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Is EURCAD ready to resume the DownTrend?In recent days, the EUR/CAD pair has exhibited notable fluctuations on the daily chart. After reaching the 1.5170 level, a significant resistance point in recent years, the price began to weaken and entered a consistent decline. This area served as a crucial psychological and technical barrier, leading to increased selling pressure. The price subsequently fell below the sideways support at 1.4900, indicating a short-term reversal. The decline continued aggressively, breaking through the 1.4610 support level, another key point on the daily chart, underscoring the strength of the sellers. Following this sharp decline, the pair experienced a pullback, returning to the previously broken 1.4900 area. This region, which had acted as support, now functions as significant resistance. This zone aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, drawn from the high of 1.5170 to the low of 1.4483, further emphasizing its technical importance. Given these factors, the expectation is for the EUR/CAD to continue its downward trend in the coming days. Potential Sell Trade A favorable selling opportunity may arise if the price closes below 1.4870 on the daily chart. Such a move would confirm rejection in the 1.4900 area and pave the way for further declines. Sell Details: Possible Entry Point: Close below 1.4870. Stop Loss: Above 1.4980, representing a risk of 110 pips. Take Profit: Near the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level at 1.465, with a potential gain of 220 pips. Alternative Scenario: Bullish Resumption If the price does not close below 1.4870 and instead breaks the recent candle's high, we may see EUR/CAD retest the 1.5170 region. Such a move would invalidate the short-term bearish outlook and could attract new buyers. It's important to note that the market is closely watching the Bank of Canada (BoC) interest rate decision today, with expectations of a 0.5% cut, reducing the rate from 3.75% to 3.25%. This could weaken the CAD, favoring an increase in EUR/CAD. Conversely, if the cut is smaller than anticipated (e.g., 0.25%) or does not occur, it may accelerate the pair's downward movement, given that sellers are already in control. In Summary The EUR/CAD is at a critical juncture, facing strong technical resistance at 1.4900 and showing signs of rejection at the 61.8% Fibonacci level. The likelihood of a decline strengthens, especially if the price closes below 1.4870, with target levels at 1.4645 (the 23.6% Fibonacci). However, traders should also consider the alternative scenario of breaking the recent high and advancing to 1.5170. Close monitoring of price action and the BoC announcement is essential for making informed trading decisions, as this could significantly impact the pair's direction. Disclaimer 74% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. Consider whether you understand how CFDs work and if you can afford the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investment values may fluctuate, and you may not recover your initial investment. This content is not intended for residents of the UK.
Short
by Marketscom
GBPCAD Faces Key Resistance on Daily ChartThe GBPCAD currency pair has been in a strong uptrend in recent months, primarily due to the British pound appreciating against the Canadian dollar. This trend has propelled the price to around 1.8070, the highest level since 2020, where it encountered significant resistance. After hitting this peak, the price reversed and broke a long-term uptrend line, subsequently retesting this area, which is now acting as resistance. Currently, the price is showing signs of potential rejection at the 50% Fibonacci retracement level (1.7812), indicating selling pressure. It's important to note that the recent bearish movement (from October 30 to November 22) was notably stronger than the preceding bullish movement (from October 3 to October 30), suggesting that sellers have gained momentum after reaching the resistance level on the daily chart. Potential Sell Trigger If the price drops below the 1.7740 mark, it could activate a sell signal, indicating a new bearish phase. The technical setup supports this possibility because: A drop below 1.7740 would negate the previous bullish candle on the daily chart. The 50% Fibonacci level has already shown resistance, signaling price rejection. Sell Opportunity: Entry: If the price manages to close below the 1.7740 in the daily chart. A good entry point could be considered between 1.7740 and 1.7715, a range of 25 pips, maximum. Stop Loss: Above the high of the previous candle, at around 1.7860. Primary Target: Support area around 1.7475. Secondary Target: Extension to 1.7313, which aligns with a historical support zone. Alternative Bullish Scenario Conversely, if the price breaks above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement at 1.7891, it could suggest that buyers are regaining control, potentially allowing the pair to reclaim recent highs at 1.8070 and move higher. Bullish Signals: If the daily manages to close above 1.7891. Sustained movement above dynamic resistance. A Stop Loss could be placed at 1.7750. Primary target would be around 1.8070, the daily chart resistance. Summary The GBPCAD is at a pivotal point; a break below 1.7740 could lead to a sharp decline, while a breakout above 1.7891 could resume the upward trend. The next direction will hinge on the strength of market participants and confirmation of these critical levels. Disclaimer 74% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. Consider whether you understand how CFDs work and if you can afford the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investment values may fluctuate, and you may not recover your initial investment. This content is not intended for residents of the UK.
