XAUUSD | New perspective | follow-up detailsGold prices sliced through the key HKEX:2 ,000 level on Tuesday after a sharp drop in U.S. job openings in February. The yellow metal touched its highest in one year on Wednesday as recent U.S. economic data fanned fears of a slowdown and spurred bets the Federal Reserve may ease up on rate hikes. Following the public holiday on Friday, we were not able to see the immediate reaction of price action to the NFP reading which revealed additional 236,000 jobs in March. In this video, we took a technical dissection of the current market structure to identify a simple set-up to guide trading activities in the coming week(s).
Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Reversalpattern
USDJPY | Perspective for the new week | follow-up detailsEconomic data coming out of the US economy has pointed to slowing economic growth, as the increased sentiment that the Fed may pause its tightening policy lingered across the market. The market sentiment is clearly attaching more recessionary risks to the dollar, but when we look at the charts from a technical standpoint, price action is currently sitting in a strong demand zone at the 131.000 level. An area that has favored buyers for over 10 months now. With nonfarm payrolls out of the way, all attention is now focused on next week's US consumer price index (CPI) for the month of March (amongst other high-impact events). This video explains in detail what to look for on the chart in other to take a position in the coming week(s).
Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
BTC 15m Head and Shoulders and 1H Double Top on the Trend WavesWe can use candle patterns on the oscillators too. On 1h my waves oscillator, we have a double top, ideally rejected from the 70 lines, and it broke down the neckline.
A pullback in strength could go below a zero line. In that case, aggression (grey wave) would be rejected in the area of -50 to -70.
The head and shoulders pattern formed on a 15m timeframe, and it retests the neckline at the moment of writing this, with a possible drop to 30300 right through the hole on VPVR on the right.
Again, the fact that I remain bearish should not change the fact that trading against the trend is a big NO-NO.
USOil | New perspective for the week | Follow-up detailOil prices did not advance beyond the surge to the $81.20 level, which came on the back of the announcement that the world’s largest oil producers will collude to cut a further 1.7 million barrels from the daily output. The inability of prices to go any higher could not be unconnected to some of the larger economic worries in the market. Hence, throughout the course of last week's trade, we witnessed price action traded within the $81.20 and $79.50 zone. From a technical standpoint, we have no choice but to remain patient for either a breakout or a breakdown of the channel for trading opportunities in the coming week.
Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Learn Top 4 Price Action Pattern to Trade Reversals
Hey traders,
In this article, I will share with you the list of 4 best reversal price action patterns.
📍Ascending & Descending Triangles
The main element of the ascending triangle as the REVERSAL pattern is the BEARISH impulse leg, preceding the formation of the pattern.
The pattern consist of 2 main elements:
a horizontal neckline based on the equal highs,
a rising trend line based on the higher lows.
❗️The trigger is a bullish breakout of a neckline of the pattern and candle close above.
📈The position is opened on a retest.
🔴Stop loss is lying at least below the level of the last higher low.
🎯Take profit is the next historical resistance.
——————
📍The main element of the descending triangle formation as the reversal pattern is the BULLISH leg, preceding the formation of the pattern.
The pattern consist of 2 main elements:
a horizontal neckline based on the equal lows,
a falling trend line based on the lower highs.
❗️The trigger is a bearish breakout of a neckline of the pattern and candle close below.
📉The position is opened on a retest.
🔴Stop loss is lying at least above the level of the last lower high.
🎯Take profit is the next historical support.
📍Rising & Falling Wedges
What makes a rising wedge pattern a reversal pattern?
Before the formation of the pattern, the price should form a strong bullish impulse and trade in a bullish trend.
The pattern consists of 2 contracting, rising trend lines based on the higher highs and higher lows.
❗️The trigger is a bearish breakout of a support of the pattern and candle close below.
📉The position is opened on a retest.
🔴Stop loss is lying above the high of the pattern.
🎯Take profit is the closest horizontal support.
——————
What makes a falling wedge pattern a reversal pattern?
Before the formation of the pattern, the price should form a strong bearish impulse and trade in a bearish trend.
The pattern consist of 2 contracting falling trend lines based on the lower lows and lower highs.
