An Optimistic But Volatile Future Ahead For EthereumHi everyone, I should preface and say I am a relatively new ETH investor. I was primarily a strict BTC maxi since 2017, but after putting in the time last year to learn about ETH and what its core philosophy is, I understand it better and I am actually very interested in what it is capable of! I think many of the ETH community can vouch for that. It's hip, cool, and experimental. I honestly think there are many BTC maxis that refuse to accept this is fundamentally a different project than BTC was- not just technologically. For those not involved in crypto- or are just average retail investors, ETH may just seem like a 2nd coin behind BTC that does all the same stuff "basically". That was just me being naïve and stupid, and I unironically thought like this for years.
I love the fact that the ETH community rallies behind it so hard. They are a very different group than many of the BTC investors I follow and have followed in the past. They seem to have a really strong core and tight knit community that do not care much about what 3rd party entities will tell them what to do or who to be. The developers (mostly) all seem incredibly passionate and want to really create practical and also experimental projects. I think mentioning this context is essential in my TA because ETH investors fundamentally believe in the core project so much that I think they will successfully create some type of "mainstream" adoption within the next 10 years. I have no clue how that will look like- and I don't think anyone does yet. But the ETH community has a strong spirit that I do not see breaking- ESPECIALLY with Larry FInk and BlackRock still in the equation. They just partnered with Securitize and are going to slowly begin to execute their "tokenization" of assets. This leads into the biggest news of the year for Ethereum, the ETF.
As much as I want this ETF to pass on May 23rd, it will not. I don't know how it will go down, but this will be prolonged somehow. And I do not see the market reacting lightly to the news for the mid term (basically all summer). Gary Gensler really does not seem comfortable even speaking about ETH any time he is being recorded. The SEC is currently asking for more funding to lawyer up against the potential future court cases that WILL happen when the ETF gets denied. The SEC seem incredibly nervous about opening up a door that can't be shut- if the ETH ETF gets approved, I can only imagine how many other chains will want to have their own ETF... No matter what you think of other coins, it seems like the SEC and Gary really do not like crypto all that much and are only really willing to let BTC slide. I think they want congress to eventually enact real legislation against cryptocurrency as a whole in the future.
I think something will happen in between May 23rd and August 7th, the day BlackRock's ETF filing expires- but I'm not sure what exactly. I think the most likely case is they go to court and the SEC loses in court. Maybe the ETF gets approved with an amendment that there can be no staking the ETF? Do people even care about this? (sorry if so) The best current argument seems to be that there exists ETH Futures ETF, so why would an ETH ETF be an issue? And then by August 7th, the BlackRock ETF should be approved and Ethereum is going to launch. My gut tells me it goes for the 10k push into the end of the year, and then we consolidate early 2025 with a final blowoff maybe middle of 2025. Who knows after that, prob bear/crab market until next halving like close to 2028-2029 or around there.
Very exciting times ahead! Personally I'm incredibly nervous with my investment in ETH. I'm still a BTC maxi to the core because it really is just the best sound money to ever exist. I really consider it my true savings account at this point. But ETH is my risk bet. I fully trust in that ETHBTC ratio and have watched that thing for years- despite never having any interest in purchasing Ethereum. I've also gotten burned in the past- having bought LTC at its peak in 2017 and holding still to this day... I have no more faith in that project honestly. I don't want this to happen to ETH, and I can say that I really do believe in its community. I hope the developers and companies out there innovate some really cool things that make our lives better/easier. But I do see ETH really as a long term investment, whereas BTC at this point for me is essentially just savings that I am not getting rid of anyways.
Cheers everyone, I think no matter what, that if you own ETH and you hold, you will win in the long run. Good luck to the traders too!!
SEC
Believe ItI know I am! I think we are in a "mini" phase pre-end of spring where we just keep ripping it up. There's just too much good news coming out each day about Bitcoin itself. The ETFs have been a massive success, I was blown away by the inflows today. And cherry on top, we have a halving coming up in the next month. Accept and embrace the bull.
This is my most optimistic run out of the next month and a half for Bitcoin. I just copied the earlier run up over, because I think nothing has changed since. We push up, we consolidate and breathe, and run it back. I think it starts to get a bit more iffy in the mid term with end of May and summer? (I'm nervous of the whole SEC vs. ETH situation) Maybe not though, I'm not sure what bad news about Bitcoin will come out by then and how severe it will really be. I've been here for years and this really feels like it's a full on bull run going head on into the halving again- I think this may be the moment we've been waiting for.
