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Is Trading “Gambling” or “Risky” ? Explained in business terms.Hi everyone: The question that most people will ask is whether trading is the same as “gambling”. Throughout the 9 years of my trading journey, this has always been brought up and asked about many times. Of course anyone is entitled to think based on their perspective and view, so I am not here to argue or convince them otherwise. Rather, I am here to share some key aspects of what I learned in trading for the last 9 years, as well as years in the business world to discuss the difference between “Gambling” and “Risky” in trading and in business. Most people who have never traded in their lives, but have heard about trading, usually assume trading is some sort of get rich quick scheme. They often assume it's a type of “gamble”. Since most people around them probably lost money in trading. It's not surprising as the statistics don't lie, 90-95% retail traders lose money in trading and quit eventually. But what most people don't know is “why” and “how” they lose money in trading. It's usually a combination of poor mindset and emotion. No systematic plan, no risk management, get rich quick thinking, revenge/over trading, fear of missing out, and alot more psychological issues. They did not put in the time and effort to succeed. Which then resulted in traders losing money and quitting. Eventually making up excuses of why they fail in trading, and blame the market, the broker, the strategy. All these no doubt also resulted in what normal people will say trading is a “gamble.” On the other hand, is trading “risky” ? Trading is just like any other businesses out there, that will be risky due to unforeseen circumstances. Businesses face external factors that they can not control, just like in trading. Businesses have internal expenses, overhead costs, labour, loans, C.O.G.S…etc as well as many competitions within their respected industry. It requires hard work and determination to succeed. Even for larger businesses that are where they are today, they were all risky when they started. Was Amazon Risky ? Was Tesla Risky ? Was Facebook Risky ? Absolutely. But that did not stop their owners from putting in maximum effort and time to make it work. Trading is no different, you are the owner, director and the CEO of your trading account. So, don't confuse and get “gamble” and “risk” mixed up. It's up to us individually to acknowledge and understand the difference between the two. The truth is, successful traders understand the difference between “gamble” and “risk”. To remove the “gambling” aspect from trading, is to have a well written trading plan, proper risk management, right trading psychology, positive mindset and control emotion. Whatever strategy you decide to implement is not really the cause of your success or failure, but rather those I mentioned above. This way, you remove almost all the “gambling” aspect away from trading, and it is now “risky” but bearable for you to handle. Will trading always be “risky” ? Sure, it is a business and anything can happen unexpectedly and out of nowhere. But successful traders understand the importance of treating trading like a business, so contingency plan, back up plan, trading plan, management plan, and much more should be carefully thought out so you will know what to do when you are hit with sudden surprises like in a business operation. The worst thing we can do is to not be part of any “risk”. If we are so relaxed, laid back, and have no stress to motivate us to move forward, then we stay within our “comfort” zone. We become so glued to our 9-5 job which we then think it's safe. But, we will forever be in a rat race against many others who are better than us in credentials that will land that higher position/salary that we want. “So to me, without taking a “risk” in life is the biggest “gamble” that you can do in life.” Welcome to let me know and share with everyone what you think about this topic :) Thank you Jojo
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by jojofang0901
41
Bull Wedge in Gold??Gold has pressed down past our support level at 1795, plummeting through the entire vacuum zone between 1815 and 1795. As predicted, we have found support in the 1780's, with two levels acting as a buffer between our ultimate floor of 1777. We are seeing a bull wedge forming at current levels, suggesting that gold may attempt a rebound to higher levels, but will face resistance at 1795. If we are able to break this, then the next level is 1815. If we dump further, we anticipate support at 1777. The Kovach OBV is pretty flat, suggesting we need momentum to come through either way.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by quantguy
2
Whats the difference between Risk Management & Money Management?TLDR: Risk management generally is determining what portion of your capital you are willing to risk in a trade and staying true to that. Money management is how you would spend the money earned (in this case through trading) . Eg : Rather that withdrawing all the profits from your account you can let it be there and compound it, or rather than spending it on unnecessary luxuries you can save it for a rainy day . _________________ Full: This is something I usually get asked many times by new starters in trading as they are both common terms that you will hear as you learn about trading and investing. They are both vital concepts but it's important that you know the difference between them. Money management refers to the processes of budgeting, saving, investing, spending, or otherwise overseeing the capital usage of an individual or group. The term can also refer more narrowly to investment management and portfolio management. Money management broadly refers to the processes utilised to record and administer an individual's, household's, or organisation's finances. Financial advisors and personal finance platforms such as mobile apps are increasingly common in helping individuals manage their money better. Poor money management can lead to cycles of debt and financial strain. In the financial world, risk management is the process of identification, analysis, and acceptance or mitigation of uncertainty in investment decisions. Essentially, risk management occurs when an investor or fund manager analyses and attempts to quantify the potential for losses in an investment, such as a moral hazard, and then takes the appropriate action (or inaction) given the fund's investment objectives and risk tolerance. Risk is inseparable from return. Every investment involves some degree of risk, which is considered close to zero in the case of a U.S. T-bill or very high for something such as emerging-market equities or real estate in highly inflationary markets. Risk is quantifiable both in absolute and in relative terms. A solid understanding of risk in its different forms can help investors to better understand the opportunities, trade-offs, and costs involved with different investment approaches.
