Is it time to buy some OIL? EngineeringRobo warned you!Oil prices have plunged this year, as supply has jumped and demand has plummeted. They are down more than 50% just this month. On Monday, they took a new leg down, with West Texas Intermediate crude futures temporarily falling below $20. The last time Texas oil settled below $20 was in 2002.
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Oilsignals
USOIL Action plan after the InventoriesPattern: Channel Down on the 4H chart.
Signal: (A) Bearish as long as the 4H MA50 is intact and (B) Bullish if it gets crossed.
Target: (A) 15.00 (-40% fall as in the previous Lower Low sequence) and (B) 34.00 (the previous Lower High of the pattern).
Previous signal:
LONG CRUDE OIL WTIThe drop in oil prices is caused by excess supply and shrinking demand (due to covid19 causing demand for oil to drop since industry like transportation don’t need that much anymore).
Russia refused to cut production, in a bid to drown America's high-cost shale producers in a sea of cheap crude. Saudi Arabia responded by slashing prices and ramping up production and this is exactly the opposite of what was needed to balance the market.
Major oil companies including Chevron (CVX) and ExxonMobil (XOM) have been said to have announced cost cutting measures. Another company, Occidental Petroleum (OXY) slashed its dividend by 86%.
OILU LONG SET UP OILU ULTRAPRO 3X CRUDE OIL ETF
ENTRY 1 1.20
ENTRY 2 1.00
SL 0.13
TP.1 $8.00
TP.2 18.20
TP.3 28.20
TP.4 36.00
TP.5 48.00
act.webull.com
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CRUDE OIL Price Will Drop To $20 or Worst $18.15| 3rd March 2020Price oil not only has been a target to a massive selling from investor but the oversupply from the country exporters while China that has to be no.1 oil purchaser has not buying oil price as per regular basis. As per chat on monthly timeframe, there was a significant supply has been going on in the market recently. The chart clearly shown that the supply of oil still continue to supply even the crisis of pandemic has gotten worst.
To prevent this to be oversupply, the oil producer has being in the decision to cut the oil supply so that to maintain the fair price of oil around $50 per barrel.
While this cut is implementing, it will takes time to be control. The price right now closed around $45 as 1st March 2020.
The price has done the correction pattern which is why it tends to slope against the prior uptrend. It is a short term pattern and this will tally to the cutting implementation from the oil producers countries.
I am predicting the price of oil will bearish hitting around $20.00 or worst $18.15 per barrel before it will continue bullish to meet the fair price.
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USOIL Why it MUST hold this Triangle. Danger for $42.5 otherwiseThe pattern is a Channel Down since the April 2019 66.60 top. However with the price rejected on the 54.60 Resistance and pulling back to the 49 region the very bearish fractal of 21 Nov - 14 Dec 2018 comes to my mind. See how both then and now the price traded within the 54.60 Resistance and 49.30 Support.
As a result buyers must defend the Lower Low zone of the long term Channel Down (which I have displayed it with the green Triangle) if they want to avoid an aggressive break down to the 42.30 1W Support (24 December bottom).
On the other hand, every time the Channel Down made a Lower Low, the price always made a pull back after the first rebound. I have illustrated that with the circles. It never jumped aggressively to a new High. So as long as the Lower Low zone holds, it is a long term technical buy.
Oil to trade over $100 Beginning of 2019 we saw a change in character with a sharp bull move to 66.20 level end in May 2019.
Oil as been in a accumulation until February 2020 where we saw a run on equal lows. Sweeping out stops positioned below the 50.20 level then trading higher.
This area dips down into the buy zone of the 61.8 fib retracement level. Institutions are defending the 50.5 level with a higher move above $100 handle, with a projected target of 113.20
USOIL: Buy Signal Oil price is seemingly getting bid at the important 315º @ 5770. Long entries from here with potential targets of 5890, a 45º movement and 6010, a 90º movement. The context to the left dictates a short, but we are going against the tide here to capture a decent return on minimal risk of 30 ticks.
WTI OIL Buy SignalPattern: 1D Channel Up.
Signal: Bullish as group of parameters is fulfilled: 1. Reached the Higher Low of the pattern, 2. Made contact with the 1D MA50, 3. Hit the 1.3 Fibonacci retracement level after the Iran attacks, 4. The RSI is on a 3 month support level.
Target: 64.00 (Higher High trend line of the pattern) and in extension (depending on the geopolitics at the time) 66.00 (just below the 1W Resistance).
See how accurate this pattern with Supports and symmetrical Resistance levels has been in the past:
CLJ0 Daily AnalysisThis analysis of CLJ2020 , the contract for April 2020 delivery, is an attempt at forecasting oil price into Q3 2020. A potential supply area around 6275-6325 via an increasing urge to lock in profits/reduce short risk exposure . Also, the risk of downside for longs is ever more noticeable as oil approaches the 3-sigma area where odds of mean reversion greatly increase. Looking for selling into strength opportunities in the lower timeframes is reasonable it seems.