Review
Monthly Review - January 2020 - (Also small rant on Tradingview)Overall, I had a break even but productive month in terms of education and trading development. Some notable trades were CGC long, INTC long, NIO long, CRSP short, and FTNT long. Although two of those trades had stopped out early, overall execution and lessons learned from those trades were valuable. I noticed I started off this month pretty sloppy, however I gathered my focus and closed the month strong with good discipline.
The overall markets have been pretty tricky towards the end on the month. The beginning of January started as a repeat of the previous 3 months - strong momentum and directional market. In these market conditions, breakouts worked well and it was a time to get aggressive on long trades. The last 7 trading days of January was marked by choppiness and my overall bias right now is neutral. "Bull trends are innocent until proven guilty" and although the short term momentum looks bearish, the upward bull trend is still valid and we are still above the 50MA on SPY. Now is the time to slow down, sit tight, and start to look for possible short setups if markets do start to reverse.
This is my first month since deciding to produce trade journals on Tradingview. I've tried trade journals in the past, however I did not feel like I was gaining any value from them. I like Tradingview since you can update your journal as the trade develops, which I find really smart and intuitive. One negative thing about Tradingview, which I find kinda annoying, is all the "Advertisers". There are a lot of Forex and Crypto traders who seem to be "Agreeing" with every single idea posted on Tradingview (Including my US Stock post which they seem to not even trade). I believe their goal is to get people to see their profile and to promote their website/paid subscriptions. Their analysis is very "Flashy" AKA lots of colors and indicators, which typically is not a good thing for long term success. I can see how this can be profitable, but I believe it's doing a big disservice to the development of the actual Tradingview community which seems non-existent IMHO.
In the future, as well as developing as a trader, I plan to continue using Tradingview as my journal and maybe some ideas once in awhile to help me organize and vocalize the trades I might want to put on.
USDJPY REVIEW ABOUT THE TRADE POSTED ON 23 JANDear traders,
I posted a sell trade on USDJPY on 23 JAN. It already started to move in our favor. We are already in profits. This will go to the TP(108.968). It has broken a upward trendline. And the selling pressure is a lot. According to volume analysis, its indicating a downward movement in the future.
__________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Guys if you like my ideas, please drop a like and follow me if u like my trades. Post comments about your idea too. We can manage the trade together.
__________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
DISCLAIMER:
__________
This is just my personal opinion. Every trader is independent. Every trader has the freedom to place a trade in any direction.
Thank you for your support,
FX Specialist
Dragononcrypto 3 Month Graphical ReviewIn order to promote accountability and transparency, here is a collation of all the BTC/USD calls I have made in the past 3 months. Note that some where on smaller time frames than the Daily (that is used in this graphic), such as the 1hr and 4hr, but otherwise remain relevant to the review.
Bitcoin Repeating History: 10 Part TA Series On Repeating Past Patterns
Full series with recent updates: bitcointalk.org
Technical Analysis Highlights September-December 2019
Measuring The Move of the Descending Triangle Breakdown
If 2017 Descending Triangle Repeats? Best Case Scenario
Extrapolating the 50 & 200 Day MA bear crosses
Extrapolating 2014 Correction - Could $6,500 Be The Low?
Two & Four Year MA's Claim It's Time To Accumulate
Miner Capitulation Is Here... Back Down To $3,800?
TD Sequential 9 Next Week To Decide Direction?
Another Bearish Bitcoin Indicator: 200 EMA & MA Bearcross
If Bitcoin Repeats History? Extrapolating 2012 Breakdown
A repeat of 2014? Worst Case Scenario A $2,500 Low
If Bitcoin Repeats History? Descending Triangle Looking Similar
Failed expectations = markets fallingAs it was expected, the Federal Reserve System cut interest rates by 0,25%. But why did the market fall? Was it only because a group of investors expected 0,50% lowering?
Well, in reality, there are multiple addional reasons that we have to take into account:
1) global economy continues to slow down (just look at Pmi manufacture data)
2) we are still in the earning release time. Some companies are overperformed, meanwhile other underperformed
3) Despite the fact that the United States and China formally agree to restart trade talks at the G20 meeting in Osaka, yesterday Trump announced 10% tariffs on $300 billion worth of Chinese imports, in addition to the 25% already levied on $250 billion worth of Chinese goods. The reason is that China had not followed through on a promise to buy more U.S. farm products.
