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Daytrade Plan for XAUUSDFollowing the previous XAUUSD post, the price pattern has completed the descending triangle formation and is reaching to the recommended TP2 zone, where traders should definitely start to take profits. The reason why we should start scaling out of sell/short positions here is because there are a cluster from multiple indications on this demand zone at 1900 area including: 1) POC from fixed range volume profile of the previous swing low-swing high 2) 161.8 target from fibonacci after the consolidation of descending triangle formation 3) EMA-200 day period Evidently, this demand zone is considered strong based on the cluster of 3 technical indications There will likely be a technical rebound near this area, where we can trade against the trend for a very short trade. However, it would not be wise to place a trade right away. The price actions should begin to form a range of consolidation and show a lower high first in 15m timeframe before placing a trade. SL: at the lowest point in 15m timeframe TP: at two cayenne lines are acting as minor resistances and should then be the TPs for this short trade plan: 1910, 1917 respectively. Again, this short trade plan is trading against trend which can be very risky. Therefore, do not forget to put a stoploss and place in proper risk management on your positions as always
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ChartTrail
Potential BTC Short Between around 30.3k and 30.8k are some fresh resistance levels that are yet to be hit. If price comes into this box with the criteria frp, listed I will take a short risking 1%-2% of my entire account. *1hr money flow (Red/green oscillator waves) coming down and crossing the 0 line *1hr momentum creating a divergence (Blue oscillator waves) *1hr vwap (Yellow line on oscillator) curving down to ward the 0 line. *12min and down momentum divergence *12min and down moneyflow coming down Tp 1 - Value area high at 28870 Tp 2 - point of control at 28000 Tp 3 - Value area low at 26900 Leave the rest to ride
Short
by scottmcscran
SPY's Triangle Reflects the Chop, but Battle Lines ConvergePrimary Chart : 195m chart of major US index, the S&P 500 represented by the SPDR® S&P 500® ETF Trust, with symmetrical triangle pattern and anchored VWAPs SquishTrade has posted fewer analyses lately as markets have been quite uncertain and choppy. When there is less certainty in the analysis, there should be less to say. And prudence dictates avoiding confusion by creating analyses and forecasts when trends are unclear and markets remain choppy. This post will not present a directional view given the high level of choppiness and uncertainty. Instead, it will show where the battle lines, so to speak, are drawn. The market may deign to inform us where the next trend move will be when key levels begin to break. And sometimes, markets will not inform us until after a few false moves—in other words, lies come before the truth perhaps. Indeed, this market has been difficult to trust even for directional moves under one or two days' time. First, the smaller triangle within the larger triangle will likely break even if a false break comes before the real one. This may coincide with price breaking to the other side of key anchored VWAPs shown as well. This may signal whether the upper or lower trendline of the larger symmetrical triangle will be tagged next. But until the upper or lower trendlines of the triangle are broken decisively, i.e., not a false break, the trend may remain unclear. Rate volatility has perhaps exacerbated the uncertainty in equity markets to an even greater degree as rates on the shorter end of the curve have whipsawed dramatically, e.g., 2-year note and yield both whipsawing along with Fed Funds rate futures and other interest-rate products and instruments like the Eurodollar futures. Here are the key points to watch in the coming weeks: The longer-term symmetrical-triangle pattern shown on the Primary Chart The smaller triangle within the larger symmetrical triangle, shown on Supplementary Chart A below Supplementary Chart A The key anchored VWAPs, Supplementary Chart B, that are converging and compressing similar to the very nature of the larger triangle's own converging trendlines, though VWAPs are more fluid and curvy Supplementary Chart B The POC on a daily chart has remained around 395-396 for quite some time (not shown), and this remains a key pivot for SPY The POC on a weekly chart has remained around 393.70-394.90 for quite some time (not shown), reinforcing the key pivot on the daily at 395 Several Anchored VWAPs and Fibonacci levels all coalesce around 390 (ranging from 389-392); a key gamma level on PSY also lies here. ________________________________________ Author's Comment: Thank you for reviewing this post and considering its charts and analysis. The author welcomes comments, discussion and debate (respectfully presented) in the comment section. Shared charts are especially helpful to support any opposing or alternative view. This article is intended to present an unbiased, technical view of the security or tradable risk asset discussed. Please note further that this technical-analysis viewpoint is short-term in nature. This is not a trade recommendation but a technical-analysis overview and commentary with levels to watch for the near term. This technical-analysis viewpoint could change at a moment's notice should price move beyond a level of invalidation. Further, proper risk-management techniques are vital to trading success. And countertrend or mean-reversion trading, e.g., trading a rally in a bear market, is lower probability and is tricky and challenging even for the most experienced traders. DISCLAIMER: This post contains commentary published solely for educational and informational purposes. This post's content (and any content available through links in this post) and its views do not constitute financial advice or an investment or trading recommendation, and they do not account for readers' personal financial circumstances, or their investing or trading objectives, time frame, and risk tolerance. Readers should perform their own due diligence, and consult a qualified financial adviser or other investment / financial professional before entering any trade, investment or other transaction. Thank you for reading. If this post added clarity or prompted additional thoughts on the technicals of SPY, please comment below!