❗️The trigger is a bullish breakout of a resistance of the pattern and candle close above.
📈The position is opened on a retest.
🔴Stop loss is lying below the low of the pattern.
🎯Take profit is the closest horizontal resistance.
📍Double Top & Bottom
Double bottom pattern usually forms at the end of a bearish trend.
After a strong bearish impulse, the price retraces, sets a lower high and retests the current low.
Instead of going lower, the price retraces one more time, retests the level of the last lower high and breaks it.
Such a formation confirms a bullish reversal.
❗️The trigger is a bullish breakout of a neckline of the pattern and a candle close above.
📈The position is opened on a retest.
🔴Stop loss is lying below the lows of the pattern.
🎯Take profit is the closest horizontal resistance.
——————
Double top pattern usually forms at the end of a bullish trend.
After a strong bullish impulse, the price retraces, sets a higher low and retests the current high.
Instead of going higher, however, the price retraces one more time, retests the level of the last higher low and breaks it.
Such a formation confirms a bearish reversal.
❗️The trigger is a bearish breakout of a neckline of the pattern and a candle close below.
📈The position is opened on a retest.
🔴Stop loss is lying above the highs of the pattern.
🎯Take profit is the closest horizontal support.
📍Head & Shoulders Pattern & Inverted One
Inverted H&S pattern usually forms at the end of a bearish trend.
The price forms a zig-zag movement with 3 main elements:
the left shoulder with a lower low, the head with a new lower low, and the right shoulder with a higher low.
While the price sets multiple lows, it keeps setting the equal highs, composing a so-called horizontal neckline.
A bullish reversal becomes confirmed once the price breaks and closes above the neckline.
❗️The trigger is a bullish breakout of a neckline of the pattern and a candle close above.
📈The position is opened on a retest.
🔴Stop loss is lying below the lows of the pattern.
🎯Take profit is the closest horizontal resistance.
——————
Head & Shoulders pattern usually forms at the end of a bullish trend.
The price forms a zig-zag movement with 3 main elements:
the left shoulder with a higher high, the head with a new higher high, and the right shoulder with a lower high.
While the price sets multiple highs, it keeps setting the equal lows, composing a so-called horizontal neckline.
A bearish reversal becomes confirmed once the price breaks and closes below the neckline.
❗️The trigger is a bearish breakout of a neckline of the pattern and a candle close below.
📈The position is opened on a retest.
🔴Stop loss is lying above the highs of the pattern.
🎯Take profit is the closest horizontal support.
In order to increase the accuracy of trading these patterns, I would recommend trading them only if they are formed on key levels:
Bearish patterns on key resistances and bullish patterns on key supports.
Also, higher is the time frame where you spotted the patterns, higher is the chance that it will give a valid reversal signal.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
BTCUSDT Igniting the final bearish leg of this cycleThe price action is telling me that the next macro swing-downward, probably the last leg-down of this cyclical bear market is igniting. Now, after a retrace of the "thrust-false break" to the weekly supply in an greedy extensive wave v, the shape of this retracement triangle is indicating a reliable reversal point. On the other hand, the bears are slowly taking control and the price will not return to the "upthrust". The minute pattern points to demand, which is a expected retrace for the main triangle. I'm considering this peak as a head of a potential head & shoulders formation on macro.
BTCUSD Ready to exit this big diamondBTCUSD reached further the supply area in overbought condition. A potential decrease of 7% can occur if the price action interact with the anchored VWAP from ATH. This potential movement can ignite an impulsive 5-wave bearish exiting of this big diamond pattern, which is likely complete.
Fisher Transform suggests the direction of the price action in 2H and 1D timeframes. Overbought condition on macro scenario, in which the price seems to be form a top, ready to a swing downward to complete a 5th wave of a expanded ending diagonal, likely to finish the actual bearmarket.
USDJPY | Perspective for the new week | follow-up detailsWith the appearance of a potential reversal pattern in the 4H timeframe; I am of the opinion that the USDJPY pair seems poised to register weekly gains for the first time in a couple of weeks. And to further buttress this is the fundamental indicator from data showing a sudden rise in the US jobless claims hereby indicating a cool effect in the labor market. With this reading, the sentiment in the market remains "hopeful" as key players expect there could be limited headroom to keep raising interest rates, especially in the face of a potential banking crisis. In this video, we took a technical dissection of the current market structure to weigh in on the potential trading opportunity for the coming week(s).
Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upU.S. consumer spending rose moderately in February, while inflation showed signs of cooling hereby boosting hopes the Federal Reserve would be less aggressive in hiking interest rates. On the other hand, a dim economic outlook overshadows data revealing Britain avoided a recession in the final months of 2022 could be a turning point for the Sterling as it hit resistance again at the close of last week's trading session at the $1.24500 zone. In this video, we did a technical analysis of the current market structure to decipher what to look out for in the coming week as all eyes will be on the NFP data amongst other high-impact macroeconomic events this week.
Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
XAUUSD | New perspective | follow-up detailsIn what appears to be an unprecedented win, gold prices are up 9% since the beginning of the month of March and this happens to be the first time price will test the $2,000 zone this year as the US banking crisis in March was a bullish catalyst for the yellow metal hereby keeping the safe haven in demand. However, the inability of the bulls to break out of the $2,000 mark in the last couple of weeks is a strong signal that the momentum is gradually thinning out which could possibly be a result of inflation showing signs of "cooling" hereby boosting hopes the Federal Reserve would be less aggressive in hiking interest rates. So, will this lead to a "profit-taking" activity this week? In this video, we looked at the potential of both buying and selling opportunities as all eyes remain on the high-impact events coming up this week.
Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
USOil | New perspective for the week | Follow-up detailThe OPEC+ oil producers on Sunday announced further oil output cuts of around 1.16 million barrels per day hereby bringing the total volume of cuts by OPEC+ members to 3.66 million bpd according to Reuters calculations - a whopping 3.7% of the global oil demand. The latest reductions have a strong potential of lifting oil prices to new highs. In this video, we looked out for the possibility of taking advantage of any potential move in either direction.
Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
ADA-USD: POSSIBLE REVERSAL| LONG SETUP | HARMONIC TRADE|ONE HOURThis trading idea is designed to capture the reversal trend using Harmonic Pattern Technique. CARDANO ( ADA ) is moving in a Bullish direction and is expected to take reversal from Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) shown in the chart. Bearish Butterfly Harmonic Pattern is used to identify the projection from its current price whereas Long Trade Setup is given to grab the trade opportunity before the reversal of the instrument. However, only TP1 is suggested at present due to expected reversal from PRZ if Divergence will be observed at PRZ. Presence of Divergence is negative at the current price level which can further lead to bullish movement of ADA-USD pair till PRZ.
AUD-USD: POSSIBLE REVERSAL| SHORT SETUP| HARMONIC TRADE|ONE HOURThis trading idea is designed to capture the reversal trend using Harmonic Pattern Technique. AUD-USD Forex pair is moving in a Bearish direction and is expected to take reversal from Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) shown in the chart. Bullish Bat Harmonic Pattern is used to identify the projection from its current price whereas Short Trade Setup is given to grab the trade opportunity before the reversal of the instrument. However, only TP1 is suggested at present due to expected reversal from PRZ. Presence of Divergence is negative at the current price level which can further lead to bearish movement of the instrument till PRZ.
USDJPY | Perspective for the new week | follow-up detailsIt was a rollercoaster of buys and sells during the course of last week's trade session as price action traded around the key level identified around the 131.000 level to emphasize a level of indecision in the market. Japan CPI inflation dips from over 40-year highs in Feb and the reading was at its lowest level since September 2022 but was still well above the BoJ's annual target of 2%. Readings came in at 3.3% down from 4.3% in the prior month... Next week is coming with a couple of fundamental activities that will bring some liquidity to the market; from the BoJ governor's press conference about monetary policies in Tokyo to the GDP data from the US docket. In this video, we technically analyzed the market structure with the intent of identifying potential trading opportunities in the coming week(s).
Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
XAUUSD | New perspective | follow-up detailsThe gold struck a fourth straight weekly gain, settling within a strong psychological range of the $2,000/$1,935 as heightened inflation worries coupled with the banking crisis in the US and Europe limited the growing potential of the Greenback hereby making the Gold a safe haven for market players. In this regard we scooped over 1,500 pips during the course of last week's trading session (see the link below for reference purposes) to end last week on a profitable note. In this video, we analyzed the current market structure from a technical standpoint with the hopes of taking a position ahead of the new week.
Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
GBPUSD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upFollowing a profitable week for us, the Pound tested a seven-week high of the 1.23500 zone during the course of last week's trading session. The BoE raised interest rate by 25bps on Thursday to a new 15-year high of 4.25%, an attempt to tame double-digit inflation in the UK and the Sterling rose 0.5% against the dollar on the back of the news but was unable to hold the momentum as price action broke down the trendline that has been supporting the bullish momentum in the last couple of weeks. The Dollar steadied as a result of this development as confidence in the banking sector remained fragile. In this video, we analyzed the charts from a technical standpoint to figure out tendencies of price action in the coming week(s).
Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
USOil | New perspective for the week | Follow-up detailFollowing the massive slide couple of weeks ago; we scooped over 800pips profit as the US oil finished last week's trading session up approximately 4%, after factoring in gains from the first four days of the week. This indicates consolidation and the possibility of a technical rebound, which has immediate resistance at both the trendline identified on the 4H timeframe and the swing high of the $71 zone. In this video, we analyzed the current market structure with the intent of identifying the potential direction of price action in the coming week(s).
00:40 Reference to last week's daily commentaries and results
04:50 USOil Technical analysis on Daily chart
10:20 USOil Technical analysis on 4H Timeframe against next week
12:38 Conclusion on next week's expectation for the USOil
Disclaimer:
Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility.
You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment.
I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
PBYI a speculative biotech LONGPBYI according to the recent earnings as no earnings nor revenue. This is typical in the biotechnology sector.
This 4H chart shows a consistent downtrend with a couple of minor pullback corrections shown with a Doji followed
by a green engulfing candle but with low volume and the K/D lines of the MACD did not on the histogram.
In the present, the volume pattern shows relatively high selling volume then reversed to buying volume which is above the
moving 50 period average shown as the green horizontal line. Moreover, in this episode, the MACD/Signal lines have crossed
and curled up. The histogram has sent positive after being negative since early February.
I interpret this as being an early reversal now ripe for entry. Just like in nature, the early bird gets the worm.
Buyer beware biotechnology stocks that have market cap based on high potentials are speculative but potentially
offer high rewards. I see a reasonable target as a 50% retracement of the downturn or about $ 3.50 ( this is
less than the upside of some analysts ) PGYI is up 10% today. the train is leaving the station with momentum.
I see a potential takeover or a low float short squeeze.
(See also the link below )
US 30 ASIAN BSL SWEEP SHORT SET - UP ICT SMC BASED TRADE 1:7 RRHELLO EVERYONE
HOPE EVERYONE IS DOING GOOD HAVING A GOOD ONE.
HERE'S A LOOK AT POSSIBLE SCENARIOS THAT COULD PLAY OUT IN THE DOW DURING LONDON SESSION.
US 30 BUILD LQ DURING ASIAN SESSION LOOKING FOR A SWEEP OF THE BUY SIDE LIQUIDITY.
* Also looking to take yesterdays highs before looking to target sell side liquidity on the DOW.
* Should this happen looking for entries short with the ICT 2022 entry model.
* Targeting the Asian sell side LQ.
-This would be an ICT JUDAS SWING SET UP
* Overall target will be the DAILY OPEN.
* + RSI DIVEGENCE CONFLUENCE
lets see how it goes.
IF THIS IDEA ASSISTS IN ANY OR IF YOU LIKE THIS ONE
SMASH THAT LIKE BUTTON & LEAVE A COMMENT.
ALWAYS APPRECIATED
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* Kindly follow your entry rules on entries & stops. |* Some of The idea's may be predictive yet are not financial advice or signals. | *Trading plans can change at anytime reactive to the market. | * Many stars must align with the plan before executing the trade, kindly follow your rules & RISK MANAGEMENT.
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| * ENTRY & SL -KINDLY FOLLOW YOUR RULES | * RISK-MANAGEMENT | *PERIOD - INTRA DAY SESSIONS TRADE