Short
by Marketscom
AUDJPY broke the uptrend line. Is it time to sell?The AUD/JPY pair recently made a significant break on the daily chart. The price broke through two significant zones: 1. The uptrend line, which has been supporting prices since August 2024. 2. The sideways range, between 99.70 and 102.00, which had served as a consolidation area for several weeks. These breakouts indicate a loss of buying momentum, with sellers taking control of the market. Currently, the price is at 98.15, below the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the recent upward movement, with the 38.2% retracement (97.44) as the next intermediate support. Bearish Continuation Forecast With the loss of support at 99.70, if the price comes back to the breaking point at 99.50 and it works as a resistance, the downward movement should continue, especially since the breakout was accompanied by a large-bodied daily candle, indicating sellers' conviction. If the price loses the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement at 97.44, the next targets would be: 94.60 - Target projected by the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement, in addition to being a significant psychological zone. 90.00 - A long-term support, marked by the low of the July 2024 bearish movement. This scenario will be reinforced if buyers fail to defend the next support zones. Possibility of Retracement, an Alternative Scenario Although the breakout indicates weakness at the moment, there is a possibility of a pullback to retest the 99.70 region or the broken uptrend line. If price manages to break above this level, there is a chance that the AUDJPY will resume the uptrend. In this case, the short-term targets would be: 102.00 - Former resistance and the top of the lateralization. 104.75 - An important level that acted as resistance in May 2024. For the price to initiate a stronger reversal, a sustained breakout above 100.00 would be necessary, which would cast doubt on the strength of the sellers. The AUD/JPY presents a dominant bearish outlook after the recent breakouts. The next critical zone will be the support at 97.44, which will determine whether the price will continue its downward trajectory or make a pullback to retest the broken levels. This is a crucial time to observe the price reaction at the support and resistance zones, seeking confirmation for both scenarios. Disclaimer: 74% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK.
Short
by Marketscom
AUD/NZD: Potential Short Opportunity: False Resistance BreakoutThe AUD/NZD pair is currently exhibiting signs of a false breakout at the resistance level of 1.1145, subsequently forming a rejection Pinbar, which indicates that sellers may be regaining control in the short term. What is a False Breakout? A false breakout occurs when the price briefly exceeds a key support or resistance level, only to swiftly reverse and return to the opposite side. In this instance, the price momentarily broke above the 1.1145 resistance, yet the insufficient buying pressure led to an immediate rejection. This behaviour suggests that sellers were poised above this level, ready to enter the market. False breakouts can often result from market manipulation, where institutions and major players seek to trigger stop-loss orders from traders positioned near support and resistance levels. By instigating an initial breakout, they create liquidity for large contrarian positions. Reversal Signal A false breakout, particularly when accompanied by candlestick formations like the Pinbar, often indicates a potential trend reversal. In this case, the failed breakout signifies that buyers who attempted to sustain the move upwards were unsuccessful. Current Scenario : Has the False Breakout Been Confirmed? The 1.1145 level represents the highest price since 2022, establishing it as a significant resistance zone. The initial breakout above this level was swiftly followed by a strong rejection, illustrated by the long wick at the top of the Pinbar candlestick. This pattern underscores the weakness among buyers and suggests renewed strength among sellers. Possible Short Opportunity If the price breaks below 1.1090, we may expect a more substantial downward movement over the following days. First Target: 1.0880 This target corresponds to a notable support zone, aligning with previous lows and the projection of the rising trend line established since February. Final Target: 1.0780 This represents a significant area, marking an important horizontal support level observed over recent months. Stop Loss: A suitable stop loss could be placed above the Pinbar high at around 1.1180 to protect against an unexpected reversal. Alternative Scenario: Resistance Broken The recent sequence of green candles with elongated bodies and minimal upper shadows suggests a potential alternative scenario, wherein there may be sufficient buying pressure to breach the resistance level in the coming days. A buying opportunity could materialise if the price breaks above 1.1200. Next Targets: In the event of a breakout, the first target could be around 1.1300, with a final target at 1.1450, where the AUD/NZD would encounter significant resistance on the weekly chart. The AUD/NZD pair is at a critical technical juncture at 1.1100, indicating a potential false breakout of resistance. It is essential to monitor price action closely in the upcoming sessions. A sustained downward movement, particularly a break below 1.1090, would reinforce the selling pressure, while a breakout above 1.1200 could signal a continuation of the upward trend towards 1.1450. Disclaimer: 74% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK.
Short
by Marketscom
2
QQQ technical SHORT opportunityNASDAQ:QQQ is approaching a very strong resistance level, which aligns with both a previous supply zone and a diagonal resistance line. This presents an opportunity for a technical SHORT play. Why do I call it technical? Because the market remains very bullish, with no signs of a broader uptrend reversal—especially following strong earnings from NASDAQ:GOOG . If a sell-off occurs, it will most likely lack significant follow-through. Nonetheless, it’s still possible to capitalize on it Disclaimer I don't give trading or investing advice, just sharing my thoughts.
NASDAQ:QQQShort
by hermes_trisme
9