We'll see though- I'm always surprised by BTC, for better and worse. I don't want to think of pessimistic outcomes because I genuinely can't think of any negative outcomes at the current moment for BTC. It will always carry the rest of the field and the amount of institutional and public attention growing each day has been so unbelievable for me to watch in real time.
Bitcoin Breakout Soon (April-May 2024)I'm fairly certain we are about to have a BTC breakout. Bulls have successfully defended $60k for ~2 weeks now and we are about to move into (arguably) the two most important BTC and crypto months of all 2024. The halving is coming up. ETH ETF decision should bring some volatility- despite approval or not. The past 2 weeks have been an incredibly healthy correction from the run up to the ATH.
Do I think it's possible we break down to $59-$56k? Yes. But in this scenario I imagine it being fueled by FUD and will be bought back up fairly quick. If this scenario plays out, just based on overall current sentiment, I could see investors viewing this as incredibly bullish and we continue on with this cycle's uptrend.
There is a chance we continue to chop/crab for a bit longer- but I would guess that only lasts 1-2 more weeks at best. As we get closer to the Halvening, I find it incredibly unlikely we see a big sell off. This is not an uncommon opinion- I think many reading this would agree with me. Could we go up and see a bit of uncertainty as the Halvening date crosses? Of course. But based on the current trend, sentiment, and overall blockchain/crypto ecosystem, I don't see how we continue downwards through April and May. I see loads of potential in these next two months.
Good luck traders! But even more luck to the HODLers!
XRP Holders Are Beginning to Lose Hope on the AltcoinXRP traders have accrued about $31 million in losses over the last week in trading.
Traders are shedding their XRP holdings and on-chain activity has dropped since the altcoin bridged its year-to-date high on the 11th March, 2024.
Technical Analysis
CRYPTOCAP:XRP price is at risk of further decline as holders anticipate developments in the SEC vs. Ripple lawsuit. CRYPTOCAP:XRP price broadly consolidated above $0.60 on Thursday currently trading at $0.6233 up by 2% as The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is set to file its remedies-related opening brief on Friday. According to Ripple and SEC’s agreement, the proceedings will remain sealed from public view and this has increased XRP holders’ anticipation of the developments in the legal battle.
CRYPTOCAP:XRP quickly dropped below the key support level at $0.60 on Thursday morning and surged to $0.6234. The altcoin has repeatedly tested the $0.60 support and rebounded from it, signaling its importance for the altcoin.
If the bears gain momentum, CRYPTOCAP:XRP could potentially drop to $0.5464. Moreover, the altcoin could collect liquidity at this level, it could see a rebound and target a new resistance level of $0.6886.
Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has shown a moderate growth rate for the asset at 51 indicating a neutral Pendulum bulb here. No overbought neither is there oversold scenario.
On-Chain Metrics
On-chain metrics pose a loss of interest in CRYPTOCAP:XRP while the altcoin faces a price correction.
CRYPTOCAP:XRP has considerably decrease in on-chain activity, as measured by the Active Addresses and Whale Transaction Count of those transfers valued at $100,000 and higher.
according to Santiment’s on-chain data, CRYPTOCAP:XRP reached its year-to-date peak on March 11 and since then these two metrics have been declining steadily. This occurs at the same time as XRP’s price has corrected. Ripple lost nearly 20% since March 11 together with the drop in activity.
#HEX vs #ETH one crazy S/R Line A great study of a Key level / ratio
Key levels on charts are where significant price action occurs over the course of time.
For the HEXETH chart 0.000002 has proven one of the most interesting and pivotal for sure.
If we had of broken down these past 5/6 months
Then it could be argued it would be signalling an abandonment of this project ( at the least on the ethereum side)
but the continual support and wick action indicated footsteps of big players coming and seeing it as a value zone.
This could be a nice spring for this ratio going forward. With a W formation also appearing to be forming.
Best of luck in your speculations.
PULSECHAIN Can 2.6X versus #ETH - W PatternWow #PLS got destroyed.
Retail investors got dunked on.
Richard Heart conducted a crowd raise to the retail public
with no cap.
It was heavily hyped.
So it was heavily oversubscribed.
there was no vesting period
usually 1-2 year period after a launch is the norm for VC/ accredited investors.
Expectations were not aligned with realities for normal people.
This allowed for a free for all of heavy selling
during which the network was just getting started & bootstrapped.
So I feel the pain of people who waited for 2 years only to have PLS drop 90% against #Ethereum
whilst ETH found it's bear market bottom at 880 dollars.
A double kicking to your private parts.
Max pain also brings Max reward.
Crypto profits are harvested from the tears of people who buy and sell at the wrong time.
I believe we can start seeing a recovery in this ratio going forward
and Also I still believe ETH will kick on to $3400 very soon.
