SasanSeifi| Key Levels to Watch in the Daily Timeframe!Hey there, ✌ FX:GBPUSD In the daily timeframe, as evident from the chart, after a bullish move, the price has struggled to break above the 1.34 level and, following a period of consolidation, has faced a downward trend. Currently, the price is trading around 1.30. The overall trend suggests a bearish outlook, and it’s expected that if the price breaks below the 1.30 level and confirms this breakdown, we could see it heading towards the target of 1.29500.
After this move, the price may enter a range-bound or minor consolidation phase before dropping further to the 1.28500 area and the demand zone around 1.28.
Alternatively, another scenario is possible where if the 1.30 level holds, and we observe confirmations in lower timeframes, the price could rise towards the FVG zone between 1.30200 to 1.32700 and potentially up to 1.33. In this scenario, after a slight rally and pullback, the price might return to the 1.30 and 1.29500 levels.
It’s crucial to closely monitor the price’s reaction to these levels for better insight into future movements.
This analysis is based on personal opinion and is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. If you found this helpful, please like and comment – I’d love to hear your thoughts! Happy trading! ✌😊
Priceaction
NASDAQ INDEX (US100): More Growth is Coming Next Week
US100 nicely respected a recently broken horizontal structure resistance.
The price formed an inverted head and shoulders pattern on that and bounced.
I think that the Index will continue growing next week.
Next resistance - 20460
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DXY Mid-Long Term Bearish Still??!I'm certainly still bearish on the Dollar going into the US elections. How it will play out, I do not know but my bias is well defined until price prints otherwise.
The arrowed path is just a delineation of how I would like to see it play out, no promises there!
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GLGT!!!
LloydFx,
Trade Monastery
GBPUSD Daily Bias (18th Oct. 2024)It's been 3 consecutive weeks of the Cable printing bearish volumes and we anticipate the bears are not tired yet, at least not today.
Looking at the daily TF, we can see the bears just broke out of last week's consolidation on Wednesday and seem to be doing a pullback to clear internal liquidity from the new range it created following the breakout PA.
We've identified Wednesday's high as possible IRL (internal range liquidity) that can sponsor a further move to the downside.
We'll keep our arms folded as we await today's delivery.
GLGT!!!
LloydFx,
Trade Monastery.
Audjpy signalAfter the release of strong employment data from Australia, the AUD/JPY currency pair increased by more than 100 dollars. Considering the interest rate differential between the two countries and the lack of further rate hikes in Japan, the likelihood of the first scenario is higher. The second scenario is more likely if the market becomes risk off, leading to the rise of safe-haven currencies like the Japanese yen. In that case, we would expect to see a decline in the AUD/JPY pair down to the bottom of the triangle pattern.
Target for the first scenario (long trade): 101.425
Target for the second scenario (short trade): 99.705
2024-10-17 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well.
tl;dr
Indexes - Bullish spikes on all of them but markets closed mixed. All closed with a big tail above and we are where we closed yesterday. Near but still above the daily 20ema, near bull trend lines but also with bulls not strong enough to get a big breakout above with follow through. Most of the current patterns are in their last stages and the breakout will happen over the next days. I am neutral for now and scalp in both directions.
dax futures
comment: Big spike to new ath but also big rejection. Market is contracting inside the clear bull wedge. I doubt we get the breakout tomorrow but it could happen but next week for sure. Where will this break out to? Right now I favor another leg down to 19500ish more than a breakout above. On the daily chart it’s bullish and nothing else. I still do have my 20000 target.
current market cycle: bull trend
key levels: 19500 - 20000
bull case: Bulls touched 19800 and got rejected, no surprise there. Only question is how fast do will they retest that price. It’s possible that we need to sell some more to find new buyers but I do think bulls have a better chance of the blow off top if they stay above 19600. Since we are oscillating around 19700, I can’t be anything but neutral for now.
Invalidation is below 19500.
bear case: Bears need a daily close below 19500 to break outside the bull wedge inside the bigger bull channel on the daily chart. Volume is increasing which is better for the bears than the bulls but they can’t print one decent daily bear bar and until that changes, you simply can not be a bear here.
Invalidation is above 19820.
short term: Neutral. Bullish above 19820 and bearish below 19500.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-10-06: 3 Months left in 2024 and I do think the market is in a trading range where the upper area is around 19500 and the lower area is probably 17000 or 16000 if something bigger comes up. Since we are at the very top, I expect the market to go some sideways before trying to go down again. Not so sure about 19491 being the high, since liquidity could see a bigger increase and upside could be higher. We will likely have another 10%+ correction this year and a possible year end rally.
