Oscillators
Could AUD/USD be getting ready to visit .6850?? - AUHere I have AUD/USD on the Daily Chart!
Since price last visited the 2023/2024 Fall Support Zone making a Divergent Low @ .63623 , it has continued to move higher finding Support at a Local Support Zone!
After this we see a New High @ .67141! Using the Fib Tool from Divergent Low to New High, we are given a Fib Entry Zone where Price has already corrected too!
Currently, we see price is now struggling with the Fib Kill Zone!
-All this Price Action is happening just under a Falling Resistance and with this much built up pressure I believe we could see price make quite a move to the UPSIDE!!!
At Market Open, Price had opened WAYY above our Falling Resistance making a GAP to FILL and price has already done that!
-Price now is also trading ABOVE the 200 EMA
-If price can continue to stay above the Kill Zone, I believe it will have a good chance at Breaking the Local Resistance Zone and then onto the Dec. 2023 Resistance Zone @ .6850 Levels
OverstrechedMeta is strong - to strong. It has been rising for 2 years without a major correction.
There was a correction of this year's rise at least and now we are trying to retest this year's high again. I expect this test to fail despite there is still some momentum.
The correction is required to get the market clean of the "weak hands" which hamper the finding of a fair value of the stock.
This correction may be long sideward movement. But with a change of the overall market sentiment a certain Fibonacci retracement may be expected.
Meanwhile the April decline has been retracedit may be the right time of another fall to begin.
Oil's Descent: Triangles, Elliott, Reversion, & BackwardationIn this analysis, we will delve into the oil market’s current state and explain why a significant reversal is imminent.
Contracting Triangle
Oil has been forming a contracting triangle since the beginning of May. The lead-up to the triangle was bearish, so statistically, the breakout should also be bearish. The upper extreme of the triangle is at $84.45, but prices could advance up to $87.67 before invalidating the bearish breakout.
Wave C of E of X
According to Elliott Wave analysis, contracting triangles form five waves (i.e., A, B, C, D, E). Typically, each of those five waves subdivides into a zigzag (i.e., A, B, C). We can clearly count five waves of the triangle and three waves of the final zigzag, indicating that the reversal should occur at any moment.
Mean Reversion
On the daily timeframe, oil has approached the overbought level on three different mean reversion indicators. It has been overbought since June 17, according to the Stochastic Oscillator, and it will be overbought according to RSI and Bollinger Bands at $85.09.
Backwardation
Backwardation, where forward contracts are traded below the expected spot value at maturity, often signifies a bullish outlook for crude oil. However, it can also indicate short-term market stress caused by buyers' panic over excess demand or insufficient supply. This scenario often results from an overreaction, and as future supply and demand expectations come into balance, the oil market tends to experience a selloff towards more rational pricing. Given the current strong state of backwardation in oil futures, this dynamic could unfold, contributing to the next market downturn.
Executing the Bearish Strategy
As this is a countertrend trade, risk should be tight, and one’s stop loss should be adhered to religiously. While unlikely, if prices were to continue their ascent, and you have a wide or flexible stop loss, you could experience a substantial loss.
I believe the best place for a stop loss would be just beyond the end of intermediate wave C at $87.68. If prices move beyond this level, it would invalidate the Elliott analysis and offer a strong indication of a bullish breakout from the triangle. As long as prices hold below this level, the outlook would remain bearish, unless a strong consolidation pattern forms near these highs.
If the analysis is correct and we do see a bearish breakout, prices could easily decline to $65, possibly lower. This would be a reasonably conservative target, but I am planning a discretionary exit as price action develops.
As for entry, this is a personal decision. I see three possible options:
Wait for prices to climb a little higher (less risk at entry if successful, with a chance of entering lower with more risk if unsuccessful).
Wait for prices to decline a bit to confirm the analysis (higher probability of a winning trade, with greater initial risk at entry).
Enter now (somewhere in between options 1 and 2).
Good luck, everyone!
EURNZD to continue in the upward move?EURNZD - 24h expiry
Our short term bias remains positive.
Setbacks should be limited to yesterday's low.