ETF Approval and Market TrendsMany have reached out with questions about the implications of the SEC's recent Bitcoin ETF approval and its potential impact on the market landscape.
In response, I've decided to conduct a comprehensive analysis to shed light on these developments, aiming to offer clarity and insights into what lies ahead:
What does the SEC's approval of Bitcoin ETFs signify for the market?
The SEC's approval of Bitcoin ETFs is a transformative development for the crypto market, signaling a new level of acceptance and legitimacy for Bitcoin as an investable asset. This action by the SEC is indicative of a regulatory environment that is beginning to adapt to the evolving financial landscape where digital assets play a significant role.
Expanded Significance for the Market:
1. Institutional Adoption:
The approval of Bitcoin ETFs can be seen as an invitation to institutional investors who have been on the sidelines due to the lack of regulated investment vehicles. Institutions often prefer to invest in regulated markets, and ETFs provide this, along with the traditional investment structure they are accustomed to.
2. Increased Accessibility:
ETFs trade on traditional stock exchanges, which means investors can buy into Bitcoin just as they would purchase shares of any other publicly-traded company. This familiarity removes the technical barriers associated with buying and storing cryptocurrencies directly.
3. Enhanced Liquidity:
The introduction of Bitcoin ETFs is expected to increase liquidity in the Bitcoin market. Higher liquidity tends to reduce volatility, potentially making Bitcoin a more stable investment in the eyes of cautious investors.
4. Potential for Diversification:
Investors looking to diversify their portfolios now have an easier route to include Bitcoin. Since Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies often demonstrate low correlation with traditional asset classes, they can be an attractive option for portfolio diversification.
5. Market Maturation:
The approval is a step towards the maturation of the crypto market. It suggests that cryptocurrencies are becoming an integral part of the financial system, potentially paving the way for other digital assets to gain similar acceptance.
6. Validation of Asset Class:
By greenlighting Bitcoin ETFs, the SEC is essentially validating Bitcoin as an asset class. This could encourage more cautious investors who were waiting for a regulatory seal of approval to consider cryptocurrency investments.
7. Pricing and Valuation:
With ETFs, the pricing of Bitcoin becomes more transparent, as the ETF price reflects the current market valuation of Bitcoin. This transparency is crucial for investors who may have been concerned about the opaque pricing mechanisms on cryptocurrency exchanges.
Impact on Investment Strategies:
1. Retirement and Long-term Portfolios:
Bitcoin ETFs could start being included in retirement accounts and long-term investment portfolios, which would have been difficult or impossible before due to regulatory or custodial concerns.
2. Sophisticated Investment Vehicles:
The approval could lead to the development of more sophisticated investment products and strategies around Bitcoin, such as inclusion in mutual funds, pension funds, or insurance products.
How might this approval affect Bitcoin's price?
Historical parallels with the first spot gold ETFs suggest that the approval could lead to a significant increase in Bitcoin's price. The introduction of gold ETFs resulted in a dramatic appreciation of gold prices over a decade, and if Bitcoin follows a similar trajectory, a considerable increase in its price could be expected. However, the immediate market reaction can be varied. Some analysts argue that the market has not fully priced in the potential effects of ETF approval, anticipating a massive supply shock and substantial capital inflows. Others expect a more tempered short-term price movement with potential peaks followed by periods of stability.
What does the current technical analysis suggest about Bitcoin's market conditions?
Bitcoin's current technical indicators on the weekly chart illustrate a bullish trend:
Bollinger Bands: The price is at the upper range, indicating high volatility and bullish conditions, but also the potential for a pullback.
Volume: A substantial trading volume supports the strength of the current trend.
Simple Moving Average: The price above the SMA suggests a continuing uptrend.
Ichimoku Cloud: The price above the cloud is a strong bullish signal.
MACD: A positive MACD above the signal line indicates bullish momentum.
Together, these indicators suggest that the market is currently in a bullish phase, but caution is warranted given the potential for volatility.
How do market sentiments and fundamentals play into this analysis?
Market sentiment is buoyed by the ETF approval, and the fundamentals are strengthened by the prospect of increased institutional participation. The technical indicators are optimistic, yet they are only part of a comprehensive analysis that must include external factors such as market sentiment, regulatory developments, and macroeconomic trends.
What should investors be wary of in the current market conditions?
While the bullish indicators and the potential capital influx from ETFs are promising, investors should be mindful of overexuberance. Markets often "buy the rumor, sell the news," meaning that much of the optimism around anticipated events may already be reflected in the price. The weeks following the ETF launch will be crucial for observing whether the market has indeed fully priced in the ETFs or if the new investment vehicle will continue to drive price appreciation.
