📈Near: Bearish Rejection at Weekly Resistance✅🔍Today's analysis focuses on Near, which experienced a rejection from the weekly resistance at $8.39 on the first day of the week. The rejection candle engulfs the previous three candles, indicating strong resistance. However, it's noteworthy that the volume of the rejection candle is lower than the preceding candle, suggesting significant resistance despite a surge in buying volume failing to breach the resistance barrier.
🌪Since March 11th, Near has been consolidating within a range, with the weekly resistance at $8.39 and the support at the 38% Fibonacci level. Both levels exhibit considerable strength, but a preference for a downward correction is apparent from the price action, given the dominance of red candles, potentially stalling the upward momentum. Nonetheless, the weekly and daily trends remain bullish, capable of easily reversing the sentiment on the 4-hour timeframe if the resistance is breached. Therefore, vigilance is required to avoid missing out on potential gains.
📉For short positions, the 38% Fibonacci level serves as a trigger, but it carries significant risk, necessitating careful risk management. Quick profit-taking is advised if the level is breached, as it may signify the beginning of a market downturn, with sellers yet to fully assert their control.
📈For long positions, awaiting confirmation within the golden Fibonacci zone or entering after the $8.39 resistance is breached is recommended. Moreover, if the RSI can break above the 62.69 resistance and the price overcomes its weekly resistance, targeting $13 becomes plausible, potentially offering a risk-reward ratio of 10 with prudent stop-loss placement.
🧠💼It's important to acknowledge the inherent risks in futures trading, with the potential for margin calls if risk management is neglected. Always adhere to strict capital management principles and utilize stop-loss orders, ensuring that the initial target offers a risk-to-reward ratio of 2.
Shortposition
📈LTC Analysis: Short Position Opportunity in Volatile Market🔥🔍Today, we are focusing on analyzing LTC for future prospects. It's worth noting that it's Monday, typically associated with lower market volume and increased market volatility.
🔒On the 4-hour timeframe, we find ourselves within a trading range, with the resistance ceiling at $94.34 and the support floor at $82.97. A recent rejection from the upper boundary suggests that sellers have more strength compared to buyers. Thus, initiating a short position could be a more secure move.
📉In case the $82.97 support level is breached, entering a short position with a target price of $75.98, accompanied by a well-defined stop-loss, could offer a minimum risk-reward ratio of 2.
💎The SMA7 indicator has converged with the price, potentially signaling further downward momentum. If the SMA7 fails to maintain the trend, we'll wait for confirmation from the SMA25. Failure on both indicators may lead to a sideways movement, possibly retesting the upper boundary of the trading range. 📊In the recent downtrend, the volume of red candles has diminished compared to the initial wave. While this could be attributed to the typically lower trading activity on Sundays, a resurgence in volume from tomorrow onwards is essential. Failure to observe increased volume could indicate weakness in the trend.
💥 Additionally, the RSI oscillator provides a critical support level at 32.64. Simultaneous breach of the $82.97 support level and the RSI support could serve as another confirmation for a short position.
❌In conclusion, vigilance is paramount today. If the short position trigger is breached or if setting a large stop-loss to avoid unnecessary risk or setting too small a stop-loss to quickly hit the target, it's crucial to maintain a balanced approach.
🧠💼It's important to acknowledge the inherent risks in futures trading, with the potential for margin calls if risk management is neglected. Always adhere to strict capital management principles and utilize stop-loss orders, ensuring that the initial target offers a risk-to-reward ratio of 2.
Bitcoin Mid-Term Analysis4H Timeframe:
Bitcoin broke through the $70,000 area and pulled back, forming a lower low and a lower high.
These are the first signs of a trend change in the medium term.
Based on this analysis, the first target for this correction is the $63,000 area and the second target is the $61,000 area.
Weekly Timeframe:
Bitcoin is still in an uptrend in the weekly timeframe.
Therefore, caution should be exercised when taking a short position.
Long-Term Trend:
The price trend in the long term is strongly bullish.
Any price drop at this stage could be a good opportunity for traders to re-enter and could be just a correction.
Historical Precedent:
In previous Bitcoin cycles, there have been corrections before halvings.
Therefore, it is not unexpected that this will happen in this cycle as well.
Disclaimer:
The analysis provided here is for informational purposes only.
You are solely responsible for the consequences of any trades you make based on this information.
ETHUSDT: Head and Shoulders Breakdown Targets for Short and LongAfter a thorough analysis of the BINANCE:ETHUSDT chart on a 6-hour timeframe, I've observed a complete Head and Shoulders pattern, with the neckline breached near point B. The pattern indicates a potential SHORT trade, with a target of point C at approximately the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level of the prior uptrend, corresponding to a price of 2083.91 USDT .
