EURGBP, Bearish H&S, Short term sellPrice action is in a down trend as we can see on the HTF price is moving within a decending channel. Looking at the LTF we can see a short term sell opportunity as price is potentially completing the right shoulder of a Head & Shoulders pattern which in nature is a bearish indicator.
Look for a short entry around the neck line of 0.885 that fits your trading plan.
Thanks
Trade Safe
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Riskmangement
Top10 Mistakes to avoid as a New TraderIntroduction
When starting out as a trader or investor, it is important to be aware of the mistakes that can be made. Mistakes are common, and even experienced traders and investors make them from time to time. However, new traders and investors are particularly vulnerable to making mistakes, which can lead to significant losses. In this article, we will discuss the top 10 mistakes to avoid as a new trader or investor, and provide tips on how to avoid them.
Mistake 1: Lack of education
One of the biggest mistakes that new traders and investors make is not educating themselves about the markets they are investing in. It is important to have a basic understanding of the financial markets, including the stock market, foreign exchange market, and commodity markets.
Before making any trades or investments, new traders and investors should spend time learning about the different financial instruments, such as stocks, bonds, and options. They should also understand the basic concepts of fundamental and technical analysis, which can help them identify profitable trades.
There are many educational resources available to new traders and investors, including books, online courses, and seminars. Some of the most popular books on investing include "The Intelligent Investor" by Benjamin Graham, "The Little Book of Common Sense Investing" by John Bogle, and "A Random Walk Down Wall Street" by Burton Malkiel.
Mistake 2: Failure to set goals
Many new traders miss out on setting goals. Having clear and realistic goals is important in trading or investing because it helps traders and investors stay focused and motivated.
Some common goals for new traders and investors include building wealth, generating passive income, and achieving financial independence. Goals should be specific, measurable, achievable, relevant, and time-bound (SMART). For example, a SMART goal for a new investor could be to earn a 10% return on their investment within the next 12 months.
Mistake 3: Emotion-based decision making
Emotions can be a trader's worst enemy. Fear, greed, and hope can all cloud judgement and lead to poor decision-making. New traders and investors are particularly vulnerable to emotional biases, such as the tendency to hold on to losing trades for too long or to sell winning trades too quickly.
To avoid emotional biases, new traders and investors should develop a trading plan and stick to it. They should also set stop-loss orders, which are orders to automatically sell a security when it reaches a certain price, to limit their losses.
Mistake 4: Not having a plan
New traders and investors often make the mistake of trading without a plan. A trading plan is a written set of rules that outlines a trader's entry and exit criteria, risk management strategy, and other important factors.
A trading plan should include the trader's goals, risk tolerance, and trading strategy. It should also outline the types of securities the trader will invest in and the timeframe for holding those securities. A trading plan is important because it helps traders avoid impulsive decisions and stick to a consistent strategy.
Mistake 5: Lack of diversification
Another common mistake that new traders and investors make is failing to diversify their portfolio. Diversification involves spreading your investments across different asset classes and industries, which can help to mitigate risk and protect your portfolio against losses.
For example, if you invest all of your money in a single stock or industry, you run the risk of losing everything if that stock or industry experiences a significant downturn. However, by diversifying your portfolio, you can help to reduce your exposure to any one particular investment and increase your chances of long-term success.
There are many ways to diversify your portfolio, such as investing in a mix of stocks, bonds, and mutual funds, or investing in companies across different industries and sectors.
Mistake 6: Chasing trends
Chasing trends is a pitfall that many undisciplined traders make and this also happens to professionals. This can be dangerous and lead to significant losses. Chasing trends involves investing in a stock or asset solely because it has recently experienced a significant increase in price, without considering the underlying fundamentals of the investment.
While it may be tempting to jump on board with a hot trend, it's important to remember that these trends are often short-lived and can quickly reverse direction. As a result, investing in a trend without doing your due diligence can result in significant losses.
Instead of chasing trends, focus on identifying investments with strong fundamentals, such as a history of consistent earnings growth or a solid balance sheet. By investing in quality companies with a proven track record, you can increase your chances of long-term success.
Mistake 7: Overtrading
New traders and investors tend to 'overtrade'. Overtrading involves making too many trades or investments, often based on emotional impulses or a desire to make a quick profit.
