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USOIL a possible breakout soon Hello everyone, as we all know the market action discounts everything :) _________________________________Make sure to Like and Follow if you like the idea_________________________________ The Crude Oil market has shown itself to be resilient as we had initially pulled back but now are turning around to show signs of life again. In the last 2 weeks, the market has been moving sideways between a Resistance located between 70.40 - 71.04 and a Support of 68.27 - 66.79. The price has increased from the last drop that happened last month in August by 15% where the market was trading near the 61$ range. Could this movement be the start of a Bearish long-term trend ?? Notice on the chart that for the last couple of months we've been having lower Tops and lower Bottoms, So if we look at the big picture of the market right now it seems that the market is having a corrective wave at the moment but a certain drop will most likely happen soon. But Technical Analysis shows that the market is still in a Bullish state. Possible Scenarios for the market : Scenario 1 : The market is having its corrective wave right now and trading near the resistance zone extended from 70.40 - 71.04, If the Bulls were able to group up and gather their power then we might see a breakout happening in that zone which could lead the market back up to the 73.84 resistance level. The market has formed 3 Outside up candlestick pattern (Strong Bullish Sign). Scenario 2 : Looking at the chart we notice that we are having some kind of a Bearish trend (It Could be Small it Could be BIg) and the price has reached the edge of the resistance zone, which could indicate that the bounce down from that zone will happen and it will drop the price to the 68.27 Level, Where the support zone start. A battle will happen between the Bulls and Bears and the Bears will win if it turns out that the bearish move is big, and a further drop will happen which could lead the market back to the 60$ level in the next 2 months. Technical indicators show : 1) The market is above the 5 10 20 50 100 and 200 MA and EMA (Strong Bullish sign) 2) The RSI is at 56.00 showing strength in the market. No divergences were found between the indicator and the market. 3) The MACD is above the 0 line which indicates that the market is in a Bullish state, With a positive crossover between the MACD line and the Signal line. Daily Support and Resistance : support Resistance 1) 69.76 1) 70.40 2) 69.35 2) 70.63 3) 69.12 3) 71.04 Weekly Support and Resistance : support Resistance 1) 68.27 1) 70.63 2) 66.79 2) 71.51 3) 65.91 3) 72.99 Fundamental point of view : At the beginning of the week, OPEC ( Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries ) will release the latest monthly oil market report. WTI crude oil prices have been weakening since July. This comes amid concerns about the global growth outlook as the Covid Delta variant has been sapping demand woes. US retail sales may also stir volatility, especially if Covid shows increasing signs of making its way into the economy. Earlier this week OPEC decided to increase output by 400,000 barrels per day (bpd) for the month of October, in line with its gradual plan to reintroduce supply into international markets after drastically withdrawing supply at the start of the pandemic. According to Dailyfx This is my personal opinion done with technical analysis of the market price and research online from fundamental analysts for The Fundamental point of view, not financial advice. If you have any questions please ask and have a great day !! Thank you for reading.
TVC:USOIL
by GabiDahduh
WTI OIL analysis on the 1D and 4H time-framesLast time I analyzed WTI Oil on August 24, I made it clear that it was trading within a long-term Triangle and until it broke, its price action would be sideways: I stressed out the importance of the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the Lower Highs trend-line of that Triangle. Well as you see on the chart, WTI Oil got rejected exactly on that Resistance level twice and has been pulling-back since. Until the price closes a 1D candle above the 1D MA50, the bias are towards the Pivot Zone. A 1D closing below it, sees the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) as target, which last time held (August 20-23). That is on the left chart which is on the 1D time-frame. On the 4H time-frame (right chart), a Channel Up has been formed, which naturally is limited by the Lower Highs trend-line (and 1D MA50) of the Triangle. The previous 4H candle, even though it broke below the Channel Up, it managed to close inside it, so as long as we close within the pattern, the short-term target is 71.50. On the long-term, as shown on the 1D chart, it is the 74.15 Resistance. ** Please support this idea with your likes and comments, it is the best way to keep it relevant and support me. ** -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- !! Donations via TradingView coins also help me a great deal at posting more free trading content and signals here !! 🎉 👍 Shout-out to TradingShot's 💰 top TradingView Coin donor 💰 this week ==> GJMRealEstate --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
TVC:USOIL
by TradingShot
WTI OIL had the biggest weekly rise since May 31 2020!WTI Crude Oil posted last week the strongest 1W candle (+10.30%) since May 31 2020 (+11.44%). What can this possibly mean for future prices? Alone nothing. But as you see, last week's bounce came after a 1W RSI touch on the 43.50 Support which has been holding since May 2020 as well. That makes the bullish case stronger but based on the September - October 2020 fractal (right before the U.S. elections) we may see one last pull-back before a new rally. As seen on the chart, that pull-back may find Support on the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). As long as this holds, the trend will remain bullish, so for a swing trader, the best course of action would be to scale with a buy now and if the price pulls back, add another closer to the 1W MA50. ** Please support this idea with your likes and comments, it is the best way to keep it relevant and support me. ** -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- !! Donations via TradingView coins also help me a great deal at posting more free trading content and signals here !! 🎉 👍 Shout-out to TradingShot's 💰 top TradingView Coin donor 💰 this week ==> vychod --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