Let´s see what is going to happen next...
Correction time for a new boost?The BTC hit a major resistance of the weekly chart and made a slight retreat. On the daily chart we can have a correction up to approximately $ 9800 where we have a support. The RSI is still above 70 indicating the purchasing power. We can have a slight price correction before reaching higher targets
Winner Winner Chicken Dinner $SPY $SPX (Narrative) Hot streak is alive & well. Writing this at my third different hotel just this week - as I said, busy week traveling.
Crazy week - was stranded on the Philadelphia Tarmac for 2 hours on Tuesday (ironically was in Purgatory while reading the Diving Comedy) so missed connection and was almost trapped in O'hare for the night. After getting there at 1:30am, I woke up early to canvas the area and make another sales proposal - then drove up the UP of Michigan (7 hours) to get to Traverse City MI at night. Spent the morning canvasing the area looking to refill the pipeline and cranked out another proposal call today from 2-5pm.
I knew it was going to be crazy so I decided not to trade this week anymore - didn't want to ruin the hot streak.
Well... yesterday I entered a call vertical spread favoring the long side.. and then last night bored in a hotel room with a racing mind (restless driving) I cranked out some TA - and made a game plan for today on exiting the position. Was thinking we see ATH's today when I entered the trade yesterday.
This morning the market dropped pretty fast - I was on the move, and couldn't think about this so I confidently broke out my exit for each leg of the trade putting in my orders, and left the market to it's own devices.
Went exactly according to plan. The hedge sold off in the early morning drop, and the calls sold off about an hour later in the rally. I outlined them in the chart above. It is funny because the trade favored the long side, but I made more off the hedge then the underlying trade!
Overall walked away with another tidy profit with probably about less than 1hour of TA last night, and less than 15mins of glances this morning.
The streak is alive & well. The market continues to work for me these days!!
EDIT: I say in the chart I sold puts in the morning - this is incorrect, I purchased back the "sell to open calls"... Sorry!
IDEX Big Two Day MoverBig two day mover #IDEX $IDEX broke above resistance right at market close. Looking for it to re test, for my entry, and then will ride the continuation trade either way, ill be watching this the next few days. You can visit my youtube and watch my full video recap, link in the description!
Week in Review: Hidden GemHonorable Mentions
Some very nice work has been done this week again by the Pine community. Shout out to Covax for publishing an attractive "Bitfinex Sentiment Index", beautifully rendering longs and shorts with some creative code; mortdiggidy's "Fisher Transform MTF" includes a unique function for the MTF Fisher, which, if I'm reading it right, solves the upper timeframe repainting that's oft associated with studies; and "Relative Derivative" by byteboi is a simple modification of the RoC that's comparable across assets and smoothed with an SMA.
Dr. Do-a-lot
A scripter that some, but not enough, users of TradingView will be familiar with is RafaelZioni. He's been a user for ten months and in that time he's amassed a huge library. RafaelZioni's strengths can be seen in the details of his work and as such his broader body of work may go underappreciated, but it's worth venturing deep into some of his work if you want to learn tricks-of-the-trade. His most recent work, and the script that will be highlighted this week, is "zigzag%".
Zig-Zags in the Bag
A very famous and useful scripter by the name of RicardoSantos has published a slew of scripts for realising zig-zags on the chart, so what make this one special?
Well, for a start (and as far as I can tell), the zig-zag paints in real-time and with no lag. It can also use upper timeframe data with (as per description) no repaint. But that's not where the value lies in this script.
A problem with Pine is that we can't realise some strategy functions in studies. TradingView doesn't accommodate for this and we need to think out of the box in order to achieve fidelity. So if you look carefully in this script you'll see that RafaelZioni has done just that. We can set the backtest date, set the take-profit levels, stop-loss levels and more. For anyone who's trying to turn their strategies into studies so that they can get alerts for each action, look here for some great insight.
The script is actually an implementation of a trading strategy too. Here's an example of some results you can get.
What Else is in the Bag?
It's a jungle out there, but there's treasure deep in the dark. I advise everyone to get down and dirty with RafaelZioni's scripts. There's a very RicardoSantos-feel from his ideas and I expect that they're only going to get more creative in the future.
His "Bollinger ratio" was included in the honorable mentions list last week and is a creative way of merging Bollinger Bands with the MACD.