AMEX:SPY
by SquishTrade
10
GOSS Penny Biotechology SHORTGOSS is a biotechnology penny stock without earnings valued based on future earnings potential based on a "pipeline" which is subject to a long timeline of FDA regulation. On the 30 minute chart. price is shown as being in the overvalued area in the upper VWAP band and well above the POC line of the long-range volume profile. The RSI indicator is now showing a bearish divergence as the relative strength is weakening. Price has bounced down from the resistance of the line representing two standard deviations above VWAP. The supply / demand zones are indicated by the Indicator applied which is authored by Luxalgo. Price has hit the supply zone lower border and is now in an early reversal. I see this as a swing short trade also played with taking put options. Stop loss is in the upper area of the red supply zone. Targets include first the POC line of the volume profile and then a final target at one STD below VWAP also being just above the demand zone. Alternatively put options at the strike of $ 1.50 for the May monthly expiration of 5/18 This trade will benefit from any expected pullback in the general markets.
NASDAQ:GOSSShort
by AwesomeAvani
LABD 3X BEAR BIOTECH LONG DAYTRADEAs shown on the 15-minute chart, LABD is bouncing between stardard deviations of the VWAP in a 6% price range fluctuation day to day. At the upper end it is reversing at the POC of the volume profile confluent with one standard deviation above VWAP while at the bottom it is bouncing from the bottom of the lower high volume area of the profile and two standard deviations below VWAP. I see this as an opportunity for a 6% upside long day trade especially if the general market is uptrending after the weekend. Alternatively, a 5 DTE call option with a strike of $ 15.50 or $16.00 looking for a 30-40% return on the premium over the upcoming week. ( The zero lag MACD confirms the buy signal.)
AMEX:LABDLong
by AwesomeAvani
Bitcoin - Upcoming rejection from the 2021 Yearly POC?(The Volume Profiles Yearly POC is an important level for Bitcoin trading that you should look into .) Bitcoin made a nice upwards move after successfully retesting the Yearly POC from 2022. Our indicators are not heavily overbought yet so there's still room for some more upwards price action . If Bitcoin manages to take out the high at 32.5k this would trigger a lot of stop losses , which is why I think there's a high probability that we're going to see BTC take out this level. After this high a possible price point where Bitcoin then might get rejected is the 2021 Yearly POC . Make sure to do your own research, this is no trading advice. Forecasts and forward-looking statements always involve risks and uncertainties.
Short
by WhaleCrew
US 500 LongIf this is an Inverse Head and Shoulders chart pattern, 4200 is the target. What we need to see is the price get above the recent POC. Blood is in the streets. The Fed needs to get some new expectations out and deliver some news that comforts the market. Or this is their way of creating financial turmoil that gets job losses that crushes the demand. You choose your narrative. Or, maybe the news is designed to shake everyone's confidence so that the actual money men of this world can buy at a discount.
