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Shoulders

Inverted Head & Shoulders on 1 Day Chart Still Very Much In PlayWe got very close to the original projected price target of the lavender wedges projected breakdown, but jut broke upward from the latest bear flag just before the new day candle started. What's a very encouraging sign is that we dropped to almost the exact same height as the left shoulder of this inverted head and shoulder pattern...always good for the validity of a h&s pattern when the shoulders are that symmetrical...not a necessity but usually when its that picturesque it gives the pattern much greater probability of playing out. For the price to turn around at that exact height increases my expectations of the inverted head and shoulder pattern triggering after all...so wise to keep a close eye on that. You'll recall in my laat idea titled two outcomes...one of the outcomes I saw was the price turning back upward to continue the right shoulder...the other outcome was that we would bounce off the bottom trendline of the pink symmetrical triangle we are in...that outcome is still in play too, and in fact both could happen...reaching the bottom trendline and bouncing up off it would not invalidate the inv h&s pattern....however it's much more encouraging pattern if it stays to the upside now based on the symmetry of everything. Wise to still be prepared for both outcomes though. I'm leaning more towards it going up from here but will keep this idea listed neutral since both outcomes are still in play. I also projected it reaching the neckline of the inv head and shoulder pattern around the 28th just because I'm fundamentally factoring in when the Futures contracts are set to expire on the 27th. Considering how that's still 15 days away that still gives us plenty of time to have another dip again before reaching the neckline so be prepared.
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by DrDovetail
Two Outcomes.Looking at the 1day chart you can see that if we were to break upward here we would be forming a higher low on the 1 day chart and that also the inverted head and shoulder pattern is still in play. However the stochrsi on the 1 day chart has plenty of room to dip still. I think we could still be forming a 1 day inverted head and shoulder pattern however if we were to break downward from here I think we would bounce upward off off the bottom trendline of the symmetrical pink triangle as support around 6k. At this point either outcome is probable and thus this idea will be listed neutral.
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by DrDovetail
1
Still flirting w/ inv. h&s neckline; nearing 4hr golden crossWe continue to form a bull flag at the top trendline of the pink symmetrical triangle which also doubles as the neckline of the inverted head and shoulder pattern. We can see the we are on the verge of a 4hr golden cross too with the 4hr 50ma(in orange) nearing the 4hr 200ma (in blue). A golden cross on the 4hr chart is very often followed by an uptrend. I feel that based on how close to over extended the 4hr rsi and stochrsi are though that we may need to consolidate inside this bull flag for quite a bit longer with maybe even a bearish fakeout or two to reset them enough to sustain the breakout that will come from breaking up out of the inverted head and shoudler pattern and the the pink symmetrical triangle pattern at the same time. I've placed a green dotted line on the chart to illustrate the expected breakout target of the inverted head and shoulders pattern, and a pink dotted line to illustrate the projected breakout target from the symmetrical triangle pattern. The only thing holding the breakout back currently is how close to overextended the rsi and stochrsi indicators are. Despite that I believe we can find a way to consolidate too cool them off then achieve the breakout...especially if a 4hr golden cross occurs. We still have the lavender rising wedge we have been bound to though as well which may maintain resistance so while I believe we will break upward I am prepared for a fakeout as well. We currently have a 230 btc coin sell wall right at 7k on coinbasepro so that may be a hard resistance hurdle to overcome as well. Overall my sentiment currently is bullish though so I will lable this idea long, while anticipating a bearish fake out or 2 before the breakout. Thanks for reading and good luck **not financial advice**
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLong
by DrDovetail
Testing the Neckline of the Inverted Head & Shoulders PatternA nice bull surge has taken us to the neckline of the inverted head and shoulders pattern! We pierced it on the last candle..if we can close a couple candles above the neckline I'm fairly confident we will be revisiting the rimline of the inverted cup and handle pattern we broke down from last month. Breaking out from the inverted head and shoulder pattern will also allow us to break upward from the current pink symmetrical triangle we are in as well. However we need to keep an eye on the top trendline of the rising wedge we are still in (in lavender) breaking above this would be a very bullish sign indeed. As with all head and shoulder patterns...wait for the breakout (lots of bullish volume) to decide what to do, as they often times will end up being fakeouts. Good luck in whatever you decide to do, remember this is not financial advice, and thanks for reading!