While it may be tempting to try to make as many trades as possible, overtrading can be harmful to your portfolio. Each trade comes with associated fees and commissions, which can add up quickly and eat into your profits. Additionally, making too many trades can increase your exposure to risk and volatility, which can lead to significant losses.
Instead of overtrading, focus on making well-informed, strategic trades based on your plan and goals. By being patient and selective with your trades, you can increase your chances of long-term success.
Mistake 8: Ignoring risk management
One of the most common mistakes new traders and investors make is ignoring risk management. Risk management is the process of identifying, analyzing, and controlling potential risks associated with an investment or trade. This includes setting stop-loss orders, diversifying your portfolio, and understanding the potential risks associated with each investment.
Many new traders and investors focus on potential profits and forget to consider the risks involved. This can lead to significant losses and can quickly wipe out an entire investment account.
There are several ways to manage risk, including setting stop-loss orders, diversifying your portfolio, and conducting thorough research on each investment opportunity. Stop-loss orders are an effective tool to limit potential losses on any given trade. Diversification is also an effective way to manage risk by spreading your investments across different asset classes, such as stocks, bonds, and commodities.
By ignoring risk management, new traders and investors increase the likelihood of experiencing significant losses. It is important to be proactive in managing risk and to always be mindful of the potential downside of any investment.
Mistake 9: Focusing too much on short-term gains
New traders and investors are focusing too much on short-term gains. While it is natural to want to see immediate returns on your investments, it is important to keep a long-term perspective in mind. Focusing too much on short-term gains can lead to impulsive decision-making and can cause investors to overlook the potential long-term value of an investment.
Short-term gains are often associated with higher risk, and it is important to remember that high risk can lead to high losses. By focusing solely on short-term gains, new traders and investors may overlook quality investments that have the potential for long-term growth and stability.
It is important to balance short-term gains with a long-term perspective. This means taking the time to research potential investments, identifying investments that align with your overall investment goals, and being patient with the investment process.
Mistake 10: Lack of patience
Finally, one of the biggest mistakes new traders and investors make is a lack of patience. Patience is critical in trading and investing, as it takes time to see returns on your investments. It is important to remember that investing is a marathon, not a sprint.
Many new traders and investors are eager to see quick returns on their investments, and they often become impatient when they don't see immediate results. This can lead to impulsive decision-making and can cause investors to sell their investments prematurely, often at a loss.
It is important to remember that successful investing takes time and patience. By taking the time to research potential investments, setting realistic expectations, and being patient with the investment process, new traders and investors can avoid making hasty decisions that can lead to significant losses.
Conclusion
In summary, trading and investing can be a rewarding and lucrative endeavor, but it is important to avoid common mistakes that can lead to significant losses. By educating yourself, setting goals, managing your emotions, having a plan, diversifying your portfolio, avoiding trend chasing, avoiding overtrading, managing risk, focusing on the long-term, and being patient, you can increase your chances of success as a new trader or investor.
Remember, the key to success is to approach trading and investing with a long-term perspective and to be mindful of the potential risks and rewards associated with each investment opportunity. By avoiding these common mistakes and staying disciplined in your approach, you can achieve your financial goals and enjoy a successful trading and investing career.
CADCHF, Bears to target 0.665 rangePrice action is shaping up for a sell opportunity as we can see a price is completing a bearish continuation indicating further downside is possible. Competition of this correction is also a 3rd touch on the upper trend line.
Find a risk entry or a reduced risk entry that meets your trading plan
Thanks
Trade Safe
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10 Rules of Risk Management
Risk management is the most important aspect of any trading plan. Apart from the mathematical and strategic methodologies to employ, there are several precautions you can adopt as a trader and consider in your decision-making process.
Never risk more than you can afford to lose.
Never forget Rule no.1.
Stick to your trading plan.
Consider the costs like spread, rollover/swap and commissions.
Limit your margin use and track available margin to avoid margin calls.
Always use Take Profit and Stop Loss orders.
Never leave open positions unattended.
Record your performance and adjust as you progress.
Avoid high volatility periods like economic news releases.
Avoid making emotional decisions when trading.
We apply risk management to minimise losses if the market tide turns against us after an event. Although the temptation of realising every opportunity is there for all traders, we must know the risks of an investment in advance to ensure we can endure if things go sour. All successful traders know and accept that trading is a complex process and an extensive risk management strategy and trading plan allow us to have a sustainable income source.
