Strifor || AUDUSD-NFP SetupPreferred direction: SELL
Comment: The Australian dollar is also expected to undergo a downward correction, as we suppose. Against the background of today's NFP , the instrument may even grow towards the level of 0.66659 , but in the medium term, it is unlikely that the buyer will be able to gain a foothold. Perhaps not today, then at the beginning of next week, against the backdrop of depleted purchasing power, the price will tend to the level of 0.65500.
There are assumptions about a fall to support 0.65010 , where a very large accumulation of long positions is located, and a re-test of this area very much suggests itself. However, this is another story, for now, we limit ourselves to the target at the level of 0.65500 .
Additional comments on this trade will be provided as situation changes. Follow us!
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NZDUSD
Market Analysis: NZD/USD Start Fresh RallyMarket Analysis: NZD/USD Start Fresh Rally
NZD/USD is also rising and could extend its increase above the 0.6200 resistance zone.
Important Takeaways for NZD/USD Analysis Today
NZD/USD is gaining pace above the 0.6155 support.
A key bullish trend line is forming with support at 0.6170 on the hourly chart of NZD/USD at FXOpen.
NZD/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of NZD/USD on FXOpen, the pair followed AUD/USD. The New Zealand Dollar formed a base above the 0.6070 level and started a decent increase against the US Dollar.
The pair climbed above the 0.6125 resistance and the 50-hour simple moving average. The pair even spiked above 0.6180. A high is formed near 0.6183 and the pair is now consolidating gains.
On the upside, the pair is facing resistance near the 0.6185 zone. The NZD/USD chart suggests that the RSI is stable above 50. The next major resistance is near the 0.6200 level. A clear move above 0.6200 might even push the pair toward the 0.6250 level.
Any more gains might clear the path for a move toward the 0.6320 resistance zone in the coming days. On the downside, there is a support forming near 0.6170. There is also a bullish trend line forming with support at 0.6170.
The next major support is 0.6155 or the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.6068 swing low to the 0.6183 high. If there is a downside break below the 0.6155 support, the pair might slide towards 0.6125.
The 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.6068 swing low to the 0.6183 high is also at 0.6125. Any more losses could lead NZD/USD in a bearish zone to 0.6070.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Strifor || AUDUSD-05/03/2024Preferred direction: BUY
Comment: When considering medium-term trades, we continue to adhere to the buy-priority for the AUDUSD currency pair. As expected, right now the instrument is already recording a new local minimum, which we prescribed in scenario №2 . This scenario is now more relevant.
It should be noted that during this week the price will most likely fall towards the level of 0.64500 , however, longs can already be accumulated. The global growth target is located at the level of 0.66000 , but during this trade, we do not rule out an earlier closing near the level of 0.65500 or earlier, depending on what the fall will be.
Additional comments on this trade will be provided as situation changes. Follow us!
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NZDUSD Will Go Up! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for NZDUSD.
Time Frame: 3h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 0.609.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 0.611 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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NZDUSD H4 | Potential bullish breakoutNZDUSD is rising to the swing-high resistance, our buy entry level. It could potentially breakout of the buy entry and rise to the take profit.
Buy entry will be at 0.61469, the swing-high resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibo retracement.
Our take profit will be at 0.62071, also a swing-high resistance.
The stop loss will be placed at 0.60809 the overlap support.
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Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
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Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Kiwi H4 | Potential bearish breakoutThe Kiwi (NZD/USD) is falling towards a potential breakout level and could drop lower from here.
Sell entry is at 0.60819 which is a potential breakout level.
Stop loss is at 0.61220 which is a level that sits above a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 0.60523 which is a multi-swing-low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
KIWI LONGVery interesting pool of support underneath. I have placed the buy limit order with the given stop and target. If the price does not give me a pullback within 8 hours I will pull the order. There is a potential engulfing forming in the daily as well after it swing failed the lows. So I think the shorts have been trapped already.
NZDUSD TRADE IDEA | 1hWaiting for DXY inducement to get in. Most of the USD pairs look like a short right now. Waiting for some reactions confirming my predictions. I don't predict in trading, I react to what I see.
It either goes to the hidden base or it might just drop off the inducement and imbalance fill.
Lets see!
What do you think?
LQP = Liquidity Pool
Kiwi H4 | Rising into resistanceThe Kiwi (NZD/USD) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop towards our take-profit target.
Entry: 0.61071
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level
Stop Loss: 0.61364
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that sits above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level
Take Profit: 0.60720
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
NZDUSD to find buyers at current support?NZDUSD - 24h expiry
Indecisive price action has resulted in sideways congestion on the intraday chart.
Short term RSI has turned positive.
A move through 0.6095 will confirm the bullish momentum.
The measured move target is 0.6125.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
We look to Buy at 0.6080 (stop at 0.6060)
Our profit targets will be 0.6130 and 0.6145
Resistance: 0.6100 / 0.6120 / 0.6160
Support: 0.6090 / 0.6080 / 0.6070
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The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
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New Zealand Dollar Bearish Sentiment and Trade Plan
Based on the latest COT report, non-commercial traders (speculators) have significantly increased theirlong positions in the NZD. This suggests that they are becoming less bearish on the New Zealand dollar and may be anticipating a potential rally.
Open Positions Retail Sentiment data also shows a decrease in short positions and an increase in long positions among retail traders. This is a contrarian indicator, as retail traders are often wrong at market turning points. Therefore, the increase in long positions among retail traders may suggest that the NZDUSD downside has further to go.
The NZDUSD pair is currently trading below a triggered BUY level at 0.6157. An upside move and testing this level could make a fine signal to entry point for a short position.