Real
Great Opportunity to buy farmland in South AmericaThis stock buys you land all over South America.
319,000 Hectares between Brazil and Paraguay, just to name a few (mostly in Brazil).
Exposure to an incredible emerging market.
Exposure to commodities long term (grain and sugar mostly, cattle as well)
Management is a powerhouse.
JP Morgan owns 7% of the float.
George Soros made this company happen.
Google Eduardo Elsztain - greatest Argentine real estate investor. He's LND's Chairman.
Commodity prices are depressed. As commodities rise in the future it will generate more income for farmland.
Brazilian currency has gotten crushed in the last 10 years. New strength in the Real will benefit Brazil's economy.
Company has no debt.
Excellent growth.
Farmland known for its fantastic risk/return profile (it's land in Brazil, Peru, Chile, Argentina, etc, not a technology fad).
Under $5 per share so institutions are not allowed to invest, yet. What happens when prices hover above $5 per share? Domestic institutions have this stock on their radar and capital flows one way.
Boo Ya.
Most importantly, we have a great looking chart.
MA Bear Call Spread - 13-15% returnMaster Card has traded to what appears to be rolling back at same trend line as it has done several times in the past. Earnings didnt produce mush of a move. MA is definitely consolidating. I like the 98/99 BCS exp 8-19 for about 13-15% limit at this time. I wont even look at this trade unless MA closes about 97---
TSLA going sideways?? Enter a Bull Put Spread- then IRON Condor"You can make money when it goes up down and sideways..." you hear from all the people that charge a small fee for their 'INSIGHT" I'm no expert and I don't want your money. Publishing my plan holds me accountable and it may help or at least give you something to think about or discuss with me!
TSLA is going sideways (see Weekly chart also) its trades between the 100 and 200 on the weekly. The blue box (on the left) is around what TSLA is in a large channel and i have found an IRON Condor is a good way to trade these. If you never done before definitely don't try one using my advice with real money PLEASE!
There is a mistake on the chart my entry I entered into a 205/202/50 expiring 6/10/16. As a matter of fact I won't even try to explain the strategies other than to say you are selling premium anticipating the price stays above 205 until end of day 6/10/16. If it does great, your spread goes way worthless and you get about 10% return. If TSLA continues higher and then trades back down in the yellow square you can enter a Bear Call Spread with the same risk and margin used and raise that return -15 to 20%. For example if you did a 245/247.50 BCS exp 6/10/16 The hopes are TSLA will also trade below 245! There are all sorts of factors that i am not explaining if your are interested go to www. reallifetrading .com
TWTR- Hedge Funds Accumulating, Rumors, Speculation Good R:RI have been bearish (along with everyone else) for much of the last year. The earnings reports show the number of users remain stagnate and there are concerns about being able to monetize TWTR has lead to the huge bearish move. If you listen to CNBC and all the media they tell many reasons to remain bearish. However when public sediment has been "Everybody Is Bearish " is when those "in the know" often begin accumulating. Recently a large number of hedge funds have added TWTR to portfolio> Possible Buyout Speculation? TWTR has changed the number of letter and pictures that can be sent on each tweet, causing speculation something could be in the works, maybe they figured out how to make money?Technically Speaking is has traded to these levels causing a nice support. I like when a stock bounces off support a few times.There was a strong Bullish candle with volume on Friday. TWTR still has the 50 EMA and bearish gap to contend with. But the risk reward may be worth a 1/4 or 1/2 speculation position to the bullish side, if TWTR can fill the gap it's 1 to 1. It could conceivably up to the 100SMA . A Breakthrough of that up to the 3/3/16 pivot and the 200 would be a nice gain! A buyout by a couple of the big boys is rumored! I wouldn't bet the house buy not a bad risk here!. Anything below 13.80 its going down...
Possible 50% pullback leading up to the electionElection years in which the outgoing president is finishing up his 2nd term has had a pretty substantial effect in
the months leading up to the election. In 1987 the market tanked before Reagan left office in 1988 , 2008 when Bush II was leaving office , and it looks like it can happen again when Obama rides off into the sunset.
I believe uncertainty drives the bearish movement .Ultimately the markets all recovered once we knew in which lobbyists will be rewarded..
IF NKE continues running down hill- I'll own $50 shares i have been taught only sell puts on stock you want to own at the price you are selling those puts! Nike is one of those companies. Nike isn't going anywhere, continues to sell more shoes, and brand their swoosh worldwide
so pick an are where you think you would like to own shares. I like getting paid up front and lower my cost basis even more if and when i get put to stock!!
Bitcoin- Rising Wedge & Resistance - Consumer Confidence ReportsThere are several financial reports coming out on 5/31 (Consumer Confidence and spending reports) - Bitcoin has been on quite a tear of late. I have no idea how those reports will effect any of the market much less Bitcoin. As far as technical analysis is concerned a rising wedge has formed and it has traded to resistance, so conventional wisdom says 80% of rising wedges breaks bearish... so I will keep an eye out and see what happens (no trade for me)...
Even if Bitcoin doesn't break the wedge there is a chance of retest of the short term resistance broken on Friday!
I would love feedback from bitcoin traders!!!
AAPL Trading Plan that worked -Trading Plan for next trade AAPL has made a nice move and currently is battling with the 50 and 100- So I exited 1/2 my 7/15/16 Calls with anticipation of either AAPL moving sideways or pulling back. I am not an Elliot Wave expert , but I am using it as a tool to plan the potential pullback. If AAPL follow my plan then great I may enter into more calls with a tight stop. If things change I will move my stop up on my current trade and attempt to break even or squeak out a small profit
Square looks like its hit the bottom of the box- Buy low sell hiThis is a great buy / low sell high. 5-24 nice new white soldier candle stick (similar to one white soldier) , along with a nice bullish candle and volume. If you aren't in the trade you may have to wait for a little pull back- in order to get a decent R to R(Risk- Reward). I used an aggressive stop 9.21 and entry 10.05. May slow down for a bit at the 20 EMA I'm anticipating SQ trading Target 1- $11.79. 2:1 Risk reward. Sell some shares at 2 to 1 look for pullback and move stop up to at or near break even it to 12.87.
