SBUX
SBUX: Shift of Sentiment Pattern Leads Gap Up to PlatformSBUX has now confirmed the gap gains by holding well above the trading range highs. This provides very strong support for the stock to continue moving upward. This daily chart of the stock shows a Shift of Sentiment™ Pattern with the Accumulation/Distribution indicator. The shifting pattern begins with the common gap down by HFTs in June and then the VWAP automated selling by the smaller funds to the final low. Then, the stock moves in a typical Dark Pool Pattern out of the low. Pro traders and HFTs gap the stock up in November on earnings news. Another platform is developing now above that gap which establishes more support at this level.
1 indicator to beat SBUXit's mainly for swing trading, i use the 3 day / 15 day / monthly charts with it and it works perfectly,
it works good for stocks and cryptocurrency.
you will use heiken ashi chart style and turn on the EMA DOTS indicator.
once the indicator is on you will hide the heiken ashi so you only see the dots.
when a green dot appears you buy, if a green dot appears after that green dot you hold your investment.
if a red dot appears you sell your position. easy as that.
shorter time frames will be choppy.
larger time frames will be smooth.
SBUX could break outGrowth in China
SBUX same store sale are expected to increase over the next few years as China's middle class doubles, but are currently flat to slightly negative.
In spite of same-store sales in China falling, SBUX revenue is up 20% in China due to the opening of new stores at a rate of one shop every 15 hours in China.
China has recently partnered with Alibaba to gain marketshare in the online delivery of coffee, but there remains some competition with the first Chinese coffee unicorn partnering with Tencent for delivery services and customer analytics.
Overall Growth
On average, same-store sales are only increasing at a pitiful 3%, but is expected to remain positive for the foreseeable future.
Current Valuation
Relative to the market, SBUX is undervalued. A PE of 24 or so would be more ideal, which would is 33% higher than it's current PE of 18. Assuming current expectations and earnings growth remains above 10%, that would add another 10% on a PE of 24 next year, putting my PT at about $88, and near around $100 by the Jan 2020 options expiration.
Given 9/33 analysts have a rating of HOLD, 14/33 analysts have a rating of BUY, and 10/33 analysts have a rating of STRONG BUY, with 0/33 analysts have a rating of SELL, I think SBUX will grow into its industries average PE or a bit higher at around 24.
SBUX is on the verge of breaking above it's bear trend into a bullish one.
2020 Jan 17, Strike $75 calls could have an upside of 2,000% ($1 to $20+) if the break above it's bear trend occurs in the next month or so and it's quarter to quarter upward trend is sustained into the long-term.
$SBUX Short Term Trading IdeaStarbucks has been trading in an ascending channel since mid June.
Blue line is a long term resistance, there is an opportunity for some small profits in a short period of time.
Also, Fundamentally there is the up coming pumpkin spice / holiday season which could give a boost to the stock.
Over-reaction to negative sentiments or a major reversal?With the current 2-day high-percentage decline on significant volume, combined with the breach of the often-tested support level of ~$53, NASDAQ:SBUX seems to be at the beginning stages of a major correction.
In the absence of some positive news in the near future, I see the next major support area to be near $43.70.
$SBUX - Time to Cut Back On CaffeineI remember buying this stock back in 2012 at around 30/shr and held it through the bull run. It's sad to see this drop so much in such a short period of time. With the rising cost of coffee and the cutback in construction, I am assuming there will be weak guidance for this upcoming ER.
Next week, we may see an ER run up to the 38% - 61% fib before the next drop.
My plan is to purchase calls first thing Monday and enjoy one last run, and short it back on the way down to $43 (or even lower). For now, I'm marking this short- term "LONG" until it finishes the retracement.
An over-reaction or a major trend reversal? With the significant 2-day decline on high volume, combined with the breach of the often-tested $53 area of support, NASDAQ:SBUX seems to have begun a major reversal.
In the absence of any positive news in the near future, I see a continuation of the downtrend towards the next support level of about $43.70.