Conclusion and Outlook
The green light from the SEC for Bitcoin ETFs is a big deal for the crypto world—it could mean more big-money players stepping in and a sign that the crypto market is growing up. Right now, the charts are pointing to good vibes, with prices climbing. But remember, the world of investments is tricky, and Bitcoin's next moves will really hinge on how the big guns in finance take to these new crypto-flavored ETFs, what everyday buyers do, and the overall health of the economy. We're in some exciting times, so keeping an eye on how things unfold is key as we steer through these new waters.
Remember, this analysis is for informational purposes and should not be taken as financial advice.
Enjoyed the analysis? Don’t forget to hit like, drop a comment with your thoughts, and share it with your friends.
XRP WILL PUMP WITHIN 2 WEEKS!!Looks like a massive pump will come withing the next 2 weeks here. The descending trendline price compression is slowly coming to an end.
I EXPECT HIGHER PRICES IN THE LONG-TERM STILL BULLISH!
Calculate Your Risk/Reward so you don't lose more than 1% of your account per trade.
Every day the charts provide new information. You have to adjust or get REKT.
Love it or hate it, hit that thumbs up and share your thoughts below!
This is not financial advice. This is for educational purposes only.
What does the arrival of Spot Bitcoin ETFs mean for US investorsAfter a long journey, the first spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) were approved in the United States of America. This is the latest step on the path to bitcoin, and digital assets more generally, becoming mainstream. To help clarify how this chain of events unfolded, and where the story could go next, this is an edited summary of a discussion with Ryan Louvar, Chief Legal Officer at WisdomTree, which took place in full on the Crypto Clarified podcast1.
The main points covered were:
The main obstacles that had to be overcome for approval
The reasons why a spot bitcoin ETF is a positive for investors and digital assets’ place in a portfolio as a diversifier
What to expect in terms of uptake over different timeframes
What to expect in the near future as the asset class becomes more mainstream
Benjamin Dean (BD): Ryan, happy bitcoin spot ETF effective date to you.
Ryan Louvar (RL): It’s a super exciting day. Even going back six months ago, I can’t say I was on the optimist side. But seeing the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) grant an effective registration statement to allow bitcoin ETFs, as well as the listings, is great.
Obstacles to overcome
BD: What were those final obstacles that had to be overcome and how have almost a dozen different issuers had their applications approved and become effective?
RL: I was on a panel at Bitcoin 2021 with a couple of other ETF issuers. We were asked to predict if we thought that 2021 would be the year. There was some optimism because the new chairman of the SEC, Gary Gensler, had spoken at MIT about this topic. However, there were hurdles before through that prior SEC administration. I said that there was a decent chance 2021 would be the year. But we have a new SEC administration now, and the similar denials continued. The rationale was that there just aren’t enough protective mechanisms in place to create a market that would be resistant to fraud and manipulation. Ultimately, the focus was on the spot bitcoin market, and the SEC said there needs to be a regulated spot bitcoin market of sufficient size to be able to trade. This was really against historical precedent because if you think about other spot markets like gold in particular, those ETFs had been approved and there isn’t a regulated gold market, certainly not one overseen by the SEC, and not one as had been described by the SEC as a requirement.
A watershed moment occurred when the SEC allowed futures ETFs, including bitcoin futures ETFs. They allowed a percentage of the underlying exposure to be futures and then allowed 100% futures exposure. Even at that point, WisdomTree was the first ETF to have any bitcoin futures exposure, with under 5% in one of our US-listed ETFs. The thought was that we were right there, almost at the finish line to then have a spot ETF. We chose at the time to have limited exposure because we thought that it had the potential to be a diversifier in a portfolio.
We chose not to launch a 100% bitcoin futures product just because of the potential issues in a 100% bitcoin futures product, such as contango and not tracking the price of bitcoin. We were very steadfast in our belief that a spot bitcoin product was the best execution for investors seeking exposure to the spot price of bitcoin. We leveraged our experience in Europe where we have a successful crypto exchange-traded product (ETP) range including a spot bitcoin ETP. There was really no action from the SEC until they got sued by Grayscale. There was a lawsuit from Grayscale, and they said that the SEC’s decision here, the denials, were just arbitrary and capricious. A court agreed with them.
It’s not often that the SEC loses. The court made it possible for the SEC to essentially include additional information for their decision. Based upon the past ten years, I thought that the SEC would continue to deny an approval and produce additional reasons for it. Ultimately, they had until 10 January to make that decision. Going back just three months ago, it wasn’t clear what path the SEC was going to take. It only became clear once the SEC started to comment on the prospectuses after a few years of silence, that cleared the way for progress. Then you saw ETF issuers filing updated S-1 type of registration statements that include the prospectus. This was really a couple of months ago.