Upon reaching point C , if the price action suggests a reversal with strong bullish signals, such as a Double Bottom formation, there could be an opportunity for a LONG position. The LONG trade could target point D , which is near the 1.861 Fibonacci extension level of the downtrend, projecting a target around 5104.17 USDT.
Please keep in mind this analysis is based on current technical patterns and Fibonacci retracement and extension levels, which are subject to change with market dynamics. This is not financial advice but rather a sharing of my strategy based on my interpretation of the data. Ensure to conduct your own research and apply proper risk management.
Trade safe and best wishes to all!
AMD is no NVDA don't fall into the hype!
AMD vs. NVDA:
When looking at these two stocks it's clear that NVDA is the clear winner and will maintain its pricing power over alternatives.
NVDA's Gross margin (75.97%) is +35.57% that of AMD (40.4%).
Although AMD has a low price to sales ratio this is likely due to them having a "Walmart sales model". High volume, low margin.
This is illustrated further when looking at both companies price to cash flow ratio. Despite recent surges in NVDA stock price this has been trending lower for NVDA and higher for AMD.
Most recent price to cash flow ratios: NVDA (54.1) and AMD (188.14). This helps visualize how much investors are paying for each company to generate cash flow.
I don't know about you but I am not willing to get in at these levels and although it is very risky I'm tempted to buy some puts against AMD. Yes they have excellent management and a large economic moat, it does not compare to that of NVDA and it should not be benefiting as greatly as it has recently by NVDA's recent performance.
AMD is now approaching the top of a channel that has been strong resistance for higher moves.
It seems like everyone in the market is un NASDAQ:AMD NASDAQ:AMD NASDAQ:AMD der the impression nothing ever falls. Although it would be bold and extremely risky to buy puts on any AI stock I believe it to be the correct one.
Curious to hear others opinions.
AMD:
www.tradingview.com
NVDA:
www.tradingview.com
GRTUSDT SHORT POSITIONThe price has successfully completed a three-drive pattern, and concurrently, there is a noticeable formation of a rising wedge pattern and I shouldn't forget to mention that the strength of each new upward wave has weakened compared to its previous wave. Additionally, the confirmation of a bearish movement is evident through the observed RSI divergence.
please follow and support for more
EURUSD Short Position idea 2.5RR / ICT / 12th February 2024New York Session:
- I believe the price will continue to the downside.
- I want to see the price trade to a premium in the London session before going lower and taking out a short-term high.
- I will be targeting the equilibrium of the PWR.
- Wait for the price to reach 50% of the London session range.
2.5 RR TRADE / ICT / 12th Feb 2024 London Session ReviewAsian Session:
- Bullish Session.
- Price broke PDH, PML, and PWH.
- RELs at Asia’s low.
- Price is at a discount of the H4 dealing range.
- RELs at the equilibrium of the Asian range.
London Session:
- I was expecting a reversal due to the market taking of PDH and PWH during Asia.
- My first DOL was Asia's RELs at the equilibrium of the Asian range.
- My second DOL was Asia's Low and the RELs at Asia's low.
- Price performed a London Judas.
- Price made the high of the session at 1.25 STD of the Asian range.
- Price made the high of the session at 1.25 STD of the CBDR.
-
ICT Concepts
⤵️⤵️(GBPUSD short signal)⤵️📌gbpusd FX:GBPUSD confirmed ✅ entry for this week trader entry level position 1.27664) this week usd will go up ⬆️ I think 💭 this week gbpusd will go down same Srl will go support level waiting for hitting target entry level on your position )
Entry 1.27664
Target 1.25998
SL. 1.28155
Safe Trade 🙏❤️ pales like 👍🏻 and comments 👇
⤵⤵ gold fundamental analysis)technical analysis). traders are you looking for a bearish trandline gold Market this week gold fullback down 👇 1980? Gold seller reject the resistance levels breakdown I think 💬 gold moving down 2040 fullback down 1980
Fundamental Analysis of Gold FXOPEN:XAUUSD TVC:DXY
The outlook created by the fundamental analysis of the gold market remains strong with the growing uncertainty in the world economy and rapidly expanding money supply. As governments try to cope with financial turbulence, they print more and more fiat money (money that is not backed with material assets). This fuels inflation that eats away government bonds yields. If the yields themselves are lower than the inflation, then you actually lose purchasing power by holding these bonds. In such a situation, investors switch to assets they believe will allow them to preserve their wealth. Gold is precisely one of such assets.
