$KE1! Wheat OVER $9 in March? Potential for $10?Hi Folks,
Wheat has entered a bull run with a 50/200 ema golden cross as well as a 100/200 ema bullish cross for the first time since 2010! The prior run was from 2010 to 2016. Bearish from 2016 until late 2020 where we first see some bullish crossings. These stages tend to last anywhere between 4-6 years so we should see some continuation.
As far as the technical movement goes, we can tell that wheat likes to flag into the 21-day ema and sometimes into the 50-day ema before continuing. Yesterday, price fell below the 21-day ema and today it reclaimed immediately; this is exactly what we wish to see in healthy upward movements.
Needless to say, at this point you can tell I am bullish on wheat (and commodities in general) for the foreseeable future. What say you?
Projection
BTC unfolding??I do not like what I see in this chart and I am really wish to be proven wrong by the markets.
However, as it stands, it does look like BTC might be on it's way for a major drop in price.
I plotted both a TD Projection and a Head & Shoulder pattern on the chart, both figures are hinting at a very strong possibility for a drop in price to less than $20.000.
As a strong advocate and believer in this technology and it's social implications I do really wish to be wrong.
Please, tell me I am.
Thank you.
Possible ADA inverted head and shoulders scenario "LONG" UPDATESmall H&S forming , right shoulder completing with a possible low $1.20-$1.22. If this holds we will continue Bullish to $2.40 in the next week. Worst case scenario, be prepared if neckline breaks we could possibly see our $1.00. Though there is too much support around $1.20, I can't see that happening. Good luck and I hope you all enjoyed you new year.
ADA DOUBLE BOTTOM BULLISH ON WEEKLY CHART **LONG**ADA/CARDANO Looks to have a comfortable position settling around the $1.30 range. With recent trends and other Bullish movements, Cardono seems to be finding support and beginning its upward momentum back up to its previous all time high.in the next few weeks. Looking at a possible $2.90 area. And a retrace back to $1.97. Remember this is a LONG entry and becoming rich and famous doesn't happen over night. This also is just my view and not financial advice. Good luck and Happy New Year!
ADA Bull Flag forming on 30 min Time Frame We're sting low at a support of 1.33 all day. Looks like ADA is slowly recovering with a possible break out to $1.40+ looking at the 30 minute time frame. Just my opinion.
Chainlink - Team Red or Team Green?Just projecting off of the previous high. Are we going for higher highs or looking at a double top and going back down ?
TSLA - stars are aligned for a sustainable reboundI guess we can say that Elon's offloading 10% of his shares was in great part responsible for TSLA's plunge of nearly 29% in the recent weeks and it doesn't help that US markets have also been correcting during this period.
There are now a confluence of technical factors on Telsa' chart that gave conviction to Telsa's rebound yesterday:
Telsa finally hit into a strong support zone around 890-900 on Monday before staging a rebound on Tuesday. I suspect the worst is over for now.
How is this a strong support zone (890-900 region)? Due to a confluence of :
1. a horizontal "ressistence" turned support at 895
2. gap close at 900
3. 50% fibonacci retracement of the BC swing up
4. 100% of the AB retracement projected onto C
Incidentally it appears that Elon is also about done offloading his 10% and the US indices also staged a rebound. With so much aligned, I guess Telsa is looking brighter again in the coming days. :)
Disclaimer: TA is about improving our odds of a successful trade (not a guarantee). This is just my own analysis and opinion for discussion and is not a trade advice. Kindly do your own due diligence and trade according to your own risk tolerance and don't forget that money management is important! Thank you. Do give me a thumbs up if you agree. Feel free to let me know what you think! :)
Chainlink not going anywhere without his brothers BTC and ETHFollowing current trends of the Godfather of All that is crypto, just reiterating one more possibility for Chainlink. Over the next few days before the holidays, this will show what happens when people step away from trading and focus in on presents, cooked ham, family and the Big dropping ball that takes us into 2022. This is just one more idea before I do the same.Good luck and Have a great time following into the New Year!!
MEGA MEGA IMPORTANT Weekly CHARTSeveral Key points of Historical Support and Resistances to be aware of
I believe we can find support around the weekly neckline of the potential future Head and Shoulders...
BUT I also believe the Market Makers enjoy pushing the envelope of "market pain" sometimes to initiate as much liquidity as they can, in order to accumulate before letting the market go back up.
Forgive my use of Heikin Ashi averaging candles, but I like to analyze the averaged perspective on the high TFs (Timeframes).
I have to simplify things with my ADHD sometimes. LOL
There is plenty of fear in this range for the paper-handed, over-leveraged margin newbs, and whales love to take advantage of that available liquidity.
In all truth, if the price falls from here, or if the H&S plays out, we can still come down as low as 37.4k and 34.8k and still recover just fine after that, according to historical price SR...
Our latest wick was close to the weekly 55 SMA (thicker blue line)
I also circled the Macro Fib areas of interest in green.