Then you saw a flurry of activity from the regulatory side, updated prospectuses every couple of weeks, then updated prospectuses every couple of days, to now, we are launching this morning. Yes, that’s the history, it’s hard to believe. It’s really been truly historic. I mean, just the historical, call it a roller coaster ride.
Today we’re excited to be an issuer launching a spot bitcoin ETF, but it’s also historic to have all the other issuers launching as well. Our experience in ETFs both in Europe and digital assets is going to be a differentiator for us. It will be an interesting few months for sure.
Role in a portfolio as a potential diversifier
BD: Do you have any views or thoughts around how one should conceive the coming days, months, and years? What does success look like?
RL: If we look back on the birth of the US ETF industry with the SPDR, it took a couple of years for the SPDR to really take off and gain traction. Now it’s over 20 years old, and I think it’s over $300 billion at this point. I think we’ll see the same with bitcoin, in taking time to fully gain traction. Going back a couple of years, financial advisors told us they have clients who’d like to have at least a portion of their portfolio in an asset that can serve as a diversifier. It’s got to be the right client as bitcoin is a volatile asset, so there’s risk there.
Bitcoin can certainly serve its place in the right client’s portfolio. Those advisors will now be trying to work with their clients to understand the full financial picture. Their client might say, “By the way, I have bitcoin as well and it’s sitting in my personal wallets or on this third-party platform or wherever.” So, really, by having the vehicle that's suited to many investors in the ETF, it will really help from a financial advisory standpoint as well as a general investor standpoint to have that access.
The other thing is the transparency. ETFs have to disclose their holdings, so the amount of bitcoin a spot ETF holds will be available on the issuer website every day. Holding bitcoin in your own wallet can have some merit for a lot of people, but many don’t understand that mechanism or don’t want to. An ETF is a wrapper they do understand, and it comes with traditional third-party oversight from a trusted organisation like WisdomTree. It’s bringing a lot to the table but like any new asset, I think it’s going to take time for the marketplace to really absorb it. Certainly, a lot of the traditional ETF platforms are going to have to conduct diligence. A lot of that requires some track record, six months in some cases for some assets.
I think there will be demand, but it’s a journey. Today’s just the beginning. It’s not dissimilar to a floating rate Treasury ETF. Treasuries are renowned for being plain vanilla, but that took a little while to gain a bit of traction. Bitcoin is a very different asset to treasuries in terms of risk profile, but it can potentially have its place.
What could uptake look like in the near term?
BD: It’s an interesting moment in the United States because the couple of years really, have been negative and so acrimonious. You go to Asia or Latin America and people don’t have the same hangups. But in the US, it has been different.
RL: I was surprised when I travelled to many Asian countries over the summer and saw that bitcoin is widely available and used as a currency. Here in the US, being US-centric, we sometimes lose that perspective. We’re getting used to inflation in the US but not hyperinflation. So, it’s a great point that we don’t see in the US much, so it surprised me during my travels abroad.
Where does the digital asset industry go from here
BD: Looking at the US, what does this round of approvals mean for the digital asset industry? What do you see coming forward?
RL: I think the next turning point is Ether, the second largest cryptocurrency. There are now ETFs that hold Ethereum futures. So, if you think about the history, ETFs were first allowed by the SEC to hold bitcoin futures and then some months later, Ether futures. I do think those will be the next that might get attention.
To me, the biggest thing is that bitcoin and digital assets more broadly are being talked about as investable assets. For us at WisdomTree it’s important because we’re not only focused on ETFs, which has been our historical focus, we’re also bringing a direct-to-retail platform to investors in the US. Right now, they can directly access bitcoin via an app on their phone. They can directly access Ether, SEC-registered blockchain-enabled mutual funds and work with those in one portfolio.
So, I think having these avenues and bringing more attention to the asset class is only going to put a spotlight on how investors might be able to think about this new asset class and bitcoin in particular.
Sources
1 open.spotify.com
This material is prepared by WisdomTree and its affiliates and is not intended to be relied upon as a forecast, research or investment advice, and is not a recommendation, offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities or to adopt any investment strategy. The opinions expressed are as of the date of production and may change as subsequent conditions vary. The information and opinions contained in this material are derived from proprietary and non-proprietary sources. As such, no warranty of accuracy or reliability is given and no responsibility arising in any other way for errors and omissions (including responsibility to any person by reason of negligence) is accepted by WisdomTree, nor any affiliate, nor any of their officers, employees or agents. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the reader. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.
