SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update For 10-31: Halloween BreakdownThis short video discusses why traders need to prepare for a downward move and the eventual move into Phase #3 of the Excess Phase Peak pattern (consolidation).
I believe this consolidation phase will be very short-lived. So be aware of the continued risks to the downside.
This election has many traders concerned about pre-/post-market jitters. Bonds continue to put pressure on the debt markets, and Gold and silver are not contracting downward (as I suggested), reflecting a real panic-type trending mode.
Spend a bit of time watching my past videos. It is very impressive that you called this move 3+ weeks in advance, and I continue to believe we will see a base/bottom setup just after the election.
So, there is still a boatload of opportunities for skilled traders.
Buckle up - this move downward is likely to be very volatile.
Get some.
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QQQ
#NFLX Targets for the Meltup in equitiesI have called a couple real big pattern moves on #Netflix
so on todays mega rally
I take a quick look at the potential price projections that may or may not end up occurring
I am not a guru or price forcaster
i just draw lines on charts like always
Your Risk
Your Reward
But i am someone who does highlight Risk i.e. downward prices when I feel/see that might be a possibility
Yes I know
this game is not easy.
Nq potencial bullish flat Seems like NQ is in a Bullish flat formation, that will take another few weeks maybe couple months to resolve.
Still Bullish longer term as long as August low is not pierced!
Long around b (in blue) of 3 (green) to new ATH's... then we'll be looking for signs of bearishness and entry to short for a big 5 waves down!
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 10-31 : Consolidation PatternToday's video highlights the power and simplicity of what I attempt to do for all of you.
I'm not perfect. I don't see into the future using some magic crystal ball.
I use my tools and skills to watch the markets and apply my knowledge to the charts to identify the most likely future outcome.
My SPY Cycle pattern predictions seem perfect, showing a top setting up between Oct 29-31, then rolling into a reasonably sharp market decline.
Yesterday's Excess Phase Peak pattern in Silver seemed to lead to weakness in the markets while the SPY was attempting to break through the Flag Apex pattern.
Combined, this cross-market weakness has translated into a very strong overnight selling event where the SPY is already off more than 0.50% and Gold/Silver are struggling near recent highs.
I hope viewers are learning from watching my charts and research. I try to explain things as clearly as I can and show you how to apply these techniques on your own.
As I state in this video, you can build better skills. You can improve your abilities to attempt to see into the future (a bit) and learn to apply better trading abilities. You don't have to be tied to failed techniques and indicators the rest of your life.
It just takes some patience and a lot of learning.
Anyway, I hope you see how my effort are helping you and I will continue to do my best to educate you and help you stay ahead of these market trends.
Get some...
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Best Level to BUY/HOLD TSLA 100% upside TP 500/550 USD🔸Hello traders, today let's review 8hour chart for TSLA. Entering re-accumulation stage now, expecting range bound trading during next few weeks as we enter pullback/correction. We are closing in on heavy overhead resistace / limited upside currently.
🔸The speculative chart pattern is bullish C*H in progress, expect more range locked price action for a few weeks as we re-accumulate and get ready to clear the overhead resistances. Measured move price projectiong for the C*H structure is 500/550 USD, 100%+ upside from the recommended BUY ZONE.
🔸Recommended strategy bulls: wait for TSLA to re-accumulate in the sliding bull flag formation into the liquidity zone and get ready to BUY/HOLD low near 220 USD, target based on measured move projection is 550 USD. good luck traders!
🎁Please hit the like button and
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RISK DISCLAIMER:
Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade EOD Update For 10-30: ConsolidationWhat an interesting day regarding how the markets reacted to the Flags and APEX setups.
My update video was perfect as we saw the market break away from the Flag Apex and trend downward almost all afternoon.
With BTCUSD moving into a Flagging formation within a potential Excess Phase Peak pattern near $72, things are about to get interesting.
Either we see the breakdown of support in the markets over the next 4-5+ days or we see support hold and the markets rally a bit higher going into the long weekend.
It's an either A or B type of scenario right now. I estimate fear and uncertainty drive the markets about 3.5 to 5.5% lower before the election.
Buckle up and prepare for real market volatility. By tomorrow's end, make sure you are protected from risk.