We look to buy dips.
20 4hour EMA is at 1.7921.
There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end.
We look to Buy at 1.7928 (stop at 1.7878)
Our profit targets will be 1.8048 and 1.8068
Resistance: 1.7978 / 1.8061 / 1.8100
Support: 1.7925 / 1.7900 / 1.7870
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
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KAS - the gift that keeps on givingI've been playing KAS for the better part of 2 years and for the life of me, I'm not sure why more people are not taking advantage of it. Over time, it has followed a nice logarithmic growth pattern (around 180 days), technical indicators show we are out of peak fear after the last impulse up, heading to peak greed. KAS continues to consolidate higher, now in the 0.18 range. I tagged-in at 0.10 and 0.11 recently so plan to sell above 0.20 cents with a stop loss around 0.16383 just to protect my current profits.
GBPNZD - Potential Perfect StormTaking a look at RSI on the 1 hour timeframe, it's obvious we are getting some bearish divergence after a strong week long rally.
This strong bullish price action was attributed to the RBNZ interest rate decesion last week where interest rates were left unchanges at 5.50%
However, later today we get the latest CPI data from New Zealand followed by UK's CPI data a few hours later. Could this be a potential perfect storm where New Zealand will show a surprise to the upside followed by a surprise to the downside with the UK?
If that happens, I would expect this ascending support trendline to break opening the doors for a reversal.
Time will tell but early clues are beginning to develop on the 1 hour timeframe with RSI.
That's it - That's all
Trade Safe.
$SPY July 16, 2024XETR:AMEX : SPY July 16, 2024
15 Minutes.
XETR:AMEX : SPY made 3 HH pattern.
So, if we take 555.83 as low, we can expect 566-567.5 levels as target for now provided it holds around 557 levels
At the moment it took support at 61.8% of the fall as support.
For the fall 564.83 to 559.62 it needs to cross 563.8 levels to resume uptrend.
So, for the day Buy above 564 to 566-567 as target and sell below 556.5.
If this level is broken, I expect a 4 to 5 $ fall.
Remember 556 is 9 MA support in daily.
EUR/USD Hesitating at 1.09The world's most widely-traded currency pair has seen a big bullish run over the last 2+ weeks, but today's price action shows some hesitation around the 4-month highs at 1.0900.
The combination of a daily doji candle (in progress) and relatively stretched RSI and MACD oscillators hints at a pullback if tomorrow's US Retail Sales report can beat expectations. To the downside, the next logical level to watch would be at the convergence of the 50- and 200-day moving averages near 1.0800.
-MW
GBP/USD Fade Potential Off Key 1.30 LevelCable has rallied in 10 of the last 12 days, taking the pair up to its highest level in nearly a full year. For this week, the key level to watch will be psychological resistance at 1.3000: If that level, which also represents the late July 2023 high, is convincingly broken, GBP/USD could make a run at its 2+ year high near 1.3150 next.
Meanwhile, given the pound’s 17-year high in net speculative long positioning and the overbought RSI, a profit-taking dip off this resistance level would be logical, especially if this week’s UK data disappoints. In that scenario, previous-resistance turned-support near 1.2900 will be the key level to watch.
-MW
BITCOIN LINE IN THE SAND BTC has lost the 1D 200 EMA for the first time this year which is a major TA trend Indicator.
On the daily timeframe we can see a clean breakthrough below on the first touch since October of last year, which initially is surprising as this level is seen as key support for keeping a bullmarket going. Now that BTC has fallen under the moving average we've seen attempts at breaking back above for the last 3 days in a row, and with FED chair Powell set to testify today and tomorrow along with CPI &PPI on Thursday and Friday respectively. It's quite a FED heavy week with can bring volatility to the market.
The ETH ETF is rumoured to begin trading next Monday (15th July) which could be the catalyst to get both BTC & ETH back above their 1D 200 EMA's. For now the general worry is that the selling pressure caused by the German Government and Mt. Gox is what is dragging price down. However, yesterday recorded a net inflow of $295m for the Bitcoin spot ETFs, the most in 21 days which suggest there are buyers looking to absorb those Bitcoins that are being offloaded.