ULong
by Macrobriefing
Bitcoin - All levels on the weekly chart (must know!) You can use these levels for your trades, because I am pretty sure we will see a reaction on all of them! These levels will be respected even on the 1-minute chart, so do not underestimate them! If one of these levels is destroyed, it's likely that the price will move to the next level specified on the chart. On the bullish side of the chart, we have a strong level that will be tested very soon. It's the POC of the previous market structure and a strong horizontal level at 29765. Above this level, there is an unfilled GAP between 37836 and 32399. This is the only major unfilled GAP on the Binance chart. These types of gaps are called fair value GAPS. 0.618 LOG SCALE FIB (38981) is definitely the strongest resistance out there. Also, we have a POC of the previous structure exactly at the same level. If the price gets to this level, we will experience a massive, brutal crash. Make sure you get informed when we reach this level, so follow me to stay updated! 0.618 LINEAR SCALE FIB (48553) is at confluence with the previous swing high. It's definitely a strong resistance as well, but if the bulls destroy this level, then it opens the gate to a new all-time high (69000), which is the last resistance! On the bearish side of the chart, there is only 1 strong level at this point, and it's the previous swing low at 15476. I think we will reach this level sometimes later this year or next year! 2 unfilled GAPs below the current price are also strong supports. They are between 22602 - 26508 and 17176 - 19549. I am telling you that these gaps are extremely massive, and the chances of filling them are soooooo high, sooner or later. If the bulls fail to hold the 15476 level, we will go to 10k! It's a possible scenario, and it could happen, and the chances are not low at all. Otherwise, this is a bearish Elliott Wave count, which is still my main count. Of course, I also have a bullish count, but I will switch to it after we reach levels above 43k. This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I post trade setups privately. Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
by UnknownUnicorn2537518
60
DGBUSD: Inverted Head and Shoulders Above POCDigibyte on many charts is breaking out of a falling wedge while showing us a 3 Line Strike on the monthly and on these charts the macro move you'd expect would take s between 12 and 20 cents, with that in mind i now look on the more liquid Bybit Chart and can see that 12 cents would be the 1.618 Extension and that it is currently trading above the POC after forming an Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern. If we breakout i would target the 0.886, then i would target the 1.618 for profit taking.
Long
by RizeSenpai
AUDUSD: Bearish signal below 0.6680AUDUSD pair successfully broke below the wedge pattern as I mentioned in the previous analysis. However, it seems that more liquidity is needed to support the downward movement. It's likely that the price will undergo a corrective movement towards the level of 0.6680, which is a very important level where the broken trendline, Fibonacci level 23.60, and the moving averages 50 and 100 on the 4-hour timeframe converge. Additionally, the point of control (POC) is also located at that level, as shown on the volume profile indicator. Any sign of reversal from this level will be considered a bearish signal towards 0.65970. ------------------------------------------------------------------------- Let me know your thoughts in the comments, and show your support by liking the idea. Please follow if you're interested in more ideas like this. Your support is greatly appreciated!
Short
by Candlestick_OB
1
Showcase of the Power of Market Profile AnalysisMarket Profile analysis is a powerful tool for traders and investors alike to analyze price movements in financial markets. The method is based on the concept that price moves in a predictable way, forming patterns that can be observed and analyzed. The Market Profile chart is a visual representation (not shown here) of market activity, displaying the distribution of price over time. The chart is divided into horizontal sections, each representing a price level. The length of the bar indicates the duration of time during which trades occurred at that price level. The Market Profile chart can be used to identify areas of price support and resistance, as well as areas of high and low volume. The three key components of the Market Profile chart are the Point of Control (POC), the Value Area, and the Single Prints. The Point of Control (POC) is the price level at which the highest volume of trades occurred during the period under analysis. It represents the most actively traded price level during that time frame, and is often seen as a key support or resistance level. The Value Area is the range of price levels that contain a specified percentage of the total trading volume during the period under analysis. The Value Area can be used to identify areas of price support and resistance, as well as potential trading opportunities. Single Prints are price levels where trading activity occurred but did not overlap with any other price levels during the period under analysis. These are areas where price discovery occurred, and can be used to identify areas of potential price support or resistance. By analyzing the Market Profile chart, traders can gain a deeper understanding of market dynamics and make more informed trading decisions. The chart can be used to identify areas of price support and resistance, as well as potential trading opportunities based on the volume and duration of trading activity at specific price levels. Between end of Dec 2022 and end of Jan 2023, the price of the S&P 500 index (SPX) showed major reactions to the price levels drawn by using Market Profile analysis that was done in Oct 2022 . This is a prime example of the power of this trading method. By identifying key levels of support and resistance, traders were able to make more informed trading decisions and take advantage of market opportunities. In conclusion, Market Profile analysis is a powerful tool for traders and investors who want to gain a deeper understanding of market dynamics and make more informed trading decisions. By analyzing the distribution of price and volume over time, traders can identify key levels of support and resistance, and take advantage of market opportunities. The example of the S&P 500 index (SPX) in October of last year showcases the power of this trading method, and demonstrates how it can be used to make profitable trades in a dynamic and ever-changing market.
