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Bitcoin faces downward pressure, can it bounce back?In the recent trading session, Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) is showing signs of strong selling pressure as the price fluctuates around $94,300. The technical chart on the 1-hour chart shows that the price is currently testing important support and resistance zones. Bullish scenario: If Bitcoin can break above the trigger zone at $95,200, it will signal a recovery, with a target towards the resistance zone from $98,500. This will require support from positive market sentiment and money flowing back into the crypto market. Bearish scenario: On the contrary, if Bitcoin breaks the strong support zone at $92,557, the downtrend may continue with a target of a deeper drop to the $88,700 zone. This will be an important price level to assess the selling momentum in the market.
by JerrytradingCR
ETHUSDT: Just One Step Away To $3800...Currently, I see the ETH/USDT pair showing clear bullish signals with the formation of the Cup and Handle pattern. The reason for this uptrend is after the price was rejected around the $3,280 support area and quickly rebounded approximately 0.5% on the day. This pattern – being one of the classic formations in technical analysis – often indicates a strong growth phase when the price breaks through a critical resistance zone. For me, the $3,400 resistance zone is the key point (trigger) to activate the bullish trend. If the price can break and close above this zone, I believe ETH will quickly enter a strong breakout phase. The target I am expecting after the trigger is activated is the $3,800 level – this is the price level that completes the Cup and Handle pattern, promising significant profits in the next bullish trend.
Long
by JerrytradingCR
GOLD--> Local trend changing? Will it rise to new ATH?OANDA:XAUUSD after a false breakout at 2700, the price has returned to a correction phase, aiming to consolidate its potential for continuing the trend. In the current situation, the fundamental backdrop is shifting in favor of the metal, which active buyers are pursuing... Gold has not reacted significantly to the previous rally of the dollar, despite hawkish signals from the Fed. The reason for the metal's rise lies in the escalation of tensions following the UK and US allowing Ukraine to use weapons to strike deep into Russian territory. Russia responded with stronger attacks afterward. Fundamentally, these actions make gold a safe haven choice for protecting assets. This week, due to the Thanksgiving holidays in the US, trading volumes are expected to fluctuate sharply at the beginning of the week. Technically, it is predicted that the precious metal could update its ATH this year. However, short-term levels ahead need to be monitored closely. Specifically: Support levels: 2685, 2675, 2650 Resistance levels: 2711, 2733, 2750 Nonetheless, the upcoming resistance levels must be observed, as they are likely to trigger the next move for the metal. The adjustment toward the nearest liquidity zones is expected, but we are not talking about a reversal. The correction could end quickly, and the price is likely to return to an upward phase. The medium-term target is 2731-2750.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Bentradegold
1
EURUSD -> Opportunity for Bears to Fill the GapHello dear friends, Ben here! Overall, after an impressive increase in the beginning of the day, EUR/USD expanded a gap. Theoretically, this usually usually signals a complete inspection of this liquidity area. Meanwhile, the US dollar index (DXY), monitoring the performance of the US dollar compared to the six main currencies, has dropped to about 107.00 after reaching the highest level in two years as 108.07 in Friday. However, the risk of discount on USD is still limited, as recent economic data has consolidated the expectation that the Federal Reserve (Fed) can slow down the rate of interest cuts, so drought drought Made any increase in EURUSD.
Short
by Bentradegold
2
Gold : enters accumulation reaction phase before strong increasAfter a period of accumulation, the gold price has escaped the prolonged bearish phase and is moving in a clear upward price channel. In particular, the market is recording strong buying interest in the short-term support zone of $2,650 - $2,675. This is the "key" area to push the price closer to important resistance levels. If the $2,721 threshold is successfully broken, the gold price is likely to quickly extend its upward momentum to the $2,772 area - an important liquidity level, and also a confirmation signal for the long-term uptrend.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TomtradeFX
EURUSD ---> Correction is getting stronger. Next is 1.040CAPITALCOM:EURUSD testing a key support level after a free fall. Short sellers continue to resist, relying on key fundamental aspects of the global economy. The US Dollar strengthened following the release of last week’s Initial Jobless Claims data. Specifically: US Initial Jobless Claims fell to 213,000 for the week ending November 15th, down from 219,000 (revised from 217,000) in the previous week and below the forecast of 220,000. This development has sparked speculation that the Federal Reserve's pace of rate cuts may slow down. Attention now shifts to the Manufacturing and Services PMI from the Eurozone, Germany, and the United States... Technically, EURUSD confirms the descending trend channel, providing us with a primary trend to monitor in our trading decisions. From a technical perspective, gold is attempting to break out of its main range, breaching a key support level. If there is a false breakout around the 1.047 level, a minor correction toward resistance may form. However, with the price testing strong support, we may see a false breakout and a corrective move to the areas to watch at 1.048-1.049 (0.618 fib line) before the downtrend continues.