Beyond that, at this point, it is a wait-and-see type of situation.
Get some.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update : Shift Market Trends - BUCKLE UPThis update is to show you why I believe the markets have already started moving into the low-liquidity phase I have been suggesting for more than 3+ weeks. This low-liquidity phase will happen as we move closer to the US elections.
Simply put, traders are very anxious regarding the outcome of the election and the chaos that may happen after the election. Because of this, I believe many traders have already pulled capital away from the markets and are sitting on CASH.
This lack of market liquidity could present a very real risk of a FLASH-crash type of event.
So, BUCKLE UP.
Metals shifted downward (silver is leading almost all other markets with very clear patterns/setups).
BTCUSD appears to have peaked and is rolling downward.
The SPY is about to APEX into a new FLAG APEX - thus we should expect extreme volatility over the next 3+ hours of trading. Possibly leading to a strong downtrend near the end of trading today.
And, I believe all of this points to the lack of liquidity event taking shape. Moving the markets into a type of low liquidity PANIC mode (downward).
Play safe and Buckle Up!
Get some.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 10-30 : GapUp-Higher PatternToday's pattern suggests the markets will attempt to GAP higher at the open, then continue to trend upward throughout the day.
I go into great detail in this video trying to highlight the setups and constructs of price for my followers.
We are moving into a very volatile period for the markets with what I believe will be a low liquidity event taking place throughout the election. My thoughts are that liquidity will dry up later this week and early next week before the election day (we also have a Holiday on Monday).
So, if my analysis is correct, we are going to be looking for the US and global markets to clearly illustrate extreme anticipation/fear related to who the US will elect.
That should translate into extreme potential market volatility.
I urge traders to watch this video (and some of my more recent videos). Now is the time to prepare for this extreme market volatility and to learn to PULL AWAY from risks.
There is no reason to be trading like normal throughout this event. By late today or late tomorrow, you should really ask yourself "how much are you willing to risk throughout the election event and long weekend".
Get some.
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$LRCX Bottom Fishing After ERNASDAQ:LRCX I bought a half size position on the initial earnings pop and I just brought it up to a full size position. I rarely bottom fish a stock but this one sold off hard into earnings and then beat expectations. It really needs to get up and over the 50 DMA (red) and the DT line to prove it is going to run but I like it here and have my stop just below the earnings gap up which makes for a great risk reward trade. I will not lose much if I am wrong.
From @TradingView
In the week heading into the first quarter earnings report for its 2025 fiscal year (FY), Lam Research Corp.
LRCX
stock was down nearly 15%. Furthermore, analysts were lowering their price targets for LRCX stock over concerns of slowing growth that would make it difficult to see the stock outperforming the market.
However, the stock is reversing course with a gain of over 4% in early trading the morning after the company’s earnings report. Is this a temporary lift or a sign that Lam Research may be proving its naysayers wrong?
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Update For 10-29 : Ripper Apex BreakoutThis short video highlights the Apex Volatility breakout in the SPY today and shows the ripper rally in Gold & Bitcoin.
If you've been following my research, you already know I called these moves many days ago.
If you are new to my videos, this is an excellent way for you to see what I do, learn from my videos, and attempt to see now my research fits into your trading style.
My single goal is to make you a better trader - and I hope I'm doing that with all the content I provide.
Get some.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 10-29 : Gap Defender PatternToday's SPY Cycle Pattern is a Gap Defender in Counter Trend mode.
Even though I forgot to show you the pattern page in this video, today's video suggests the SPY will attempt to protect and defend yesterday's opening gap price range - possibly attempting to move a bit higher as I predicted.
With Bitcoin rallying away from the consolidation range, I see this as a "move to hedge against fear". I believe Gold and Silver could make a strong move higher as this hedging moves across all fear-base hedge assets.
Additionally, both presidential candidates support renewed legislation for Bitcoin & Cryptos in the US - so either way I believe the digital currency world is ready for US involvement.
Right now, I see the markets as trying to make a "last gasp effort" at a rally into Wednesday. Then, I believe the markets will roll into a broad contraction phase setting up just before the election as liquidity vanishes from the markets.
Price volatility should be EXTREME between Nov 1 and Nov 6.