A quick Fibb supports a Target 2 12,90 at the .382 -
Should I get stopped out another bounce off the support could offer a great opportunity as well!
Real-Estate Looking as Bearish as the Stock Market, Buy $DRVWhat is this chart? This is the MSCI Real-Estate Investment Trust (REIT) Index, it is the Index that DRV is backed by. DRV is a 3xLeveraged Short Real-Estate ETF.
Why is it important? Because if you buy DRV while RMZ is crashing you can make some pretty insane returns. If you look at the Elliott Wave count on this chart and on the related SPX500 chart you will see that the counts are basically the same, it appears that we are in the midst of a non-limiting triangle that is at the end of a double combination. This means that both the Stock Market and REITs are going to stop growing for the next year or two and then at some point, after the triangle is complete, they are going to collapse. This basically means that the entire US Economy is going to go to shit like it did in 2007-09. Since it is a double combination that would imply around an 80% retracement of the Bull run starting in 2009.
(SPX500 - Multi-year Elliott Wave Forecast...)
How do we know if this chart is correct? Well we already have the break down out of the channel, and triangles are generally pretty easy to detect even in the very early stages. It also appears that there is significant momentum resistance and we are finding some resistance underneath the channel as well. There's also a perfect double top with the peak we made in the beginning of 2007. At this point it would take a whole lot for this to actually be able to push above the high, and I'd say that it is more or less confirmed. If the high is broken then it may be a good idea to change to a neutral economic outlook until more data is available.
Remember that DRV is the big play here. The gains made from shorting RMZ are nothing compared to what DRV could be worth in a recession. The only reason we look at RMZ is because it is the underlying asset for DRV and because it's wave patterns are much more clear.
The clouds are definitely dark over Cyclical City, I would be seriously cautious about being invested in housing and anything that is cyclical in nature for the next couple of years. The market has had a good run for the last 7 years but now it looks like its time for the cycles to change and for the Economy to once again enter into a bearish period.
Another interesting thing I noticed when I accidentally analyzed the wrong chart, is that the MSCI Inc. Stock (The company that makes these Indices) looks like it could be reaching a peak. This would still be pretty speculative since there are no confirmations but it could be telling as to the overall strength of these indices and the stock market.
Real-Estate Not Looking Good? Buy $DRV (Elliott Wave Analysis)What is this chart? This is the Real-Estate Investment Trust (REIT) $MSCI it is the underlying asset for the 3xLeveraged Short Real-Estate ETF $DRV.
Why is it important? Because if you buy $DRV during a housing market crash you can make some pretty insane returns, and if you look at the Elliott Wave count (unconfirmed) you will see that $MSCI has possibly just completed Wave-c of an Extended Zigzag. Since it also ended with a terminal impulse it means that at a minimum Wave-c needs to be completely retraced but since we are completing an extended zigzag, and we are most likely in a triangle, it is highly unlikely that we'd retrace ALL of the entire zigzag because, based on my stock market count, we are in the 2nd "Three" of a major correction that started in 2000.
What does this mean? It means that if my chart is correct the Real-Estate market, and the US Economy, is about to collapse. The process will be slow and painful but this is a perfect starting point for it., the stock market is also reaching a nice high at this point it has basically triple topped. It seems like my related chart will probably continue to be right and the stock market growth will pretty much come to a halt and then the whole market will fall through the floor after about a year. I except there to be blood in the streets by the end of this. It will be at least as bad as 2007-09.
So how do we know if this chart is right? Well first of all it's still extremely speculative (lower probability), if you wait for it to first break the lower yellow line, and then to break the red and blue lines, it will have more or less confirmed the Wave-c impulse and also the entire Zigzag. If you wait until the blue line there is still plenty of profit left but you did miss out on quite a bit (especially on $DRV) so it may be a good idea to take the risk of being wrong and start moving capital into this trade now. Since Wave-c ends on a terminal it needs to retrace the terminal in 50% or less time it took, and typically its much faster than that. This means that if this chart does end up being right the housing market (and in particular $MSCI) is going to crash very fast and very hard within the next year.
How do we know if this chart is wrong? Well this would be the tippy top so if it moves up even a little bit from here it would be a good idea to stop-out and wait for a break down before taking this trade. That means that if you take the trade now on $DRV your R/R is over 1:1000. If you wait until there's a break down your R/R isn't quite as fantastic but the probability that this chart is correct increases substantially because it eliminates any other possibilities I may have overlooked.
Remember that $DRV is the big play here. The gains made from shorting $MSCI are nothing compared to what $DRV could be worth in a recession. The only reason we look at $MSCI is because it is the underlying asset for $DRV and because it's wave patterns are much more clear. Again this is a very speculative and risky trade at this point it's definitely not recommend that you get overly aggressive until this trade has more confirmations!
The clouds are definitely dark over Cyclical City, I would be seriously cautious about being invested in housing and anything that is cyclical in nature for the next couple of years. The market has had a good run for the last 7 years but now it looks like its time for the cycles to change and for the Economy to once again enter into a bearish period.
pennies to thousands candidateabove cloud
look for good 21 minute opening bar
cci strong think it will trend
relative strength money flow good
macd cross
on well strong cloud at 2.50 be careful
on daily right at 200 day make sure crosses