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THE MOST USEFUL TRADING SITES ...and how to utilize themIn this post, I will share the some of the most useful trading sites that are available to you and how you are able to utilize them to your advantage whether it's for fundamentals, charting, analysis, performance tracking, news events or just to follow your favorite professionals and their ideas & education that they share publicly.
First and foremost, if you haven't made this your PRIMARY trading platform, I want to encourage you to use and SUBSCRIBE to TRADINGVIEW
As we all evolve as traders, I'm sure we can all relate to one thing in common which is hard work and dedication. Trading is one of the hardest professions out there and without hard work, practice and dedication, we know that 90% of traders fail to make it in this industry. TRADINGVIEW gives you all the resources you need to be able to become one of the 10% as it enables you to become a content creator, it gives you a community to research ideas, you're able to watch livestreams, catch news flows, back test & analyze your own strategies and most importantly of all, you have direct support team to help guide you by sharing their own personal trading experiences, publicly as well as privately. Whether your choice of market is Forex, Stocks, Crypto, Bonds, Futures, Commodities or Yields, TRADINGVIEW has all the tools to be able get you well on your journey to become a professional trader.
See Figure 1: Subscriptions
WWW.MYFXBOOK.COM
MYFXBOOK has a variety of different tools to use ranging anywhere from position size calculators, COT data (Commitment of traders), Broker spreads/quotes/volumes, news flows, correlations and most importantly, account linked performance analysis. You may be a full time trader or a part time trader with a 9-5 job, either way analyzing your entries, exits, RR ratio, drawdowns etc. are necessary to find what works and what doesn't. Trading is about probabilities and if you're not making money in 25 trades, you need to reanalyze and change your approach. Myfxbook.com allows you to link your trading platform to breakdown your performance, ultimately being your own coach to find the approach that suits you the best.
See Figure 2: Performance Stats
WWW.TRADINGECONOMICS.COM
As many different crises happen throughout the world (especially the most recent ones within the last few years), understanding how the Federal Reserve operates to manage monetary policy is key to get an edge in your positions in the forex market. TRADINGECONOMICS gives you all the accurate information needed to be able to forecast and research throughout 196 countries like, economic indicators, exchange rates, stock market indexes, government bond yields and commodity prices. Micro and Macro economics are a big part of how this world operates and having access to all the most important information that drives the Feds decisions due to the economy being split between these two realms are valuable as they could be bridged together for more accurate forecasting.
See Figure 3: Inflation Rates/GDP Growth (By Country)
WWW.FOREXLIVE.COM
FOREXLIVE has many different helpful resources to keep you up to date in the market no matter what time zone or trading session you take part in. As our lives are busy with family, day jobs, business endeavors or simply being in different time zones, you may not be able to watch all sessions play out and in fact, taking a break from the screen is healthy for your mind and emotions. The great thing about FOREXLIVE is that you are able to read Session Wraps to keep you up to date with a summary after each session (Asian, European, U.S) completes. Psychology is a big part of why a trader either succeeds or fails which balancing your time on and off the markets are important to detach your emotions from your positions. Set a plan for how many times you will scan the charts a day and fill that in between time with activities like exercising, reading, chores, spending time with your family, going for a walk and much more.
See Figure 4: Session Wraps
WWW.INVESTOPEDIA.COM
INVESTOPEDIA was founded in 1999 headquartered in the heart of New York city U.S. This website provides comparisons of financial products, reviews, ratings, comparisons of different financial products and most importantly, it is a financial dictionary. With the broad range of information provided, it gives readers the confidence to manage every aspect of their financial life. Whether you're learning about money and investing for the first time or are looking to improve your knowledge and skills, anyone from an experienced investor, a business owner, a professional, an advisor, INVESTOPEDIA has all the information to build your skills.
See Figure 5: 4 Basic Things to Know About Bonds/Key Takeaways
WWW.INVESTING.COM
INVESTING.COM is a well known site that offers real-time market quotes, information about stocks, futures, options, analysis, commodities and most importantly an economic calendar. Keeping an eye out for the high impact news events will help you adapt and control the volatility during those peak hours. Another helpful aspect of this site is knowing what will drive the market mood for each upcoming week. The top 5 most important fundamental areas to watch for are explained and broken down to help your forecast and analysis so you can prepare your trade setups accordingly. Applying fundamental analysis along with technical analysis will help you become a better trader as when the high impact news events hit, markets get volatile which could cause a running profit turn into an absolute loss. Knowing when to be in or out of the market is valuable so you don't go into a draw down phase.
