Rsidivergence
EURUSD - Technical Analysis [Short Setup]🔹 EURUSD Analysis on 1HR chart
- The current Trend is BULLISH
- there is Bearish divergences
-Rising Wedge reversal pattern is form
🔹 Trade Plan
- Entry Level = 0.67295
- Stop Loss = 1.11500
- TP1 = 1.11030
- TP2 = 1.10790
🔹 Risk Management
- First TP is 1:1
- Second TP is 1:2
🔹 How to Take Trade?
- Only risk 2% of your portfolio
- Take 1% risk entry with 1:1 RR
- Take 1% risk entry with 1:2 RR
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GBPNZD Bearish DivergenceThe market has responded to a bearish divergence on the 1H chart, leading GBPNZD to pull back from a key resistance zone. After reaching the strong resistance level of 2.12700, the market formed a daily long-tailed bar, signaling a rejection of that level. Given the overall bearish trend and the appearance of a large bearish candle, the market is likely to continue pulling back toward support levels. It may drop further from the resistance zone and potentially break out of the upward channel as it aims to test those support areas. The target is the support level around 2.10500
Why the USD is about to rally... See chart below please.
I would not necessarily listen to certain You-Tubers who write-off important momentum indicators like Stochastics & RSI.
My observations of both is that they are wonderful at telling me what is overbought & oversold. When a commodity, currency or stock is in either of these phases, massive & fast swings in price can occur as price comes out of the overbought (shorting) and oversold (buying) conditions.
The timeframe of the Stochastic and RSI which I've noticed has the most power and punch with respect to the above is the Weekly but sometimes the Weekly & Daily & 4HR RSI/Stochastics cross-up (x-up on 30/20 respectively) on their zones (buy) or cross-down (x-down 70/80 respectively) on their zones (short-sell). You really need to see the indicators tick-up (buy) or tick-down (sell) firmly through their respective zones (RSI 30/70) STOCH 20/80).
The following chart is the Weekly for the USDX. The RSI looks to be really getting under price & packing a big momentum-punch upwards soon. Plus the Stochastics Weekly is looking to cross up on its 20 zone at the same time. When they cross-up and if the Daily simultaneously crosses up it will provide a lot of upward price movement in USD and its index USDX.
I have been saying for about a week now that a rally is coming for the USD. This chart is the confirmation.
ARBUSDTHi guys
The main trend is downward. We have not yet received confirmation of a trend change and the bullish outlook is very weak for now.
But on the daily and four-hour time frames, we have a positive RSI divergence.
And provided that the downward trend line is broken and the resistance range of $0.893 is consumed, the possibility of the continuation of the upward trend is strengthened.
What do you think?
Toncoin hi guys
On the price chart, when we still hold the support area of $4.46, and the LL is not made for us, we cannot expect a bearish trend.
If the $4.46 support range is fully consumed, a bearish scenario is likely.
Right now, the bullish scenario weighs more for us. And if the $7.95 resistance area is completely consumed, the bullish mentality will be reinforced for us.
what do you think!?
Second Chance Shorting Opportunity on EURUSDIf you’re looking for a second chance to short EURUSD, there’s a promising setup involving a Type 2 Bearish Shark Pattern with RSI Divergence. Let’s break it down.
Current Overview:
- Type 2 Bearish Shark Pattern:
- What It Means: The first target has already been achieved. This provides clarity on the first target but might reduce participation since the initial group of traders who profited may not re-engage.
- RSI Divergence:
- Signal: This divergence adds another layer of confirmation, especially for traders who rely on resistance and RSI divergence as their entry signals.
Strategy:
- Second Chance Entry: This setup offers a second opportunity to short EURUSD, with the RSI divergence potentially attracting a new wave of traders.
- Profit Factor: The strong profit factor in this trade is what drew me in, despite the potential for reduced participation from the initial group of sellers.
Final Thoughts:
While there might be fewer sellers this time around, the RSI divergence could bring in new participants, making this a solid second chance trade. Always keep an eye on your signals and manage your risk effectively.