Play the next 2 weeks very smart. Otherwise, your lumps could be painful.
Get some.
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$LLY Tightening UpNYSE:LLY Tightening Up before earnings on Wednesday. This implies that neither buyers nor sellers are stepping up prior to the report (so far at least).
I am not calling this either way. But, I think a big move is coming one way or the other. (I think it's going to be up.
This name is high on my watchlist. Lets see what happens AFTER earnings.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 10-28 : Top Resistance PatternToday's SPY Cycle Pattern is a Top Resistance pattern in Countertrend mode.
I believe this pattern will represent a moderate early topping price action in the SPY/QQQ - resolving slightly to the downside, then rolling into an upward price trend near the end of the day.
The reason I believe this to be the case is because of two factors.
A. The Countertrend mode suggests the top will actually be a moderate bottom in price (a pullback resolving as a base/bottom).
B. The continued bias for the markets is slightly upward, thus I believe the SPY/QQQ will attempt to reach new intermediate ATHs before we start to move into the pre-election downtrend.
Gold and Silver will struggle today as both appear to be consolidating in a FLAGGING formation.
Bitcoin is still consolidating in the Phase #3 sideways consolidation pattern of the Excess Phase Peak pattern.
Everything is playing out generally very well aligned to my research and cycle patterns. Last week I warned that market price would likely be very difficult in comparison to my SPY Cycle Patterns and that traders should begin to move to protect capital.
This week is the last week you have for any upside opportunities. You need to plan to protect capital (if you plan to) before the pre-election correction. I believe skilled traders will be able to move back into the strongest sectors at a 5.5 to 8.5%+ pullback just after the elections.
That is a smart move if you can pull it off.
Also, don't hold any Gold/Silver futures contracts through the 2-3+ days around the election day. Volatility will be EXTREME and unless you can take the lumps (margin calls), I don't advise anyone trying to trade metals on November 5-6. If you do, get in and get out QUICKLY.
Here we go...
Get some.
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Preparing For Pre Election Volatility - Stay Protected From RiskI wanted to highlight what I believe is the most likely 5 to 10+ day price activity and why I believe traders should immediately begin to prepare for extreme price volatility.
I believe the SPY/QQQ will move into a very moderate rally phase over the next 2 to 4 days, then peak near Oct 30-31 and shift into a very aggressive downward price trend.
That downward trend could evaporate 5.5 to 8.5%++ (possibly even resulting in a 10-14% downward price move in some of the most volatile tech sector stocks/ETFs).
Traders really need to understand the risks of holding positions through the election vs. the opportunities of CASHING out of 80-85% of your holdings and attempting to buy back into those same symbols at a 5.5 to 8.5% discount on November 6-8.
Think about it.
Why take the 6 to 10%+ risk when you don't have to.
Again, I'm trying to help you plan and prepare for what I believe is likely to happen. I could be wrong - we'll see.
But, even if I'm wrong about some of my expected ranges, you would still be able to buy back into these shares at a reasonable price no matter what happens.
Remember, a quick 6 to 10% pullback can provide a very good opportunity for skilled traders.
Get some.
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Stock Market TSLA NVDA AAPL AMZN META GOOG MSFT AnalysisQQQ Forecast
Sp500 ETF analysis
Nvidia Stock NVDA Forecast Technical Analysis
Apple Stock AAPL Forecast Technical Analysis
Microsoft Stock MSFT Forecast Technical Analysis
Amazon Stock AMZN Forecast Technical Analysis
Meta Forecast Technical Analysis
Tesla Stock TSLA Forecast Technical Analysis
Gold topped $2500 per ounce psychological high. Here's whyThe price of spot gold climbed $2500 per ounce to a new record high, by mid-August, 2024.
The Yellow metal has rallied 21.5% this year, and this is the best result in this time against Top 4 american indices - Dow Jones Industrial Avg (DJIA), SP500 (SPX), Small cap Russell2000 (RUT) and full of tech stocks Nasdaq-100 indices (NDX).
Gold jumped as much as 1.8% on Friday, as investors inflation expectations are still extremely high, and still there're no convincing sign that major Russia - Ukraine conflict as well as Israel - Arab conflict are near to be settled.