Short
by Bentradegold
CRM potential Breakout to 424+CRM is setting up for a classic bullish breakout trade, showing multiple strong technical patterns that align with a high-probability long setup. The short-term moving average has crossed above the long-term moving average, a strong bullish signal indicating sustained momentum. CRM has shown strong bullish momentum, confirmed by multiple technical patterns. Look for increased volume on the breakout above $348 to confirm the move. The trade offers an attractive risk-to-reward ratio of at least 1:3, depending on the stop placement. Ascending Triangle Higher lows are forming as buyers step in at increasing levels, while resistance remains flat at $348. This shows accumulation and strong bullish sentiment. Breakout Target: $348 + $76 = $424 Targets: First Target: $ 400 (psychological level). Final Target: $ 424 Trail stops once the first target is hit to lock in profits. I will enter this week a position (options) and will update this post accordingly.
NYSE:CRMLong
by EssieQuantumTrader
11/18 Volatility Zones: Gamma Squeeze, Chop, and Support LevelsWeekly GEX Levels for SPX: The SPX analysis from last week’s free newsletter seems to have played out well. If you recall, based on the weekly GEX levels, there were no significant gamma levels below 5950. As soon as the price dropped below that, we saw the anticipated red gap-down to 5850 by Friday. With Friday's move, SPX shifted from a positive NETGEX range to a negative one: Let’s not forget: a negative gamma range means that market makers move in the same direction as retail traders, increasing the likelihood of stronger price movements, regardless of the market’s direction. Until the 5900 HVL level is reclaimed, I don’t expect this to change. As we saw today, there was a nice bounce off this level with a rejection, making it a tough resistance to break. If it does manage to break through, there’s currently a call gamma wall at 5925. Clearing this level could open the door to higher ranges again. While the week is still long, if the market fails to regain stability by Friday, breaking below the major 5850 PUT gamma wall could lead to another rapid move down, similar to last Friday, targeting the 5810–5800 range. Gamma Squeeze Zones for SP:SPX & AMEX:SPY this week: Above 5925: Gamma squeeze zone, where upward momentum can accelerate. Chop Zone: Between 5900 and 5930: Sideways movement expected, with the market consolidating in this range. High Volatility Zone: Below 5900: High volatility zone, indicating increased intensity in market movements. Market Makers Hedging Behavior Shift Zone: Around 5900: A critical zone where market makers may adjust their hedging strategies. Call Resistance: Below 5940: Reduced volatility expected as call resistance limits upward movement. Put Support Levels: Around 5850: Highest negative NETGEX/PUT support level. Between 5810 and 5800: Additional put support levels acting as key supports; if 5850 broken, turbulence is expected. IV and Skew Data: IVR: 16.9 increasing IV Average: 14.9 increasing PUT pricing skew: 31.5%
SP:SPX
by TanukiTrade
2
Opening (IRA): USO December 20th 66 Covered Call... for a 64.74 debit. Comments: Adding at strikes/break evens than what I currently have on ... . Selling the -75 call against long stock to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call. Metrics: Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 64.74 Max Profit: 1.26 ROC at Max: 1.95% 50% Max: .63 ROC at 50% Max: .97% Will generally look to take profit at 50% max; roll out call on test.
