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Bitcoin Faces Bearish Pressure: Analysis Based on USDT.DAs of October 2024, Bitcoin appears to be entering a period of heightened bearish pressure, with USDT (Tether) market cap dominance signaling significant shifts in investor sentiment and risk management across the cryptocurrency markets. The USDT.D (USDT dominance) chart reflects market behavior that points towards reduced confidence in speculative assets such as Bitcoin, with the increase in USDT dominance indicating that traders are moving funds into stable assets. Let’s explore this in further detail, combining technical analysis with fundamental and geopolitical factors. Sentiment Shift: USDT Dominance on the Rise The chart indicates that USDT dominance is currently trending upward, hovering at around 5.7%. With a clear upward trajectory from its lows of 3.8%, this suggests that more market participants are parking their capital in USDT. This rising USDT dominance is often interpreted as a bearish signal for Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, as it implies that investors are seeking safety in stablecoins, rather than taking on the risk of volatile crypto assets. Notably, the price action of USDT dominance is testing key Bollinger Band levels. The red bands, indicating higher volatility zones, suggest that there is a heightened probability of a further spike in dominance. As USDT dominance pushes higher into the Bollinger Band range, Bitcoin and other speculative assets face selling pressure. The chart shows a growing preference for stability, which coincides with Bitcoin's decreasing speculative appeal in the current environment. Rising ATR: Volatility Building in the Market The Average True Range (ATR) percentage on the chart points towards increased volatility, sitting at 32.6%, and climbing to a peak of 46.9%. This heightened volatility, indicated by the widening ATR band, signals increasing uncertainty in the market. Historically, such volatility is often followed by bearish moves for risk-on assets like Bitcoin. As volatility grows, traders and institutions typically seek refuge in less volatile assets, pushing them towards USDT or other stablecoins. The increase in ATR% suggests a continued trend of traders reducing their exposure to Bitcoin in favor of more stable investments. The consistent rise in the ATR percentage alongside the growing USDT dominance strongly suggests that the market expects a period of heightened turbulence for Bitcoin. Fundamental Analysis: Stubborn Inflation, Central Bank Tightening, and Institutional Pullback Bitcoin’s bearish sentiment can be linked to broader macroeconomic factors, where persistent inflation and tight monetary policies continue to hamper speculative markets. Inflationary pressures remain a concern globally, especially in regions like the United States and Europe, where central banks have adopted a more aggressive stance to tighten monetary policies. The Federal Reserve’s ongoing interest rate hikes, aimed at curbing inflation, have made riskier investments like Bitcoin less attractive. Higher interest rates reduce the appeal of speculative assets, as borrowing costs rise and liquidity contracts. The shift to USDT reflects the broader flight to safety as investors await a clearer signal from central banks regarding future economic stability. Institutional interest in Bitcoin has also tapered. Many firms that entered the space during the 2021 bull market are now pulling back, reducing their exposure to cryptocurrencies. Institutions are becoming more risk-averse as concerns about tightening financial conditions, higher bond yields, and slowing global growth take center stage. This reduced demand from major market players further adds downward pressure on Bitcoin. Geopolitical Factors: Global Uncertainty Geopolitical instability is another critical factor weighing down Bitcoin's outlook. Ongoing conflicts, notably in Eastern Europe and the Middle East, have led to considerable uncertainty in global markets. Investors are now factoring in geopolitical risk alongside economic risk, leading to a preference for safer assets. Additionally, regulatory scrutiny on cryptocurrency markets, particularly stablecoins and decentralized finance, has escalated over the past year. US regulators, for example, are increasing oversight on Tether and other stablecoin providers, but ironically, this has not diminished the market's reliance on USDT as a safe haven. The market's trust in Tether amid rising scrutiny indicates a broader retreat from volatile assets like Bitcoin and a preference for liquid, USD-pegged stablecoins. Moreover, China’s continued crackdown on cryptocurrency activities and Europe’s regulatory frameworks have dampened enthusiasm in the space. These geopolitical tensions contribute to the bearish outlook, as regional instability and regulatory pressures keep risk appetite low. Bitcoin's Path Forward Considering these factors, Bitcoin faces significant headwinds in the near term. The chart analysis, with rising USDT dominance and escalating volatility, presents a clear bearish picture. Coupled with the current macroeconomic and geopolitical backdrop, Bitcoin is likely to experience downward pressure as market participants continue to seek safety in USDT. The combination of central bank tightening, heightened global risk, and regulatory challenges makes it difficult for Bitcoin to regain the speculative momentum it enjoyed during previous bull markets. While Bitcoin has historically shown resilience, its ability to recover in the current environment looks increasingly uncertain. In conclusion, the growing dominance of USDT in the crypto market reflects a broader shift away from risk assets like Bitcoin. With rising volatility and macroeconomic challenges, the bearish pressure on Bitcoin is likely to persist in the coming months, barring any major shifts in the global financial or regulatory landscape. Investors should remain cautious and consider hedging strategies as the cryptocurrency market enters a more uncertain phase.