Education
by JoelWarby
Futures Trading & Terminology ExplainedTrading futures is not for beginners and should only be attempted by experienced traders with a strong understanding of the market as a whole and especially a strong understanding of Risk Management & Trading Psychology. Below I have explained some of the Risks involved in Trading Futures: ------------------------- Liquidation When liquidation occurs your position is forcibly closed due to not having sufficient balance to keep your borrowed positions afloat. When trading futures on high leverage, your losses can quickly reach double digit percentages and if they exceed the remaining balance in your account you can be liquidated. ------------------------- Leverage Leverage, or to be leverage refers to the act of borrowing money off the exchange to trade. When a trader has insufficient balances to cover their leveraged position left in the account a liquidation call can occur. Keep track of your margin ratio and keep it low to prevent liquidations, and use risk management techniques. ------------------------- Volatility Market volatility can be high in emerging markets, and many traders love volatility for its big swings to profit, but in futures trading considering losses are potentially heightened by leverage volatility can become a dangerous thing to a trader. In volatile markets market stop losses can often trigger much further than the triggered price adding to losses, or even resulting in liquidation. ------------------------- Stop Hunting Stop hunting occurs when large entities such as corporations, or “Whales” purposefully target the stop loss orders of traders, knowing that at these areas when a large amount of orders is triggered a contrarian position can be acquired by these entities by buying or selling into a large stop trigger event, by doing this they can easily buy or sell a large amount of an asset when also having very little affect on the price in the short term. ------------------------- Exchange Downtime During extreme market movements sometimes exchanges can crash and traders are unable to login, close or open positions on the exchange, Liquidation events, Market Crashes, Manipulation, Volatility, Stop Hunting may all come into play when Exchange Downtime occurs and it is a risky endeavor to be positioned in borrowed money when a exchange is offline. ------------------------- Market Crashes Market Crashes, Black Swan Events etc. can occur frequently in emerging markets, infrequently in traditional markets. During Market Crashes huge cascades of liquidations can occur taking out over leveraged long traders. ------------------------- Manipulation Stop Hunting is also a form of Market Manipulation. Sometimes vested interests work together to hold down the price of an asset or push up the price to trigger orders, and shake out retail players. ------------------------- Overtrading Due to the heightened losses applicable from borrowed money, overtrading on futures/leverage can quickly wipe out your balance, it is key that you understand how to size your trades correctly as well as managing your risk and mental state to avoid this occurring.
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by Worth_The_Ri5k
Credit Market Signals "Risk-Off"One chart illustrates the paradigm shift in risk assessment since the start of November. See the weekly GoNoGo Trend chart of option-adjusted corporate bond credit spreads which have now completely reversed trend conditions since Nov 1st, 2021 – from purple & pink “NoGo” bars through amber neutral and now the strongest blue “Go” bars as GoNoGo Oscillator broke out of a max squeeze to reach overbought extremes and consolidating gains. Credit spreads indicate the credit risk perceived by market participants/investors and are dynamic reflecting real-time market conditions, unlike credit ratings which are revised with some lag. They reflect the risk premia that investors apply to the debt of the issuer, relative to government debt. Or more precisely, the difference in yield between any debt security and the relevant government benchmark of the same maturity. Credit spreads often widen during times of financial stress wherein the flight-to-safety occurs towards safe-haven assets such as U.S. treasuries and other government securities. Throughout 2021, credit spreads have remained at historic lows and remained within the tightest decile of the past 25 years. Credit spreads have clearly bottomed and are now rising. This measure of investor's risk tolerance will have negative implications for highly valued growth equities and we could see headwinds for tech, discretionary, and communications sectors as well as weak relative performance for indexes like the Nasdaq vs DJIA.