XRP: FINALLY💥 RIPPLE Victory in SEC CaseHi Traders, Investors and Speculators of Charts📈📉
Congratulations to all the XRP HODLERS 🤩🥂
(quick recap) ...The SEC case against Ripple was a legal battle between the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and Ripple Labs, the company behind the XRP cryptocurrency. The SEC sued Ripple in December 2020, alleging that XRP is a security and that Ripple had violated securities laws by selling XRP without registering it with the SEC. Ripple Labs denied the SEC's allegations, arguing that XRP is not a security but a digital currency.
The case went to trial in February 2023, and on July 12, 2023, Judge Analisa Torres ruled in favor of Ripple Labs. Torres found that the SEC had failed to adequately prove that XRP is a security, and she dismissed the case.
The ruling is a major victory for Ripple Labs and the cryptocurrency industry as a whole. It could have far-reaching implications for the regulation of cryptocurrencies in the United States.
👉The SEC failed to prove that XRP is a security.
👉The ruling could have far-reaching implications for the regulation of cryptocurrencies in the United States.
👉The ruling is a major victory for Ripple Labs and the cryptocurrency industry as a whole.
This furthermore confirms my bias for the beginning of AltSeason 2023, check it out here:
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CryptoCheck
Bitcoin ETFs now available on TV. Easy Money As Never Before 😅Bitcoin ETFs now available on TradingView
NASDAQ:IBIT - iShares Bitcoin
AMEX:BITB - Bitwise Bitcoin
AMEX:DEFI - Tidal Bitcoin
AMEX:ARKB - ARK Bitcoin
AMEX:GBTC - Grayscale Bitcoin
AMEX:FBTC - Fidelity Bitcoin
AMEX:BTCW - WisdomTree Bitcoin
AMEX:BTCO - Invesco Bitcoin
NASDAQ:BRRR - Valkyrie Bitcoin
AMEX:HODL - VanEck Bitcoin
AMEX:EZBC - Franklin Bitcoin
SEC officially approves BTC Spot ETFs
Tip #1: use TV search box to filter, find, and sort all Bitcoin funds, just like the attached screenshot.
Tip #2: use TV search box to filter, find, and sort all Bitcoin futures, just like the attached screenshot.
Tip #3: Long 1st, Short 2nd
Tip #4: Enjoy the Money 🤣🤣🤣
Bitcoin Update After SEC ApprovalSEC Commission approved the listing and trading of a number of spot bitcoin exchange-traded product (ETP) shares. That will lead new investors to put their money longing btc , so that will create a good liquidity to professional ones to short at 47k - 50k levels , and that's really what happened do not get suprised by seeing btc's price range between 30k - 40k
Market Update - January 12 2024
Spot bitcoin ETFs begin trading on US exchanges: On Wednesday, the SEC approved the launch of 11 spot bitcoin ETFs, and trading launched on Thursday. The approval of US-based spot bitcoin ETFs marked a historic day for bitcoin and crypto as a whole, opening the door to an entirely new set of retail and institutional investors. As trading started Thursday morning, BTC rose to FWB:49K before paring back gains to sit below $45k by Friday morning. Over $4.6 billion traded across all spot bitcoin ETFs on Thursday, likely setting a record for the highest day-one volume for a single type of ETF.
Ether surges as focus shifts to potential ether ETF: Ether (ETH) had been struggling in comparison to BTC over the past few months as attention centered around the bitcoin ETF applications, with the ETHBTC pair hitting its lowest level since April 2021 at 0.04788. However, following Tuesday’s bitcoin ETF head fake, the pair jumped to 0.052 suggesting a rotation out of BTC and into ETH for a catch up play and an expectation that the narrative will shift toward a potential ether ETF approval later this year. This was further evident on the actual approval Wednesday, with the ETHBTC continuing to rally higher, currently trading near 0.06 as of Friday morning.
Inflation ticks up as interest rate cuts expected in 2024: US equities rose steadily this week as investors awaited inflation data released on Thursday. Thursday’s data showed a mild 0.3% increase in the consumer price index (CPI) for December, reflecting a 3.4% yearly increase. Estimates had been for a 0.2% December increase and a 3.2% annualized increase.
Altcoins perform well as total crypto market cap nears $1.8 trillion: Much of the wider crypto market saw price appreciation this week, with some leveraged ETH and BTC plays showing good returns. Ethereum Classic (ETC) is trading up more than 55% over the past seven days, while Lido DAO (LDO) added 20% over the same period. The total crypto market capitalization is now approaching the $1.8 trillion mark, its highest level since April 2022, prior to the Terra/LUNA collapse.
