Nzdusdidea
NZDUSD Top-Down AnalysisHello Traders,
Here is the Top-Down Analysis of NZDUSD (Monthly, Weekly, Daily for direction and 4H for entry) for
Week 42 - 12 Oct
M > Market is moving in a downward channel. Price broke out of channel to test monthly resistance level. This level previously pushed price to downside and we expect price to get pushed down again. Price can drop down to create inverse H & S before making huge bullish move to the upside.
W > Price moved out of channel creating HH and HL, after rejection at resistance level price made an attempt to drop down but was unable to break support created by last HL, this also coincided with top of channel acting now as support.
D > Price moved up in a rising channel creating and respecting W and M formations. Price made double bottom at support created by last HL. While dropping down from resistance level price created an M formation and as expected price pull back to test neck and complete the formation. Price was creating LH and LL but last bullish candle has broken resistance created by LH creating questions around our setup. We are aware that support created by top of monthly channel is now a big task for revalidation of our expectation from monthly chart. Price can drop creating a new LL and testing top of channel as support. This can push price to the upside. Price will have to break this level to further continue with bearish move.
As per COT NZD had closure of few Long and major Short increasing net positions, confirming strength of ZXY for the said week. Short positions have reduced to least in current year. ZXY has been gaining strength slowly since June 2020. ZXY improved its position last week.
4H > Price has approached supply zone creating HH and HL, we need to monitor price action for reversal of current trend.
Pair Correlation > Pair has a positive correlation with AUDJPY, AUDUSD, NZDJPY and AUDCHF and negative correlation with USDCAD, EURAUD and EURNZD.
This was my Idea and I hope you find it useful. If you find the analysis of help please leave a LIKE and FOLLOW for receiving all updates during the week. In the comment section share your view or ask questions.
Thank You
AP17FX
NZDUSD SWING TRADE 08-Oct-2020Good day friends. Give us a thumbs up if you like our idea. Follow my profile to get new ideas and trade setups everyday
NZDUSD-Technical/Fundamental analysis
NZDUSD has firmly broken the trend line which is holding the bullish trend since September 25 The broke and retest was happened on October 06 which triggered the further selling of NZD dollar.
And the weak monetary policy by the RBNZ is the main cause for the accelerated selling of NZD dollar.
Yesterday the Reserve bank of new Zealand members reiterated that they will cut the policy rate to below zero level which is a clear sign for the bearish trend in NZDUSD in coming days.
The risk off mode in the market will help the USD to gain some pips against its counterparts such as euro , pound , kiwi dollar , Aussie dollar and Lonnie.
The price of NZDUSD is currently trading between the .382 and .50 Fibonacci retracement level. It was traded in a narrow range from October-01 to October-06 and then seen a sudden drop towards 0.65500.
And currently its retraced back towards .50 Fibonacci. Before this drop a minor consolidation phase was formed with the double top.
And the price is reached the major resistance level in price action the previous consolidation phase will act as support for the bear.
The swing target will be around 0.65110 and stop lose may placed above the .6615 which is a .382 Fibonacci level
SWING TRADE - NZDUSD
Sell @ 0.65865
Take profit @ 0.65165
Stop lose @ 0.66115
70 Pips target
Don't risk more than 1% of your capital
NZDUSD Top-Down AnalysisHello Traders,
Here is the Top-Down Analysis of NZDUSD (Monthly, Weekly, Daily for direction and 4H for entry) for
Week 41 - 06 Oct
M > Market is moving in a downward channel. Price broke out of channel last month to test monthly resistance level. This level previously pushed price to downside and we expect price to get pushed down again.
W > Price moved out of channel creating HH and HL, after rejection at resistance level price made an attempt to drop down but was unable to break support created by LH.
D > Price created double bottom at support created by demand zone. While dropping down price created an M formation and as expected price pull back to test the neck and complete formation. This will also bring liquidity to make an aggressive attempt to the downside. Price is now testing resistance level and we expect price to face rejection at this level and drop.
As per COT NZD saw addition of few Long and more Short reducing net positions, confirming weakness of NZD for the said week. ZXY improved its position last week.
4H > We can see loss of momentum as price is unable to create next HH. This setup will be invalid if price creates a HH on 4H timeframe.