OANDA:SPX500USDEducation
by PtGambler
$ABEV: Bullish Gartley Visible on Higher TimeframesAmbev after bouncing from the PCZ of a Bullish Gartley has held and consolidated marginally above the PCZ and while doing so has shown signs that it could continue up higher from here without a secondary retest of the 0.786 as it has Recently Broken out of a Bullish Dragon and Bounced from a smaller Bullish Shark on the Daily as well as holding the POC of the overall Harmonic Range. It has also Bullishly Broken out of a Bull Flag pattern on its ARS pairing. It could always still come back for a secondary test of the 786 retrace anyway, but due to the reasons above; I think there is a high probability that ABEV will not be going any lower than it has over the last few months and that much higher prices are in play.
NYSE:ABEVLong
by RizeSenpai
3
ETHUSDT POC| .618 Fibonacci| Price Action| Trend Today’s analysis – ETHUSDT – trading at a very pivot where a bullish expansion is probable, Points to consider, - Price Action Corrective - POC Support - .618 Fibonacci Pocket Support - Daily S/R Support ETHUSDT’s immediate price action is trading at a key support region that is in confluence with the .618 Fibonacci, POC, and the Daily S/R – allowing for a bullish bias. The immediate objective is the Monthly S/R, exceeding this region will lead to a trend continuation Overall, in my opinion, ETHUSDT is a valid long with defined risk; price action is to be used upon discretion/ management. Hope this analysis helps, Thank you for following my work And remember, A given skill is mastered only when consistently performed under intense pressure. If this isn’t the case, keep working on this skill until it’s proven to consistently show up under pressure. – The Mental Game of Poker
Long
by AzizKhanZamani
1
BTCUSD Pullback to Neckline Accomplished. 50% drawdown expectedSigns of reversal, market structure choppy. Flat correction in consecutive double three zig-zags on the upper boundary of a macro diagonal after an complete impulsive wave; lower highs with decrease of volume, showing lack of confidence by the buyers-side, as shown on Weis Wave Volume indicator; overbought condition. Harmonic patterns: potential bearish Crab leading to supply. If price action don't reach this area breaking volume POC, a least a back-test to VWAP from the higher high can be occur, leading by an 3-Drives pattern. High possibility of a POC back-test @ preferencial 14,6% Fibonacci retracement zone. Plus AB=CD bearish projection leading to the micro demand zone. Strong hidden bearigh divergence on CCI oscillator. Short position swing perspective: if price broke weekly pivot level @ 21009 with strength, possible intermediary target @ 18229 support. The price can retrace to the pivot. MACRO Weekly price action: the price made a strong bearish candlestick pattern Harami Cross. The price is trading in a broadening structure like a ending diagonal formation. Weekly scenario: price pulled back to neckline from the major Head and Shoulders back-testing the VWAP from ATH. In a potential fractal from the 1st test of this VWAP, in which the same Harami Cross performed in an overbought condition, showing that a strong supply was reached. In addiction to the fractals, I've selected the local choppy structure and calculated the pivots by the sum of high+low+close:3, resulting in a key level exposed, in which price retraces before continue the decline in an impulsive bearish leg-Down. Expectation: possible lower low if a throw-over occurs in a breaking of the expanding diagonal structure. this can be lead price to touch the same 88,6% Fibonacci level as occurred historically in all corrections. Therefore, a drawndown of 50% to the 11k level seems strongly possible, --------------------- Bitcoin is about to complete it's first Wave 1 Grand Super Cycle bull run, in which actual point seems to be forming a ending diagonal of 5th impulse wave.