I am still a little confused as to why the German Government have decided to market sell through an exchange instead of any OTC transactions, perhaps it's a play to shake out weak hands and make retail panic?
The FA is always complicated but I still believe that the bearish factors are more short term when compared to all the bullish more long term factors. Short term market selling vs long term supply shock caused by the halving, institutional investors and ETFs buying, US election and rate cuts.
CPI & PPI can be volatile news events for the market, I think it could be one of these events that could be a catalyst to reclaim the 1D 200 EMA, we've seen a full reset of the RSI since the rally of earlier this year. Historically these are all good long term entry criteria.
BTUCUSDT EQUIDISTANC DESCENDING CHANNELMFI shows a bullish divergence and a pullback up is possible but the overall trend is still down LL and LH.
Very high probability for the price to pullback up into the VAL line and the strong resistance level before doing down again .
Enter short after the pullback up completion and a reversal candle stick while MFI still below 50 level
Good LUck
Multiple Indicator - TRIVENI📊 Script: TRIVENI
📊 Sector: Sugar
📊 Industry: Sugar
Key highlights: 💡⚡
📈 Script is trading at upper band of BB and giving breakout of it.
📈 MACD is giving crossover .
📈 Double Moving Averages are giving crossover.
📈 Right now RSI is around 71.
📈 One can go for Swing Trade.
⏱️ C.M.P 📑💰- 426
🟢 Target 🎯🏆 - 451
⚠️ Stoploss ☠️🚫 - 416
⚠️ Important: Always maintain your Risk & Reward Ratio.
✅Like and follow to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclaimer: I am not SEBI Registered Advisor. My posts are purely for training and educational purposes.
Eat🍜 Sleep😴 TradingView📈 Repeat 🔁
Happy learning with trading. Cheers!🥂
XRP - Increase Possible after THIS LEVELXRP - it's possible that the bottom may be near, and we're going to use a technical indicator to look for the bottom.
It should be noted that I am NOT a fan of XRP BUT, I understand tat all coins are tradable despite whether or not I like them.
So let's dive into the SIGNS of the times:
Looking at the RSI below the chart, historically XRP bottoms are close when the RSI hit's the yellow line (34). It could trade lower for a few ore weeks to come, but ultimately this low RSI signals the bottom is either in or close.
It is also worth noting that the M-Pattern should be finished playing out, or close to finished:
Either way, if you MUST trade XRP, buy low and sell high. Bag holders gets burnt!
____________________________
BINANCE:XRPUSDT
Deep Dive into ENS: Full Review of the Project and ENS V2📅 Let's move on to today's analysis. Today, I want to analyze the ENS coin, which is part of the Ethereum ecosystem. With this project, you can buy a domain for your wallet.
🗂 ENS v2 Update : Recently, ENS published an article and introduced the v2 update of the project, announcing that they have added a series of new features to their platform. By collaborating with L2 projects, they aim to reduce fees, increase flexibility, utilize multi-chain capabilities, and make their service more accessible, user-friendly, and cost-effective for everyone, playing a more significant role in the web3 space.
⚙️ How the Project Works : Let's dive deeper into the project and visit its website. The first image you see on the site is a very beautiful landing page. By clicking on "Launch App," you can enter the main space of the platform.
🧩 After launching the app, you need to connect your wallet to the site and search for your desired ID in the search bar. If the domain is available, you can purchase it. If it is registered, it means someone else has already bought it before you. As you can see in the example I searched for, "parham96.eth" has already been registered, but "parham96.box" is still available and hasn't been purchased yet.
🛍 After finding your desired domain, you need to confirm the transaction sent to your wallet. Currently, the cost of this operation, considering the Ethereum network fee, is about $6 for a one-year subscription. According to the project, after the v2 update, these costs will be lower.
🎈 After purchasing, to access the details of your purchased domain, click on the "My Names" section (I prefer not to show you an image of this section due to the privacy of my wallet). You can:
👤 Add a profile picture for your wallet, write a bio, and connect your social media accounts from the profile section.
⚡️ Add another address to your domain from the record section.
