GOOS Long-term PlayGOOS has seen a new powerful trend emerge - a great entry would be at the bottom of the channel, it a break over the channel. Especially with the winter season coming up, a better than expected ER, and online commerce doing well, 2021 calls look great.
Above charted are the Fib lines and powerful resistance lines from previous months - best entry would be low-30s, more accurate is following the trend of regression. Optimal exit set at 44.97, strong resistance from 2019.
Regression
Regression lines suggest the BTC top is around 17k for 2020Moore's law has tought us that historic evolutionary patterns are happening 10 times faster after each new technological or scientific breakthrough when it hits the mainstream public worldwide. This breakthrough is then followed by a parabolic and very bubbly event, only to face a dozens month old bloody correction, while finally allowing the new market to mature as it becomes adopted and globally regulated. The end result causes yesterday's all time highs to become tomorrow's new bottoms. But what history has shown is that only a few select will rank above everything else and this will only take place when the potential promise of a strong vision is fulfilled on a global scale changing humanity's habits in a way we never thought possible.
The last time a transition like the one I'm describing above happened was between 1984 and 2020. This has been a time of great change that started when Nasdaq introduced the internet to the world as early as the 1980s. When the Soviet Union was falling and the Berlin wall fell a new world was being reshaped thanks to the start of the internet era. These highlights preceded another historic event 2 decades later. Of course, we've all heard about 9/11 and how it paralized the entire world in 2001. After the dust settled, it took the internet market almost 6 years to hit the peak of a sucker's relief rally and mark the end of the dotcom bubble burst. The parabolic unexpected rise that the internet bubble displayed the first time, was something that is still unbelievable to this day. Even though denial and disbelief are a thing of the past, we can still wonder what those so called experts have to say today when asked if our computer pundits lacked all common sense back in the day? Well look at how unimaginably far "electronic wonderland" has come. The internet did indeed replace traditional systems used by banks and governments in the 1990s. Now another global event is about to close a chapter that started as early as 2008 when the global recession took place. We're seeing one after another industrial revolution, each time happening exponentially faster and in a more impactful way than the previous one. The world is being taken by storm yet again, as cryptocurrencies more than outperformed in the last quarter of 2017 and in the early days of 2018. In contrast and just like the dotcom bubble peak back in 2001, both astonishing events preceded a very bloody correction in the 2 years that followed. Both events witnessed by today's freelancer and entrepreneurial millenials, saw Nasdaq find the true bottom around the fourth quarter of 2002 followed by a crystal clear relief sucker's rally that lasted 6 years up until 2007 soon ensued by a higher bottom to spike a much much bigger rally that continues today.
Now that the cryptocurrency market is maturing, we can see history in the making as bitcoin did indeed reach a massive technological breakthrough at the end of 2017 followed by a 2 year bloody correction. This time though, moore's law didn't disappoint as the bitcoin market printed a 6 month sucker's relief rally ensued by a higher bottom just a few short months later, signaling an extended bear market and a slower future rally, a more progressive but healthier bullrun between next 2022 and 2023, if not earlier.
When comparing 2017 to the doctom bubble, it seems a massive new technology explosion took place 15 times faster than the euphoria experienced in 2001.
When looking at bitcoin's algorithmic hashrate, it seems Q2 of 2019 was a sucker's rally, similar to the one experienced in 2015.
Contrasting today's massive performance on the stocks that survived 2001's doctom bubble after reaching 98% losses from ATHs followed by a slow rise amidst regulation and adoption,
the crypto market is a trillionaire market in the making and the trend should continue as follows:
2013 has been very similar to 2017 in the crypto market.
2014 was very similar to 2018 where a gigantic bloody correction burst the bubble yet again.
2015 saw a sucker's rally signaling a bottom and a future rally potential, just like it happened early January of 2019
2016 Bitcoin had it's second halving, taking it from $185 early January 2015 bottom to $780 June 2016.
As miner difficulty increases and bitcoin becomes more scarce, covid-19 impacts every small business including those in the crypto industry causing a massive miner capitulation. Moreover, the block reward will be reduced from 12.5 BTC to 6.25 BTC .