Entry 2021
Entry 2040
Target 1980
safe trade ❣️🙏 pales like 👍 and comments 👇
Sizable short selling opportunity in SPXFollowing our previous successful profit-taking advice for the SPX long position at 4900, AstroDunia's market timing model, informed by financial astrology, has identified a compelling short-term selling opportunity.
Recommendation:
Enter a short position in SPX (Cash) at current market price (CMP) of 4900 and an additional short position at 4935.
Set a stop-loss order at 4952 to manage risk.
Target potential downside towards 4700 and below.
Rationale:
Our proprietary market timing model, which incorporates insights from financial astrology, has identified a confluence of factors suggesting a potential decline in the SPX.
opportunity to go long or short in AVAXUSDTguys there is an opportunity to go long or short if the price breaks and closes below or above the support line and can aim the recent swing low or high and i have also used fib to predict where to set the take profit for both long a short position, for long position you can set your TP at the above arrow and for short position you can set your TP at the down arrow
NZD/ USD ! 19/12 Resistance zone for SELL signal⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ NZDUSD INFORMATION:
The trade balance of New Zealand experienced a decrease of $1.234B, which was contrary to the forecast of -$1.2B. This decline was a result of a slump in the trading of goods, with both imports and exports showing a decrease. As a result, it will be challenging for Kiwi buyers to find any incentives to bid during the upcoming week. However, the focus of most market participants will be on the US Dollar (USD) as the week comes to an end, with the anticipation of one final round of US inflation data.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Strong resistance zone, high trading volume, cannot be broken temporarily. Set up SELL signal
⭐️ SET UP NZDUSD PRICE:
🔥SELL zone: 0.62300 - 0.62450 SL 0.62900
TP1: 0.62000
TP2: 0.61700
TP3: 0.61400
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Double Top (Bearish) analysis)🗺️🗺️Hello traders what do you think about gbpusd
traders gbpusd now see a double
Top (Bearish pattern channels
In trading.a double top pattern is
a bearish chart pattern that indicates a potential trend 📉 reversel from an uptrend to a downtrend lt is characterized by Three conservative peaks (or highs) that are approximately equal; following by a price breakdown below a support levels.
key levels 1.24922
key levels 1.242111
key levels 1.23599
First Top:
The first top is firmed as the price rallies to a certain level and then retraces.lt represents a
resistance levels where selling pressure begins to outweigh buying pressure.
Decline and pullback:
After the first top.the price decline but subsequently rallies back up. the pullback creates the formation of the second top. which is also approximately equal to the first top.🧠
Breakdown:
The breakdown occurs when the price break's below the neckline indicating a potential trend reveal and the Start of a downtrend. traders often look for increased trading volume accompanying the the breakdown as confirmed signal.
The double ⏫ too pattern suggests that the buying pressure has exhaust and sellers are stepping in leading to a potential reversal of the previous uptrend the pattern is considered complete and confirmed when the price break's below the neckline.
triggered a bearish signal.
Trader's often use the height of pattern (measured from the neckline to the Tops)
to estimate a potential price target for the downward move after the breakdown.
Additionally. some trader's may apply other analysis tools as Fibonacci retracement levels or moving averages to further validate the pattern and identify potential entry or exit point's.
As with any chart pattern it's important to use the double top pattern in conjunction with other technical indicators and analysis mathods to increase the probability of successful trader's and to account for any potential false single 🙏
GBP/NZD ! 11/12 SELL NOW at the beginning of the week⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Monday, set up a SELL signal right at the nearest resistance zone, no important economic data today
⭐️ SET UP GBPNZD PRICE:
🔥SELL zone: 2.05200 - 2.05350 SL 2.05800
TP1: 2.05000
TP2: 2.04700
TP3: 2.04300
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
USD/CAD!! 7/12 Resistance zone for SELL signal⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ USD/CAD INFORMATION:
During the Asian trading hours on Thursday, the USD/CAD pair is experiencing a stronger performance. This improvement can be attributed to the increased demand for the US Dollar (USD) and the decrease in oil prices. Currently, the USD/CAD is trading at 1.3605, representing a 0.09% decline for the day.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
The nearest resistance area and buying volume decreased, setting up a SELL signal during the day
⭐️ SET UP USD/CAD PRICE:
🔥SELL USD/CAD zone: 1.36150 - 1.36300 SL 1.36700
TP1: 1.35900
TP2: 1.35600
TP3: 1.35300
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest