Pullback
EURUSD continues to rise In the beginning of the week, we talked about price reaching its current levels of 0,9950 and then sell.
However, yesterday we had an impulse move up and right now we won't be looking for short positions yet.
After such a move, we are actually expecting a continuation higher.
Tomorrow we have ECB Interest Rates which is expected to cause more big moves.
In case of a continuation higher, we are looking at 1,0090 next!
This will be the next level where we will look to sell!
Nothing has changed on EURUSDRight now, the situation on EURUSD remains the same as yesterday.
It's heading towards 0,9950 - the level where we should see a reaction.
It's also important to know that this week, we have ECB Interest Rates.
This will definitely bring some volatility and it also makes the entries before the news more risky.
That's why we have to wait for the right moment only after confirmation.
$BAH is breaking out of a ~21 month long base! Can it go higher?Notes:
* Strong up trend on the higher time frames
* Great earnings track record
* Broke out of a ~21 month long base
* Higher than average weekly volume and coming off from its 10 week line
* Also breaking out of a smaller consolidation of ~12 weeks
* Gaped up a couple of days ago and is now coiling
* Broke historical resistance around the $97 area
Technicals:
Sector: Industrials - Consulting Services
Relative Strength vs. Sector: 3.15
Relative Strength vs. SP500: 2.07
U/D Ratio: 1.37
Base Depth: 7.78%
Distance from breakout buy point: 0.23%
Volume 55.27% above its 15 day avg.
Trade Idea:
* Now's a great time to buy since the price is just breaking out and is close to the break point
* If you're looking for a better entry you may look for one around the ~97.85 area as that should hold as support
💢SELL NZDJPY at the best place and price💰🔰You can see the analysis of the New Zealand dollar to Japanese yen currency pair in a 30-minute time frame (NZDJPY_ 30min) 🔍⚡
💥Considering that the price has broken the Up trend line🖤 and pulled back💜 to it twice❗ If the price can reach the SUPPLY zone, it can experience a fall from this zone to the DEMAND zone🚀🔺
Do you think this analysis can be profitable❓
I hope the analysis was useful for you🤍🌹
________📈TRADER STREET📉_______
Is the pullback on EURUSD over? It looks like the pullback that started at the end of September has already come to an end.
This will provide us with selling opportunities.
If we see that the price comes back to around 0,9867, we can wait for rejection and then sell.
Another sell setup could be a breakout and test of 0,9750.
We are not selling at current price levels!
We are also not looking for long positions!
EURUSD isn't strong enough to continue It looks like the upside move that we're expecting this week doesn't have enough strength to continue.
Yesterday, we didn't see the rejection of the 0,9808 support.
You shouldn't be looking to buy anymore but instead, wait for a sell signal.
We could possibly see a move up towards 0,9915 and that's where we will be looking for potential reversal.
Rise in EURUSD EURUSD bounced off 0,9808 yesterday but it still hasn't moved towards the parity.
We can potentially see another retest of the same level today and that could give us buying opportunities.
The target remains at 1,0090 but we have to watch out around the other important levels- 0,9915 and 0,9999.
This scenario is only valid if price doesn't break below 0,9725!
EURUSD is heading towards 1,0090! The breakout of 0,9808 from yesterday, confirms the ascend of EURUSD.
The first target here will be 0,9915, followed by 0,9999.
All long positions must be closed before 1,0090!
It's important to understand, that this is only a part of a pullback from the higher timeframes and we should see a reversal to the downside soon.
This will be valid only if price doesn't break below 0,9725!
Important levels for EURUSD We expected more upside movement on EURUSD after the low from last week.
However, it looks like the market doesn't have enough strength and we don't have a reason to buy.
The continuation up will be confirmed upon break above 0,9808.
Before that we could see another drop but right now, we don't have a sell signal either.
That's why we should wait for a better setup before taking a trade.
ENPH: Pull Back + Bounce + Active Level RetestBig Picture:
Earnings coming up 10/25/22. Had good Earnings last time. Coming back into aggressive buying from July and last earrings period. (Will the buyers want to fight for the price a little bit now before earnings?)
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Setups:
07/20/22 - 07/27/22: ENPH broke out out from a volume accumulation + Aggressive Buying
08/02/22 - 09/06/22 Volume Accumulation
09/15/22 - 09/21/22 Volume Accumulation
09/22/22 Aggressive Selling
09/26/22 - 10/04/22 Volume Accumulation
10/05/22 - 10/07/22: Aggressive Selling
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Intraday Technical:
ATR: 16.13
ATR (200Day): 14.42
DTR: 16.95
%: 105.00%
RVOL: 0.82
Rel Vol (Finviz): 0.75
RSI (14 Day): 30.64
RSI (200 Day): 52.51
Volume: 2,884,739
AvgV: 3.83M
Ch% (FINVIZ): -4.35%
FS%: 3.31%
Shs Outstanding: 135.20M
Shs Float: 132.68M
Inst Own: 75.10%
2 Day VWAP: 244.6
Weekly VWAP: 250.33
Monthly VWAP: 263.01
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10/13/22
Open: 248.73
HOD: 254.21
LOD: 237.26
Close: 244.59
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Key Areas of Support:
216.82
230.14
245.49
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Key areas of Resistance:
257.08
283.43
295.02
315.29
Inflection Point:
245.35
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Trade Plan:
Look for a pull back to 237.64
If pulls back to 237.64 and see absorption then start long.
If blow through VWAP then Cover and look to add back in a pull back. If add in pull back this is a new trade and make sure to cover this new add at the next neck line.
If hits PT 2 then look for a pull back with absorption and add. Then sell this Add right into the above neckline.
Take original trade to PT 3 and sell
Risk/Reward: 20% of ATR $2.88
Entry: $237.64
Stop $234.76
Exit: $249.18
PT 1: $240.52
PT 2: $243.41
PT 3: $246.29
PT: 4 $249.18
🌟buy AUDUSD🌟🔰You can see the analysis of the Australian dollar to US dollar currency pair in a 15-minute time frame (AUDUSD_ 15min) 🔍🧨
💥Due to the breaking of the Down trend line🖤 by the price, it can be expected that the price will rise from the pullback zone💜 to the supply zone🚀🔺
Do you think this analysis can be profitable❓
I hope the analysis was useful for you🤍🌹
_______📈TRADER STREET📉______
Where is EURUSD going? The ascending move from yesterday didn't have enough strength to continue higher.
Now it's important to see which level will be violated next.
In case of a breakout of 0,9775, then we're probably heading to the parity level again!
However, if the market breaks below 0,9669 then we will have to see how the setup will develop later on.
Trades at current price levels are considered risky and not confirmed!
Natural Gas: The supply-demand dynamic is at a critical stageDeutsche Bank reported that in a particularly critical phase is the supply-demand dynamics regarding natural gas towards the winter season, which the behavior of households will be decisive in the coming months, as their consumption represents a large percentage of total consumption. A supply failure is likely to be avoided at least as the scenarios confirm that a 20% YoY reduction in consumption this winter (and flat annual demand thereafter) is likely to lead to some shortages either early in 2023 or the winter of 2023/24.
The reduction in Germany remains at 40%, while if demand falls by only 10% YoY stocks will not be exhausted even in such a scenario. For certain, fill levels would fall below 10% in late winter 2022/23, but this would not put energy security in doubt until 2024. The European Commission is working on proposals to limit prices. While negotiating with reliable suppliers, for instance, Norway, and strengthening common markets seem to be the Commission’s preferred options, the idea of a (temporary) price cap on imported natural gas is gaining ground.
The greater the potential for the implementation of a cap the lower the success of the implementation of the first two measures. Such an implementation could lead to increase supply risks, depending on the design of such an import price cap which would accompany the mandatory demand reduction.
From an Elliot wave perspective, we will examine the Natural Gas chart to see its potential move in the short to mid-term.
Looking at the weekly chart, natural gas made an impulsive five-wave rally from the lows, which suggests that low is in place and we can expect a bigger recovery. However, in Elliott waves, after every five-wave rise we can expect a slow down in three waves, so we are tracking now an (A)-(B)-(C) correction before the uptrend resumes. First support is around 5.3 level, while second support would be around 3.5 level.
All the best!
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Disclosure: Please be informed that information we provide is NOT a trading recommendation or investment advice. All of our work is for educational purposes only.
USDCAD Is Looking Higher Within A Five-Wave ImpulseUSDCAD is breaking higher, now making some extended upward move which is acting like an impulse because of an extended and sharp move up from 1.3. As such, we think this can be impulse wave 3 where pair can slow down for a corrective pullback into wave four. Ideally that upcoming wave four will then stop and stabilize at the upper line of a base channel.
Trade well!
If you like what we do, then please like and share our idea.
Disclosure: Please be informed that information we provide is NOT a trading recommendation or investment advice. All of our work is for educational purposes only.
Important levels on EURUSDWe are still not trading EURUSD and waiting for better entry opportunity.
Current price levels are important to determine what will be the next move.
Right now, EURUSD doesn't give us any entry confirmations but we will be waiting for the 0,9643 level.
In case of rejection around that level, we will have to see if price will gain enough strength to continue higher.
We recommend waiting for further confirmation or pick another pair to trade.