The eloquently named "net volume of positive and negative volume buy and sell alert" is also a fantastic way to view volume, and it comes with buy and sell alerts.
Want to learn?
If you'd like the opportunity to learn Pine but you have difficulty finding resources to guide you, take a look at this rudimentary list: docs.google.com
The list will be updated in the future as more people share the resources that have helped, or continue to help, them. Follow me on Twitter to keep up-to-date with the growing list of resources.
Suggestions or Questions?
Don't even kinda hesitate to forward them to me. My (metaphorical) door is always open.
Honorable Mentions
RafaelZioni: www.tradingview.com
Covax: www.tradingview.com
mortdiggidy: www.tradingview.com
byteboi: www.tradingview.com
Week in Review: New Kid on the BlockHonorable Mentions
This week we've seen a flurry of new open-source scripts hit TradingView, empowering it's users with trading ideas and programming techniques. "By Traders For Traders" by Dunhua-Yao , a potent modification of JustUncleL's "Price Action Candles", uses tighter criteria for 'Hammers' and 'Shooting Stars'; "Blau Divergence RSI", by blindfreddy , gifts us with William Blau's RSI; Quansium's "Quansium Source Layout" suggests ways to use external sources with TradingView; and RafaelZioni's "Bollinger ratio" brings together the MACD and Bollinger Bands in a unique way.
There Goes the Neighborhood
But there was one coder in particular that really caught my attention, introducing new, interesting, accessible, exotic and useful concepts. In the last week he's published 8 scripts, with his most recent strategy garnering a seemingly-outlandish return of 6000%+, although he has been a member for seven months. So the shining light for me this week, a big fan of Ehler's (who isn't?), has to be dasanc: www.tradingview.com
Magnum Opus Currere
The script that encapsulates his talent (for me) is his most recent strategy, "Adaptive Zero Lag EMA v2": This piece of work uses Ehler's ZLEMA and the two methods for Instantaneous Frequency Measurement (IFM) that dasanc's published in the past week. You can also adjust your risk limit, change TP/SL levels and determine your gain limit from within the control panel. Not only that, but it's presented in a clean and understandable manner, allowing beginners and professionals alike to pick up and immediately get started with the algorithms.
Cherry on Top...
So what makes this script so special? Well, the two IFM techniques: (One) (Two) In what seems to be his typical fashion, he's provided excellent descriptions for how these should be used. In short, if you're using an indicator that uses a lookback period (RSI, EMA etc), instead of fiddling with arbitrary numbers you just use the output of either of these techniques as the source for determining the lookback. Realising this concept has resulted in the entire Pine community being gifted with something they might not even know they were looking for.
...And Some Cream
Low Lag Exponential Moving Average:
Cosine, In-Phase and Quadrature IFM:
Moving Forward
With a young account and a recent burst of activity, it's safe to assume that we'll be seeing more of dasanc. Hopefully his singular approach to signal processing (as far as the current TradingView library is concerned) will be emulated by others.
Want to learn?
If you'd like the opportunity to learn Pine but you have difficulty finding resources to guide you, take a look at this rudimentary list: docs.google.com
The list will be updated in the future as more people share the resources that have helped, or continue to help, them. Follow me on Twitter to keep up-to-date with the growing list of resources.
Suggestions or Questions?
Don't even kinda hesitate to forward them to me. My (metaphorical) door is always open.
Honorable Mentions
Mission Statement for the "- in Review" seriesI'm not sure of the exact figures, but I think TradingView has about 7M+ users. That's 7M+ people working towards the same end. 7M+ people with insights and ideas. 7M+ people with access to an in-house programming language tailored for trading and technical analysis. Yet despite this there's only a small, mumbling community for discussing Pine, trading and how to bring them together.
A few people have endeavored to change this and I'd like to play my part. So I'm going to begin publishing a series of articles through TradingView that will try to bring light to the secretly-active Pine community. The three titles I suggest will be: (1) "Week in Review", (2) "Coder in Review" and (3) "Script in Review".
One of the reasons I want to do this is because I think it's incredibly difficult for new users to get recognition for their brilliant work due to the current TradingView search system being an echo-chamber. Those with the most followers get the most views and the most likes and then more followers and more views and... LazyBear, a cherished asset of the TradingView community, is all some people will know and search for. This can be disastrous for building a lasting community around Pine and for developing your own concepts around trading. So I want to give more exposure to those who publish now so that we can all have the opportunity to be involved in conceptual progress. Hopefully in due time TradingView will revamp their search engine. Most popular scripts of the week/month/year would be a start, but I'm sure more could be done.
