Nzdusdidea
NZDUSD : Extended Movement and About to ReverseHi Guys.
Just at glance I see the potential to take long shot at critical zone.
It left a few pips to get touch to the order. If you can catch this then why not to take a small risk.
NU has been in bearish mode quite sometimes. I think its time to reverse permanently. Even temporarily i believe we can get 100-200 pips.
Cut your long position if CS close below the zone.
good luck
NZDUSD approaching support, prepare to buyBuy above 0.7176. Stop loss at 0.7137. Take profit at 0.7240.
Reason for the trading strategy (technically):
We prepare to turn bullish above 0.7176 support (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap support) for a push up to 0.7240 resistance (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap resistance).
Stochastic (21,5,3) is seeing strong support at the 10% level where we expect a bounce in price from.
Reason for the trading strategy (fundamentally):
The major news item today affecting USD is the Gross Domestic Product (GBP) which measures the annualized change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy. It is the broadest measure of economic activity and the primary indicator of the economy's health. If the actual release is better than the forecast, that means it is good for the currency and we can expect USD to strengthen. However, if the actual release is less than the forecast, that means it is bad for USD and we can expect USD to weaken. Our current forecast is for a rise from 1.9% to 2.1% which means we could expect a stronger USD, this goes against our bullish NZDUSD view, hence, it is best to exercise caution on this trade.
The other major news event driving the USD today is the U. of Michigan Confidence. It assesses consumer confidence regarding personal finances, business conditions and purchasing power based on hundreds of telephone surveys. A low or falling University of Michigan Sentiment value is considered an early indicator of an economic downturn. We’re expecting a higher value which means a stronger USD, which goes against our bullish NZDUSD trade today too.
NZDUSD profit target reached again, prepare to buyBuy above 0.7176. Stop loss at 0.7137. Take profit at 0.7240.
Reason for the trading strategy (technically):
Price has dropped nicely and is reaching our profit target perfectly. We prepare to turn bullish above 0.7176 support (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap support) for a push up to 0.7240 resistance (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap resistance).
Stochastic (21,5,3) is seeing strong support at the 10% level where we expect a bounce in price from.
Reason for the trading strategy (fundamentally):
The main news event today is the U.S. Durable Goods Orders. Durable goods are typically sensitive to economic changes. When consumers become sceptical about economic conditions, sales of durable goods are one of the first to be impacted since consumers can delay purchases of durable items, like cars and televisions, only spending money on necessities in times of economic hardship. Conversely, when consumer confidence is restored, orders for durable goods rebound quickly. The headline figure is expressed as a percentage change from previous months. A decrease in this value would mean a weaker USD. Forecasts for this month is expecting a significant rise from last month which means a stronger USD. This goes against our bullish NZDUSD view, hence, it is important to exercise caution on this trade.
NZDUSD profit target reached perfectly, time to start sellingSell below 0.7240. Stop loss at 0.7285. Take profit at 0.7176.
Reason for the trading strategy (technically):
Price shot up and reached our profit target perfectly from yesterday. We now turn bearish below 0.7240 resistance (Fibonacci retracement, Fibonacci extension, horizontal overlap resistance) for a drop to 0.7176 support (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap support).
Stochastic (21,5,3) is seeing strong resistance below the 92% level.
NZDUSD approaching major support, prepare to buyBuy above 0.7119. Stop loss at 0.7044. Take profit at 0.7242.
Reason for the trading strategy (technically):
Price is approaching major support at 0.7119 (Fibonacci retracement, Fibonacci extension, horizontal support) where we expect a bounce up to at least 0.7242 (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal swing high resistance).
Stochastic (21,5,3) is seeing strong support above the 4.2% level.