Short
by firmestudio
7
DOTUSDT Range VAL| .618 Fib| Psfp| Price Action Evening Traders, Today’s analysis – DOTUSDT- rejection of from a key level and is now rotating towards the lows, Points to consider, - Price action impulsive - POC S/R Support - .618 Fiboancci Support - Range VAL Support DOTUSDT’s immediate price action is trading towards an area that has technical confluence with the .618 Fiboancci, VAL and the POC region, this allows for a bullish bias. Holding support at the technical level will allow for a bounce back towards the range high, Overall, in my opinion, DOTUSDT is a valid long with defines risk, price action is to be used upon discretion/ management. Hope this analysis helps Thank you for following my work And remember, “Hope is bogus emotion that only costs you money.” – Jim Cramer
Long
by AzizKhanZamani
3
EURUSD POC/ Daily S/R| .618 Fibonacci| Price Action Evening Traders, Today’s Forex Analysis – EURUSD – trading directly at its VAH where a rejection is plausible, Points to consider, - Price action impulsive - POC S/R Support - Daily S/R Support - .618 Fibonacci Confluence - Psfp Confluence EURUSD’s immediate price action is rejection from its VAH, increasing the probability of a pull back into support confluence of the POC, Daily S/R, .618 Fibonacci and Psfp – allowing for a bullish bias. The immediate objective is the Daily S/R, exceeding this level will lead to a trend continuation and an establishment of a higher low. Overall, in my opinion, EURUSD is a valid long with defined risk, price action is to be used upon discretion/ management. Hope this analysis helps! Thank you for following my work And remember, “Sometimes the best trade is no trade.” – Anonymous
Long
by AzizKhanZamani
2
Flawed concepts: the way they sell volume & market profilesImagine daily profiles put on each day on the chart, and let the words in purple provoke some fruitful doubts in your mind. The presented and advertised way of using volume & market profiles is essentially a way of approximating the real levels. This way is very bad. 1) The most fundamental and very obvious flaw is that it disregards the sequence of events. You can take a chart, reshuffle bars in order, or lol, just invert it horizontally. and you'll end up with different charts that have the same profile. All good bro? It's time series lol, sequence does matter. That's why you can't use profiles and non-weighted stats unless you have a very specific goal; 2) 70% rule, normal distributions & standard deviations have nothing to do with aggregated tick data. As a process, it can all can be modeled as a morphing distribution, a constant fight between normal and uniform distributions, the double auction dynamic distribution. But yeah, ofc course you can't read it in a book, gotta think for yourself a lil aye? In normal distribution 70% make sense, in the uniform one it makes sense to consider 100% (the whole distribution) as the area of interest. So overall it's somewhere in between 70 and 100. Also, confirmed with my R&D, bots give the best performance when a price channel includes 80-90% of data (mostly 80), best metrics converge around this number; The real way to use profiles is when you consciously need to disregard an order of events within a certain period and have some kind of summary of it. It's applicable when a certain period has some distinguishable significance: when levels are formed, positioned and cleared. There, you are not really interested in order of things within these events, rather in summaries of these events, there you're doing the right thing. Otherwise, POCs of 'every' period doesn't have equal significance. Summarizing volumes within a week/day/months etc, making a profile & taking 70% so you gonna get VAHs and VALs of it won't magically calculate you the real levels, only approximate em, but 4 real there are better and less computationally intensive ways of doing it, just get a box plot with 10th and 90th percentiles. This video might be really mind opening for you, I really respect it & its creator. If you wanna know how to find levels 4 real, check the linked ideas & use it with pleasure.
NYMEX:CL1!Education
by gorx1