Get started

Seasonality

BTC - the halving is coming upG'day, Master Key for zones Red = Three Month Blue = Monthly Purple = weekly Pink = Consolidative box example (Daily) Orange = Daily Risk Warning Trading leveraged products such as Forex, commodities and CFDs, carries with it a high level of risk and so may not be suitable for every investor. Prior to trading the foreign exchange, commodity or CFD market, consider your investment objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. You should never risk more than you can afford to lose. If you fail to understand or are uncertain of the risks involved, please seek independent advice and remember to conduct due diligence as criteria varies to suit the individual. Below are some of the take aways from the video - please listen again incase any detail is missed. Link to the log model back in 2022 is still strongly in play. Weekly chart Daily timeframe Do you enjoy the setups? Professional analyst with 8+ years experience in the capital markets Focus on technical output not fundamentals Focus on investing for long term positional moves Provide updates where necessary - with new updated ideas tracking the progress. If you like the idea, please leave a like or comment. To all the followers, thank you for your continued support. Thanks, LVPA MMXXIV
BNC:BLX
by LupaCapital
Short term trade Idea USD/JPY (LONG)Using ICT concepts, I believe we are about to see an expansion on Dollar pairs. I am getting in sync with this short term USD/JPY, aiming for my weekly short term liquidity objective. I believe we are making a Tuesday low of the week and after reacting off that daily level, I think we are due to for some expansion. Entry was on the high of the 15m BPR. Stops will be moved to break even above Asia's High, 148.556 Partials will be taken @ 148.807. Any questions, drop me a message!
Long
by ProsperousTechnician
JXY seasonality In the realm of market trends and seasonality, January in the JXY index has historically exhibited a remarkable 70% bullish bias. However, the current scenario defies this pattern, with the JXY index experiencing a decline exceeding 3% until January 22, 2024. The peculiar nature of January's bullish inclination in recent years can be attributed to the pivotal TOKYO CPI (Consumer Price Index) year-on-year data release during this month. Last year, the JXY index initially faced a downward trajectory in January, only to rebound following the release of the TOKYO CPI. This led to a positive shift, ultimately yielding an approximate 1% return. As the market eagerly anticipates the unfolding events, the upcoming TOKYO CPI data release on January 23, 2024, holds the potential to significantly influence the JXY index and shape the trajectory of its performance in the immediate future.
TVC:JXYEducation
by Trade_WithOsama
ICT Kill Zones Time Asia London New YorkIn the fast-paced world of forex trading, timing is everything. While the forex market operates 24 hours a day, not all hours offer the same trading opportunities. That’s where ICT Kill Zones Times come into play. Forex kill zones are the time when high probability trading setup formed These strategic time frames can open up a world of possibilities for traders who know how to leverage them. In this post, we’ll explore the concept of ICT Kill Zones ‘ times and how they can lead to high-probability trade setups and potential profits. The ICT Asian Kill Zone Times: The Dawn of Opportunities The Asian Kill Zone is the first of the strategic periods in the forex market. It is particularly relevant for traders dealing with the Australian dollar, New Zealand dollar, and Japanese yen pairs, as these markets are most active during this time. What makes the Asian Kill Zone special is its volatility, driven by economic news releases that occur during this session. Traders who keep an eye on these news releases and their impact on the market can make the most of this period. Main Characteristics of Asian Kill Zone -During the Asian Kill Zone, traders can often find optimal trade entry patterns, offering potential gains of 15 to 20 pips for scalp trades. -NZD, and JPY pairs are ideal for this time of the day. -The