TVC:USOIL
by TradingShot
1
WTI OIL aiming at the 1D MA50Pattern: Triangle on 1D. Signal: Buy as the price (a) made a strong rebound on the Higher Lows trend-line, (b) near the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and (c) broke above the Pivot Zone. Target: The 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). ** Please support this idea with your likes and comments, it is the best way to keep it relevant and support me. ** -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- !! Donations via TradingView coins also help me a great deal at posting more free trading content and signals here !! 🎉 👍 Shout-out to TradingShot's 💰 top TradingView Coin donor 💰 this week ==> nevada999 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
TVC:USOILLong
by TradingShot
2
Analyzing RECAF and USOIL Recently, USOIL and RECAF have both taken a tumble. Named "The Hottest Oil Play in Decades," we surely have more to see from RECAF in 2021 and 2022. As you can see, USOIL's candlestick progression is clearly notated by the dark grey line displaying price action on the front. Experts predict USOIL to bottom around $55-60 USD. After that, experts predict OIL to stabilize around $65-80 USD levels. The ultimate top predicted is $100. This would lead to gas prices around $4/gallon for your Suburu's fill up. At around $2.50, we still have plenty of room to run. However, Biden's administration has asked for lower gas prices for now, as the economy continues to recover from COVID. Will the Oil Barons be able to produce more oil to lower gas prices, or will we see gas prices once again rising up? I wouldn't put it out the question. ACTION PLAN: Currently, RECAF is still in a bear pattern, though we still a slight uptick today as price actions grapples for the last few bites of the bear. 1. Can RECAF's stock price go down to the most favorable price target for longs, $1.80-3.50 USD? Formidable support levels lie here, protecting it from falling lower. 2. Or will we remain in a bottoming formation pattern around $4.75-5.25 USD? The median price is $6.20 USD and that may be met sooner or later. Overall long price target for long-term holders: $12.81 USD Feel free to write your thoughts in the comments as well.
OTC:RECAF
by Grandmaster76
WTI OIL Double bottom at $65?WTI Oil has been trading within a Channel Up on the 1D time-frame since March. Despite the relative weakness we saw in July and so far in August, yesterday the price held on the 65.00 level , which if it holds will be a Double Bottom event. This is not a formation that WTI Crude Oil is unfamiliar with, as on April 05 it made the very same Double Bottom while being on a corrective wave under the pressure of Lower Highs. Once those broke, the price went on to post Higher Highs within the 1.618 - 1.786 Fibonacci extensions. With the RSI on a Higher Lows much like in April, we expect to see new Highs once the Lower Highs trend-line breaks. Until then you may target the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). ** Please support this idea with your likes and comments, it is the best way to keep it relevant and support me. ** -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- !! Donations via TradingView coins also help me a great deal at posting more free trading content and signals here !! 🎉 👍 Shout-out to TradingShot's 💰 top TradingView Coin donor 💰 this week ==> nevada999
TVC:USOILLong
by TradingShot
8
WTI OIL Golden Cross 1W. One last top before major correction?Last week the Golden Cross (when the MA50 crosses over the MA200) on the 1W time-frame for WTI Oil went unnoticed. Last time we had a 1W Golden Cross was way back in April 2018. This raises an interesting fractal comparison. As you see the price action when the Golden Cross happens is within a Channel Up both now then in 2018. Interestingly enough, when the Channel Up pattern started on both occasions, the RSI started printing Lower Highs, meaning it was on a Bearish Divergence. In 2018 that ultimately led to a blow-off top. Both sequences hit the $77.00 as their Highs. Does that fractal comparison indicate that WTI has one last dead-cat bounce to make before a major correction? What do you think? ** Please support this idea with your likes and comments, it is the best way to keep it relevant and support me. ** -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- !! Donations via TradingView coins also help me a great deal at posting more free trading content and signals here !! 🎉 👍 Shout-out to TradingShot's 💰 top TradingView Coin donor 💰 this week ==> sikret --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
TVC:USOIL
by TradingShot
4
Has Oil's uptrend come to an end?My short answer is no. Oil hasn't peaked yet in my opinion, although in the short term it might chop between 63-77$ before a big breakout. As OPEC+ has decided to increase production, we might slowly see the effects of that + there are some general deflationary pressures like new Covid strains and endless lockdowns that might push oil lower in the short term. However in my opinion due to the ESG movement and the climate change proponents in general, the underinvestment in oil + forced production cuts due to protests might limit supply so much that if demand slowly increases the price of oil could skyrocket. Technically Oil is still in an uptrend and its more than a decade long bear market has come to an end. Speculators were flushed out but oil has manage to hit some key levels which if broken might attract more speculative capital in the market. Above 77$, 90$ is a very easy target and we could see it go even to 100$+. In the short term if there is a panic across all markets and we get a strong dip everywhere, I think oil could get to 42-55$, which in my opinion would be an incredible opportunity. Oil around 50$ is ok for allowing for more global growth, but it is also signaling slow growth. Low oil prices could translate in lower bond yields which would mean deflation which would allow the status quo to remain.