Update 2024-10-13: Possibility of a blow-off top to 20000 is there. If we get there, it will be the short opportunity of the decade.
current swing trade: None
trade of the day: S elling 19800 or buying the opening breakout above 19640, which was good for 160 points.
2024-10-17 - priceactiontds - daily update - nasdaqGood Evening and I hope you are well.
tl;dr
Indexes - Bullish spikes on all of them but markets closed mixed. All closed with a big tail above and we are where we closed yesterday. Near but still above the daily 20ema, near bull trend lines but also with bulls not strong enough to get a big breakout above with follow through. Most of the current patterns are in their last stages and the breakout will happen over the next days. I am neutral for now and scalp in both directions.
nasdaq e-mini futures
comment: Fugly chart and yes. Nested bull wedges on the daily chart and on the 1h we have a triangle and a broad bear channel since we are making lower lows and lower highs. Which one to trade? Yeah… 20400 is kinda the midpoint of this and unless bulls get a big breakout above 20700 or bears below 20200, it’s best to fade bigger moves or join momentum. If earnings are good, this will melt again but for now I do think the market should have traded higher by now, if bulls would have wanted this bad.
current market cycle: Bull trend (nested bull wedges)
key levels: 20000 - 21000
bull case: Bulls grinding this higher but they also have only 1 daily bar closing above 20500 for 3 months. Will they give up or strongly break above on good earnings? I would not bet on the latter. Clear bull wedge on the daily chart and we are trading near the lower trend line and daily 20ema. Support should be very strong here and we can probably expect more sideways movement for 1-3 days.
Invalidation is below 20160.
bear case: Bears reject everything above 20500 but they are not able to get follow through selling. No bear wants to sell near the daily 20ema and until we close below it with a strong bear bar, I highly doubt we move much. Given the 3 months inside this bull wedge, I do favor the bears slightly to break below but just very slightly. Can you short this now? Absolutely not.
Invalidation is above 20700.
short term: Neutral
medium-long term: Very likely a retest of the ath before I expect a correction 10% or more, before another year end rally. Embrace the volatility.
current swing trade: Nope
trade of the day: Selling 20500 continues to be profitable… Selling the open was a banger trade. Bears also got a second and even third chance.
Gold Nears $2,700 on Election UncertaintyThe price of gold continues its bullish run, nearing $2,700 per ounce due to uncertainty surrounding the U.S. elections, despite the strength of the dollar and rising Treasury yields. Political uncertainty is increasing demand for the precious metal, considered a safe haven, as polls show a tight race. Additionally, the recent decision by the ECB to cut interest rates temporarily strengthened the dollar, but this has not prevented gold from maintaining its positive momentum. Better-than-expected economic data in the U.S., such as increased retail sales and the Philadelphia Manufacturing Index, also supported the dollar, but these factors were not enough to reverse gold’s trend. From a technical standpoint, moving averages, particularly the 20-day SMA around $2,649.50, continue to provide support to the bullish trend, while the 100-day and 200-day SMAs remain far below, confirming persistent buyer interest. Technical indicators suggest further upside, though minor short-term corrections may occur, potentially offering new buying opportunities.
Apple at a Crossroad – Surfing to 238 or Wiping Out to 226?Alright, trading family, AAPL is catching some chop, and it’s make-or-break time. If we dip, we could slide to 229.25 or even 226.90 before the bulls try paddling back. But if buyers show up, we might ride the wave to 234.79—and if we break through there, 238.56 is the next stop.
Key Levels:
Support: 229.25 – If this breaks, 226.90 could be the next target.
Bounce Zone: 2 34.79 – Bulls need to reclaim this for more upside.
Breakout Level: 238.56 – Pushing above this opens the door for higher moves.
It’s one of those moments—either we ride the wave higher, or we get dragged under and wait for the next set. Keep your eyes peeled; this one’s gonna get interesting.
What do you think—are we riding this one up or taking a dip first? Drop your thoughts, follow, and share if this chart got you prepped for the next move.
Mindbloome trader
ETH at a Crossroads – Will We Pump to 2,915 or Slip Below 2,480?Alright, folks, Ethereum is sitting on the edge. If the bulls make a move, we could ride the wave toward 2,915 resistance. But if momentum fades, it’s a quick slide down to 2,480. This is where things could get interesting—either we break out or catch a pullback.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 2,915 – Clear this, and we might see some serious upside action.
Support: 2,683 – Bulls need to hold strong here to avoid trouble.
Downside Zone: 2,480 – If we lose steam, this could be our landing zone.
