Buy Some New Shorts Pt. 2
Simple analysis here. The VIX is closing in on strong dynamic and static support.
Buy volatility, sell/short high-risk assets (1-6 month timeframe).
No change in my intermediate and long-term thesis. Still early innings of a bear market. Market conditions are steadily worsening.
Looking for a move in VIX to the static resistance level of 35.8 in the coming months.
Good luck! This is not financial advice.
Shortsignal
BTC USD prediction 12-11 short positionDear traders as we see in the chart 1h time frame we found short opportunity,, depend our analysis the price make a consolidate for moving down on important resistance and also the price under all the ema line ,, so if the price break this consolidate then the it will moving down ,, also as you see the rsi indicator give short signal and adx indicator give us the same signal for short
Porsche: Ready to Race?Instead of stepping on the gas pedal, the Porsche stock corrected as soon as it touched our tourqoise target zone. We predict that the course continues to drop into the red zone between 56.44€ and 44.06€, until it completes the red wave (2). Following the correction, the trend should head towards the resistance at 69.20€.
In an alternative scenario with a 35% chance, the Porsche stock has the opportunity to push for a rapid turnaround now and exceed the 69.20€ resistance mark to gain further pace on the upper side.
SPX 500 above 200 weekly MA After a drop of 28% from the peak, SPX has bounced up after touching the 200 weekly moving average.
It does not indicate a trend change but rather seems like a bull trap in the overall bear market.
FED is meeting between 1-2 November and volatility is expected.
If you are entering longs, protect your profits with tight stop loss.
Things can turn down again very soon.
EURGBP Weekly Forecast is Short 4HEURGBP Weekly Forecast is Short and Bearish
Weekly Forex Forecast for October 10 to 14 , multiple timeframe analysis. Knowing WHEN to trade is one of the most important components to forex trading, I will be breaking that down in this forex forecast on Homa Forex Channel.
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GBPJPY H1 - Short SetupGBPJPY H1 - A mental week to say the least for the GBP and YEN, yet again. Some monster moves, 600 pips seen on single M5 and M15 candles, thankfully, healthy corrections seen towards the latter part of the week, which has balanced zones and made things measurable for us to follow going into this fresh week. Huge 10R trade potential down towards the previous area of S/R, we saw a handful of rejections from this 162-handle last week, a dip as much as 250 pips which was great. But minor in the grand scheme of things. Failing this rejection, we can simply look for break and retest play from that 162 handle.
MATIC SHORT TILL 0.8035$MATIC gave a breakout from a bear flag 20 ma , 50 ma , 20 ema , 50 ema , are going to cross downside which is also a heavy bearish sign 4hr 6hr macd is also indicating bearish movement . you can a open a short till our target and sl with low levrage.
NOT A FINANCIAL ADVICE.
ANC/USDT SHORT?ANC just gave a breakout from a symmetrical triangle downside and also retseted it smaller time frames , we can open a short till given target with proper stoploss and target .
AUD/NZD Short SignalChart Analysis
Technical Analysis:
- Price recently fell below a long term uptrend upper trend line and trading in a tight range near the lows of full range.
- Price seems to be forming either a rising wedge *(bearish chart pattern) or a triangle wedge *(bear or bullish chart pattern). Supporting the indecision and why price trading in tight range BUT......slight rising wedge chart pattern, downward price movement and strong resistance level pushes more towards a weakening bullish starting to turn bearish.
- Selling volume spikes above average has been around economic event announcements.
- RSI giving a weak sell signal because price is above moving averages and vortex indicator is still bullish but with a narrow gap.
Signals: (Recommendations and doesn't guarantee profits or losses)
- Scalp Trade
- Sell Limit: 1.11000 - 1.08000
- Take Profits: 1.10300 - 1.09700
- Reward/Risk Ratio: 2/3:1
- Day/Swing Trade:
- Sell Limit: 1.10200 - 1.10100
*ENTRY AFTER PRICE FALLS BELOW AND RETEST MOVING AVERAGE AND WEDGE SUPPORT LEVEL
(ASSUMING A BREAKOUT BELOW SUPPORT LEVELS)
- Take Profits: 1.09700 - 1.0300
- Reward/Risk Ratio: 2/3:1
BTC PERSONAL ANALYSIS IN THE SHORT TERM (UPDATED)The total evaluation for the BTC chart is bearish. Please be reminded that the price movement displayed is evidence of a previous cycle from where we got rejected at 30-32k range, you may use that as a reference on a separate browser while comparing the two. Before listing my reasoning for the bearish price action, here are the possible edges that you may use as valid factors for maintaining your shorts:
The impending doom for the overpriced housing market and its highly potential crash
The Pandemic that has still caused multiple variant to remain challenging since 2020 and has not been given an epidemic-endemic status.