Asian Open can sometimes set up an Optimal Trade Entry Pattern that can offer a 15 – 20 pip scalp. -The Higher frame bias is helpful here – but short-term retracements in either Bull or Bear -Markets can offer similar OTE Setups. Asian Kill Zone Time ICT Asian Kill Zone Times lies in between 8:00 PM Eastern to10:00 PM Eastern ICT London Kill Zone Time The ICT London Kill Zone takes center stage during the London trading session, witnessing the highest volume of order execution compared to other sessions. It is an opportune time for those trading the EUR and GBP pairs. Notably, the London Open often presents opportunities for traders to enter positions with the potential for gains ranging from 25 to 50 pips. Main Characteristics of London Kill Zone One of the distinctive characteristics of the London Kill Zone is its tendency to create the low of the day in bullish markets and the high of the day in bearish markets. Time of ICT London Kill Zone London Kill Zone of ICT lies between 2:00 AM to 5:00 AM Eastern Time Traders should monitor the key times between 2:00 AM to 5:00 AM New York time to capitalize on the price action during the London session. The New York Kill Zone Time: The Land of Opportunities For traders dealing with major pairs coupled with the dollar index, the New York Kill Zone is an essential timeframe to watch. Similar to other Kill Zones, this period often sets up optimal trade entry patterns, providing potential gains of 20 to 30 pips for scalp trades. Time of New York Kill Zone The New York Kill Zone occurs between 8:00 AM to 11:00 AM Eastern Time. This time is favorable for major pairs and benefits from the overlap with the London session, making it a golden opportunity for traders. New York Kill Zone lies between 8:00 AM to 1:00 AM Eastern Time The London Close Kill Zone: The Final Countdown The London Close Kill Zone is a specific time frame that can create continuation points for swings that extend well into New York afternoon hours. It’s the last chance for traders to make their moves before the market closes for the day, making accurate predictions during this period potentially profitable. Between approximately 8:00 AM to 9:00 AM Eastern Time (adjusted for daylight savings) , traders can find optimal trade entry patterns, offering opportunities for 10 to 20 pips of profit on scalp trades. Monitoring the key times from 10:00 AM to Noon NY time can yield valuable insights during the London Close Kill Zone. ICT Kill Zone on During Daylight Saving Time (DST) Now, let’s talk about Daylight Saving Time (DST), which starts on the second Sunday in March and ends on the first Sunday in November. During this period, Eastern Time is shifted one hour ahead to Eastern Daylight Time (EDT), which is UTC-4. For example, let’s consider April 10th, and the time is 11:30 AM in Eastern Time (ET) during Daylight Saving Time. To convert this to Coordinated Universal Time (UTC), you add 4 hours to the local time: 11:30 AM ET (UTC-4) + 4 hours = 3:30 PM UTC During Daylight Saving Time, the clocks are adjusted forward by one hour, giving us an extra hour of daylight in the evenings. When Daylight Saving Time ends, we set the clocks back by one hour to return to Eastern Standard Time. ICT Kill Zone Setting on Trading View On the TradingView chart, you’ll find the time zone option at the bottom right corner. To set the correct time zone, click on it, and choose “UTC-5” during regular days (Standard Time) and “UTC-4” during daylight saving time, which typically occurs from the second Sunday in March to the first Sunday in November. ICT Kill Zones Indicator Trading view & MT4 A number of indicator are available on the trading view that automatically highlights the ICT kill zones on your chart. ICT Kill Zone LuxAlgo is one of the best indicators available on trading view. To Add ICT Kill Zone indicator you adopt the following steps: Step1:Click on the indicator icon on top of the trading view Step2 write LuxAlgo ICT Kill Zone Understanding and effectively utilizing ICT Kill Zones can significantly enhance a trader’s success in the forex market. Each Kill Zone represents a unique opportunity with its own set of potential gains.
