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GBP/USD: Bearish Momentum Holds Below 1.2500GBP/USD trades around 1.2490, showing weakness for the third consecutive day, with the daily chart indicating a bearish bias within a descending channel. The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points as expected, projecting a 2025 rate of 3.9% (up from 3.4% in September). Powell emphasized caution and a slower path for future rate cuts, while the BoE kept rates steady at 4.75%. The strengthening of the US Dollar has been supported by rising Treasury yields, although improving global risk sentiment might limit further gains. A break below the 1.2450 support could push the price towards 1.2400, while a move above 1.2530 might open the door to a potential test of 1.2600, though this remains unlikely without favorable catalysts.
Short
by Forex48_TradingAcademy
1
Bitcoin Fed Can’t Hold Bitcoin, No Plans Yet To Change Law, Powell Says Jerome Powell says the Fed isn't allowed to own Bitcoin. He also says the bank cannot create a stockpile of digital assets. The market immediately reacted to Powell's statement, sending Bitcoin's price down by 5.7%.Bitcoin Decline Continues: Are Bulls Losing Control? Bitcoin price extended losses and traded below the $100,000 zone. BTC is struggling and might continue to move down toward the $92,000 support zone. Bitcoin started a fresh decline from the $102,000 resistance zone. There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $98,500. Glassnode's Week on Chain report revealed the similarities between the current Bitcoin uptrend and previous cycles amid changing market conditions. Meanwhile, long-term investors began distributing their tokens at the $100K level, culminating in a new all-time high of $2.1 billion in realized profitsAccording to blockchain analytics firm Glassnode's weekly report, Bitcoin's current price performance has a striking resemblance with the 2015-2018 and 2018-2021 cycles despite the changing dynamics in its market structure. Like previous cycles, the selling pressure that accompanies sustained price increases has remained but at a much lower pace. The deepest drawdown in this cycle occurred on August 5, 2024, when prices dropped 32% below their peak
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by KingForex078
XAUUSD (Gold) Bullish trade Idea over the breakout of 2604.02 leXAUUSD (Gold) Bullish trade idea over the breakout of 2604.02 level. Gold fell on the recent 18 Dec 2024 FOMC, and on 19 Dec 2024 the unemployment data was strong for the US dollar, so now I am watching the buy-side trade idea over the breakout of the 2604.02 level with strong confirmations of price at this level. The setup must meet the required momentum in the price. The sentiments also show the price will move as per the data revelled from various sites. Setup; Gold Buy at level: 2604.2-2605.2 Stop Loss: 2599.2 (50 pips) or the low of previous candle Take Profit; 2623 *Note; If the valid breakout will be found then the setup also valid otherwised find more oppercunity.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Bloom_Forex_Official
12/2/24 - $nu - Bot $12, load closer to $10 if/when (LONG)12/2/24 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:NU Bot $12, load closer to $10 if/when - is one of the three stonks in latam that i've commented in the past is worth keeping a v close eye on b/c of the growth rates and tremendous product. the others are NASDAQ:MELI and NASDAQ:DLO (the latter of which worked out nicely and we made a good exit earlier this year from the lows, but it took a minute). - back to Nubank: 1/ brazil in earlier innings of economic funeral, but what's new this happens every so often and those battle tested growers tend to come out of these events eating massive share, Nu will be one of these 2/ timing is always the tricky thing. you want to take calculated risk, but unlike the US stonks, you have clear geo/ FX and therefore adverse flows risk to consider. invest in emerging mkts and you need to have a tolerance/ knowledge of currency risk, minimally. i'm not going to downplay that here, but only to flag this needs to be something you consider if/when considering a stake in $nu. the counter point is they're growing bananas outside of Brazil as well and likely take over pretty much over every other latam country similar to Meli. IMO, there's no competition for the growth engine they can export into latam. 3/ let's math and use two approaches... PE and ROE -> book value a1. PE: let's imagine the 62c next year (in USD) is 50c - only a 15% growth. the reason you'd look at this is b/c most investors r going to be focused here, so you stand the chance of risk-evaluating what others see and making a call (similar to support and resistance vs. some esoteric TA you've developed). in this vein, what would you pay for a 15% EPS grower (ignoring all other factors of what this biz is and only considering it's a bank in Latam)? maybe 10-12x? def sub 1x PEG. b/c it's brazil, brazil is currently fukt. so you put a "depressed multiple" on a depressed EPS. at call it 50c and 10x - you're at $5 bucks. sick downside from the $12 it closed at today. so that's probably *worst* case, from today's POV. let's call that -60%. diddy slip and slide party pain. a.2: PE: but this isn't some "new kid on the block". a lot of Nu investors are smart int'l types that are going to look beyond trough '25, even today, including papi warren B. so if we assume we pick up from 15% toward 20% the following year and go 50c -> 60c, you'd probably start to consider at that point at least a PEG of 1x given growth would extend to the following yrs as well. at 20x on 60c you're at $12 for year-end '26. and let's give it a 15% discount (Ke brazil finger in air - but likely in the ballpark) and you get to $10 and change for the 12M view e.g. YE25, which is the bogey we're all looking at today given we're already done w/ '24. so that's 20% downside. combining a.1 and a.2 above... i'd likely weight a.2 as being perhaps a 70% and a.1 as 30% given the logic described, investor base and this isn't some going concern issue. also i'm being mega conservative w/ my EPS estimates as well. if you haven't noticed, they keep ripping the cover off the ball on EPS. so combined that's -60%*30% + -20%*70% = 33% downside more or less or a $8 stonk. b: ROE thinking. 