TVC:USOIL
by BitcoinMacro
WTI OIL needs to break this Lower Highs trend-linePattern: Channel Up on 1D. Signal: Buy if the Lower Highs trend-line breaks or if the MACD forms a Bullish Cross. Target: 80.00 (below the 1.5 Fibonacci extension). ** Please support this idea with your likes and comments, it is the best way to keep it relevant and support me. ** -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- !! Donations via TradingView coins also help me a great deal at posting more free trading content and signals here !! 🎉 👍 Shout-out to TradingShot's 💰 top TradingView Coin donor 💰 this week ==> CryptoCreatin --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
TVC:USOILLong
by TradingShot
5
WTI OIL Buy SignalPattern: Channel Up on 1D. Signal: Buy as the price (a) reached the Higher Lows trend-line of the Channel Up, (b) entered the Ichimoku Cloud and (c) the RSI hit its 1 year Support line. Target: 77.80 (the previous Higher High). Previous WTI OIL signal: ** Please support this idea with your likes and comments, it is the best way to keep it relevant and support me. ** -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- !! Donations via TradingView coins also help me a great deal at posting more free trading content and signals here !! 🎉 👍 Shout-out to TradingShot's 💰 top TradingView Coin donor 💰 this week ==> ProjectSyndicate
NYMEX:CLQ2021Long
by TradingShot
3
WTI OIL Getting closer to a buyPattern: Channel Up on 1D. Signal: Buy when contact is made with the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) or the RSI enters the long-term buy zone. Target: 79.50 (top of the Channel). ** Please support this idea with your likes and comments, it is the best way to keep it relevant and support me. ** -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- !! Donations via TradingView coins also help me a great deal at posting more free trading content and signals here !! 🎉 👍 Shout-out to TradingShot's 💰 top TradingView Coin donor 💰 this week ==> ridethepig --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
TVC:USOILLong
by TradingShot
6
sell of in oil today, exhaustion to higher timeframe uptrend?The past two days we have seen a sell off in oil and exhaustion to major levels, we know that crude oil will also affect the price of the CAD so we have also seen weakness in that currency also. on the higher timeframe you can see that we have a weekly uptrend and i have highlighted what happened last time price reached this level. what we are going to wait for is a full and complete exhaustion and price action and entry confirmation that buyers are coming back in with a bullish candle on the daily timeframe. this will take some patience but being a trader most of the time is being able to sit on your hands.
TVC:USOIL
by Trade_Rocket_Investments
WTI OIL Channel Up rejection shows strong pull-back nextPattern: Channel Up on 1D. Signal: Sell as the price got rejected on the Higher Highs trend-line of the Channel Up. This will be confirmed once the 1D MACD makes a Bearish Cross. Target: The 4H MA200 initially (red trend-line) and the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) in extension where yuo can shift to a buy. ** Please support this idea with your likes and comments, it is the best way to keep it relevant and support me. ** -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- !! Donations via TradingView coins also help me a great deal at posting more free trading content and signals here !! 🎉 👍 Shout-out to TradingShot's 💰 top TradingView Coin donor 💰 this week ==> fract --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NYMEX:CLQ2021Short
by TradingShot
1