Circle, USDC issuer, files for initial public offering (IPO): On Thursday, Circle announced that it had filed a confidential S-1 document with the SEC, as it seeks to launch an initial public offering (IPO). While the announcement was light on details, Circle had previously announced in 2021 that it planned to go public via a SPAC, with a $9 billion valuation as of February 2022.
🎭 Topic of the Week: Why was Bitcoin created?
👉 Read more here
BTC - It is a matter of time ⏱Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders,
📈 BTC has demonstrated an overall bullish trend, trading within the ascending channel outlined in red.
Following a rejection at the 48,000 - 50,000 resistance range, BTC experienced a decline and is currently approaching the lower red trendline.
Additionally, the zone between 44,500 and 45,000 serves as a robust support area.
🎯 Therefore , the highlighted red circle signifies a significant zone to consider for potential buy setups. This area is noteworthy as it marks the convergence of the blue support and the lower red trendline, acting as a non-horizontal support.
📚 In accordance with my trading style:
As BTC nears the red circle zone, I will actively search for bullish reversal setups to capitalize on the anticipated next bullish impulse movement.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
SEC Approves BTC ETFNo BTC Fireworks After Long-Expected SEC Ruling on Crypto Spot ETF.
-The champagne bottles have gone to the main competitor Ethereum and it looks like the party is just getting started...
The BTC ETF does not change the value of the underlying asset, which is still not regulated and has no real use case. This simply allows more people to speculate.
After the SEC posted about their X(Twitter) account being hacked and hackers posted about the news retail investors jumped the gun to close their bullish position it may have been just the liquidity that the big "boys" needed to place their orders, since today unexpectedly the ETF was finally approved.
What do you think will happen next?
Bitcoin ETFs coming soon: what could happen?Hello, folks! If this is your first time reading one of my ideas, welcome, hope you enjoy it. If you are a regular visitor of my ideas, thank you!
Let's discuss the fuss around Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs). With 8 Bitcoin ETFs awaiting regulatory approval, decisions are anticipated between January and March 2024, let's consider how this could shake up Bitcoin's price, the wider crypto market, investor confidence, and the overall financial scene.
🧙🏽♂️ Spot ETFs: A Direct Link to Bitcoin's Supply
SPOT ETFs are unique because they require the actual holding of Bitcoin by the fund. In an environment where Bitcoin's availability on exchanges is at an all-time low, these ETFs could significantly influence the market's supply-demand dynamics.
The approval of SPOT ETFs is likely to ramp up demand significantly. Given Bitcoin's capped supply, this increased demand could lead to substantial price surges, potentially setting new all-time highs.
🧙🏽♂️ Investor Sentiment: A Confidence Boost
For investors, SPOT ETFs represent a more secure, regulated path to Bitcoin investment. This could draw in a fresh wave of investment, both from retail and (more importantly) institutional sectors, think pension funds for example. This could potentially result in elevating Bitcoin's price and market stability in a way never seen before.
🧙🏽♂️ The Financial Landscape: Embracing Digital Currencies
On a larger scale, SPOT ETFs indicate a significant stride in incorporating cryptocurrencies into mainstream finance. This move could spark further innovation and adoption of digital currencies in diverse financial services. While some banks are now known to block transactions related to crypto, or even entire accounts, it's not unimaginable that they will start offering crypto services themselves. An approval of several ETFs would incorporate crypto into Wall Street.
🧙🏽♂️ The First-Mover Scenario: A Case for Simultaneous Approval
In the realm of these ETF applications, the potential for a first-mover advantage looms large. Here's a breakdown of the key players and their decision dates:
Ark/21 Shares Bitcoin Trust: 1/10/24
Bitwise Bitcoin ETF Trust: 3/15/24
BlackRock Bitcoin ETF Trust: 3/16/24
VanEck Bitcoin Trust: 3/16/24
WisdomTree Bitcoin Trust: 3/16/24
Valkyrie Bitcoin Fund: 3/16/24
Invesco Galaxy Bitcoin ETF: 3/16/24
Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Trust: 3/16/24
If one of these ETFs gets approval ahead of the others, it could dominate investor interest. To avoid this and foster a healthier, more competitive market, regulators might consider approving multiple ETFs simultaneously, ensuring no single fund unfairly corners the market. This means that we might see approval of several ETFs in January 2024, less than 2 months from now!
🧙🏽♂️ Conclusion: A Turning Point for Crypto?