AMEX:USOLong
by NaughtyPines
Opening (IRA): GDX January 17th 34 Covered Call... for a 33.28 debit. Comments: Selling the -75 delta call against stock to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call. Adding at strikes/break evens better than what I currently have on. This puppy also happens to have a dividend on offer in December, but is quite variant: www.nasdaq.com Metrics: Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 33.28 Max Profit: .72 ROC at Max: 2.16% 50% Max: .36 ROC at 50% Max: 1.08%
AMEX:GDXLong
by NaughtyPines
ETHUSDTBINANCE:ETHUSDT After making a strong rebound from the well-tested support zone around $3,000, Ethereum has demonstrated impressive resilience, steadily climbing through key resistance levels. It is now trading around $3,372, with the focus on a critical trigger point near $3,445.63, which could pave the way for a significant rally. Personal Insight: Since the price is reacting around a strong resistance level, there is a high probability of a pullback to attract liquidity from buyers before the price is expected to continue its upward movement.
Long
by JerrytradingCR
Gold: Structure change ... The focus is the speech of the FedHello, dear friends, Ben here Gold prices are surging strongly after breaking through the resistance channel at 2650, as investors turn to this safe haven amid heightened geopolitical uncertainty due to escalating Russia-Ukraine tensions. It’s evident that geopolitical tensions have heightened interest in safe havens, including the yellow metal. However, this inverse correlation has resurfaced in recent weeks, and the strength of the dollar is likely to hinder gold's momentum moving forward. All eyes are on several Fed officials scheduled to deliver speeches this week. Market expectations for a December rate cut have dropped significantly, with current odds at 55.7%, down from 82.5% just a week ago. From a technical perspective, gold has confirmed a trend and shifted sentiment, giving us a major movement to follow in shaping our trading decisions. A false breakout around the local resistance level at 2643 is forming. Price consolidation above this area could trigger further bullish momentum. However, I haven’t ruled out the possibility of a fake move around 2622 to accumulate before a stronger rally. What are your thoughts on this?
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Bentradegold
1
Gold: Uptrend to continue from 2650...Hello everyone, Tom here! As I predicted earlier, gold is becoming more attractive after the dollar entered a consolidation phase... currently at $2657. Accordingly, expectations of additional stimulus measures from China also supported the growth of the metal's price. The focus this week remains on the Fed's speech after signals that tensions in the Middle East are easing a bit. From a technical perspective, gold investors need to watch the range around $2650. Because Since the opening of the session, the price has increased quite strongly, which increases the resistance to stop this increase at the next resistance level. I am assuming its formation With wave 5 and the priority is to target profit taking at 2685 - 2700 respectively.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TomtradeFX
2
GBPUSD: Sell Positive. Emphasis on 1,262FX:GBPUSD falling and reaction to the "flag" model. The price is checking the strong support level around 1,262 ... The basic context still supports the dollar. Theoretically, the currency briefcase after breaking the channel increases, the price has formed a adjustment and now is decreasing. The areas of interest in our case may be 1,260, 1,257, 1,252. Basically, the trend of this pair of money may be due to the weaker US dollar and the market environment is psychologically avoiding risks. Traders are still cautious in the context of geopolitical tensions and mild economic calendar. Fedpeak is noticed. There is no news until the Fed speaks, so the basic context remains the same. The market may stop and go into the consolidation process, but with the high possibility that the decline after a breakthrough 1,262 will continue ...
Short
by Bentradegold
1
EURUSD : Realization continues, risks increase!Dear traders, EURUSD is currently in a bearish "flag" phase this Friday morning in Europe, influenced by risk-off flows stemming from escalating geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine and concerns over potential U.S. tariffs on the EU... Now, there is nothing stopping it from further distribution. Key news is on the horizon that traders should approach with caution. A Fed rate cut. And the question is no longer "when" but "how much" the Fed will cut amid persistently high inflation over the past few months. From a technical perspective, the focus is on resistance levels at 1.055 and 1.054, which is the (fib 0.618). A gradual retracement and retest will increase the chances of a breakout. Now, selling pressure on this currency pair is intensifying, prices are entering a risk zone, and buyers are becoming increasingly cautious. We are monitoring the next key downside targets at 1.047-1.044...