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLong
by DrDovetail
2
Still inside larger rising wedge; Potential inverted h&s in playAfter seemingly breaking down from the first wedge but not getting a big enough red candle to go with it I have readjusted the smaller green rising wedge to fit more of a traditional bull flag shape. Was also able to widen the larger purple rising wedge with the newer candles wicks to see that we are still very much inside the bigger rising wedge. We could essentially however stay inside the bigger wedge and trigger an inverted head and shoulder pattern for a bullish break upward before we break downward out of the larger wedge. If hat were to happen it may allow us to avoid breaking downward from the bigger lavender rising wedge all together. Current stochrsi, and rsi on the 4hr chart seem like tey are ready for an upward climb as well. All these things considered makes this idea a neutral one.
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by DrDovetail
Bitcoin Reversal Currently, it appears to me that bitcoin is following the path of the inverse head and shoulder I have drawn and suggested weeks ago, it has broken the trendline of the last move down in an off shade of blue. So long as 6250 (the green line) stays strong the bullish sentiment will remain and we will continue the pattern. I believe that there is a strong possibility that pattern will be completed. This is also one of the possible last times that the bulls have to reverse this trend. So, for bitcoin to reverse its trend, it must significantly break the resistance trendline of the descending triangle (the lower purple line was the support and this will now be strong resistance, and the upper purple line was the resistance and it continues to be strong resistance), this would confirm a double bottom and it would send bitcoins price further up and to possible new highs. Failure of breaking the trendline would mean that we are most likely going to continue move sideways or continue our slow decent downwards. Once completed, the inverted head and shoulders has about an 80% chance of reaching its target objective. The Large oval is the point at which I believe bitcoin will test these trendlines. If the inverse head and shoulder is completed then it will be going upwards to test the trend lines, if not then it will continue moving downwards or sideways. If bitcoin cannot break the first trendline of the descending triangle, then it will continue downwards, if it can break the first trendline, it must test the true resistance which is the upper limits of 7000 or the lower limits of 8000 dependent on the time frame bitcoin makes a move; however, if it cannot break the second trendline bitcoin's price will continue downwards or sideways. Take Away: 1.) The inverted head and shoulder must hold (the left shoulder should not dip too low) then it must test the neckline of the inverted head and shoulder, if these do not hold true, expect more downwards action. 2.) If bitcoin breaks the neckline on high volume expect to test the trendlines and expect a possible bullish reversal and a continuation upwards, if not, expect more downwards action. Previous analysis:
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by CuddlyCuddles
Potential Inverted head and shoulders on the 1/4hr chartsWe got a nice little green impulse past couple candles with some very strange behavior going on with the orderbook over on gdax likely from bots.We can see now that we are a bove a very ugly looking inverted head and shoulder pattern but we can also see the 4hr stoch rsi is overextended and must eventually drop sooner than later. If we can maintain the price action above 6250 for the next couple 4hr candles we should see the inverted head and shoulders triggered which could take it to potentially the 6700s if so. There's an equally good chance however it could be a fakeout and a deeper dip could be on the way below our last low after simply forming a lower high here. For us to form a higher high we would need to impulse above 6.8k not impossible, especially if the inverted head and shoulders is triggered...probability still favors the bears at this point but I will leave this idea as neutral for now. Somehow even though the adam and eve double bottom has sadly been invalidated we still have a chance to trigger a triple bottom. if the triple bottom doesn't occur...I still think we will see a bullish turn around within a weeks time or so simply because the 200MA on the 1day chart is now starting to finally curl downward...it is still currently factoring in all price action from December 7th to now...but once it no longer factors in anything from before December 15th we should see a noticeable drop off on the 200MA, and if we simultaneously are going up ward enough to get the trajectory of the 50ma to point upward then we should see a 1 day golden cross sometime in July which will be a great sign for the bulls and potentially restart the bull market. For now, however I am neutral.