With a pool of 15,700 miners left from hundreds of thousands will put the price of bitcoin anywhere from 16k to 53k around the date of the next bitcoin halving till mid 2023.
( BTC Price: $7000 x 6.25 = $43.750).
Institutional Trading is Heating Up
There is currently only a bit more than $2B in crypto. There was a large study done by JPMorgan, which found out that every $1B that goes into crypto increases the market cap by $50B.
So, this means that the actual FIAT money that went into crypto over the last few years is only 2% of what the total amount of cryptos are worth and that there is only $2.2B in crypto total right now, because $2.2B * 50 =$110B, that’s what all crypto is currently worth.
At the height of the last bull run, there were around $20B in crypto.
Say Bitcoin reaches a $30,000 price and a $240B market cap, we would probably be at a total $1T market cap.
There is only $20B entering crypto needed this year, since every $1B that enters crypto, increases the market cap by $50B.
BAKKT, Fidelity and ETFs could easily add $10B to this, which would make the crypto market increase by 5x alone.
Add small investors, Bitcoin whales and we are at $20B and a $1T total market cap again like in 2017, where we topped out at $800B total crypto market cap.
As 2020 arrived with a big bang, we see a strong indicator of what's to come in this exciting brave new orwellian and huxle'y's world, there's a big green light that the cryptocurrency and blockchain market is going to shock the world 10 times faster than the internet 2.0 market has to date! Nevertheless and regardless of the current Pandemic, bitcoin is still following a perfect trace of regressive models run by bots on the biggest crypto exchanges. 16k to 17k is the top for now I'm afraid.
EURGBP Brexit in the works.EURGBP seems to be breaking out of key support levels, after putting on a regression channel you can see its broken out of a strong supportive trend line. Fundamentally, with Brexit being much in the air right now, we can expect a lot of volatility within this pair. However with the strength on other pairs and the bearish movement I will be looking at shorting this and having the SL be the previous consolidation point.
Subscribe to my YouTube for my trading challenge coming up (100-10,000) , I will be posting the record on MyFXBook which is the same handle as my TradingView.
$4600 Bitcoin as 2021 low ? BTC/USD #Bitcoin $BTC #cryptoHere we see that huge pink and blue regression channel on our 3 day chart . You can see we have reliably remained in this channel since 2018 even through highs and lows. It seems until All Time High is breached above 20k that we will remain in it . That means we will revisit the bottom pink part of the band at some point . If that happened , for instance , next summer of 2021 it would line up perfectly with our bottom trendline ( that thin purple line ) and bring us a $4600 Bitcoin price next summer . You can see it on my chart where the orange B is . Also that area is roughly where our .236 fib is from our full fib . This is a great collection of different indicators that we will see a great price sometime next year . I believe the price could always wick a bit above or below there though , say from 4200 to 5800 but for sure we should see sub 6k and as long as we don't break below our 2019 low of 3150 we are still long-term bullish .Good things ahead !
LONG REP/USDT - setting up for possible breakout...LONG REP/USDT - setting up for breakout // As an optimist. If we see a rotation out of bitcoin/ money will likely flow back into quality alt projects at better low risk support levels. Auger/Rep is one of these projects.
13300k Incoming ? BTC/USD $BTC #Bitcoin #btc #cryptoBitcoin surged last night above 11800 and right now is 11950 - just under 12k . Surely 12200 will come soon. But more importantly we are now inside the 'blue' band of that pink and blue regression band . We had been in the lower pink part of that band for awhile but last night we broke up into the blue part of this 'regession channel '. That's bullish imo . That should mean we head up to the top of the blue area of the band . That should bring us to 13300 area and possibly higher ! I myself called for 14 k Btc by Halloween , see my idea linked below . Also the 13350 area is a .618 fib on the chart ( running your fibs from 2019 low of 3150 up to 20k . ) That's an important fib and almost certainly we are going there now . That red star on my chart should be the next level up we hit .
Patience definitely brings good things to those who can wait !
