EURJPY 4hour Analysis August 2nd, 2020EURJPY Short Idea
Overall we have been very bullish on this pair and are looking to continue with this trend.
We recently saw a bullish break of a symmetrical triangle and are expecting a pullback.
Look for long opportunities around the yellow zone between the 61.8% fib level and recent broken structure. (The blue trade path)
For us to consider short opportunities we want to see a break of higher timeframe structure around 122.750 with a confirmed lower high.
Patternanalysis
USDJPY 4Hour Analysis August 2nd, 2020USDJPY Short Idea
Overall we are looking very bearish on this pair. We recently saw a pullback after a large bearish push. Price action is resting at our 61.8% fib level and monthly resistance zone around 106.000
From here we are looking for short opportunities and will enter on lower timeframes setups confirming another bearish push. (The blue trade path)
For us to consider long opportunities we want to see a break of our monthly resistance zone around 106.000 followed by a confirmed higher low. (The orange trade path)
AUDUSD 4hour Analysis August 2nd, 2020AUDUSD Long idea
We are looking for long positions only on this pair as all significant timeframes are very bullish and we recently saw a break of our major resistance/monthly zone at 0.70800
Price action is pulling back on this 4hour timeframe so we will watch for higher lowers and strong bullish setups to confirm another push higher. (The blue trade path)
For us to consider short opportunities we need to see a break below our monthly zone with a retest and confirmed higher lower. (The orange trade path)
EURJPY Daily Analysis July 26th, 2020EURJPY Short Idea
Higher timeframe analysis suggests an overall bearish trend but the 4hour has been extremely bullish since mid May.
Looking at the 4hour we can see that we will only be looking for long opportunities until we see a serious transition take place.
Two potential scenarios for price action:
1.Price action retraces, confirms a higher low and presents strong bullish setups. Look to target higher toward key resistance. (The blue trade path)
2. Price action pushes lower and breaks our 121.250 zone. Look to enter for short opportunities when a lower higher is confirmed. (The orange trade path)
USDJPY 4Hour Analysis July 26th, 2020USDJPY Short Idea
This pair is looking bearish on higher time frames but also is significantly bearish on this 4hour timeframe.
Looking for opportunities with this bearish trend we will have to wait for the right entry. Ideally we would like to see a retracement to a key fib level followed by bearish setups. This would confirm structure & a lowerhigh. Target lower toward significant support (The blue trade path)
If price action does push higher we would need to see a break of at least the 106.700 zone and a confirmed higher lower before considering long opportunities. (The orange trade path)
DXY (USD Index) Daily Analysis July 26th, 2020 DXY Short Idea
The USD has been extremely bearish on the daily timeframe and bearish price action is not showing signs of slowing down.
Currently we are at the 95.00 zone and have to wait for price action to break or bounce from this level.
We have two potential scenarios:
1.Price action continues with bearish momentum breaks 95.00 and retraces. Look to target lower on bearish setups confirming a lower high (The blue trade path) *Most likely scenario*
2.Price action bounces at 95.00 and either consolidates or changes trend. In order to consider long positions we need to be well above 96.50 and in a strong 4hour/daily bullish trend.
USDJPY 4Hour Analysis July 12th, 2020USDJPY Short Idea
All higher time frames are significantly bearish and we are looking to enter on a bearish continuation.
We can also see that price action on the daily timeframe has been ranging between 109.250 & 106.000 and the most ideal trade would be a breakout of this range.
Within this range we can also look for lower timeframe trade opportunities.
1.Looking for a confirmed retest of the 61.8% fib level. Enter on strong bearish setups and target lower toward 106.000 (The blue trade path)
2.We see a break and retest of 107.700 followed by strong bullish setups. Look to target toward major resistance near 109.250 (The orange trade path)
AUDUSD 4hour Analysis July 12th, 2020AUDUSD Long idea
Higher timeframes are bearish while the daily & 4hour are bullish
Currently we are looking for a bounce off support at 0.69650 and will look to enter on strong bullish setups confirming the bounce. Look to target high toward 0.70800
In the scenario where price action fails to push higher, look for a break and retest of 0.68500 before considering major bearish opportunities.