🎲 Change the owner of the domain or renew it from the ownership section.
🌐 Create a subdomain for yourself just like websites from the Subname section.
⚓️ Use the permission and more sections to apply other desired settings to your purchased domain.
🌱 Usefulness of the Domain : For example, the "parham96.eth" domain is mine. In this case, I don't need to send my wallet address to someone who wants to transfer to me for each transaction. Just replacing the destination wallet address with the "parham96.eth" phrase will direct the funds to the same wallet. If you search for this domain on Etherscan, you can see it is registered on the blockchain and that the ownership of the domain is also viewable as an NFT in your wallet.
🔄 Renewing the Domain: Click on "Extend," then click "Next," followed by "Open Wallet" to create a transaction. Confirm the transaction through your wallet to renew the domain.
✨ ENS Coin : The ENS project also has a very well-known coin named ENS, which is among the top 100 coins in the market with an $800 million market cap. It is listed on all reputable exchanges, making it a successful project that can achieve even greater success with the launch of ENS V2.
🔍 Technical Analysis : In the daily timeframe, after the price reached a peak of 27.61, the market entered a range, with the price oscillating between 16.58 and 27.61. Following Bitcoin's significant drop, this coin also dropped to the 12.24 area. However, with the announcement of ENS V2 and collaboration with L2 projects, it started an upward movement and returned to the 27.61 area, even briefly breaking this level before returning below it in a fake breakout.
💥 Current Momentum : The price currently lacks momentum. After the fake breakout, there should have been a bearish momentum, but nothing has happened, and the market is still ranging.
📊 Volume Analysis : The volume clearly supports the buyers, as the buying volumes significantly exceed the selling volumes. In the recent bullish candles, the selling volume has significantly decreased.
🧲 Indicators : Due to the ranging market and lack of momentum, I am not using SMAs. However, a break below 43.36 on the RSI would confirm bearish momentum entering the market.
🛒 Long Position : The price has tested the 27.61 resistance six times so far, with increasing buying volume. Given the positive sentiment around ENS V2, it is possible that a few days before the launch, the price will stabilize above this level with a large bullish candle, leaving many behind.
🛎 Short Position : On the other hand, buyers may lose interest in breaking this resistance after six attempts, allowing sellers to enter the market and push the price down.
⚖️ Investment Strategy : If you believe ENS is a good project and that ENS V2 can generate bullish momentum in the market, consider adding this coin to your portfolio and purchasing it according to your strategy.
🎯 Target Prices: If the project succeeds and gains more hype, the initial target prices are 38.10 and 49.27, with the next target being the ATH of 75.80.
👨💻 Futures Trading :
📈 For a long position, a candle close above 27.61 in the 4-hour timeframe can confirm an upward trend. You can look for an entry trigger in the lower timeframes like 1-hour, with a target of 32.83.
📉 For a short position, a break below 23.30 and a candle close beneath this level can confirm a downward trend, with a target of 18.94.
♟ Personally, I will try to open a long position on this coin once the price stabilizes above 27.61. For short positions, I prefer to trade a coin with negative news and lacking a strong upward trend like ENS.
🧠💼 Always remember the inherent risks in futures trading, with the potential for margin calls if risk management is neglected. Stick to strict capital management principles and use stop-loss orders, ensuring an initial target with a risk-to-reward ratio of 2.
🫶 If you found this analysis helpful and want to support me, please boost this analysis. Feel free to leave a comment or suggest a coin you'd like me to analyze next.
Akropolis (AKRO)On the above 4-day chart price action has corrected over 90% since the sell signal in February 2021 (not shown). Now is a good opportunity to go long. Why?
1) A strong buy signal prints. (not shown).
2) Price action resistance breakout.
3) Strong positive divergence between price action and multiple oscillators. Just as was with the Highstreet idea, 10 oscillators print bullish divergence with price action. This divergence occurs over a 80 day period.
Is it possible price action could fall further? Sure.
Is it probable? No.
Ww
Type: trade
Risk: <=6% of portfolio
Timeframe: Don’t know.
Return: Don’t know.