Education
by Golden_Star1994
AUD USD - update (daily timeframe focus)The audio didn't record in the last one, so here is an update. G'day, Master Key for zones Red = Three Month Blue = Monthly Purple = weekly Pink = Consolidative box example (Daily) Orange = Daily Risk Warning Trading leveraged products such as Forex, commodities and CFDs, carries with it a high level of risk and so may not be suitable for every investor. Prior to trading the foreign exchange, commodity or CFD market, consider your investment objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. You should never risk more than you can afford to lose. If you fail to understand or are uncertain of the risks involved, please seek independent advice and remember to conduct due diligence as criteria varies to suit the individual. Below are some of the take aways from the video - please listen again incase any detail is missed Monthly Weekly Daily Volume profile added Value area up and down purple & Blue respectively are important to note in where price is taking us. Do you enjoy the setups? Professional analyst with 8+ years experience in the capital markets Focus on technical output not fundamentals Focus on investing for long term positional moves Provide updates where necessary - with new updated ideas tracking the progress. If you like the idea, please leave a like or comment. To all the followers, thank you for your continued support. Thanks, LVPA MMXXIV
by LupaCapital
EURUSD - Long Term Investors Should ShortLong-Term Investors on EURUSD Should Short or wait until March/April Historical Characteristics of EURUSD: - The price goes up for around 9 or 10 months - The price continues to go down for ~20 months Current Scenario: - The price has completed 9 months of a Bullish trend - The price will continue to go down by the middle of 2025 - The long-term investors should consider taking #short on EURUSD Some thoughts: - The price will close below '1.103' in January - The price will continue to go down in February - We will see some bulls coming in the market in March & April - And then price may continue to move down for ~20 months
Short
by Alee_Kolachi
GBP JPY - Fresh supply since 2016, what now?G'day, Firstly, welcome back to 2024. It's been a good start with some great consolidative moves within trading ranges, but now let's see the longer term movements for this pair of focus. GBP JPY. Master Key for zones Red = Three Month Blue = Monthly Purple = weekly Pink = Consolidative box example (Daily) Orange = Daily Risk Warning Trading leveraged products such as Forex, commodities and CFDs, carries with it a high level of risk and so may not be suitable for every investor. Prior to trading the foreign exchange, commodity or CFD market, consider your investment objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. You should never risk more than you can afford to lose. If you fail to understand or are uncertain of the risks involved, please seek independent advice and remember to conduct due diligence as criteria varies to suit the individual. Below are some of the take aways from the video - please listen again incase any detail is missed. For simplicity purposes, terminology is provided in layman's terms to reach a wider audience. Monthly Weekly Daily Do you enjoy the setups? Professional analyst with 8+ years experience in the capital markets Focus on technical output not fundamentals Focus on investing for long term positional moves Provide updates where necessary - with new updated ideas tracking the progress. If you like the idea, please leave a like or comment. To all the followers, thank you for your continued support. Thanks, LVPA MMXXIV
by LupaCapital
$STX on BTC halving yearSTX brings a lot of improvements this year, that could start more demand, the Nakamoto Upgrade will bring more speed on Transactions and lower fees, the blooming #Bitcoin ecosystem will be the hype of the bull market IMO The Nakamoto upgrade will bring more Defi and new tokens, maybe airdrops, hyped NFTs... etc etc All of this creates demand that will be felt on price increase or small correction, so i am expecting at least $1,20 as retrace, if we gets closer to a dollar it will be realy good...
by Frumentarii
China Property Stimulus to Boost Aus200 IndexThe recent announcement of a stimulus package by the Chinese government to boost the property sector is expected to have a positive impact on the Australian stock market, particularly the Aus200 index. The stimulus package includes measures such as lower down payments for home purchases and tax breaks for developers. These measures are expected to increase demand for property in China, which will in turn benefit Australian companies that export goods and services to the Chinese market. In addition, the stimulus package is also expected to boost the Chinese economy, which is Australia's largest trading partner. A stronger Chinese economy will mean more demand for Australian goods and services, which will support corporate profits and earnings growth. As a result, the Aus200 index is expected to rise in the coming months. Of course, there are also some risks associated with the China property stimulus. If the stimulus is too successful, it could lead to an overheating of the Chinese economy and a resurgence of inflation. This would be negative for Australian companies that export to China, as it would make their goods and services less competitive. However, at this stage, it appears that the risks are outweighed by the potential rewards. Overall, the China property stimulus is a positive development for the Australian stock market. The stimulus is expected to boost demand for Australian goods and services, support corporate profits and earnings growth, and lift the Aus200 index.