Pair Correlation > Pair has a positive correlation with NZDJPY, AUDCHF and AUDUSD and negative correlation with EURAUD and EURNZD.
This was my Idea and I hope you find it useful. If you find the analysis of help please leave a LIKE and FOLLOW for receiving all updates during the week. In the comment section you can share your view and ask questions.
Thank You
AP17FX
NzdUsd at confluence resistanceThe things are clear fo NzdUsd, after the double top at 0.68, the pair dropped to 0.65 support and now is in a small recovery...
The pair is facing strong confluence resistance now (neckline and trend support, now resistance) and I believe a new leg down is on cards for Kiwi for the next sessions.
The first target for sellers is 0.65 support but the pair can drop further to 0.64 important support
NzdUsd towards 0.67 again?Exactly like its currency sister Aud, Nzd has held support and now is reversing.
That being said I expect NzdUsd to continue its rise and a break of 0.66 interim resistance could lead to further gains towards 0.67.
As long as 0.6520 is intact buy dips is my preferred scenario
NZD/USD Is Going to Explode!At present, NZDUSD following a price channel pattern strategy. In the above chart, it has created three major parallel channels A , B , & C .
Pay attention to the parallel channel C. It is creating a new downtrend for a short period. Now, the New Zealand Dollar / U.S. Dollar can fall to the following levels:
Target Price 1: 0.67100
Target Price 2: 0.66936
Target Price 3: 0.66660
Short NZDUSDThere is the possibility that the first uptrend with the Ending Diagonal pattern ended in the range of 0.6797.By crossing the price range of 0.66011, the completion of the Ending Diagonal pattern is confirmed, we can hope the continuation of the downtrend extends up to the first target of 0.6380.
NZDUSD is trading in a tight rangeNZDUSD
The swing momentum was slowed and downward trend was resumed after reaching the September high 0.67880 it felled towards 0.66000 level.
The key support price also broken at 0.67416 which is a clear sign of bearish trend and now this pair is trading in a range.
We can short this pair and the potential take profit would be 0.66000 which is a 61.8% Fibonacci and key psychological level. Stop lose may place above the 0.67400 level.
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Disclaimer
It’s not a financial advice. Do the analyze and take a decision.
NzdUsd outlookAs I've said in my previous analysis, the false break above 0.67 zone marks a top for NzdUsd.
The pair dropped to 0.66 after this false break and now is correcting this move.
My opinion is unchanged from bearish in the medium term and I will look for opportunities to sell this pair for 0.6650 target
NZDUSD - sell biasedHi all traders,
For NU, im actually looking for more downside for this pair.
Reason being.
This pair have reach an important level.
Any attempt to touch the trend line, we should be looking for sell opportunity for now.
However, if the trend line is broken strongly , we might see it test the top level again and if fail, we should continue sell again.
The reason for it being sell biased is also mainly due to usd strength.
Of course if, USD strength does not appear. We should be looking for continuation upwards. But for now, im still sell biased until i see the top level is broken.
Cheers and trade safe! =)
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NZDUSD-Wave 5 Wave B / 2 has ended in the range of 0.54691 which indicates we should wait for the uptrend. (If the initial 5 ascending waves forming)
We are currently in 5th wave of the first uptrend, which can be extended to the targets from 0.6830 to 0.6840. Then the downtrend resumption in direction of a corrective wave for this uptrend will begin.
NZDUSD local signal (SHORT)Hello friends.
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Everything on the chart.
open pos: market
targets: 0.656 - 0.654 - 0.652
after first target reached move ur stop to breakeven
stop: 0.6635 (depending of ur risk). ALWAYS follow ur RM .
risk/reward almost 1 to 4
Good luck
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NzdUsd outlookYesterday I've written that 0.65 is "the line in the sand" for NzdUsd and this support is becoming more and more strong with bears very reluctant around that area.
Now the pair is trading at 0.6555, very close of the recent range resistance and a break here would put bulls in advantage and would expose 0.6650 resistance.
NZDUSD*ENG*
- Price hitting our supportive zone, we are expecting a reversal from this area.
- If price breaks, look for the retest in order to enter short.
*PT*
- Preço a atingir a nossa zona de suporte, estamos a aguardar uma possível reversão neste nível.
- Se o preço quebrar, aguardar pelo retest em ordem a entrar short.