DXY (USD Index) 4hour Analysis July 12th, 2020 DXY Short Idea
Overall sentiment on higher timeframes is bearish
We are now looking for continuation opportunities to the downside. Last week we saw a bearish break of our ascending triangle and price action is now establishing lower highs.
We will favor a strong bearish continuation and are looking for bearish setups at the current level. Look to target significant support around our 95.00 monthly and -27% fib level
If 97.00 is broken and retested we will re-analyze for potential bullish opportunities
EURJPY 4hour Analysis June 28th, 2020EURJPY Short Idea
The overall trend on this pair is bearish, however, we have seen a strong 4hr bullish trend push price action up toward a major resistance level around 123.400
From that level we saw price action swiftly reverse and began forming a descending channel which is in line with the overall bearish sentiment
Currently we have two potential scenarios of how this could play out
1.Price action continues lower after rejecting 120.500. Look for a break and retest of 119.500 followed by strong bearish setups confirming a lower high. Target toward the monthly support around 116.500 (Trade Path #1)
2.Price action pushes higher and breaks 120.500. Look for a confirmed higher low and target significant resistance zone as profit levels like 121.500 & 123.400 (Trade Path #2)
EURUSD 4Hour Analysis June 28th, 2020EURUSD short Idea
Higher timeframe analysis shows that the overall sentiment is bearish but recently we have seen a strong 4hour bullish trend
This 4hour trend found resistance around 1.1400 and formed a head & shoulders reversal pattern. We can now see that price action is in a descending 4hour channel and is currently at a crucial level around 1.11745
From this level we have two potential trade scenarios
1.Price action continues to fall and breaks & retests 1.11745. We will look to enter on a lower higher and target toward our next major support around 1.10450 (Trade Path #1)
2.Price action bounces off 1.11745 and breaks the descending channel. Look to enter on strong bullish setups/higher low confirmation and target higher toward major resistance around 1.13500
AUDJPY 4hour Analysis June 28th, 2020AUDJPY Short idea
Higher timeframes are significantly bearish although we have seen a strong 4hour bullish trend up until our monthly zone around 76.500
From this level we saw a strong reversal in the form of a large head & shoulders pattern. Price action has been forming lower highs and lower lows since which line up with the overall bearish sentiment
At the current level we have two potential scenarios that could play out
1.Price action forms strong bearish setups at the current level below resistance at 73.800, look to target lower toward 72.600 (Trader Path #1)
2. Price action pushes higher, breaks & retests 73.800. Look to target higher toward major resistance around 74.650 (Trade Path #2)
AUDUSD 4hour Analysis June 28th, 2020AUDUSD Short idea
Higher timeframes are bearish although the 4hour has been extremely bullish up until our 0.70400 resistance zone
At this level we saw a reversal with a confirmed Lower high & double top pattern
From the current level we have two potential scenarios of how price action could play out
1.We see price action continue to push lower with strong bearish momentum. Look to target toward our next major support around 0.67500 (Trade Path #1)
2.Price action pushes higher and breaks 0.69000. Look to enter long on a higher lower above this level followed by strong bullish setups. Target toward our higher resistance level around 0.70500 (Trade Path #2)
DXY (USD Index) 4hour Analysis June 28th, 2020 DXY Long Idea
All higher timeframes are significantly bullish although we did see a 4hour bearish trend push price action lower toward our monthly support around 96.00
From the monthly support we saw a strong bounce and now price action looks to be forming a 4hour bullish trend which is now in line with the higher timeframes.
For us to confirm a bullish continuation we need to see a break and retest of 97.75
(Trade Path #1)
If we see a reversal at 97.75 we will look for price action to fall lower toward 96.50 and fill this range once again (Trade Path #2)
EURJPY 4hour Analysis June 21st, 2020EURJPY Short Idea
Overall higher timeframes are very bearish on this pair despite the huge 4hour rally we saw to our major resistance zone around 123.500
At that zone we saw bears take over price action resulting in a clean reversal which plays into our overall bearish sentiment
We saw a key 1hour bearish transition & now a 4hour bearish transition as the 119.850 has been broken.