OANDA:AU200AUDLong
by SabahEquityResearch
1
Controlled Sideways Trends Ahead of EarningsThe Giant Banks and Credit Card companies benefit the most from the Federal Reserve Board's overnight interest rate hikes. As the FRB increases its lending rate, it allows big banks and credit companies to increase their interest rates to consumers, small businesses, etc. That usually means higher revenues. NYSE:V is in a sideways trend that is not as consistent as would be ideal ahead of its earnings report in about 3 weeks. However, HFTs are aware of the tendency for credit card companies to prosper during high interest-rate markets. Study the candlestick patterns: Note the quick reversal back down after a higher price level was reached. Note the rebound the same day when price dropped out of the lows of this sideways trend. There is control in this pattern which is typical of Professional trading activity.
NYSE:V
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
Where is the bottom for soybeans? Soybean futures are off to a rough start in 2024. In the first week of trading, March soybeans were down nearly 42 cents on the back of beneficial rains sweeping Central Brazil. Selling pressure permeated into Monday’s session as well, with soybeans trading down into the mid 1230’s. So, the question now becomes, will March soybeans make new contract lows? Fundamental Snapshot : Monday’s lower price action is not all that surprising considering U.S. export inspections for soybeans were reported at 675k metric tons - below average trade estimates. Meanwhile, Brazil has been exporting both corn and soybeans at record paces each of the past two years, and is expected to have a record or near-record soybean crop this year as well. Wednesday, CONAB will release data pertaining to their estimations of corn and soybeans. Currently, they are less optimistic about the state of the Brazilian soybean crop than the USDA, and USDA will release their World Agricultural Supply and Demand Expectations report on Friday. If we see sweeping downward adjustments to production estimates from both CONAB and USDA, it may help soybeans find a bottom. However, if the market is disappointed in the data released this week, we may see soybeans test 1200 sooner rather than later. Technical Outlook : After last week’s precipitous drop, it was surprising that March beans failed to enter oversold territory. However, it did not take long to break into OS territory on Monday’s session. The head-and-shoulders pattern that’s developed over the past fiscal quarter has a difference of approximately $1.20/bu, which puts an operative price target between 1198 and 1208. That also happens to be the 78.6% retracement level between the mid-June lows and late-July highs. Markets can stay in overbought/oversold territory for extended periods of time, so if data disappoints this week, we may see the head-and-shoulders reach its price target. However, a positive reception to fundamental data this week may serve as a launching pad for soybeans to start moving higher. Check out CME Group real-time data plans available on TradingView here: www.tradingview.com Disclaimers: CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com *Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
CBOT:ZSH2024
by Blue_Line_Futures
GME 50 EMA DefenseGME came alive in December and is currently retracing back to the 50 EMA. Things to consider, volume has been drying up since the initial move in late November, $15.41 is a strong level of support, but below that there's the gap all the way down to $13.55. January is usually a great month for this stock, but I'd love to see it defend the 50 EMA and the $15.41 level before going long. A bounce off support and a reclaim of the 50 EMA would be very bullish in my opinion
NYSE:GMELong
by SWRLS
2
All Time Highs Is Coming !Firstly, based on todays data we are seeing an uptick in the jobless claims, which basically means the FED has done enough to cool off the economy. So no further rate hikes are expected. Thus initializing the much expected year end rally. Secondly, by looking at the technicals using Elliot Wave it hints that the correction for the wave 4 is over and expect this to hit ATHs by year end. Boost the idea with your likes Not a Financial Advice, Do your own research
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by SabahEquityResearch
32
XPT/USD - Platinum OZ/USD - Retest & Break Out IdeaI would like to share my thoughts with you. The Idea is that after Head Shoulder Formation is now the Retest of SHS and confirmation of break out. That idea is supported by the seasonality of Platinum. I think its possible to reach minimum Target1 if Platinum is not overbought then its also possible to reach target 2 untill 21 th February. After 21th February I think we will see a correction. Thx we'll see wish u all the best
OANDA:XPTUSDLong
by sebastianmichalsky91
1