Ethereum Logarithmic Regression I have fit the weekly logarithmic regression and used 20/50/100/200 MA indicator for ETH. For a bullish trend, I expect to see a double cross on the MAs, with the 50 and 100 both crossing the 200, followed by steady separation of ordered MAs (green yellow orange red) from top to bottom.
August FB Levels still relevantLevels of S&R for FB were held these past few days, however, today's tech drop broke some of these levels. FB closed at 263.5, the same level as the support from the regression channel in August, and with the announcement of their new Oculus VR products, I took some FB calls as a swing into tomorrow, looking for a gap up. PT 1 is 265.8, PT 2 is 267.5. Below, beware of a break of 259/257. Good Luck!
Volume Regression Trick (feat. Serbian Užičko Kolo dance music)Okay, this is a simple trick with the built-in Linear Regression indicator. I have used two instances of the indicator, but with different sources. The first one uses price of an instrument and the second one uses volume of an instrument. Yes, it is possible to use non-standard source because the indicator has a special input for that.
As result you get a simple tool for trend analysis and its common cases like trend exhaustion or confirmation.
Good luck and stay cheeki breeki!
Band Practice BTC/USDT #regressionband #Bitcoin $BTC #cryptoThis is that Pink and Blue Regression Band that Bitcoin has been in since the March dump . You can see we just wicked the bottom edge of the pink part of the band earlier today near 10600 . We are still inside it though and unless we go down and close below the band then we are still good to see some upside. See the red arrow ? Near 14k ? That is going to wick us up to the top edge of the blue part of the regression band . Whether we could go even higher after that ,it's always possible . But we seem to be going towards 14k .You can place a regression band on your chart very easily by just placing it and it clicks into place automatically so to speak .You will find it in the left side free indicators in Trading View , the first drop down menu .
$TSLA to slowly downtrend to correction?NASDAQ:TSLA
Seeing a possible slow down trend on $TSLA.
Many other automotive companies are producing EV's, seems just another possible factor that could take away from TSLA's steam.
On the Daily chart we seem to hit a period of consolidation. If this accumulation doesn't feed enough momentum to continue upwards- I'll be watching to see if this stays within the small regression channel, which could lead to ~1330$ area.
If that doesn't entice buyers, I see this riding to the bottom of the larger regression channel & possibly resting around ~1200$ before developing a new trend.
This analysis is strictly for educational purposes, as shorting $TSLA can be bad for your health and is ill advised.
Good Day!
Microsoft New Trend?!As you can see on the weekly chart, i believe Microsoft as finally broke out of the normal trend it has gone to the next step up. I believe that the 208 to 212 area might be a drop back support zone in the event some bad news or something crazy happens. Yesterday i think was the day that determined where the trend was going but i think the Tik TOk possiblility drove it a little more then it should of gone. Thats just a "maybe" situation. A lot of speculation. But this is JUST A IDEA! Thoughts and ideas are appreciated.
BRKS - Cup and Handle. waiting for a regression channel breakout$BRKS
I would have been more convinced if the Pearsons value in Regression channel was >0.899
Also there is one bar above Regression channel and one bar below regression channel.
47.7 to 47.95 is a resistance area.
Pearsons is not very important so as to not to take the trade as it is near 0.9 levels only.
But still worth a buy as fundamental is strong.
So i will place a buy above 48.2 for a 8 to 10$ move.
But after a buy i will keep 47 as stop loss.
EURNZD DOWNTREND - EURNZD has been on a downtrend.
- All EUR pairs are doing the same thing
- All of the NZD pairs are doing the opposite
- I have placed my monthly, weekly, daily supply and demand zones
- Downtrend, and will continue to keep looking for the power of three to spot any changes.
-Perfect time to sell as it just left the top resistance of the regression channel. (short sell)
KEY/USDT too tight for me ! When pullback ? #selfkey #crypto Sorry ! But that pink and blue regression band is too tight for me ! Whilst there might be slight upside - I honestly feel in mid-summer we should be seeing some pullbacks soon . Some nice pullbacks would be great set ups for end of August buys . Would love to see this pick a direction soon . A pullback to 7xx would be great .