To enter short we want to see a retest of that 119.850 level followed by strong bearish setups confirming this short opportunity. Look to target lower toward our major support zone around 116.500
EURUSD 4Hour Analysis June 21st, 2020EURUSD short Idea
After the bullish rally on the 4hour timeframe we saw a strong head & shoulder reversal pattern form and execute.
We were originally bearish on our higher timeframes and will remain bearish as we did not break to new highs on the daily.
From this level we simply want to see a retest of the 38.2% fib level around 1.12350 with some strong bearish setups to follow before we can enter short.
Look to target lower toward our major weekly support around 1.10450
AUDJPY 4hour Analysis June 21st, 2020AUDJPY Short idea
Higher timeframes are also bearish on this pair but we saw a huge rally which pushed price action to our monthly resistance zone around 76.000
From that level we saw a 4hour head & shoulders pattern which presented a very strong reversal after the neckline broke.
With this reversal and overall analysis in mind we will remain with a bearish sentiment and will continue to look for short opportunities.
At the current level we want to see strong bearish setups confirming this bearish continuation. Look to target toward our weekly support around 70.000
AUDUSD 4hour Analysis June 21st, 2020AUDUSD Short idea
Overall higher timeframes are bearish but we saw a strong 4hour bullish trend push price action up to our major resistance zone around 0.70250 where we saw a key reversal happen.
At our resistance level we saw a double top then a lower timeframe transition to the down side. Since then price action has been printing lower highs repeatedly hinting at a larger bearish move to come.
We did enter last week on a short position and would still be active if price action did not come back to entry around 0.69000
Now we are looking for a retest of broken structure with strong bearish setups before entering short again. Look to target lower toward our major support around 0.67500
DXY (USD Index) 4hour Analysis June 21st, 2020 DXY Long Idea
All higher timeframes are majorly bullish on USD although we did see a strong 4hour bearish channel push price action down toward our major support zone around 96.00
From this level we saw massive rejection followed by 1hr and now a 4hr transitions to the upside.
We will remain with a bullish sentiment and target our next major resistance zone around 98.40.
From this level we will re-analyze and see how price action reacts at that level.
XAUUSD 4hour Analysis June 14th, 2020Gold Long idea
Gold is still significantly bullish and last week we saw price action break two resistance levels, both 1695 & 1720.
Ideally we want to see structure form followed by strong bullish setups. We will be looking for price action to hit the 38.2% fib level with a quick continuation to the upside.
We will still be looking to target our 1800.00 handle
EURJPY 4hour Analysis June14th, 2020EURJPY Short Idea
As expected we saw a huge reversal from a key resistance zone around 123.500 last week.
From the current level we want to see bearish momentum continue and break support levels on our way down confirming this transition.
If we see strong bearish setups at the current level a short entry would present itself. Look to target lower toward the 61.8% fib and key support around 119.850 for our first target.
If we see the 119.850 level break and retest followed by bearish confirmations we could see this pair drop significantly. Look to target toward 116.500.
EURUSD 4Hour Analysis June 14th, 2020EURUSD short Idea
Last week we saw a reversal on this 4hour bullish trend just before our major monthly resistance zone around 1.15000
If this transition continues we could see a fairly large drop to major support levels
We want to see a lower high form right where price action is currently followed by strong bearish setups that would then present a short opportunity.
We are looking to target lower toward our 1.11750 structure level followed by a lower target around our weekly support, 78.6% fib level, 200ema, and key structure around 1.10000
AUDJPY 4hour Analysis June 14th, 2020AUDJPY Short idea
Last week we saw a huge reversal from our monthly resistance zone around 76.000 in the form of a large head & shoulders pattern.
We managed to catch a great short opportunity on a break of the right shoulder and rode price action down to our supporting daily trendline.
From the current level we are looking to short again as price action is retesting the broken neckline. If we see strong bearish setups we will look to enter and target lower.
Look to target toward the 200 ema around 72.000 and potentially lower as we see confirming lower highs form.
Ideally a bearish leg down to the weekly support around 70.000 would be perfect.