Short
by Bentradegold
Gold --> Bear Market Heating Up? Resistance AheadOANDA:XAUUSD rising after a false breakout of 2547. Fundamentally, the situation is quite complicated as well as technically... The metal price is positively affected by the escalating Russia-Ukraine war, making gold more attractive to investors as a safe-haven asset. In addition, the appeal of gold is reinforced by geopolitical tensions, economic risks and a low interest rate environment. Fed officials are expected to speak this week, thereby providing more details on the US interest rate cut roadmap. Currently, according to traders' predictions, there is a 62% chance that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December... Theoretically, it is still unclear whether gold can maintain its bullish momentum as prices are approaching strong resistance and traders are cautious as they wait for new signals on the Fed's interest rate outlook. Technically, gold is in the range of 2643 - 2626. Since the opening of the session, the price has increased quite strongly, which increases the possibility of resistance to stop this increase. The situation is complicated by the mixed fundamental backdrop. A false break of 2647 and consolidation below this area will strengthen the selling pressure. But there is a possibility of a retest of 2686 (order block area) before the decline continues. The expected decline will reach the levels of 2547 - 2471 respectively. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Bentradegold
5
EURUSD: Consolidation “flag”. Willingness to go belowBen, hello everyone! CAPITALCOM:EURUSD is consolidating in the form of a "flag", the purpose is to accumulate before continuing the trend... The fundamental context remains negative. On D1, when looking closely at the 4-hour chart, it is clear that the price is maintaining a decline below 1.0600. There is no reaction to push the price higher. Therefore, in the short term, the momentum and strength of buyers are not expected to be enough to reverse the local situation. Looking ahead, as long as the dollar continues to consolidate, the euro will theoretically be hit hard... In particular, the focus is on the consolidating "flag". Breaking this channel, the downtrend will continue. Ben personally appreciates trading in the direction of the current trend, if there is a clear move, that is, expecting the price to break out and consolidate below the 1.052 area, aiming for a lower target in the short term. The focus is still on the 1.060 level and around the resistance at 1.065.
Short
by Bentradegold
Gold-> Buyer Back Yet?Dear Traders, Ben here! After suffering significant losses last week, gold has regained its recovery momentum and is trading positively above $2,600 on Monday. The fundamental backdrop supports this recovery. Key resistance levels at $2,518 and $2,628 now divide the market into two distinct zones. Meanwhile, market participants are awaiting moves from several Fed officials this week to gain further insights into the U.S. interest rate trajectory. The most likely scenario at the moment is a slight recovery in gold prices following the recent steep sell-off, with expectations for gold to climb higher after several reversals in the USD. In the medium term, bulls need to reassess U.S. policy planning in December, as the Fed is expected to hold rates steady in January. This has not been fully priced into the market, so any adjustments could pose challenges for gold. Technically, since the market opened, prices have climbed considerably, increasing the likelihood of resistance capping further upward movement. A false breakout at $2,589 and subsequent consolidation below this zone would strengthen selling pressure. However, there is potential for a retest of $2,618 (Order Block). Similarly, a failed breakout could trigger selling momentum. But if the fundamentals align strongly in favor of gold, the market may have a chance to shift the local trend from the $2,618 zone.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Bentradegold
EURUSD continues to extend sharp decline from 1.0600Dear Traders... Let's discuss and strategize with Ben today! Overall, after updating the low around 1.0497, the price recovered around 0.08% on the day. However, EUR/USD remained on the defensive near 1.0550 during the European session on Monday. The pair remained weak as geopolitical risks between Russia and Ukraine resurfaced although the US Dollar limited its gains. The divergent policy outlook of the ECB-Fed also weighed on the pair ahead of the central bank talks. Today, there will be no high-impact data that could influence the action of EUR/USD. Therefore, market participants will pay close attention to comments from central bank officials. Technically, price resistance at 1.0550 - 1.0660 and resistance at 1.0663 should be watched. A false breakout and consolidation below these areas could trigger a decline. Currently, Euro is hinting that the pullback could be a bit longer. MMs are likely to look for liquidity (above these levels) ahead of the news. A false breakout could trigger sellers to act, which would only add to the selling pressure. However, a mild recovery from 1.0550 and back to 1.0497 would increase the likelihood of a breakdown and decline.