See Figure 6: Economic Calendar
As I only have mentioned a small number of sites that you are able to access, we all know there are so many other ones available out there, paid and free.
Researching and spending the time to read to broaden your knowledge in the financial world will only help you grow as a trader and essentially improve your trading results.
Check out some more free sites:
www.fxstreet.com
www.dailyfx.com
www.forexfactory.com
www.babypips.com
Please share the site that most helps you in by leaving it in the comment section. I would love to see the variety of ones available.
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NZDUSD, Bullish Flag Pattern Price action has been shaping up to see a continuation in momentum as we can see a bullish flag pattern created which as we know indicates more upside is evident.
Ensure proper risk management is applied, find an entry and exit that meets your trading plan.
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Trade Safe
EURJPY, Double Top Bearish Price actionEURJPY has been shaping up for a big sell opportunity as we can see price was rising within an ascending channel which impulsively broke downward forming a bearish correction. Double tops have been confirmed indicating more downside is possible.
As we see many different target levels that price could test, it may take weeks for this sell to make its way all down.
Take your profits as the market gives you, ensure proper risk management and exit criteria is implemented.
Thanks
Trade Safe
How to achieve profits by managing emotions?Market fluctuations are often a direct reflection of the emotions of market participants. Managing and controlling emotions is essential for successful trading. If you cannot control your emotions, you will suffer from impulsive emotional behavior and make bad decisions, which will harm your trading performance.
Negative emotions such as fear, hatred, anger, greed, jealousy, pessimism, and despair can lead to negative consequences for traders. Traders who have negative emotions may lack the ability to leave positions, refuse to accept reality, and blame others, resulting in selling positions only after a long period of price declines, missing the best buying points, and selling too early.
Negative traders may also regard failure as a negative, significant, and final result, attributing losses to their own shortcomings or negligence.
Everyone experiences various emotions, but people with high emotional intelligence can better manage their negative emotions and vent them appropriately. Emotional control skills can be developed through practice, but it is important to note that this process is a long-term and systematic one. Traders must be psychologically prepared for this.
Therefore, no matter what happens, you must control your impulsive emotions. Take a deep breath for 10 seconds, then choose the best course of action. This often leads to more rational and correct decisions.
Do not make decisions when impulsive, and do not make promises when excited. By managing your emotions, you gain control over your life.
There are various emotions in life, and you must learn to manage and control them. Do not be a slave to your emotions. Manage your negative emotions and cleverly transfer them . Similarly, controlling emotions in life determines emotional control in trading.
The three stages of emotional failure leading to trading losses are: 1) being careless before unexpected events occur; 2) being panicked after unexpected events occur; 3) being eager to make up losses after suffering losses. The solutions are as follows:
Always respect the market and trade with caution. Approach the market with a trembling, cautious attitude.
Once you suffer losses, do not panic. Stop trading temporarily, find the cause, identify the problems, and improve your system.
Impatience is the biggest reason for traders' losses. Heavy positions are impatience, opening and closing positions without signals is impatience, frequent trading is impatience, adding positions is impatience, which is essentially greed, wanting to make money quickly. Be patient, make calm decisions, and the market will reward you.
How to survive in the market for the long-term?
In the market, regret is a frequent word. Many people face the complex investment market and often feel fear, hesitation, and regret, whether it's before buying, after buying, after selling, or just watching without buying. How to avoid this phenomenon? The fear, hesitation, and regret are largely due to not knowing how to manage positions and follow the crowd. Often pursuing high probability profits results in the opposite.
Risk management is an unavoidable issue when it comes to this. Whether you are a financial master or an individual investor, the importance of risk management is paramount. To relax and operate in the market, you need to face your current situation, make correct judgments on the profit and loss ratio, determine your operating frequency and position management, and give yourself correct psychological guidance.
