tf Range Updated till 06-07-24STMXUSDT(StormX) Daily timeframe range. its defending 0.004224 for a while now. its actually optimal to stay above this line, below this is lower range with baggage zone. many things had its dump the range levels are big so it got space to move around.
Trading minute impulseOn the minute timeframe of XAUUSD at the moment we have the completion of the impulse formation. If the price continues to move in the direction of the impulse and the support zones do not allow it to overcome the base of the impulse, it may reach the targets 1 and 2. If the price fails to advance in the direction of the momentum and overcomes the support zone at the base of the momentum, it is very likely that the price will move sideways or against the direction of the momentum.
Alikze »» ETH | Rising waveIn the weekly time, it is moving in an ascending channel, which after a complex correction and higher floors has formed a runner zone, which can now complete an ascending wave in the specified area, which is the supply area. Therefore,
🔰 in the first scenario, I expect a correction with the support of the $2,500 area after touching the zone, which can appear more in the form of price, considering that the recent correction was a running zone, and then enter the upward phase.
🔰But the second scenario can break this wave of the region and continue the upward path after the pullback.
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Lingrid | GOLD correction followed by EXTENSIONThe price perfectly fulfilled my last idea. It hit the TP. OANDA:XAUUSD is currently testing the critical level of 2350. The market has already broken out of the range zone that was part of an inverse head and shoulders pattern. Given that the market has closed above the strong support at 2330, I believe it may retest the midpoint of the range zone, which aligns with the neckline of the H&S pattern. However, there is still a possibility that the price could drop to a lower level, as it has already completed a test of the top of the triangle formation I mentioned yesterday. In any case, I'm looking for the price to test the support level and bounce back, which would provide a buy confirmation. My target is the resistance zone around 2379.
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Lingrid | EURUSD breakout and RETEST PatternThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea. It hit the target zone. After the recent news, the EURUSD is now making its way towards the next resistance zone. As we can see, the market is currently ranging around the key level of 1.08000, which suggests that if it breaks through this level, it may continue to rise. The price has gained bullish momentum, and with this momentum, I'm expecting a breakout retest scenario to play out. In other words, I think the price might retset the support at 1.07700 before continuing its upward movement. My target is the resistance level at 1.08315
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Alikze »» BAKE | Pullback to descending structure🔍 Technical analysis: Pullback to descending structure
- It is moving in an ascending channel in the daily time frame.
- So far, there have been several positive reactions to the bottom of the channel, which has led to the upward jump of the price.
- It is currently facing an important supply range due to the positive reaction to the bottom of the channel.
- Therefore, if it cannot stabilize above the supply area, according to the downward momentum, it can lead to the breaking of the bottom of the channel and correction to the range of 0.195.
- So in case of this event, this reversal can be a pullback to the broken structure to continue the downward path.
💎 Alternative scenario: if it can influence and stabilize above the supply area, it can fill the FVG gap in the first step and after correction and support in the middle area of the channel, it will reach the target of 0.488.
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Alikze »» FTM | Corrective wave 2 scenario🔍 Technical analysis: Corrective wave 2 scenario
According to the previous analysis, the phantom currency had an upward structure in the form of wave 3.
💎 In the daily and weekly time frame, this complex combination correction can be a response to the previous upward movement, which can be the confirmation of the wave 2 correction for the next super cycle.
- In the daily time frame, it has been moving in an ascending channel, which is currently out of the channel.
- An AB=CD pattern has had an ascending cycle within the channel.
- Now the complex corrections combined inside a triangle are placed in a density.
- By maintaining the current zone, it can have another attempt to trigger the dynamic range of Fibo 1.272 and the supply zone.
- If it can break the supply area, it can move up to the Fibo area of 1.618.
💎 In addition, if it does not have the ability to stabilize the upper supply range, this pullback to the ascending channel can be an alternative scenario to continue the correction.
💎 Alternative scenario : if the green box breaks down and the price range of 0.58 is broken, the correction can continue and extend up to the range of 0.39.
🛑 Resistance zone: Fibo range 1.272 and 0.8301 - 0.8545
🟩 Support range: 0.6090 - 0.6349
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Lingrid | ETHUSDT buying OPPORTUNITY at the BOTTOM of the RANGEBINANCE:ETHUSDT has been trading within a big range on the daily chart, oscillating between 2800 and 4000. The market has recently dipped to the lower boundary of the range and it is heading towards the channel's border. A box has formed on the left side, and I believe the market may break below this box to absorb liquidity and potentially stage a rally towards the top of the range zone. I'm expecting a test of the trendline and channel followed by a bullish move if the price makes fake breakout. My goal is a resistance zone around 3365.00
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Bitcoin- The Good, The Bad and The UglyAs I mentioned in my previous posts, I am bullish on Bitcoin and expected a break above $71,000 with a rise to at least $85,000.
However, I always consider multiple scenarios.
In this post, I want to discuss all the potential outcomes I foresee.
The Good Scenario:
As shown in the chart, although the price dropped again from the all-time high resistance, the bulls have strongly defended the $67,000 support level that I've been emphasizing. If the price recovers and reaches the resistance level again, it is likely to break above, targeting at least $85,000.
The Bad Scenario:
In this scenario, the bulls fail to defend the $67,000 support zone. If this happens, the price will likely drop to the $60,000 zone.
The Ugly Scenario:
In this scenario, all the price action since mid-March could be viewed as a long distribution phase. If Bitcoin also loses the $60,000 support, we could see a significant decline, potentially down to around $45,000.
CHRUSDT(Chromia) Daily tf Range Updated till 05-07-24CHRUSDT(Chromia) Daily timeframe range. market is on dumping mode so nothing out of ordinary here. breaking 0.2097 clean can lead it to 0.1545. of course that needs a valid daily close. a buyback or retrace more possible in lower mid level after market stables.
Anticipating a MANTAUSDT Crash: Could the Downside Exceed 60%?Hi Realistic Traders, let's delve into the technical analysis of BINANCE:MANTAUSDT !
On the Daily timeframe, MANTAUSDT is presenting a clear double-top pattern , a classic bearish signal indicating a potential reversal from an uptrend to a downtrend. The recent breakout of the neckline, paired with a surge in volume above the volume MA line, amplifies the downward momentum. With the MACD Indicator firmly in the negative zone, the stage is set for continued downside movement, targeting our first target at 1.107. Once achieved, we anticipate a revisit to the neckline or the pullback zone before the bearish bias extends towards our second target at 0.788, the 2.618 Fibonacci ratio.
It is essential to note that the analysis will no longer hold validity once the target/support area is reached.
Disclaimer:
"Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on CADJPY."
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