What’s your take on this setup? Are you planning to jump in, or do you see other opportunities? Share your thoughts and strategies below!
Happy trading, everyone! 🚀
#BAKE/USDT SHORT TRADE IDEA#BAKE/USDT SHORT TRADE IDEA👹
Leverage: 20x
Entries: $0.3186
Take profit 1: $0.3139
Take profit 2: $0.2997
Take profit 3: $0.2628
Stop Loss: $0.3427
NOTE: This is just my prediction. Be sure to use STOPLOSS and remember that I am not a financial adviser. your money, your risk!
BINANCE:BAKEUSDT.P
How to Read the RSI Indicator: The Market's Lie DetectorAttention TradingViewers, market gurus, and Instagram influencers, this one indicator goes hard whenever it’s onto something. Let's talk about the RSI — the Relative Strength Index . This bad boy is like the lie detector test of the market, calling out overhyped moves and under-the-radar opportunities.
What’s RSI All About?
The RSI is a momentum-based oscillator that captures the speed and change of price movements. It operates on a scale of 0 to 100, and if you know how to read it, it’s like having X-ray vision into the market’s moods. The best part? It’s super easy to use — slap it on any chart, any time frame and let it do its thing.
The Numbers
Above 70 : Overbought alert! If the RSI shows a reading above 70, the trading instrument may have been partying a little too hard. Anywhere above 70 means that it’s flashing “overbought” – like a sugar rush that’s about to crash. Traders who follow the RSI usually interpret this as a signal to sell and move out of the asset before the line reverses course and dives back under the high-water mark. Sometimes, however, the price keeps climbing well above 70.
Below 30 : Now we’re in “oversold” territory – it’s like spotting a hidden gem in a bargain bin. When RSI drops below 30, the market’s saying, “This thing’s been beaten down, but maybe – just maybe – it’s time for a comeback.” Keep in mind that sometimes the dip may keep dipping.
How It’s Calculated
RSI is all about relative strength — it compares the magnitude of recent gains to recent losses. Picture a tug-of-war between bulls and bears. The RSI score tells you who’s winning the battle right now, but also hints at who might be running out of strength.
Trading with RSI
Overbought? Maybe Sell (obligatory DYOR) . When RSI hits 70 and above, you might be looking at a market running out of fuel. You may start thinking about trimming your position, or at least keep an eye out for a reversal. After all, what goes up must come down (except maybe Bitcoin BTC/USD ?)
Oversold? Maybe Buy (obligatory DYOR) . If the RSI drops to 30 and below, it could be a signal to start looking for a buying opportunity. The market is going through a meltdown and sometimes that’s your cue to go bargain hunting and snap up some discounted assets. Just make sure that your stock or crypto of choice isn’t falling for a specific reason — no indicator can save you from an actual rug pull.
The Sweet Spot — Divergences: Ever notice when the RSI and price action don’t agree? That’s called a divergence, and it’s like catching the market in a lie. If the price is making new highs but the RSI isn’t, or vice versa, it’s a clue that something fishy’s going on and you may want to be on the lookout for a sur- price reversal.
Bonus Tip: RSI in Different Timeframes
Wanna get fancy and earn some bragging rights? Use RSI across different timeframes. A stock might be oversold on the daily but overbought on the weekly. By spotting the trend across different time frames, you can pick your desired time frame to trade in and follow closely. The higher the time frame, the longer the time horizon for the move to actually pan out.
So, there you have it – the RSI. It’s not a crystal ball, but it’s pretty close.