Everyone's personality is different, and their risk tolerance and trading styles are also different. There is no strategy that is 100% accurate, but if you want to survive in the market for a long time, you need to control risk. Don't be afraid of losses. Losses are inevitable, but the key is how much loss you can tolerate. This is the core of risk management. For small losses, we need to prepare ourselves psychologically. This is a link in risk management. Don't rely on luck. The losses brought about by a lucky mentality are incalculable.
About 70% of the time in market fluctuations is in oscillation, and only about 30% of the time is in a unilateral surge or decline. Therefore, accumulating small victories is the magic weapon for long-term success. Always wanting to go all-in and make a big move at once may result in missed profits due to not exiting in time. No matter what state you are in now, I hope I can bring you a little bit of help!
s&p 500 analysis - 03 mar 2023hope all you traders are doing great! here are my observations of the s&p...
- so for two days (thursday and wednesday) the market was at a level of support, and price tried to breakout of this support level (on lower time frames) but broke back in to show that it has been respected
- the rejection of yesterdays daily candle are seen as an inverse head and shoulders on the H1
- yesterdays candle closed off bullish, and with a lot of momentum seen by the long body
- and it broke through an intraday level of resistance 3968.71 which is now our support, but price has already retested that level on the london open
- so now i am currently waiting for my peach resistance to get broken and i will go long on the retest of that zone
- but i could be wrong this is just what I THINK WILL HAPPEN ;)
The Simpliest Math Behind Every Succesful TraderWhat exactly is risk management?
The ability to control your losses so that you do not lose all of your equity is referred to as risk management. This is a system that may be applied to everything that involves probabilities: trading, poker, blackjack, sports betting, and so on.
Many inexperienced traders underestimate the significance of risk management or don't understand the basics when it comes to risk management.
Would you risk $5,000 on every trade if you had a $10,000 trading account? Probably not. Because it only takes two consecutive losses in order to lose everything.
🧠 Now, let's imagine a thought experiment, in wich 🤩Alex and 🤨Peter are both traders with $10,000 in their accounts. Alex is a high-risk trader who puts $2500 risk on every trade. Peter is a cautious trader who puts $100 risk on every trade. Both apply a trading strategy that has a 50% success rate with an average risk-to-reward ratio of 1:2.
For good example, let's imagine the next 8 trades had the following results:
4 losing trades in a row
4 winning trades in a row
Here is the result for Alex: -$2,500, -$2,500, -$2,500, -$2,500 = -$10,000 Loss of the total account 😭😭😭😭
Here is the result for Peter: -$100, -$100, -$100, -$100, +$200, +$200, +$200, +$200 = +$800 Profits. 🏆 🏆 🏆 🏆
Can you tell the difference? See how risk management show the difference between being a profitable or losing trader. Peter managed to recover losing trades, and get into good profits after 8 trades. Alex didn't survive 4 trades...
🚨 You might have the finest trading strategy in the world, but if you don't manage how much you lose, you'll lose it all. It's only a matter of probability and time.
However, following this basic example will assist you to make your trading more profitable. Simply give it a shot.
Kind regards
Artem Crypto
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Back With The Charts EURAUD BullishAs a trader, it's important to not only identify potential trading opportunities, but also to manage risk effectively. With that in mind, based on my analysis of the EURAUD pair, I have a bullish bias on the 4-hour timeframe.
One reason for my bullish bias is that the pair has broken through a major resistance level , and has made a new higher high. This indicates that there may be further upside potential for the pair.
However, before entering into a trade, it's important to wait for a pullback to the former resistance level , which should now act as support. This allows for a more favorable risk-reward ratio, as you can place a stop loss below the support level to limit potential losses.
Additionally, it's important to have personal entry criteria in place, such as waiting for confirmation through candlestick patterns or indicators before entering a trade. This helps to ensure that you're entering into trades with a higher probability of success.
Overall, while this analysis and prediction may provide a potential trading opportunity, it's important to remember to manage risk effectively. This includes setting appropriate stop loss levels, and being mindful of position sizing to avoid over-exposure to any one trade.
german 30 analysis - 22 february 2023hope all you guys are blessed! it's my baby brother's birthday today si i'm in the best of moods today and please wish him a happy birthday :)
but here's my breakdown for german 30
- this market has been in a range on the daily timeframe and the most recent was a touch on the support of the range
- but on the H4 market has been making LOWER LOWS and LOWER HIGHS with large bearish candlesticks showing a lot of volume
- down onto the M30/M15 market was in a mini range and i am currently waiting for a break of the support then i will go short
- take profits are at the 15315 level
- market could turn anytime and be bullish so proper risk mangement is key
Strategy Coding E05: Risk Management (Part 1)This is a deep dive into the concepts surrounding "Risk Management" and how to realistically model managing risk.