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by DrDovetail
1hr inverted head & shoulders triggers neckline could go to 6.8kWe can see an inverted head and shoulders seems to have triggered on the 1hr chart. the target price for the breakout is 6.8k they don't always reach their but ometimes they exceed it. So while I'm long until 6.8k if we turn back towards the downside before forming a higher high there's still good odds we will be heading towards a lower low right afterwards. This lower low could be just low enough to trigger the double bottom with february's low or it could reach all the way down to 4.1k to complete the breakout target of the inverted cup and handle on the 4hr chart. So unless I see a higher low or higher high fo some sort I probably won't be staying in too long. when In exit I will put a stop buy in a somewhere $200-$300 above wherever I exit just to play it safe. Please make your own strategies and decisions because this is not meant as financial advice if you choose to factor in anything I've said here that's your own choice. Good luck and thanks for reading!
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by DrDovetail
1
series of higher lows still in tact, higher highs broken.We are still at this moment in a continuing series of higher lows on the 4hr which is good but we've actually had 2 lower highs in between those higher lows in a row so that coupled with a new potential head and shoulder pattern leaves rom for concern. I exited my position above the t line at around 7632 and only plan on getting back in around 7821 to play it safe. I may buy back in to accumulate more btc if it dips way low but I might just wait until it reaches this point and shows that it can clear some of these sell walls. That's my current approach. Good luck in whatever you choose to do, and remember this is not financial advice only me sharing my personal strategy that works best for me.
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by DrDovetail
Head and Shoulders on the 4hr chart still in play.I'm keeping a close eye on this...was hoping we would break upward from the latest bullflag but we apparently did a bart pattern instead. If we trigger this head and shoulders shorting is likely wise. I'm trying to be optimistic that we will avoid it though but gotta be prepared in case it occurs. Just putting this info out there so you can make a better informed decision yourself...not meant to be financial advice of course just a possibility worth being aware of. For now I remain neutral and am trying to stay optimistic. The 4hr stochrsi is not in a good position right now either and has plenty of room to drop but I'm hoping it makes a 180 before falling too far. Good luck in whatever path you choose to take.
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by DrDovetail
3
looking to form a higher low..potential h&s in playThe recent dip back to the 4hour 50ma has us looking for a bounce and hopefully forming another higher low to continue the series of higher lows/higher highs. However, it sent a bear wick under the 50ma before bouncing back upward and that wick dropped down to the exact level it would need to complete the head of a new potential head and shoulder pattern. Because of this it is imperative that on the next leg up we form another higher high otherwise the odds of forming the right shoulder of this potential head and shoulder pattern will be of a very high probability. Furthermore if we were to trigger that head and shoulder pattern there is a much larger inverted cup and handle pattern that could potentially be triggered shortly afterwards. Seeing a higher high after this higher low forms is very important, and if not at least an additional higher low or 2 until we reach that higher high. Hopefully this is what occurs...the inverted head and shoulder pattern we just broke above failed to reach its target breakout though so maybe the same would be true with a regular head and shoulder pattern as well. Stay cautious and vigilant and prepared for either outcome and you should be fine. I'm still optimistic of a bull run, but ready for the opposite.
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by DrDovetail
4
BTC has broken above the inv h&s & falling wedge A good sign for the bulls as BTC has now broken upward from the bull flag it was in on the 1 day chart which has allowed it to break above both the inverted head and shoulder pattern and the falling wedge as well. It is still seeing resistance at the 4hr charts 60 line on the RSI but as soon as we can break above the 60 on the 4hr rsi and flip it to support I think the real bull run will begin...lots of bullish signals all around including the developing golden cross on the 1 day chart which is still probably a week or 2 away but worth keeping an eye on. If the inverted head and shoulder breakout is legit we should see the price action go up to around 8k and test the top trendline of the larger triangle pattern that we have been in since the beginning of the year. Our series of higher low/higher highs is still in tact as well so I still am a firm believer in "To the moon in June!"
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLong
by DrDovetail
3