Kiwi H4 | Potential bullish bounceThe Kiwi (NZD/USD) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 0.6182 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 0.6096 which is a level that sits underneath a swing-low support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 0.6292 which is a swing-high resistance.
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NZDUSD
NZD/USD Eyes Reversal After Three-Day Rally,Supply Zone in FocusThe NZD/USD pair continues its upward momentum for the third consecutive day, trading around the 0.6250 mark during the early European hours on Friday. This resilience comes despite concerning economic data from New Zealand, which showed the economy contracted by 0.2% quarter-on-quarter in the second quarter of 2024, bringing the country perilously close to a recession. While this decline was less severe than the anticipated 0.4% contraction, it still underscores the economic challenges the nation is facing. On a year-on-year basis, the economy shrank by 0.5%, in line with market expectations.
The weak GDP figures have solidified market expectations of another 25 basis point rate cut by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) in October, as the central bank attempts to stabilize the slowing economy. However, despite these looming concerns, the NZD/USD pair has managed to maintain its bullish trajectory, likely supported by broad-based U.S. dollar softness and improving risk sentiment in global markets.
From a technical perspective, the NZD/USD is currently trading within our identified Supply area. This zone has historically acted as a strong resistance level, and we are closely monitoring the price action for signs of a potential reversal. With the pair approaching key technical levels, a pullback could be imminent if bearish signals start to emerge. The 0.6250 region remains crucial, and a sustained move above this level would challenge our forecast for a reversal, while a rejection here could validate a short position.
Traders should also keep an eye on upcoming economic releases and central bank decisions, which could further impact the outlook for the NZD/USD pair in the near term. As the RBNZ rate cut approaches, market volatility may increase, providing more clarity on the direction of the pair.
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WEEKLY FOREX FORECAST SEPT 16-20 USD EUR GBP AUD NZD CAD CHF JPYThis is Part 2 of the Weekly Forex Forecast for SEPT 16-20th.
In this video, we will cover:
USD Index, EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD, NZDUSD, USDCAD, USDCHF, USDJPY
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NZ dollar eyes Fed meet, New Zealand GDPThe New Zealand dollar has posted gains on Wednesday. NZD/USD is trading at 0.6211 at the time of writing, up 0.44% on the day.
Federal Reserve meetings are traditionally predictable affairs and don’t move the needle of the financial markets. Fed decision makers signal their intentions ahead of time in order to minimize market volatility. Today’s decision is up in the air and it remains unclear what the Fed is going to deliver – will it be a modest 25-basis point cut or a jumbo 50-bps slash? Market pricing of today’s cut has been swinging wildly, which could result in volatility after the decision.
The Fed has maintained a stance of ‘higher for longer’ for over a year and has brought down inflation close to the 2% target. The expectation not long ago was that the Fed would kick off the new rate-tightening cycle with a traditional 25-bps cut.
What has complicated matters is the recent deterioration in the US labor market. Job growth has fallen sharply and spooked the markets, with fears that the US economy could fall into a recession. The darkening employment picture has boosted the likelihood of a 50-bps cut, but such a deep cut could send a signal that the economy is in deep trouble and unnerve investors.
The markets will be keeping a close eye on the Fed’s ‘dot plot’, which will signal the expected rate path over the next few years as well as updated economic forecasts. The Fed is expected to be aggressive in its rate cuts, now that inflation is largely beaten and the employment picture has deteriorated.
Overshadowed by the dramatic Fed meeting, New Zealand will release second-quarter GDP early on Thursday. The markets are bracing for a contraction in growth. In the first quarter, the economy showed slight growth of 0.2% q/q and 0.3% y/y. This is expected to fall to -0.4% q/q and -0.5% y/y.
NZD/USD has pushed above resistance at 0.6199. Above, there is resistance at 0.6240
There is support at 0.6153 and 0.6112
NZDUSD SELL SIGNAL. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
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P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
NZD/USD SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
Hello, Friends!
NZD/USD pair is in the downtrend because previous week’s candle is red, while the price is obviously rising on the 12H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 0.610 because the pair is overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
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NZDUSD - 4hrs ( Buy Trade Target Range 150 PIP ) Pair Name : NZD/USD
Time Frame : 4hrs Chart / Close
Scale Type : Large Scale
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spreading knowledge among us and to clarify the most importan+t points of entry, exit and entry with more than 5 reasons
We seek to spread understanding rather than make money
Key Technical / Direction ( Buy Opportunity ) Break Out
Type : Mid Term Swing
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☑ Bullish Break: 0.62050
💠 Chance of Successful Breakout at This Level: 80%
This level has experienced 7 bounces and has respected the breakout each time.
💠 Key Level Mention and Reasoning
Our key breakout level is 0.62050. The price has retested this level multiple times, and there has been one fake-out. This shows the level's significance and strength in price action.
💠 Crosses with Trend or Channel?
Yes, our breakout level intersects with a pattern breakout in the same area, reinforcing the importance of this level.
💠 Volume at This Level
Yes, we have strong volume in this area, which caused the price to move quickly and significantly after the breakout.
💠 Psychological Level Involvement
Yes, the breakout area represents a psychological level, as it is a major daily area that many traders focus on.
💠 Market Sentiment: Bullish or Bearish?
Our background is bullish. This is indicated by a healthy breakout candle, and the Fib Golden Zone has already been broken with visible range volume support.
Target Range for This Trade: 150 Pips
NZD/USD Rises Ahead of Fed Decision, Reversal Risk LoomsNZD/USD has appreciated in recent trading sessions, supported by improved global risk sentiment as markets anticipate a potential interest rate cut by the U.S. Federal Reserve on Wednesday. However, while the New Zealand dollar has gained momentum, the outlook for the pair remains uncertain, with critical U.S. economic data expected today that could significantly impact all currency pairs trading against the U.S. dollar.