It’s one of those “stay sharp” moments—do we get a breakout, or are we in for some chop? Let me know your take—do we pump higher or dip for a reset? Drop your thoughts, follow, and share if this breakdown helped you prep for the move.
Mindbloome Trader
TESLA – Slippery Slope to 208 or a Drop All the Way to 191?Alright, traders, here’s the lowdown on Tesla (TSLA). Things are looking a bit dicey as the price slips through key zones. If the bulls don’t step in soon, we could see TSLA sliding down to the 208-207 range (black box). But if that level doesn't hold, we’re in for a deeper pull toward the 191-188 zone (orange box).
Key Levels to Watch:
Current Price: 218
First Support: 208-207 (black box) – Bulls need to show up here, or it’s more downside.
Deeper Target: 191-188 (orange box) – If sellers keep control, this could be the next landing zone.
The sellers seem to have the upper hand for now, but a bounce from 208 could shift things in the bulls' favor. Keep an eye on lower time frames to catch any early signs of a reversal.
If this analysis helped you, drop your thoughts in the comments—do we hold 208, or are we heading for 191? Follow, share, and spread the word if you found this valuable. Stay tuned for more updates.
Mindbloome Trader
NVDA – Ride to 146 or Wipeout at 137?Alright, folks, here’s the deal. NVDA is balancing on the edge—either we ride the wave up to 145-146, or the market drags us back to 137-138 for a reset. This is that make-or-break moment where bulls need to paddle hard or risk missing the set.
Key Levels:
Support: 137-138 (black box) – Lose this, and it’s back to the lineup.
Target: 145-146 (orange zone) – Bulls need to hit this to stay in control.
It’s all about how price moves in these channels—either we push higher, or we take a quick dip before the next chance comes.
What do you think—are we riding this wave or catching some chop? Let me know below.
MB Trader
Ride the wave
How to Identify and Trade Flag Patterns EffectivelyThe flag pattern is one of the most effective trading setups in the crypto market, known for its reliability and high probability of continuation in trending markets. Here’s a detailed overview of what a flag pattern is, how to identify it, and why it works so well in crypto trading.
What is a Flag Pattern?
A flag pattern appears as a brief consolidation following a strong price movement, resembling a rectangular shape. There are two main types of flag patterns: bull flags and bear flags.
Bull Flag: This pattern typically forms after a strong upward price movement (the flagpole), followed by a slight pullback or consolidation (the flag) before the price continues its upward trend. The flag usually slopes downward or moves sideways.
Example of Bullish Flag Pattern.
Bear Flag: Conversely, a bear flag occurs after a significant downward movement, followed by a consolidation that trends slightly upward, indicating a continuation of the downward trend once the price breaks down through the flag.
Example of Bearish Flag Pattern.
Identifying Flag Patterns
To identify a flag pattern, traders look for:
🏳️ Flagpole: This is the initial sharp price movement.
🏳️ Flag Formation: This should be a consolidation phase that lasts from 2-3 candles up to more than ten, depending on the timeframe.
🏳️ Volume Analysis: Ideally, the volume should be higher during the flagpole and lower during the flag consolidation. An increase in volume upon breakout is a strong confirmation of the continuation.
Here is the example chart for identifying the flag pattern:
Trading the Flag Pattern
To trade a flag pattern effectively, follow these steps:
📈 Entry: For a bull flag, consider entering the trade once the price breaks above the upper boundary of the flag. For a bear flag, enter on a break below the lower boundary.
📈 Stop Loss: Place your stop loss just below the flag (for bull flags) or above the flag (for bear flags).
📈 Profit Target: A common target is to measure the height of the flagpole and project that distance from the breakout point.
Example chart showing how to place a trade using the flag pattern:
Why It Works in Crypto Markets
The flag pattern is particularly effective in the crypto market for several reasons:
📊Volatility: Cryptocurrencies are highly volatile, which can create strong price movements leading to clear flag formations.
📈 Trend Continuation: Flags often appear in trending markets, where there’s a significant amount of bullish or bearish momentum.
🧠 Psychological Factors: Traders recognize these patterns, leading to increased buying or selling pressure at breakout points.
Example of Bullish and Bearish Flag Pattern:
Bullish Flag:
Bearish Flag:
Flag patterns are highly effective in crypto trading, offering clear signals for trend continuation. They are especially useful in volatile markets, providing reliable entry and exit points. By identifying strong momentum during the breakout and combining it with volume analysis, traders can use flag patterns to make well-informed, high-probability trades.