25% ROEs (probably expanding) and growing book at probably ~$1/shr for the next 2 yrs combined gets you to a book of $5. when you consider this likely continues to grow nearly 15-20% a year... and we could be conservative and say it's 10% a year (cut it more than in half)... at a 15% Ke you get: Price = BookVal * (ROE - g)/(Ke - g) then discount 2 yrs by 15%. this is Price = $5 * (25 - 10)/(15 - 10)/1.15/1.15 = $11+ today. tying this all together... fair value is probably between 10 and 11 today. so buying $12 is defn being a bit opportunistic and playing a reversion move on BRL related assets. i'd not be surprised to see this thing move back toward $13/14 into year end, and equally i'd not be surprised to see it test the big green dilly from Aug 5 this year that ripped thru $10. So, it's not an obvious trade for those who don't know this asset or haven't been following that closely. perhaps easier to wait for better entry even if that means some chop here/ there and you get a bit of fomo if first move is up. The way i'm personally playing it are $10 and $11 strike 2027 leaps. allows me to amp my exposure without necking out too hard on a notional cash-in basis. offers about 3-1 leverage, so a 1.5-2% options position gets me a gross effective of about 5-6%. that's comfy for now. i'd like to get this position closer to 10-15% if/when we hit the $10s area or below (and it will be one to manage b/c *WHY* we go there will matter a lot - not just a rote plan, these things always evolve and perhaps there are other better deals out there too esp in the US or my favs NASDAQ:NXT , NYSE:TSM , NASDAQ:META ). anyway. wanted to flag. should be on your radar. this is a quality LT compounder that's gotten cheap b/c of geography, but is a neo-bank virus to the existing dino's in latam. LMK what u think or esp if u see it differently. have a good week my friends V
NYSE:NULong
by VROCKSTAR
GBPAUD Bullish Trade Idea from 2.00381-2.0082GBPAUD Bullish Trade Idea The price fell from the 2.02834 zone and hit back the 2.00381 zone, just respecting the recent support level. Now the important question is: does the price just test back and wait for the confirmation candle over this zone to reach the next level? In H4, the bear pressure will increase over time, and the volume increased with sentiments also showing that more volume on the buy side. and the major zone will be tested. Key level: if the market breaks the support, then we must see at the 1.99567 zone, but on the other side, the Pound index is strong enough. When the market breaks the 2.00820 level, put buy trade. Buying zone: 2.00381 - 2.0082 Stop loss: 1.99778 Take Profit Level: 2.0158-2.02763
Long
by Bloom_Forex_Official
My Best analysis I have analyzed the recent price movement of gold (XAU/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe, and here are my observations: 1. Downtrend: The price is currently following a downward trend, indicating a bearish market sentiment. 2. Resistance Level: A strong resistance zone has been identified near the 2,598 level. 3. Potential Breakout: If the price manages to break above this resistance, an upward move can be expected. However, failure to break the resistance might result in a further decline toward the 2,560 level. 4. Bearish Target: A potential bearish target around 2,560 has been highlighted based on the current trend.
TVC:GOLD
by LunaTrader_SingnalsProvider
BTCUSDT: Consolidation After Uptrend Break. What's Next?Hello, dear traders. Brian here! When analyzing the 4-hour chart, we can see an intriguing setup that indicates the possibility of continued bearish momentum if critical support levels fail to hold. Let’s dive deeper into the analysis. Currently, Bitcoin is trading at $97,547, reflecting a slight pullback from recent highs. The price has recently broken the ascending trendline, which had provided support for a prolonged period. This break, combined with the rejection at the Fibonacci retracement zone, signals a potential trend reversal. Traders should closely monitor the $95,713 level and the EMAs to confirm the next move. If Bitcoin continues to decline, the next major support levels are at: $95,713 (1.0 Fibonacci Extension) $93,085 (1.272 Fibonacci Extension) $89,742 (1.618 Fibonacci Extension) Wishing you all great profits in the coming days!
Short
by Trader-Briannnn
1
VET Bull Run Ignites: Unstoppable Growth Ahead!VET appears poised to continue its upward momentum, driven by strong fundamentals and a thriving ecosystem. Recent price movements have been substantial, reflecting growing confidence in VeChain's potential. Historically, periods of significant upward movement are often followed by phases of consolidation, providing a foundation for sustained growth. Looking ahead, the current uptrend seems to be in its early stages. With VeBetter playing a pivotal role as the cornerstone of the ecosystem and rapidly expanding its influence, the outlook for VeChain in 2025 remains highly optimistic. The combination of robust fundamentals and ecosystem growth suggests a promising future for NYSE:VET and its stakeholders.
by TheCryptoCity
1
IREDA :High Voltage DramaIREDA Analysis (20th Dec 2024) The chart showcases a Bullish Flag Breakout , a golden retracement zone, and defined targets. Let’s analyze actionable insights and strategies. Current Structure: The stock has broken out from a bullish flag pattern, indicating a strong uptrend. Retracement to the green zone (191-204) is likely before continuing its rally. The first target zone is 243-248, with an extended target at 278. A stop-loss at 186 is set below the golden retracement zone. Action Plan: Buying Opportunity: Enter between 191-204 (retracement zone). This level aligns with Fibonacci retracement and prior resistance turned support. Targets: Partial profit booking near 243-248. Trail stop-loss to 220 for a move towards the extended target at 278. Stop Loss: Place below 186 to limit downside risk. Risk-Reward Ratio: Buying at 200 with targets at 243 and 278 offers a strong risk-reward of approximately 1:4. Key Educational Note: The breakout from a bullish flag pattern signifies continuation. Retracements are opportunities to enter the trend with limited risk. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always verify with a certified financial advisor. Like and share to support!
NSE:IREDALong
by LiveTradingBox