Use it wisely, and you might just outsmart the market — or at least stay ahead of the next big move. Keep those charts hot, continue learning about technical analysis and go smash those trading goals of yours. 🔥
Elliott Wave DemonstrationDemonstration of Elliott Wave Principles using Bitcoin chart:
Rules:
Wave 2 never goes below end of Wave 1 => checked
Wave 3 is not the shortest of Wave 1, 3 and 5 => checked
Wave 4 never goes below end of Wave 1 => checked
Guidelines:
Guideline of Alternation: Wave 2 and 4 alternates in form (sharp vs sideways), retracement (shallow vs deep) and duration (long vs short) => checked
Guideline of Wave Equality: Two out of three waves (1,3 and 5) tend to be equal in length and duration, Wave 1 and 5 meeting this guideline => checked
Momentum is highest during end of wave 3, end of Wave 5 normally creates divergence with price => checked
Volume during Wave 3 is normally the highest amongst Wave 1,3 and 5
Relations with Fib ratios:
Wave 2 retraced Wave 1 by 78.6% (deep)
Wave 3 was equal to 261.8% of Wave 1 (longest)
Wave 4 retraced Wave 3 by 38.2% (shallow)
Wave 5 was equal to 100% of Wave 1 (Guideline of Wave equality)
#ALICE/USDT SHORT ENTRY#ALICE/USDT SHORT ENTRY
Leverage: 3x
Entries: $1.515
Take profit 1: $1.490
Take profit 2: $1.417
Take profit 3: $1.296
Stop Loss: $1.603
NOTE: This is just my prediction. Be sure to use STOPLOSS and remember that I am not a financial adviser. your money, your risk!
BINANCE:ALICEUSDT.P
Thanks
The sroced.
GBPNZD - Potential Perfect StormTaking a look at RSI on the 1 hour timeframe, it's obvious we are getting some bearish divergence after a strong week long rally.
This strong bullish price action was attributed to the RBNZ interest rate decesion last week where interest rates were left unchanges at 5.50%
However, later today we get the latest CPI data from New Zealand followed by UK's CPI data a few hours later. Could this be a potential perfect storm where New Zealand will show a surprise to the upside followed by a surprise to the downside with the UK?
If that happens, I would expect this ascending support trendline to break opening the doors for a reversal.
Time will tell but early clues are beginning to develop on the 1 hour timeframe with RSI.
That's it - That's all
Trade Safe.
Trading Idea: Shorting GBPJPY Amid Conflicting Signals from JapaThe recent statement from Japan's Finance Minister about possibly giving up FX intervention due to its ineffectiveness, which seems to suggest acceptance of the yen's continuous weakness, directly conflicts with recent BOJ communications.
Considering this, shorting GBPJPY becomes a highly volatile decision. Nonetheless, a trade is a trade. If this trade goes well, profits are expected within 2 hours. If not, that's part of the game.
Trade Setup:
Short GBPJPY
Entry : 202.97
Stop-Loss : 203.21
Target 1 : 202.60
Target 2 : Open
Strategy:
- Volatility Consideration : Acknowledge the high volatility due to conflicting statements from Japan’s Finance Minister and BOJ.
- Risk Management : Set stop-loss at 203.21 to manage potential losses.
Profit Targets :
Target 1 : 202.60
Target 2 : Keep open
Remember to breathe and prepare for the next trade. What’s your take on this situation? Do you see a different angle or strategy? Share your thoughts and insights below!
Natural Gas Prices Poised for New 2024 HighsAfter a poor start to the year, Natural Gas prices have surged in the current quarter, largely due to stronger fundamentals. Extending the advance this week, the commodity looks poised to set new 2024 highs (3.397), but it may be early to talk about further gains.
Key drillers have lowered their 2024 output guidance, while demand is expected to accelerate substantially, largely due to Asian industrial use. Adding to the optimistic outlook, the World Bank this week raised its growth forecast for the US and China and India, while the Europe exited its brief recession and the ECB slashed interest rates this month.
On the other hand, supply is expected to expand this year and producers could boost their activity as price rise. European countries have agreed to keep consumption low, while historically warm weather poses another threat to demand optimism. Natural gas is also used for electricity generation though, which can be a tailwind in the summer months.
On the technical front, the RSI has not followed prices higher, in a divergence that can limit the upside and fuel a pullback towards the EMA200 (black line). Daily closes below it would pause the bullish bias, but that would need strong catalyst.