2024-10-16 - priceactiontds - daily update - goldGood Evening and I hope you are well.
tl;dr
Gold - Bulls got the breakout above and got rejected at 2700 again. I think we will spend a bit more time at the highs until bulls give up or we find more buyers willing to buy above 2700. Right now I still favor the bulls for continuation but only willing to buy on strong momentum.
comment : Retest 2700 is done, now what? We have a proper channel, so trade it. 2690 right now is not a good spot. Wait for a closer price to the lower trend line or look for shorts near 2700, if bulls show weakness again. New highs inside the channel are getting sold, so you should not buy into strength but rather on pullbacks.
current market cycle: bull trend (also trading range on the daily chart - 2619 - 2710)
key levels: 2670 - 2710
bull case: Bulls will likely retest 2700 tomorrow. Can they get another big breakout above it? I think so but right now it does not look like it. I expect more sideways until the bull trend line on the daily chart is closer. Bulls still in full control and I would not look for shorts on this.
Invalidation is below 2670.
bear case: Bears selling new highs but thats about it. Market is grinding higher again and we are near the ath. Nothing bearish about this. Bears can start a case if they close below 2670 again.
Invalidation is above 2720.
short term: neutral - I would not buy 2700 in hope of 2710 but rather buy decent pullbacks inside the current channel.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-09-22: Very strong breakout above, again. Market currently has no ceiling. Most likely 2700 next and I do think 3000 could be a potential target if we continue. There is certainly an argument for a measured move based on the bull rally from 2018-08 to 2020-08.
current swing trade: None
trade of the day: Selling 2700.
2024-10-16 - priceactiontds - daily update - sp500Good Evening and I hope you are well.
tl;dr
Indexes - Bears hoped for a second leg down and build decent selling pressure but bulls bought the dip. Nothing unexpected and we likely continue sideways at the highs until bears give up again or more bulls get exhausted and want to secure profits. Technically I expect another leg down but we could retest the highs first. Don’t overstay your welcome in positions.
comment: 5850 was the low yesterday and bears could not break below. Weak bears gave up and we closed around the 50% pullback from Tuesday’s selling. Where does this leave us? Nowhere. 5890ish is the worst place to trade now because it’s the exact mid point of this trading range. Wait for strong momentum or until we reach one of the extremes again. These bullish earnings should have taken the market higher by now if you ask me. So there is a decent chance we are forming a credible top. 5850 - 5920 is the current range and until we see the MAG7 earnings, it probably won’t break out of it.
current market cycle: bull trend (bull wedge)
key levels: 5850 - 5920
bull case: Bulls bought the dip, no surprise there. They want 5900+ next and they will probably continue to buy 5850. No more magic to this. Since it was a bullish close, bulls are very slightly favored higher tomorrow but I would not buy 5886 right now.
Invalidation is below 5850.
bear case: Bears tried and failed. They have to make the market more neutral and trade sideways until more bulls want out of their position. BTFD is still strong. Anything above 5850 is bullish and bears have to scalp. Earnings will probably set the next impulse to either side.
Invalidation is above 5920.
short term: Neutral inside given range.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-10-13: Very rough guess for the remaining trading weeks in 2024. Spike up, decent correction (~10%), nasty (blow off top) year end rally if earnings hold in Q4. Don’t trade based on that guess.
current swing trade: Nope
trade of the day: Long the double bottom with yesterday’s low. Very obvious trade that worked greatly.
TSLA - Get Ready To Long Again...Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈TSLA has been trading within a big symmetrical triangle marked in blue.
Moreover, it is retesting a strong support zone around $200 round number marked in green.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the green support and lower blue trendline.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #TSLA approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
GOLD OUTLOOKIn this analysis we are focusing on 2H time frame for gold. I'm looking for a potential sell today.
Let's see what happens where market price goes and which opportunity market will give us.
Always use stoploss for your trade.
Always use proper money management and risk to reward ratio.
#XAUUSD 2H Technical Analyze Expected Move.
Tesla at a Crossroads: Breakout to $271 or Breakdown to $191Good morning, Trading Family!
Tesla’s price is idling in neutral, stuck between a potential breakout to $271 or a breakdown to $191. It’s like watching Elon flip a coin—will it blast off like a SpaceX rocket, or will the bears run out of juice and send it rolling downhill?
This kind of consolidation feels like the calm before the storm. Traders, keep your seatbelts fastened—whether it’s full throttle to the upside or a hard brake toward lower levels, this chart promises some action ahead.
Stay patient and focused. Trade what you see, not what you hope for.
– Mindbloome Trader