The other key thing I noticed on the Oscillators are the following:
- RSI+BB = RSI crossed the plot line turning it Red on the first HA (Heikin Ashi) Doji
- MCB-VWAP = (yellow line) started crossing below the zero line on that same candle
- These indications started around 4 and 3/4 weeks ago
- Also notice where my bear Cross indicator popped...
Even when I look at the long TFs I still sometimes lack the confidence to spot and project a watchful eye on things like this, with regard to the oscillators and their confluence with the HA candles.
Analysis is ALWAYS a never ending growing process...
Possible Price Action For BTCGiven the respect the 0.75 fib speed fan was shown on the recent drop in price to the 41k area, and the responses we are currently seeing from the 0.618 on the uptrend that started late July. I will be keeping an eye out for the 0.681 speed fibs that will cross on Christmas eve eve (23rd) and the 0.666's that will cross on New Years Day for a possible range to one of these points before the next point of major price exploration.
DERO outlookHere we can see an ascending wedge and a head and shoulders pattern.
At this moment we can also see that the price action is currently retesting the parallel channel and wedge.
All options in this charts are still valid while it still can go both ways.
If the parallel channel gets broken, close above and an impulsive move up, off course retrace lvls. are invalidated.
If we will see a move down to the retrace lvls, the projection, expansion and extension lvls. for exiting probably will need some slight adjusting.
Either way... no decisive moves as of yet.
A little explanation on the projection lvls. downwards.
A textbook head and shoulders downwards projection would be from head to neckline, now I have seen numerous variations on them, for example the same distance from head to neckline taken from the top right shoulder downwards. In some instances the length would be cut in half due to choppy price action and wicks.
1 to 3 are the more realistic buy-ins and 4 to 7 are the more highly likely lvls.!
However this will pan out, we have several options to tackle this one, so choose one or two and be covered either way ;)
Happy trading.
SHIBA INU / USD LONG VIEW PROJECTION | VOLUME IS GROWING FAST..Welcome back Traders, Investors, and Community!
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Potential Sharks However...XAUUSD Potential Outcomes....
Price is sitting in a strong daily supply zone and is breaking structure to the downside on the LTF,
However the USD is still falling giving gold strength, because of rising inflation this could push Gold higher and if gold breaks the daily demand I will be then looking for retest and buys.
Normally this would be a high probability set up for a sell but because of the situation with the USD anything can happen, as you saw the other day, so right now I'm sitting back and waiting for golds next move.
(We also have USD news today)
Whats your thoughts?
$Tel Looking like it's ready to pop!!🚀Tel is clearly operating in a symmetrical triangle on the 5 Day time frame.
One my conservative targets for $tel long-term is .43 cents.
Coincidentally that target is right in line with the fib 1.1618 level (Golden Ratio)
MACD selling pressure is starting to decreasing by pinkish histograms, which is a very good thing!
The MACD line is also crossing from below the signal line which is another sign of bullish momentum.
OBV tells me that people have been steady accumulating $tel as well.
$Tel looks like it could pop very soon,... hope you got your bags packed soon. Lift off is soon!!
$Tel is Prime to Make a Run!!! 🏃🚀💰With the recent correction, and "flash crash" **cough** timed manipulation tactic by whales that sank prices recently.
$Tel is still on pace to reach $1.
Within this new Andrews' Pitchfork Model $Tel would need to end up in that top area of blue upper channel to reach a price range of $1.50+
Which is my opinion isn't possible, but what i do think will happen is that it will breach the bottom of that blue upper channel which is $1-1.10
$Tel has been consolidating for such a long time that i think it blows past the previous ATH and doesn't look back.
The worse case scenario for $tel in this new model, is that the price action ends up in the blue lower channel
(which i believe is highly unlikely imo), and $tel is sitting around $.10-.20 by the end of this bull run. Which i think
ends in sometime in the middle of DEC based on history.
What is more than likely to happen by the middle of dec is that $Tel ends up in the median green (bottom or top), or just breach the upper blue channel.
This means $Tel by the end of this bull run could s still sit around a price range of $.60 - $1. 10
Overall, There is nothing to worry about when it comes to $Tel. It's One of the Healthiest chart's I've seen, Trust me it will perform!
$Tel is bound to make a run, and when it runs there's no looking back!
Donchian Zig-Zag -- Dynamic Support and ResistanceI have came accross this indicator called "Donchian Zig-Zag" and have paid close attention to its behaviour.
There are some strategies that I have developed with it, but I would rather not share them just yet.
I think overall, this indicator is fairly decent, and it can yield high returns when used properly.
At this current point of time, my views on this situation we have right here on the 4HR are the following:
- Price is going to reach near the Zig-Zag, and it's going to form an order block as a higher low before going to our supply zone.
- However, if price gets rejected, we have to prepare our shorting scenario, as we are only speaking of probablities. These projections are not set in stone, and none will be.
Hope you found this useful.
Take care, and DYOR!