FRED:BAMLC0A1CAAAShort
by TylerWood2020
USD pretty much undecided...USD is in a sideway move...waiting for something,could be because of holiday season?hahaha Hello there! If you are keen to learn more on the technical setups,do visit my website at www.shadowingthebb.com ! If you like my analysis and it helped you ,do give me a thumbs ups on tradingview! 🙏 And if you would like to show further support for me, you can gift me some coins on tradingview! 😁 Thank you! Disclaimers: The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes. The author/producer of these content shall not and will not be responsible for any form of financial/physical/assets losses incurred from trades executed from the derived conclusion of the individual from these content shared. Thank you, and please do your due diligence before any putting on any trades!
TVC:DXY
by Shadowing_The_Big_Boys
Beating the rake - Know your trading feesLet’s talk about trading fees. This is an area that most people who trade don’t put enough thought into, but it can make a huge difference to your bottom line. This is especially the case when dealing with percentage based commissions in combination with leverage. Many people, especially those who mainly trade crypto, will be using services that charge percentage based commissions, with fees that can be as high as 0.5% ! But even if you’re trading at one of the more trader-friendly exchanges you’re likely to be paying in the region of 0.1% taker fees for spot trading and 0.04 - 0.06 % taker fees on futures. That sounds pretty cheap, right? 0.06% fee on a trade sounds almost negligible, which is why most casual traders don’t pay too much attention to it. Firstly though, you need to remember that this is the fee for both buying and selling, so for a round trip (buy and sell, assuming taker fee of 0.06% for each) you’re paying 0.12% Suddenly that starts to look a bit more significant, especially for short term intraday traders and scalpers. Let’s take a quick example. Let’s say you’re an intraday trader paying 0.06% taker fees on futures, and your typical Risk/Reward is aiming for a 1% gain and a 0.5% loss for an R of 2. The breakeven rate with an R of 2 is a 33.33% win rate, which is why many traders aim to trade this way. If they can achieve a win rate in the region of 50% they can be highly successful. But then we take your trading fees into account. That 1% average win becomes 0.88 % after your 0.12% round trip of taker fees. And your 0.5% average loss becomes 0.62 % after your round trip to fee-town. So now with an average win of 0.88% and average loss of 0.62% your R is down to 1.42! That means your breakeven win rate has changed from 33.33% to 41.33%! What if you’re aiming to catch even smaller percentage moves? If you were aiming for 0.5% average wins and 0.25% average losses for Risk/Reward of 2, but without considering fees, you might be in for a nasty surprise. Your average win would now be 0.38% and your average loss would be 0.37% after accounting for 0.12% round trip fees on all trades. The 2 R you were aiming for to require a 33.33% win rate actually becomes 1.02 R, requiring a 49.33% win rate to break even! And as a last example, let’s say you take a different approach. Perhaps you’re the type of trader aiming to take equal sized wins and losses but aiming for a 60 - 70% win rate to make your money. At 1% average win and loss (1 R), your wins become 0.88% and your losses become 1.12% after fees. Instead of a 50% break even rate you now require a 56% win rate just to break even! And if you aim for 0.5% average win and loss (1 R) your average wins become 0.38% and your losses become 0.62% after fees, requiring a 62% win rate to break even! Can you overcome those odds? The key takeaway here is that factoring trading fees into your trading plan is absolutely vital to understanding your risk/reward. The smaller the trading fees are as a percentage of your average trade, the less impactful the fees will be on your bottom line. To keep your trading fees small as a percentage of your average wins and losses, the simplest way is obviously to trade for larger average wins and losses, taking a swing trading approach with smaller position sizing. Alternatively, most exchanges/brokers will offer cheaper trading fees for “makers” using limit orders, as opposed to “takers” using market prices. This discount for maker fees will usually slash your fees by 50% - 80%. Many will also offer additional discounts for using a specific token for paying fees (e.g. BNB or KCS) or various discounts for VIP levels/tiers. Do not underestimate the value of these discounts, they can have a very substantial impact on your bottom line, especially if you are a short term intraday trader or scalper. Just a 50% saving on fees could be enough to turn a short term trader from a breakeven trader to a winning one.
BINANCE:BTCUSD.PEducation
by HayeTrading
1
BTC Bar Pattern and Pi-Cycle A bar pattern of the Jan-May higher high's has been taken and over-layed the current structure. The DMA's are the Pi-Cycle top model (top is a moving avg of 350*2, bottom is a 111 day MA) have served as critical lines of resistance and support. What am I watching? - First, the bar pattern is clearly similar, however, less explosive. (Less buying power and investor impetus). - In order to stage a leg to the downside, we must complete the LH from a top and break the 111DMA. - Trend Line has to be broken. - Lastly, strong sell volume can be appreciated during a top, followed by weak buying volume the following top. Just my .02 Cheers
by wachterxc