The Russian-Ukraine War that has yet to be resolved and would likely not be in the longer term until Putin's goal is accomplished.
The consistent strength of monthly negative Consumer Price Index reports showing increasing amount of inflation.
Increasing amount of Rate Hikes by the FED to challenge inflation (Possible 100 Point Rate Hike)
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Now that the macro-economic factors are listed, let me explain to you the price action shown above.
A descending triangle is formed in any timeframe specifically and advisably in the 1H-4H timeframe and the 12H-1D timeframe, such pattern is usually a slow consolidation to the downside with a potential breakout to the upside at its latter. This is confirmed pattern to be used due to the "WEAKNESS" displayed every time we are nearly approaching the 22-23k$ region. The price level was rejected previously on June 16 followed by a daily candle rejection on June 21 and as of today's price reading June 26, the price is displaying significant amount of indecision and lack of volume which is manifested into a "Doji".
The red daily candle doji is displayed slightly below the highest peak of yesterday's price action which was at 21,599$ instead of closing higher to confirm a bullish bias. A weakness on the trend due to indecision is a warning sign for a potential sell-off back to the previous support of 20,700 to a potential temporary bottom of 20,000$, after that it is followed by another re-test of up to a maximum of 21,200$ being confirmed as resistance (TRIPLE TOP) and sending it down in a staircase-like manner to a maximum temporary bottom of 19,600$ which will serve as support similar to the 29k region. After that, it will now enter a consolidation pattern from 19,600 to 20,800$ for a while until it breaks out to the upside to validate the descending triangle.
The breakout to the upside will ultimately be a disbelief rally, a showcase of a desperate attempt to get out of the bearish bias which is also what we call a manipulation wick by market makers to grab liquidity out of a tight consolidation. It will most likely break tremendously beyond the 21,600$ (which was the the price for a double top) and reach a maximum of 23,800$ but not more than 24,600$, anything beyond 24k is a definite short given the fact that there are no positive fundamentals behind the pump (e.g. Lowered Inflation, Lowering Rate Hikes, Pandemic to Epidemic Status, War stopped, etc.)
The manipulation pump wick will most likely bottom out the same price at which it pumped from for days and it will be on a stair-case pattern building market structure to the downside which will give time for moving averages on the daily timeframe to cross over at its end confirming a breakdown towards the previous support (17,000-18,000$).
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F A Q S
Question 1: What are the possible invalidation points?
Answer: A descending triangle pattern is completely invalidated if we get a volume pump up until 24k which is a temporary short level and will most likely use 22k as brand new support for further legs to the upside. This completely validates, on the other hand, the Reverse HnS.
Question 2: Are dojis entirely reliable?
Answer: They do not indicate a definite move, but they help shape your decision on the gravity of the trend especially if it has been previously rejected in daily timeframes. In this case, it shows weakness potentially decreasing chances a further bullish move since it is not supported by a decent amount of volume. Remember that even if it goes up to 22k, it doesn't confirm anything until it hits 23,200$ or 24,000$. It will most likely just warrant itself a HnS pattern or a quick liquidity grab of stop losses above 22k but not more than 23k.
Question 3: Do you use any other indicators to help confirm this pattern?
Answer: Definitely. I use the Relative Strength Index, Volume Profile, Bollinger Bands, and the MACD. In the RSI, we are definitely oversold in the macro timeframe but this is often a lagging indicator and does not constitute ripples from minor timeframe that could escalate its way up to the larger timeframes. In higher TFs (at least 4H), we do not see any strong momentum on the bullish bias, it is just in the middle of the index indicating neutral pace. The MACD on the 8 hour, 12 hour and daily timeframe are unreliable as they are lagging significantly, ,the 4H timeframe shows a HnS on the buying pressure which ultimately favors the bears in the end.
Question 4: Do you use leverage or margin trading?
Answer: I do not margin trade, but I do futures trading and the way I use it is not based on a tight percentage ratio of risk-reward as I find it to be completely strict and not versatile enough to include other trading techniques such as hedging and would most likely cut off your potential profits or stop losses earlier. The true key for using leverage is to find moves with confirmation that there is a high possibility of you winning that trade with reference to past previous price actions, taking account fundamentals to inform your decisions and as well as ACCEPTING mentally and emotionally that you are risking this certain amount of money to get stopped at a reasonable level (trend turnovers) if in any case you are wrong. I abhor revenge trading.
Thank you for reading and I hope you get a good short trade on this. If you do end up profitable on this move, do not forget to like, comment about your experiences and share to your friends!
-Wamses