We will discuss:
Risk Units
Scaling in to positions at a one third risk unit increments
Raising stops
Taking profits
Closing/exiting the position.
Don't Blow Your Account | Learn How to Avoid Margin Call
Hey traders,
In this educational article, I will share with you 5 simple tips that will help you not to blow your trading.
1️⃣Always Use Stop Loss.
Let's start with the obvious - with the stop loss order.
Never ever trade without that. Before you open your trade, plan in advance its placement, stick to it once the position becomes active and never remove it.
2️⃣ Manage Your Position Sizes
I know that most of you are trading with a fixed lot. That is a bad habit. You should measure the lot size for each trading position you take. You should define in advance the risk percentage you are willing to lose per trade and calculate the lot sizes for your trades accordingly, then.
3️⃣Avoid Taking Too Many Positions
Remember that in trading, quantity does not imply quality. The more trades you take, the harder it is to manage each position individually. I would suggest opening maximum 5 trades per day and holding no more than 8 trades simultaneously.
4️⃣ Avoid Trading Too Many Markets
The wider is your watch list, the harder it is to focus on each individual element inside. Do not try to control as many markets as possible, instead, narrow your watch list and concentrate your attention on your favourite trading instruments.
5️⃣Remember About Volatility
The more volatile is the market that you trade, the harder it is to trade it and the bigger stop losses you need to keep your positions safe. Remember, that the volatility is the double-edged sword. It can bring substantial profits, but it can also blow your entire account in a blink of an eye.
Following these 5 simple rules, you will make your trading much safer. Study them and add them in your trading plan.
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10 Common Lies and Misconceptions About Trading 🥺🤮1. People are born traders. While it is true that certain personal characteristics make it easier to trade, no one is born a trader. One of the main themes of the Market Wizards books written by Jack Schwager is that almost none of the market wizards was successful from the start. They all worked hard at it.
2. You have to have a high IQ to trade. Just not true. In some ways, an above average IQ may be a hindrance. Trading is a human performance activity where strong intellectual abilities are unnecessary.
3. Top traders are successful because they have the "right trading personality." There is no such thing as the "right trading personality." Researches have been unable to find a strong correlation between personality type and trading success. It is important, however, to understand your personal characteristics and how they may help and hinder your trading.
4. Trading is easy. It sure looks that way, doesn't it? Just draw a few lines on the chart, watch your indicators, and follow the price bars. The truth is that trading is a difficult business to master. It involves different skill sets and abilities from what are needed in most other professions and careers. The trader must understand his or her personal strengths and limitations and develop specific skills to deal with the mental and emotional demands of trading. The later skills are the most difficult to develop and the most overlooked.
5. You must be tough, hard charging, and fearless to be successful. That's more media hype than anything else. It glorifies a strong ego, which is a detriment in trading. The most successful traders I know quietly do their research, study the charts, and patiently wait for the right moment. They strive to keep their ego out of their trading.
6. You must trade without emotions. If you are human, that's impossible. More importantly, when you understand your emotions you will realize they are assets, not liabilities. The real keys are:
To be aware of how your emotions interact with and influence your trading, and
To develop the skills needed to trade with them.
7. Top traders are usually right about the market. Top traders have many, many scratch and losing trades. Top traders are at the top because they exercise good risk control, limit the amount of loss from any given trade, and have developed a psychological edge that allows them to be unfazed by small losing trades. Most of their trading consists of modest profits and very small losses. When conditions are right, they step up size and let the profitable trades run.
8. Paper trading is useless - it's not a real trade without money behind it. If you aren't paper trading,you are doing yourself a disservice. You should always be paper trading your trading ideas. Why limit your education and experience by the amount of capital you have? Paper trading keeps you sharp ; you learn the conditions under which your trading ideas work best. Where else can you get such vital education at so little cost?