Key Market Drivers: Fed and U.S. Economic News
The Federal Funds Rate decision and the accompanying FOMC statement later this week are at the center of market attention. The potential rate cut by the Federal Reserve has already fueled a wave of optimism, boosting the New Zealand dollar. However, traders remain cautious as today’s U.S. economic news, including inflation and employment data, may provide critical insights into the strength of the U.S. economy ahead of the rate decision.
Any significant surprises in today's economic reports could shift sentiment across all USD pairs, including NZD/USD, potentially creating increased volatility leading up to Wednesday's announcement.
Technical Outlook: Overbought Conditions Raise Reversal Risk
From a technical perspective, NZD/USD is currently in overbought territory, raising concerns that a reversal may be on the horizon. The latest Commitment of Traders (COT) report reveals a striking divergence between retail traders and institutional players. Retailers remain highly bullish on the pair, indicating optimism for continued gains. On the other hand, "smart money," represented by institutional traders, has adopted a more bearish stance, signaling caution.
Given the pair’s overbought conditions and the growing divergence in trader sentiment, we have placed a pending order in anticipation of a potential reversal. This setup aligns with the COT data, where institutional positioning suggests that a pullback could be imminent.
What to Watch: Fed’s Statement and Market Reaction
As the week unfolds, the Federal Reserve's policy decision and statement will play a decisive role in the future trajectory of NZD/USD. A rate cut could further fuel the pair’s appreciation, but the market will closely scrutinize the Fed's tone regarding future rate cuts or tightening measures. Should the Fed take a more dovish stance, the U.S. dollar may weaken further, providing additional support for NZD/USD. Conversely, a more cautious or hawkish outlook could spark a shift in sentiment, favoring the U.S. dollar and triggering the expected reversal.
Conclusion: Caution Ahead of Volatility
While NZD/USD has benefited from recent risk-on sentiment, caution is warranted as the pair enters overbought territory. The ongoing divergence between retail traders and institutional investors, combined with the upcoming U.S. economic news and Fed decision, creates a complex landscape for traders. The potential for heightened volatility is high, making it essential to monitor these developments closely as the week progresses.
For now, our technical indicators and market analysis suggest that a reversal may be imminent, and we are positioned accordingly with a pending order in place. However, as always, the Federal Reserve’s policy outcome will likely be the deciding factor in the pair’s near-term direction.
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NZDUSD Breakout And Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NZDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.61900 zone, NZDUSD was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 0.61900 support and resistance zone.
Trade safe, Joe.
Bearish reversal?NZD/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6232
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Stop loss: 0.6299
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 0.6157
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
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NZD/USD "Kiwi" Bank Money Heist Plan on Bearish SideHola ola My Dear,
Robbers / Money Makers & Losers,
This is our master plan to Heist NZD/USD "Kiwi" Bank based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Short entry. Our target is Green Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is oversold / Consolidation / Trend Reversal / Trap at the level Bullish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
Note: If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money.
Entry : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Sell Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Swing High
Stop Loss : Recent Swing High using 2hrs timeframe
Warning : Fundamental Analysis comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update.
Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target.
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NZDUSD Will Collapse! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for NZDUSD is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 0.6187
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 0.6173
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Bullish bounce?NZD/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support and could bounce from his level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6125
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Stop loss: 0.6078
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 0.6234
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
NZDUSD is in the Selling DirectionHello Traders
In This Chart NZDUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today GBPUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (NZDUSD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on NZDUSD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
NZDUSD Sellers In Panic! BUY!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for NZDUSD is below:
The market is trading on 0.6116 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 0.6189
Recommended Stop Loss - 0.6074
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
#NZDUSD 4HNZDUSD 4H Sell Opportunity
Sell Level: 0.61750
Target Levels: 0.60900 / 0.60000
Description:
We are currently observing a sell opportunity for the NZDUSD pair on the 4-hour chart. The recommended entry point for this trade is at 0.61750.
Technical Analysis:
Resistance Level: The price has encountered resistance around the 0.61750 level, which has been validated by previous price action.
Downtrend Confirmation: The recent price action suggests a potential continuation of the downtrend, with the pair showing signs of bearish momentum.
Target Levels:The initial target for this trade is set at 0.60900, with a secondary target at 0.60000. These levels are based on previous support zones and Fibonacci retracement levels.
Trade Strategy:
1.Entry: Place a sell order at 0.61750.
2.Stop-Loss: Consider setting a stop-loss order slightly above the entry level to manage risk in case the market moves against the position.
3Take Profit: Set the take-profit levels at 0.60900 and 0.60000, adjusting based on market conditions and risk tolerance.
Risk Warning:
As with any trading opportunity, it is crucial to manage risk appropriately. Ensure to use proper risk management techniques, such as setting stop-loss orders and adjusting position sizes according to your trading strategy.
Happy trading!
NZD/USD SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
Previous week’s green candle means that for us the NZD/USD pair is in the uptrend. And the current movement leg was also up but the resistance line will be hit soon and upper BB band proximity will signal an overbought condition so we will go for a counter-trend short trade with the target being at 0.614.
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FOREX (NZDUSD) All long targets done using RisologicalFOREX (NZDUSD) All long targets done using Risological
Nice forex trade (NZDUSD) on Risological.
All long trade targets done nicely on the 15m time frame.
The Trailing stop is at 0.61645, so, small portion of the trade is still open for further upward profits.
If the price closes (15m candle close) below the Risological trend line - the dotted line acting as trailing stop, that will be the sign of trend reversal and we will look at fresh short position.
Thanks and all the best.
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