The articles written will never be defamatory or provocative. I don't want to rouse spirits, but focus minds. In that same vein, I will never shill someone's profile or scripts. All choices will be mine alone (unless I can poll effectively and transparently) and, as such, will have my biases (unless others join me in this effort)
Week in Review
Every Tuesday I'll pore through the scripts that have been published in the last week and select one for review, once it meets the minimum criteria. The criteria for being considered is: (A) for the script to be open-source and (B) not to be a direct copypasta-job from another coder. There's nothing wrong with using something not made by you to help you create something better though, but there has to be obvious improvements made from the original.
The script reviewed is meant to be my pick-of-the-bunch, but that is by no means an ultimate opinion. Some qualities that I'll most likely be looking for are: (A) creativity and innovation; just do as Ezra Pound did and "Make it new!", (B) usefulness: it can either be useful in it's own right, or it can be useful when used as a component within another script; both will be considered, neither will be favored and (C) a decent description of what it's supposed to do or how it's supposed to be used. Clean charts are a plus too: you only need the indicator you're publishing on the chart most of the time.
Aside from the script, there will be a brief mention of the programmer and their body of work.
Coder in Review
This is where I'll look over the portfolio of a user on TradingView and comment on their body of work, some of their best (my favorite) scripts and how they've helped the community to grow as a whole. The criteria for being considered are: (A) must have an account for over six months and (B) must have published at least ten scripts.
These won't be published regularly (at least not at the start), so I'll just push them out when I get the itch. From referencing so much of RicardoSantos' work in my initial builds, I felt indebted enough that I wanted to write him an essay explaining my thanks. I've since had that feeling for a lot of programmers. Some qualities I'll be looking for will be: (A) breadth of analysis and (B) efficient code.
Script in Review
Some weeks we're going to have a handful of top-notch scripts, most which we don't want discluded from the narrative. So in order to accommodate for them there'll also be a "Script in Review" thread of articles. This will also give me the opportunity to discuss scripts that were published a long time ago. Criteria to be included will be the same as the "Week in Review" selection. Like the "Coder in Review", these won't be regularly publications for the time being, but may become so in the future.
Disclaimer
I'm going to talk about scripts and programmers that I like, but that is by no means an endorsement. If someone I talk about sells products or services, I do not want you to make a decision to engage with their products or services based on my opinions. I'm not selling anything or trying to get you to buy something. I just want to open up the discussion about Pine and bring together a community of like-minded people.
Want to learn?
If you'd like the opportunity to learn Pine but you have difficulty finding resources to guide you, take a look at this rudimentary list: docs.google.com
The list will be updated in the future as more people share the resources that have helped, or continue to help, them. Follow me on Twitter to keep up-to-date with the growing list of resources.
Suggestions or Questions?
Don't even kinda hesitate to forward them to me. My (metaphorical) door is always open.
BOXL Where Do We Go From Here?Good evening traders! You can see my full video review by clicking the link below in my signature description!
I have updated charts, and new video's available every day. Follow me on tradingview, and subscribe to me on youtube!
Leave any questions or comments, and I will get back to you as soon!
MBOT The Rocket That Wont StopGood evening traders! You can see my full video review by clicking the link below in my signature description!
I have updated charts, and new video's available every day. Follow me on tradingview, and subscribe to me on youtube!
Leave any questions or comments, and I will get back to you as soon!
SPI An Interesting TradeGood evening traders! You can see my full video review by clicking the link below in my signature description!
I have updated charts, and new video's available every day. Follow me on tradingview, and subscribe to me on youtube!
Leave any questions or comments, and I will get back to you as soon!
ALT Bullish At OpenHello everyone! You can see the full video review by clicking the link below in my signature description!
I have updated charts, and new video's every day. Follow me on tradingview, and subscribe to me on youtube!
Leave any questions or comments, and I will get back to you as soon!
STAF Impressive Initial BumpHello everyone! Today I have a short term chart analysis for STAF. You can see the FULL video review by clicking the link below in my signature description!
I have new updated charts, and new video's every day. Please follow me on tradingview, and subscribe to me on youtube!
Leave any questions or comments below, and I will get back to you as soon as possible!