9. Master the technical skills and you will be successful. This is where most traders spend the vast majority of their time, but it's only part of the picture. You also have to learn important performance skills. Traders should spend as much-if not more-time learning to develop their psychological edge as they do in developing their technical trading edge.
10. Trading is stressful. It certainly can be stressful, and it certainly is stressful for many. It doesn't have to be. Successful traders have a certain mindset. They put little importance on any given trade. Their focus is on the long haul. They know that if they attend to the aspects of trading that are within their control (i.e., trade selection, entry, risk control, and trade management) the profits will take care of themselves.
source: DailyFX
nas100 analysis - 06 feb 2023too late with publishing this trade i took on nas100 but my reasons were as follows
- a double top formed last week at a significant resistance level
- market then broke the neckline of that double top
- waited for a retest of that neckline which occured at the london open and the new york open
- waited for a formation of a lower high on the M5 after the rejection than placed my sells
- take profits are at the 12187 level then we'll see what price does when it gets there
Learn Risk to Reward Ratio | Forex Trading Basics
Hey traders,
Planning your every trade, you should know in advance the profit that you are aiming to make and the maximum amount of money you are willing to lose.
In this educational article, we will discuss risk reward ratio - the tool that is used to compare your potentials losses and profits.
Let's start with an example. Imagine you see a good buying opportunity on EURUSD. You quickly identify a safe entry point, your take profit level and stop loss.
From that trade you are aiming to make 100 pips with a maximum allowable loss of 50 pips.
To calculate a risk to reward ratio for this trade, you simply should divide a potential gain by a potential loss:
R/R ratio = 100 / 50 = 2
In that particular example, risk to reward ratio equals 2 meaning that potential gain outperform a potential loss by 2.
Let's take another example.
This time, you decide to short USDJPY.
From a desirable entry point, you can get 75 pips with a potential loss of 150 pips.
Risk to reward ratio for this trade is 75 divided by 150 or 0.5.
Such a ratio means that potential loss outperform a potential gain by 2.
Risk to reward ratio can be positive or negative.
If the ratio is bigger than 1 it is considered to be positive meaning that a potential gain outperforms a potential loss.
If the ratio is less than 1, it is called negative so that potential loss is bigger than potential risk.
Knowing the average risk to reward ratio for your trades, you can objectively calculate the required win rate for keeping a positive trading performance.
With R/R ratio = 0.5
2 winning trades recover 1 losing trade.
You need at least 70% win rate to cover losses of your trading.
With R/R ratio = 1
1 winning trade, recover 1 losing trade.
You need at least 50% win rate to compensate your losses.
With R/R ratio = 2
1 winning trade recovers 2 losing trades.
You need at least 35% win rate to cover losses of your trading.
Trading involves extremely high risk. Risk to reward ratio is a number one risk management tool for limiting your risks. Calculating that and knowing your win rate, you can objectively decide whether a trade that you are planning to take is worth taking.
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Learn Why Do You Need a Stop Loss 🟥
Hey traders,
Talking to many struggling traders from different parts of the world, I realized that the majority constantly makes the same mistake: they do not set a stop loss.
Asking for the reason why they do that, the common answer is that
these traders consider the manual position closing to be safer, implying that if the market goes in the opposite direction, they will be able to much better track the exact moment to cut loss.
In this article, we will discuss why it is crucially important to set a stop loss and why it is the number one element of your trading position.
First of all, let's discuss what is a stop loss. By a stop loss, we mean a certain price level where we close our trading position in loss. In comparison to a manual closing, the stop loss should be set at the exact moment when the order is executed.
Stop loss allows us limiting the risks in case of unfavorable movements.
On the chart above, I have illustrated 2 similar negative scenarios: 1 with a stop loss being placed and one without.
In the example on the left, stop loss helped to prevent the excessive risk, cutting the loss at the beginning of a bearish wave.
With the manual closing, however, traders usually hold the negative positions much longer, praying for a reversal.
Holding a losing trade, emotions intervene. Greed and fear usually spoil the reasoning, causing irrational decisions.
Following such a strategy, the total loss of the second scenario is 5 times bigger than the total loss with a placed stop loss order.
Stop loss defines the point where you become wrong in your predictions. Planning your trade, you should know in advance such a point and cut your loss once it is reached.
Never trade without a stop loss.
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This is not financial advice. This is for educational purposes only.