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.DShort
by LordGiorgioCapital
Downward adjustment rhythm before FOMC ! XAU down ⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance ⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold prices (XAU/USD) slipped during the Asian session on Tuesday, halting a three-day rally to record highs. Repositioning ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting helped the US Dollar recover from its yearly low, pressuring gold. However, expectations of a more aggressive rate cut by the Federal Reserve may continue to support gold. Concerns over China's economic slowdown, US political uncertainty, and ongoing geopolitical risks in the Middle East may limit further losses for the safe-haven asset. Traders are likely to stay cautious ahead of key central bank meetings this week, including the Fed's decision on Wednesday, followed by the Bank of England and Bank of Japan later in the week. ⭐️ Personal comments NOVA: Gold price decreased - adjusted before news of FOMC interest rate cut tomorrow. The Uptrend creating ATH is still highly likely to come ⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2549 - $2547 SL $2542 TP1: $2555 TP2: $2570 TP3: $2580 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2530 - $2528 SL $2523 TP1: $2540 TP2: $2550 TP3: $2560 🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2602 - $2604 SL $2610 TP1: $2590 TP2: $2580 TP3: $2570 ⭐️ Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️ NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account - The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
2
Investors Brace for Key CPI Data That Could Impact MarketsGold is currently trading in a sideways range between $2,470 and $2,532, as it consolidates after reaching its yearly highs. The market is awaiting key U.S. inflation data, which is expected to determine the future price movement of gold. If the data indicates lower inflation, it could strengthen gold and push prices beyond $2,532. Conversely, higher inflation might lead to a stronger dollar, putting pressure on gold and potentially driving it below $2,470
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BELLATRIXFX
BHARAT ELECTRONICS in my Watchlist! Big Short Setup FormingBHARAT ELECTRONICS in my Watchlist! Big Short Setup Forming The last long trade from 12 April, 2023 is at its reversal point giving us a 170 gains in 518 days. If today's 1D candle turns red, this could be a good short entry for long term traders and swing traders in 1D time frame. I will update this trade post 3:30 if this candle turns red and confirms a Short trade. Let's see how it goes from here. DYOR before following other's trades blindly.
NSE:BELShort
by ProfitsNinja
XAU ! NF ! decision for the market to fall sharplyXAU / USD trend forecast September 6, 2024 The ADP National Employment Report released Thursday showed that US private-sector jobs increased by 99,000 in August, the smallest rise since January 2021, missing the forecast of 145,000. July’s figure was also revised down to 111,000 from 122,000. Additionally, job openings fell to 7.673 million in July, a three-and-a-half-year low, indicating a weakening labor market. Sideway below 2500 is a good signal for Gold in the near future, waiting for interest rate cut in September 2024 Based on H4, resistance and EMA 200 line to set up SELL signal /// SELL XAU : zone 2528-2531 SL: 2536 TP: 50 - 150 - 300 pips (2501) Safe and profitable trading
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Moon-ForexAcademy
6
$TONUSDT cannot escape this trap.After the arrest of Pavel Durov, CEO of Telegram, CRYPTOCAP:TON is enduring a bearish movement. During the past hours CRYPTOCAP:TON managed to escape the bearish trend and started showing signs that it will reach $5. After touching $4,9 he dropped again to $4,79 getting inside the upper level of Fibonacci which is $4,81. As it has entered this level I believe we are going to see more shorts till we reach $4,67 where we will need to re-evaluate the market.
Short
by logicrypto
Gold price tends to decrease - sellers try to prevail⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance ⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold prices rebounded from multi-day lows on Wednesday but stayed under the $2,500 mark as the US Dollar gained strength. Despite this, ongoing geopolitical tensions and expected Fed rate cuts could support gold in the near term. Later in the day, the release of JOLTS Job Openings and the Fed's Beige Book will be closely watched. Investors are eagerly awaiting Friday's US August Nonfarm Payrolls report, which could influence the Fed's rate decisions in September. A weaker-than-expected report might heighten recession fears and prompt faster rate cuts, potentially boosting gold further as lower rates make it more attractive. ⭐️ Personal comments NOVA: Gold broke 2500, fell back to 2470 after yesterday's PMI news, moving in the short-term H1 downtrend. ⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2462 - $2460 SL $2455 TP1: $2470 TP2: $2480 TP3: $2490 🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2505 - $2507 SL $2510 scalping TP1: $2500 TP2: $2495 TP3: $2490 🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2513 - $2515 SL $2520 TP1: $2500 TP2: $2485 TP3: $2470 ⭐️ Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️ NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account - The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
2