Signals
GBPUSD Will Go Up From Support! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for GBPUSD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 1.249.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 1.256 level soon.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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GOLD --> The Downtrend Persists. What’s the Next Target?Dear Friends,
Gold has seen a modest rise amidst a broader bearish trend, currently trading around $2,617, up 1.27% on the day.
This slight uptick can be attributed to sellers pausing their pressure, coupled with the fundamental appeal of gold increasing. As the opportunity cost of holding the non-yielding precious metal decreases due to lower interest rates, gold becomes more attractive.
However, the Federal Reserve's cautious outlook on rate cuts—suggesting smaller reductions than expected next year—could weigh on gold's upward momentum.
Additionally, US Treasury yields edged higher on December 18, with the 10-year yield reaching its highest level since May. Treasuries, often considered a direct competitor to gold due to their interest-bearing nature, could diminish gold's appeal if yields continue to rise.
Ben personally advises waiting for a decisive candle close below the 2636 liquidity zone before taking further advantage of the market trend.
NZDJPY bottomed being formed. Huge long-term buy.The NZDJPY pair gave us an excellent sell signal back on our July 10 analysis (see chart below) and not only hit our 95.580 Target but broke below and invalidated the medium-term Channel Up:
The long-term Channel Up however, is still intact and it is evident on the 1W time-frame where the July - August sell-off found support and stopped exactly on the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line).
That was the first strong long-term buy signal. Since then, the price has been consolidating within the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), which has already rejected the uptrend multiple times and the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the Channel Up.
The second buy signal came this month, as it made a Double Bottom on the Higher Lows trend-line of the Channel Up. This whole sequence is very similar with the bottom formations of Jan - April 2023 and December - February 2022. Both started new Bullish Legs and never looked back once the price broke above the 1W MA50.
So the confirmed buy signal for this pair will be if a 1W candle closes above the 1W MA50. If that happens, we will turn bullish with our Target being 102.000 (+18.31%, the minimum Bullish Leg rise within the Channel Up).
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USDJPYHere is our in-depth view and update on USDJPY . Potential opportunities and what to look out for. This is a long-term overview on the pair.
Alright first, let’s take a step back and take a look at USDJPY from a bigger perspective. For this we will be looking at the H4 time-frame .
USDJPY is currently trading at around 151.800 after making its correction down to 150.400 .
Scenario 1: SELLS from higher levels (153.300)
We are at 153.300.
That would confirm our pullback to the uspide and as long as it’s respected, we should continue to the downside to our next KL (Key Level) sitting at 150.400.
Scenario 2: SELLS from 150.400
We dropped down to our Key Level 150.400 . If broken we should see more sells down to our targeted zones 149.500 - 149.000 .
Scenario 3: BUYS from 154.700.
We broke above 154.700 and are trading above it. We should see more upside potentially reaching new highs at around 158.800 .
Personal opition:
The direction for now is unclear until we break our mentioned key levels. A safe sell trade could be taken at 153.000 - 153.300 . Be patient and stay tuned for updates on this pair.
KEY NOTES
- USDJPY breaking below 150.400 would confirm sells down to 149.500 - 149.000.
- USDJPY failing to break above 153.300 would confirm sells.
- Breaks above 154.700 would show signs of reverse and could potentially rise up to 158.800.
Happy trading!
FxPocket
EUR-AUD Will Keep Growing! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-AUD is trading in an
Uptrend and the pair made
A bullish breakout of the
Key level of 1.6596 then
Made a pullback and is
Now going up again
So we are bullish biased
And we will be expecting
A further bullish move up
Buy!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
DXY Will Grow! Long!
Here is our detailed technical review for DXY.
Time Frame: 30m
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 108.242.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 108.539 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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Trading minute impulseOn the minute timeframe of XAUUSD at the moment we have the completion of the impulse formation. If the price continues to move in the direction of the impulse and the support zones do not allow it to overcome the base of the impulse, it may reach the targets 1 and 2. If the price fails to advance in the direction of the momentum and overcomes the support zone at the base of the momentum, it is very likely that the price will move sideways or against the direction of the momentum.
Tesla (TSLA): Profits Taken, Pullback AnticipatedWhat a rise by NASDAQ:TSLA !
The stock has now reached the targeted wave 3 zone, and we might see some asset rotation out of Tesla into underperforming stocks that could attract renewed attention and capital inflows. Many traders have booked significant profits on NASDAQ:TSLA , and larger players are likely to do the same in the coming sessions.
As usual, our focus remains on building a new position during a pullback. We are targeting the 38.2%–50% Fibonacci retracement levels, which should provide sufficient support for another push higher, potentially toward $585 or more. A key level to watch is the old all-time high. Should bulls defend it effectively, waiting for an entry at $371.35 might leave us sidelined.
However, we see no reason to force or rush an entry into NASDAQ:TSLA at the moment. Patience remains critical as we wait for the market to come to us.
GOLD - Should I sell?Brian, hello everyone!
Gold prices “plunged” and fell more than 2% to a one-month low in mid-week trading after the Fed decided to cut interest rates as expected, but noted that it would slow the pace of borrowing cost reductions in the near term. The Fed’s stance boosted the USD and bond yields.
Based on the performance of gold on the 4-hour time frame, along with indicators from EMA and RSI, a bearish trend is expected in the coming period. With the current unfavorable situation for gold, the price of gold is likely to reach $2,537 in the near future.
BTCUSDT: Consolidating below key resistance. What next?Hello, dear friends!
BTC/USDT is currently on a bearish trajectory, with the price hovering around $101,200. This decline follows comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell opposing the establishment of a national bitcoin reserve fund.
From a theoretical perspective, the outlook suggests further downside potential, as the price is currently near critical resistance levels around the 0.618 and 0.5 Fibonacci retracements, while the descending trendline remains intact. It is anticipated that the decline could extend to the designated support zones.
Wishing you all profitable trades ahead!
After the US pivoted monetary policy : ??At the beginning of the trading session on December 19 (US time), the world gold price continued to decrease after the US announced the number of unemployment benefit applications was 220,000, down from the forecast of 230,000 applications. This prompted the US Federal Reserve (Fed) to slow down the process of cutting interest rates in the future.
Previously, gold investors were disappointed when the Fed sent out an unfavorable signal right after the monetary policy meeting on December 18. The US Central Bank issued a new forecast, showing that there will be 2 rounds of 25 basis point interest rate cuts next year.
According to independent metal trader Tai Wong, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell revealed that he will slow down the process of cutting interest rates in the context of persistent inflation.
This message from the Fed will make the gold price trend worse in the long term.
According to analysts, the gold market has been volatile at times after the US pivoted its monetary policy. Specifically, the FED is expected to cut interest rates by a total of 0.5 percentage points only twice in 2025. This is a big change compared to the FED's announcement in September 2024 that there would be 4 interest rate cuts next year. This move has stimulated a very strong increase in the price of the USD and US bond interest rates.
Because gold is priced in USD, when the "health" of this currency is stronger, it will put pressure on the price of this precious metal. Higher US bond interest rates have attracted investors to put capital into bonds, reducing demand for gold.
GBP/USD: Bearish Momentum Holds Below 1.2500GBP/USD trades around 1.2490, showing weakness for the third consecutive day, with the daily chart indicating a bearish bias within a descending channel. The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points as expected, projecting a 2025 rate of 3.9% (up from 3.4% in September). Powell emphasized caution and a slower path for future rate cuts, while the BoE kept rates steady at 4.75%. The strengthening of the US Dollar has been supported by rising Treasury yields, although improving global risk sentiment might limit further gains. A break below the 1.2450 support could push the price towards 1.2400, while a move above 1.2530 might open the door to a potential test of 1.2600, though this remains unlikely without favorable catalysts.
GOLD → Interest rates are dropping, so why is gold falling?Hello, dear friends! Ben here!
Gold prices remain consolidated below the $2,600 level following a strong two-way price movement in the previous session and stay near their lowest point in over a month.
The primary reason for the decline in gold prices is the recent decision by the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) to cut interest rates by an additional 0.25%. While this move was widely anticipated, the Fed also indicated that it plans to reduce rates at a slower pace in 2025. The impact of recent Fed rate cuts had already been priced into gold. At this point, investors are eager to know how many rate cuts the Fed will execute in 2025.
According to the Fed's latest interest rate projections, only two rate cuts are expected in 2025, compared to four cuts projected in the September forecast. In theory, the Fed’s hawkish stance has worked effectively: the dollar has strengthened, and the markets have weakened.
Today, all eyes are on GDP and the PCE data—an index the Fed considers a key measure of inflation.
From a technical perspective, after retesting the previously broken channel boundary and an imbalance zone, gold prices have dropped further. As a result, a clear trend is emerging that warrants close observation. If the price fails to hold above the critical support level around $2,586/ounce, it is highly likely to decline toward the $2,521/ounce area.
Sincerely,
Bentradegold!
GOLD Bearish Breakout! Selll!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD is trading in a
Downtrend and the price
Made a bearish breakout
A retest and pullback
From the key level of 2620$
So we are bearish biased
And we will be expecting
A further bearish move down
Sell!
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USOIL Is Bullish! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for USOIL.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 69.836.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 71.162.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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