The potential approval of Bitcoin SPOT ETFs marks a pivotal moment in the crypto narrative. It's a validation of Bitcoin's growing influence and a beacon for a more inclusive crypto market. For the crypto community, it's a period of pride and anticipation; for cautious investors, a new pathway into the crypto realm; and for the financial world, a step toward embracing the digital currency era.
Let's eagerly watch together how this story unfolds. Here's to the dynamic and ever-evolving world of cryptocurrencies! 🥂🚀🌕
❓ Questions for you:
What do you think will happen?
Do you expect one or more ETFs to be approved in January?
What do you think will be the effect on price of that happening?
How will you trade/invest based on your expectations?
Leave your answers to these questions in the comments below.
Oh, and if you enjoyed reading this, like/boost, follow and shares are highly appreciated!
UNDERSTAND THE BITCOIN ETF - PRICE ACTIONHello Family!
10th January of 2023. We are hours away from the Approval, delay or Rejection of the Bitcoin ETF.
We need to be careful since the Bitcoin price still needs to confirm the 30-32k area as a SUPPORT.
WE've done this in every Bitcoin cycle after we created a BOTTOM structure and going into a RETRACEMENT.
We are in the biggest RETRACEMENT levels. This is a critical zone where the price could get rejected and where many expert traders are taking profit from the ACCUMULATION zone (15-25k)
So, right now Bitcoin has huge risk of ROI vs potential downside.
If you are waiting on a sideline, It would be better to wait for the MACRO correction, or wait if the Bitcoin Dominance starts to fall and liquidy goes into Altcoins.
Legendary day.
The force be with you.
BTC - Next Stop 50k 📍 Unless!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders,
In my latest analysis, BTC successfully surpassed the 45,000 resistance and traded higher.
However, yesterday, BTC faced rejection at the 48,000 level and the upper boundary of the orange wedge pattern.
Now, what's next?
📈 BTC is anticipated to remain bullish , and we anticipate a potential movement towards the weekly resistance zone between 48,000 and 50,000, as long as the 44,500 support level is maintained.
📉 In the event of a downward break below the lower red trendline and the 44,500 support level, we expect a continuation of bearish movement until reaching the lower boundary of the orange wedge pattern, approximately around 42,500.
Which scenario do you believe is more likely to occur first, and why?
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
BTC SET TO DUMP? - ALL TIME HIGH 2024As you can see at the moment, The SEC underhandedness game just stumbled CRYPTOCAP:BTC price into the key resistance $48000. #BTC has been pumping since the last 3months but today, on the 1W chart, CRYPTOCAP:BTC has successfully mitigated the liquidity at $48000. IMHO, that may be the all time high price in 2024. Hence, price would consolidate for days and in fact, we can still revisit higher levels, but breakdown must happen. #NFA
SEC Manipulates Bitcoin with Fake ETF Approval News-Intentional?Trigger Warning: This video may offend those who are religiously dogmatic in their political affiliations. Do not watch if you prefer not to have your gods critiqued.
I had just put out a video earlier this morning warning you all that the SEC and Gary Gensler may pull some tricks out of their hat. A few hours later, the SEC puts out a false tweet, liquidates millions, and claims that their account was compromised for the first time in their X history. Something very much doesn't smell right here folks. But, unfortunately, none of this surprises me. I literally titled another video a few days ago, "Expect the Unexpected". Now, we can see firsthand exactly the type of shenanigans I am referring to in these two previous videos.
Bitcoin Price Action around the FAKE SEC TweetToday at 4:11 PM EST (UTC-5) the @SECGov Twitter account posted confirmation that Bitcoin ETFs had been approved. Bitcoin price spiked immediately on this news but the following price action is most interesting. The hacker that made the Tweet, presuming the news would create a large, sustained bullish move, likely LOST MONEY on his illicit trade. Tradingview restricts Ideas to 15m or higher so see the 1m chart below:
The fake Tweet caused a rise in price up until 4:15. Price then sold off all the way until 4:26 and only began to recover when the SEC regained control of their account and posted an update refuting the claim.
What is interesting about this is that within 4 minutes it had become a "sell the news" action.
I continue to think that the ETF approval news will in fact be a "sell the news" event when it occurs and this price action gives me some confirmation.
Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) (1W)Below the technical analysis of BINANCE:BTCUSDT
Timeframe: 1 week
The main supports and resistances are indicated in the idea.
A trendline starts from the green support: if this were to be invalidated by touching 1500-1600, a negative scenario would open up in the short term for ethereum.
The narratives on spot ETFs could help bitcoin rise towards the ath (and more) over the green area on the top.
This bullish cycle could be the last in terms of % returns for bitcoin: the price at the end of the year, thanks to etfs, could easily be 140-160k.
Today marketcap: 910B