Short
by Bentradegold
Gold -> How Long Will the Adjustment Last? Emphasis on $2,600Hello, dear friends, Ben here! Gold (XAU/USD) extended its recovery early Monday, testing the $2,600 level and ending a six-day losing streak after a false breakout and a retest of $2,546. The latest surge in gold prices may be tied to escalating geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine, following the U.S. authorization for Ukraine to use long-range weapons to strike Russian territory. However, the latest Kitco News Weekly Gold Survey reflects a bearish market sentiment. Specifically, the continued rise in the USD and bond yields is exerting downward pressure on gold prices. Additionally, the Federal Reserve (Fed) has adopted a more hawkish stance, posing further challenges for the precious metal. Looking ahead, with gold prices still at low levels, central banks may return as buyers in the market. However, Europe's ongoing economic struggles are pressuring the euro, prompting increased USD purchases to counter depreciation. As a result, gold prices may trade sideways or see additional declines unless a major geopolitical event emerges. This week, the gold market is expected to remain subdued due to the lack of major economic data releases. Key focus areas include U.S. housing starts and building permits, home sales, and the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Survey. Additionally, market participants are awaiting comments from several Fed officials to assess the pace and scale of upcoming interest rate cuts. From a technical standpoint, gold is thoroughly testing the resistance zone around $2,600–$2,589, attempting to offset market losses. Theoretically, a false breakout and consolidation below this zone could lead to further declines. Currently, I do not rule out the possibility of liquidity testing above this resistance zone ahead of significant news events. A false breakout could trigger selling activity, further reinforcing bearish momentum. However, if prices rebound near the $2,600 resistance and begin a smooth decline towards $2,546, it would generally increase the likelihood of a breakdown and continuation of the downtrend.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Bentradegold
GEX levels of SPX for Weekly Option TradersAlthough the SPX is currently trading within a relatively neutral positive gamma range, it’s worth taking a closer look at what the week might hold. This week, SPX is moving between critical resistance and support levels, which are showing significant options activity. The 5900 level is the key CALL resistance, acting as the gamma wall for the next 7 days (7DTE) . This suggests that as long as the price remains below this level, it will face strong resistance in moving higher. If the market breaks through this level, it could signal a bullish breakout, leading to increased turbulence. 🟨 DETAILED VIEW: In case of a breakout, keep an eye on the second weaker CALL wall at 5925 and the third weaker CALL wall at 5940, which are the next potential resistance levels once the market moves past the 5900 gamma wall. These levels could play a pivotal role in the price’s upward movement and indicate further buying pressure. 🔶 HVL Level and Gamma Environment: 5830 The 5830 level represents the High Volatility Level (HVL), which determines whether we are in a positive or negative gamma environment. If SPX closes below this level, we enter the negative gamma zone, which could lead to increased market volatility. This could result in sharper price movements during the week if this level does not hold. In that case, the PUT supports come into focus. The 5750 level marks the strongest PUT support, providing substantial downward support for the market. However, before reaching this level, it’s important to consider the emerging PUT wall at 5765, which may stop the price from falling lower. This could act as an intermediate support, slowing or even halting a decline before the 5750 level comes into play. 🔶 Implied Volatility and Time-Based Strategic Opportunities NOW The decrease in implied volatility, as shown by the IV and IVx indicators, signals a calmer market environment. Based on IV rank and average IV levels, volatility is running lower, which presents good opportunities for various spread strategies, especially time spreads that can be optimized between the 11/01 and 11/04 time frame. Key levels above could fuel further market movement throughout the week if a breakout occurs. CALL/PUT gamma levels on the options chain strongly outline the potential resistance and support levels, but these levels can change dynamically, especially if SPX breaks through the 5900 level. 🔶 SPX Key Levels This Week: 5900 CALL resistance – Main gamma wall, strong resistance. 5925 and 5940 – Second and third weaker CALL walls, offering additional resistance if broken. 5830 HVL – Key level determining the gamma environment. 5765 PUT wall – Emerging intermediate PUT support, which could slow a decline. 5750 PUT support – Strongest PUT gamma wall and support. Keep these levels in mind throughout the week, as they will likely influence market movements and the volatility environment. By applying the right options strategies, this information can help you structure profitable positions.
SP:SPX
by TanukiTrade
7