Rangebreakout
SPX above 3635 is good breakout level to rally furtherAs per our previous analysis, SPX has indeed consolidated at the current levels, its breakout level is now 3635, volumes are not bearish yet but also not decisively bullish, so I would watch price action with some skepticism and wait for volume to indicate further direction.
Please note that overall trend is still bullish. So I would still look for long opportunities.
WHY DID THE BULLISH CONTINUATION MOVE FAIL?What does "End of Month Square Up" mean.
A square position is a situation where a trader or portfolio has no market exposure. ... The reason for this confusion is that the term "squaring up" is used to describe settling open trades before the market closes.
A square position is also referred to as a "flat position."
Square position, like many trading terms, can take on a different nuance depending on the speaker. For an individual forex trader, a square position can refer to offsetting long and short positions in the same currency pair or a situation where a currency trader holds no positions in the market. The reason for this confusion is that the term "squaring up" is used to describe settling open trades before the market closes. Squaring usually refers to just a few positions, but a trader could close out all of his open positions and get out of the market.
The "Market Makers" can use this trading principle as they move the market.
E/U had a Bullish Trend which became a consolidated range.
Price had a Bearish Breakout of the Range bottom which failed.
Price created Higher Highs and Higher Low making it appear a Bullish Continuation move was happening.
This drew in long traders leaving behind lots of money tied up in Stop Losses.
The Market Makers can tell where the most money is tied up on the Long side or Short Side.
It seems to appear that the Market Makers made the Bullish Continuation Reversal fail and took out the Stop Losses at the Higher Low entry point and also the 50% reversal entry point.
All of this happening the last few days of the End of the Month of October.
Could this be an example of the "END OF MONTH SQUARE UP?"
Range Support Holds With Bullish RejectionWe discussed this pair yesterday and how price action was moving down to the near term support level.
Price has now moved lower into this level and rejected it with a strong bullish rejection candle on the 4 hour chart.
The range we discussed yesterday that price was forming is now in full play and until we get a clean breakout, we can look to play both sides of the market.
We can look to trade long and short from both the range support and resistance levels.
NZDCHF - Breakout ImminentA little thought on minor - Kiwi Swissy
The pair has now seen to be recovering from the massive sell-off from the March panic sell off with RISK OFF mode ongoing thus the rush for demand for safe-heaven Franc.
The pair had now seen been trading in a low volatility consolidating pattern - indicating a breakout might be imminent; and expected the trend will last quite awhile.
#no range will last forever
Entry with BUY/SELL STOP order suggested 1 ATR above the range high (yellow line); avoiding being false entry with daily price fluctuation.
ride the breakout & follow the trend !
Gold respected upwards break of 50 week range July's break of the weekly range since September 2018 saw a new ATH for gold. Bear slammed down to test weekly range at 1865 zone and it was respected magnificently, strong signs for bull continuation at this level. Below 1823 would invalidate the break upwards and see gold scuba-diving for a new low support. Strong signals from my end for phoenix flying to new highs for gold.
New range to be made.
Looking up from here.
Just a Salmon. Ideas are not gospel.
Grasim from 2 July 2020Grasim has formed ascending triangle patter in 4H time frame. ... possible upside breakout
MACD & RSI both are in uptrend Zone .... MFI is also rising possible upside movement present...
ATR is around 15-20 rupees possible ATR * 1.5 = 25 - 30 rupees buffer can be maintained to avoid wicks
Larsen & Turbo from 2 June 2020My view will be on buy side above the support level 945 .. if not broken then i will not trade since it will be in no trade zone ... view on 15 - 45 min and 1 hourly is negative .. I think there will be massive resistance to downside at-least till 915 ... after that look for sell
GBPUSD 1H BULLISH FLAG BREAKOUT LONG TRADEBullish Flags are a chart pattern under the Range Patterns.
Bullish Flag Ranges are repeatable trading chart patterns.
Bullish Flag Range chart patterns will have a long directional bias depending on the previous incoming trend.
Each chart pattern will have defining trendlines of the support/resistance levels creating the pattern.
Whatever time frame you are trading this chart pattern, wait for a candle close outside of the trendline in the direction of the breakout candle. (Our time frame preference is the Daily chart ).
Add volume indicator - Volume is the amount of $ that went into a particular candle or in Forex the # of trades that took place.
Add ATR indicator - Volatility is the amount of price movement that occurred. Use the ATR to measure the price movement.
When you see descending Volume bars and descending ATR line (which indicates volatility ) this shows a dis-interest in traders to invest in this pair creating consolidation which creates the chart pattern.
Trade Management after there is a breakout candle close.
1 - Position size (compare volume bar to volume ma line).
a - Breakout candle must be 100% of average volume for a full position size.
b - If 75% of average volume then ½ position size. (To find 75% of Volume
look at the volume settings on the chart – divide smaller # into larger # = 75%+)
2 - Enter two trades.
3 - SL for both trades will be 1.5 x ATR.
4 - 1st trade TP will be 1 x ATR.
5 - No TP on 2nd trade – letting profit run and adjusting SL to follow price.
6 - When 1st TP hit – move 2nd trade SL to breakeven.
7 - Adjust the 2nd trade SL to follow price.
*8 – After Breakout candle – if price closes back into chart pattern close trade
*9 - When breakout candle is more than 1 ATR from breakout candle open.
a - Enter 1st trade at candle close with ½ position size.
b - Enter 2nd trade with a pending limit order that is 1 ATR of breakout candle open.
c – Price should pullback to that pending limit order for 2nd trade.
d – If Price returns back into chart pattern close trade before SL is hit.
This trade setup was found by Scott Barkley on TSG "Trade of the Week"
EURAUD 1D BEAR FLAG SHORT TRADEA Bear Flag is a form of a Ranges which is a repeatable trading chart pattern.
A Bear Flag chart patterns will have a bearish directional bias depending on the previous incoming trend.
Each chart pattern will have defining trendlines of the support/resistance levels creating the pattern.
What ever time frame you are trading this chart pattern, wait for a candle close outside of the trendline in the direction of the breakout candle. (Our time frame preference is the Daily chart).
Add volume indicator - Volume is the amount of $ that went into a particular candle or in Forex the # of trades that took place.
Add ATR indicator - Volatility is the amount of price movement that occurred. Use the ATR to measure the price movement.
When you see descending Volume bars and descending ATR line (which indicates volatility) this shows
a dis-interest in traders to invest in this pair creating consolidation which creates the chart pattern.
Trade Management after there is a breakout candle close.
1 - Position size (compare volume bar to volume ma line).
a - Breakout candle must be 100% of average volume for a full position size.
b - If 75% of average volume then ½ position size. (To find 75% of Volume
look at the charts volume settings – divide smaller # into larger # = 75%+)
2 - Enter two trades.
3 - SL for both trades will be 1.5 x ATR.
4 - 1st trade TP will be 1 x ATR.
5 - No TP on 2nd trade – letting profit run and adjusting SL to follow price.
6 - When 1st TP hit – move 2nd trade SL to breakeven.
7 - Adjust the 2nd trade SL to follow price.
*8 – After Breakout candle – if price closes back into chart pattern close trade
*9 - When breakout candle is more than 1 ATR from breakout candle open.
a - Enter 1st trade at candle close with ½ position size.
b - Enter 2nd trade with a pending limit order that is 1 ATR of breakout candle open.
c – Price should pullback to that pending limit order for 2nd trade.
d – If Price returns back into chart pattern close trade before SL is hit.