Even recent weakness in US labor market and new-home starts fall to the lowest level since 2020 give no power to Federal Reserve (US Central Bank) to cut an interest rate even to 1/4 per cent.
Last 2 years, a lot of banksters forecasted that Fed will cut interest rate.
In fact - it still didn't. Just blah-blah-blah and super-duper AI hype, which based on nothing.
In technical terms, spot Gold breaks its $2500 psychological high, ready to go further, up to 3k.
Mag 7 Earnings - Something will Break (Ceiling or Floor?)797 stocks reporting earnings next week
Notables include
GOOGL
LLY
CAT
META
MSFT
COIN
AMZN
AAPL
XOM
CVX
MA
V
$15 trillion in market cap at play as the US markets are still very close to all-time highs with a melty-uppy vibe. I'm cautiously bullish and could certainly see the highs get blown off with strong earnings momentum dominating the sentiment. I could also see Mag 7 disappoint investors with "not enough growth" and any pullbacks on Mag 7 will certain drag on the entire market.
Survive next week, then it's onto the US Election, FED, Non-Farm Payroll. No big deal, it's just trading :)
Thanks for watching!!!
U.S. Aggregate T-Bond Market. Fears & Greed AwakeningStocks heavily sold off Thursday (again), with the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) tumbling nearly 500 points, as investors’ fears over a recession surfaced.
Some fresh data stoked fears over a possible recession and the notion that the Federal Reserve could be too late to start cutting interest rates. Initial jobless claims rose the most since August 2023. And the ISM manufacturing index, a barometer of factory activity in the U.S., came in at 46.8%, worse than expected and a signal of economic contraction.
After these releases, the 10-year Treasury yield dropped below 4% for the first time since February.
These weak data releases come a day after central bank policymakers chose to keep rates at the highest levels in two decades, when Fed Chair Jerome Powell gave investors some hope by signaling a September rate cut could be on the table.
Labor situations is on the radars also, as fresh unemployment data expected on Friday, August 2.
The main technical chart is for U.S. Core Aggregate T-Bond Market ETF (AGG), in total return format/
With 11782 total number of holdings, AGG is US bond market in miniature.
Fears & Greed Awakening.
👉 VIX and VXN are sitting closer to their important levels, 20 and 25 points respectively.
👉 VIX to 50-Day VIX SMA ratio has recently jumped above 1.40, and this is the biggest level over the past twelve months.
👉 VXN to 50-Day VXN SMA ratio has recently jumped above 1.40, and this is the biggest level over the past twelve months.
👉 Difference in 20-day stock and bond returns slumped almost to Zero.
Technical observations
👉 AGG technical graph indicates on huge developing Reversed Head-and-Shoulders, with 2-year highs breakthrough.
👉 The nearest target could be considered is multi top, around $108 mark.
👉 In mid- to long term it could be good for stock indices and markets, despite of possible turbulence and seismic activity.
Understanding The Basics Of AI/Inference Engine ConstructionRecently, there has been a lot of discussion related to my SPY Cycle Patterns and how they work.
In short, without disclosing proprietary code/quants, I built an inference engine based on Fibonacci, GANN, and Tesla theories.
Part of this inference engine is to identify the highest probable outcome related to the patterns.
This is not rocket-science. This is the same process your brain does when determining when and what to trade.
The only difference is I'm doing a bunch of proprietary calculations/quants related to data and price theory in the background, then the inference engine determines the best, most likely outcome.
Take a few minutes to watch this video and try to understand the difference between static and dynamic modeling.
Again, my objective is to help as many traders as possible. My Plan Your Trade videos are my opinions based on my skills, knowledge, and proprietary modeling systems/tools.
None of my tools are 100% accurate all the time - nothing is. But, I do believe the quality of information and instructional information I provide is invaluable to most traders.
Get some.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 10-25: Rally111 PatternHappy Friday,
Today is potentially the start of a moderate rally phase in the SPY/QQQ headed toward my predicted peak level near October 30-31.
Although this week has had lots of rotation, we've seen the markets hold up pretty well. Tesla surprised with earnings recently after Boeing and other issues prompted a bit of panic selling.