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Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
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Losses can exceed deposits.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website:
Stratos Markets Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Stratos Europe Ltd clients please see: www.fxcm.com
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Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
Bitcoin Head and Shoulders dip to $60,500OKX:BTCUSDT has created a classic Head & Shoulders pattern on the daily timeframe. If it confirms below the neckline, we could see a pullback to $60,500 - the same distance from the peak of the Head to the neckline from the breakdown.
This is not actionable until it confirms, when a candle closes lower than the first candle closing below the breakdown.
Given the institutional interest and price manipulation, this could be turned around by market makers, so I won't be entering a short, or exiting my spot positions, until I see confirmation on the daily timeframe.
However, I could also see those who manipulate the markets wanting a lower entry for large amounts of institutional capital - so the price could likely be manipulated either way. What the chart tells us is this is a big bearish signal to be monitored.
There is also a Bearish Divergence on the RSI, which isn't actionable by itself, but does add a layer of confluence.
LINKUSDTHi guys
It seems that we have an upward channelized trend. And currently, the ceiling of the RSI negative divergence channel has also been issued.
The support area of $17.24 is still preserved.
Provided that this support area and the upward trend line are maintained, there is a high possibility of forming an upward trend similar to the drawn upward scenario.
in case of breaking the upward trend line and losing the support range of $17.24; The downside scenario is more likely.
What do you think?
DOGEHi guys
Considering the consumption of the specified range, the probability of reaction to the specified price range is very high.
On the higher time frame, the probability that a higher ceiling will be formed compared to the previous ceiling is very weak.
As a result, our bullish view is short-term for now.
What do you think?
GBPUSD - A Bullish Trend with a Cautionary NoteHey traders! Let's dive into the EUR/USD market analysis. While many are eyeing a shorting opportunity at 1.2743, leveraging RSI Divergence, it's crucial to acknowledge the overarching bullish trend on both daily and weekly charts.
Currently, the market is hovering around a critical support level at 1.2723. A 20-pip move might not be substantial, but it can be a telling sign. Here's what to watch out for:
If the market bounces from this support level, it could indicate a continued bullish trend.
A breakdown below 1.2723 might attract more sellers, potentially leading to a short-term correction.
Keep in mind that the bullish trend on higher time frames still holds sway. Let's monitor the market's reaction at this support level before making a move.
Stay vigilant, and let's trade wisely!
ADAUSDT - Possible breakout of resistence on 1h TFIf we close bullish candle above resistance, then successfully rest our resistend we can expect higher bullish movement, who can give us good opportunity to long position with reasonable RRR. But for this idea we need wait little bit for multiple confirmations as mentioned.
NAS100 Hits Record Ahead of NVIDIA but RSI DivergesThe tech-heavy index runs its best month of the year, extending the advance to new record highs. After last week’s CPI moderation, markets strengthened their bets for two rate cuts by the Fed this year, beginning in June. NAS100 now eyes the psychological 19K mark.
On the other hand, the disinflation process has slowed this year and Fed officials have turned cautious around a pivot, adopting a higher-for-longer narrative, while the hawkish commentary continued this week from various policymakers. On the technical side, the RSI did not follow prices higher, in a divergence that creates risk for a pullback towards the EMA200 (black line). Daily closes below it, would pause the bullish bias, but that would need strong catalyst.
Even if a pullback ensues, the path of least resistance is higher. NAS100 has looked past the Fed’s cautious shift, largely due to the generative AI boom and investors now await Wednesday’s results by NVIDIA, its enabler and main beneficiary. After February’s last report, the stock had jumped more than 12% and had lifted NAS100 with it, so there is potential for volatility.
NVIDIA expects new record revenues due to AI demand and growth to the tune of 235% y/y. This would mark a small slowdown in pace and markets will want to see if it can continue to post eyewatering numbers, or if cracks will begin to appear.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website:
Stratos Markets Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Stratos Europe Ltd clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.