My research suggests the SPY/QQQ will attempt to move a bit higher over the next 3-4 days - attempting to setup a peak just before the election. The 3-4 days prior to the election are likely to be very volatile as liquidity dries up.
Traders need to stay keenly aware of risks over the next 15+ days - even after the election day.
Whatever happens on election day, we are likely to see some moderate level of unrest and challenges related to who won. I believe the current election will be the most watched and validated election in US history. Everyone is watching for errors and shenanigans this time.
As traders, our #1 job is to protect capital. That is why I suggested traders more to 80-85% CASH over the past 2+ weeks.
There is no reason to be engaged in this market at full allocation levels when I expect the markets to become extremely volatile (and potentially prompt a flash-crash type of event).
Remember, lack of liquidity means extreme price volatility.
Gold and Silver are moving into another rally phase. Get ready to see Gold above $2800.
Bitcoin is still consolidating - just as I expected.
This is the time to play it smart. Trade smaller allocation levels and prepare to hedge against risk factors over the next 2-3 weeks.
Get some.
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2024-10-24 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaqGood Evening and I hope you are well.
tl;dr
Indexes - Bulls bought the lows as was expected but they could not close the day with a strong bull bar. Instead we printed weak bull bars or inside bars. Are we any smarter today? Not much. Both sides are to weak to show a clear direction and so we mostly move sideways. Bears do not have any arguments after not getting any follow through. Bulls at least closed it above the daily 20ema, so we are still inside the bullish patterns and upwards is more likely than down.
nasdaq e-mini futures
comment: Also nested triangles, so not much difference to dax. Market closed in the middle of it, which is also the open of the week around 20400. Here market is absolutely in balance and it’s the worst place to trade. Market closed where it opened, so don’t put too much thought into today. Mark the triangles on your chart and wait for the breakout tomorrow or fade the extremes.
current market cycle: Bull trend (nested triangles on 1h chart)
key levels: 20000 - 21000
bull case: Bulls want 21000 again. They bought where they had to at the bull trend line and we should not drop below 20260 again or bulls might seriously doubt their case. Confirmation for bulls is only above 20700.
Invalidation is below 20000.
bear case: Bears need follow through selling below 20000 and I highly doubt they can get it. If they do, this bull trend is over and the highs are probably in. For now Bears trying to keep this inside the triangle and below 20700. Trading range price action so I will spare you more words.
Invalidation is above 20700.
short term: Neutral
medium-long term: Very likely a retest of the ath before I expect a correction 10% or more, before another year end rally. I do think we see 21000 before we see 19600.
current swing trade: Nope
trade of the day: Buying EU session as dax.
$BOX Consolidating – Coiling?I have had my eye on Box, Inc. since its last earnings. It has spent most of the time since then consolidating and letting the 50 DMA (red) catch up. I have also been looking at the AVWAP(s) from both earnings date and the 52-week high on Sept 17th (both light green). I have an alert set for a break above that tight area (both light green) where I will look for a low risk / reward entry. I am looking for this to rally into earnings, about a month away. All TBD.
NYSE:BOX : Box and AWS partner to bring powerful generative AI models and capabilities to enterprise content. Briefing.com
Working To Unlock The 3-6-9 Secrets Of The MarketRecently, there have been a lot of questions related to my SPY Cycle Patterns and how they work.
I've often stated that these patterns are based on Gann, Tesla, and Fibonacci's price theory.
However, underlying all that is a core component related to the 3-6-9 (secrets of the universe) theory.
This video tries to introduce you to the concepts of the 3-6-9 theory and how it overlays with Gann, Tesla, Fibonacci, Japanese Candlesticks, and more.
My focus for the past 24+ months has been to unlock this theory's secrets and develop a practical use component (code) that attempts to provide very clear future trading/price predictions.
Spend some time watching this video. See what you think and open your mind to the concept that price moves through construction and destruction phases (likely based on the 3-6-9 concepts).
At the end of this video, I share some practical knowledge/examples showing why I believe the 3-6-9 theory is critical to unlocking the true secrets of market price action.
I may never be able to unlock all of it, but I'm dedicated to trying to unlock as much as I can within my lifetime.
This drives me to build code solutions and attempt to improve my skills.
Get some.
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