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NZD

NZD/USD: Odds for NZ rate cut? NZD/USD: Odds for NZ rate cut? This week the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) is expected to maintain interest rates unchanged at 5.5% Interestingly, as recently as February this year, the RBNZ was still deliberating rate hikes. Presently, the market attributes a 4% probability to a rate cut. The earliest feasible moment for a rate cut could be in November. However, the New Zealand economy entered a technical recession in the latter half of 2023, which could potentially prompt the RBNZ to consider rate cuts if economic fragility persists. Gareth Kiernan, the chief forecaster at Infometrics, anticipates a potentially more hawkish stance in the RBNZ's statement compared to February. Despite New Zealand's slightly more favorable interest rate differential, the Kiwi dollar has not managed to outperform the US dollar. Kiwi bulls are currently facing potential resistance at 0.6040 and then the 200-day simple moving average. On the downside, support could lay at 0.5993 and 0.5940. Traders might also like to closely monitor the upcoming US CPI figures. A positive surprise in the data could reignite momentum for the US dollar and push the NZD/USD pair down past its current weak trendlines.
by BlackBull_Markets
GBPNZD Dip buy opportunity on the 1D MA50.The GBPNZD pair gave us a strong buy signal last time we called on it (January 05 2024, see chart below) and even broke above the former Channel Down pattern: The trend transitioned into an Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S) and recently broke above its top. It has formed the first 1D Golden Cross in 1 year (since March 27 2023), so on the long-term we have confirmed a new bullish trend. Right now we are looking for a short pull-back towards the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) followed by an aggressive expansion towards the 2.0 Fibonacci extension, which is the typical target of the IH&S. Our target is lower on Resistance 1 at 2.15900. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
Could GBPNZD reverse from here?The price is rising towards an overlapping resistance level, which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement, and could reverse from this level to our take-profit target. Entry: 2.10588 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement Stop loss: 2.11738 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level Take profit: 2.09467 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
Must-know events for the trading week Must-know events for the trading week The week ahead in the US will be marked by significant events, including the release of the FOMC meeting minutes and March inflation data. Alongside the meeting minutes, investors will continue to analyze speeches from various Fed officials: Recent remarks from Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank President Neel Kashkari revealed that he had anticipated two interest rate cuts this year. However, he noted that if inflation remains sluggish, no cuts may be necessary. This outcome would really surprise the market, which is mostly still expecting three cuts, starting in June. Headline inflation is expected to rise for a second consecutive period to 3.4%, while the core rate is projected to decline to 3.7%, reaching its lowest level since April 2021. In Europe, all eyes will be on the European Central Bank's meeting, where current interest rates are anticipated to be maintained. The likelihood of future rate cuts will be assessed by the market at the same time. In Japan, investors will be monitoring potential intervention actions from the Bank of Japan to support the yen. Governor Kazuo Ueda will also be speaking during the week regarding the central bank's future steps. Meanwhile, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand is expected to leave the official cash rate unchanged at 5.5%. The RBNZ's latest forecast from February suggests that the OCR will remain steady until early to mid-2025, despite expressing increased confidence based on recent data.
TVC:DXY
by BlackBull_Markets
2
NZDJPY possible dropAfter price impulsed to the upside to take out previously formed trend line liquidity, it preceded to break structure to the downside to continue with its bearish trend. We see a similar impulse happening that takes out recently formed trend line liquidity. This impulse quickly reverses after tapping into an extreme supply zone that was formed during the bearish push. It then gave us a confirmed change of character on lower time frame. Zooming in, we find that price has currently formed liquidity that it could use to fuel its move further to the downside after filling in some imbalance, taking out our recently formed low and its liquidity.
Short
by BlackTygaTrades
1
Could NZDUSD bounce from here?NZDUSD is falling towards an overlap support level which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit Entry: 0.59903 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement Stop loss: 0.59404 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level Take profit: 0.60457 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
Potential bullish bouncePrice is falling towards an overlap support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit Entry: 2.09335 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement Stop loss: 2.08842 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement Take profit: 2.10611 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
NZDUSD to turnaround from the downtrend?NZDUSD - 24h expiry Price action looks to be forming a bottom. Further upside is expected. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels. A move through 0.6050 will confirm the bullish momentum. The measured move target is 0.6100. We look to Buy at 0.6020 (stop at 0.5992) Our profit targets will be 0.6090 and 0.6105 Resistance: 0.6050 / 0.6090 / 0.6100 Support: 0.6025 / 0.6020 / 0.6000 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Long
by OANDA
1
Potential bullish breakoutNZDUSD is showing a strong bullish momentum and could make a continuation to our take profit Entry: 0.60263 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement Stop loss: 0.59425 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level Take profit: 0.61057 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
Sell GBPNZD Triangle Breakout The GBP/NZD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a triangle pattern. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position (selling) below the broken support level of the triangle, ideally around 2.1100. This offers an entry point close to the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: Initial bearish targets lie at the following levels: 2.1011: This represents the height of the triangle, measured from the apex (highest or lowest point) to the base (opposite trendline), projected downwards from the breakout point. 2.0970: This is a further extension of the downside target, based on the height of the recent price movement before the breakout. These targets act as potential support zones that could see selling pressure. Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above the broken resistance line (depending on the triangle type) of the triangle, ideally around 2.1150. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards. Thank you
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
7
NZDUSD: Short term buy opportunityNZDUSD has turned bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 42.582, MACD = -0.004, ADX = 53.918) as up until two days ago it was on the 2nd Bearish Wave of the 2024 Channel Down. This wave appears to have ended as the price hit and rebounded on the S1 level, posting so far two very strong green 1D candles. The pair may make one more Lower Low as on February 5th but shouldn't be much lower than the S1 level. We are aiming at a similar +2.48% rise to the LH (TP = 0.60850). See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Long
by InvestingScope
2
AUDNZD Reversal expected. Cyclical bearish signal emerging.Has been a while since we looked into the AUDNZD pair, following our Sell Signal on November 16 2023 (see chart below): The price has now reached the 1.093250 Symmetrical Resistance, which has basically only broken once in the last 12 months. Ahead of a potential 1D MACD Bearish Cross, we see a high resemblance of the current High with the June 20 2023 peak. As a result, we are turning bearish on this pair, targeting the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level (as the July 14 2023 Low) at 1.07100. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
GBPNZD has a strong upside momentum, could it rise further?Price is falling towards an overlap support and could bounce from this level to our take profit Entry: 2.10607 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level which aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement Stop loss: 2.09344 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level Take profit: 2.12203 Why we like it: There is an alignment with the 78.6% Fibonacci projection Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
NZDJPY to form a lower high?NZDJPY - 24h expiry The primary trend remains bearish. The sequence for trading is lower lows and highs. Rallies should be capped by yesterday's high. Preferred trade is to sell into rallies. Bespoke resistance is located at 90.60. We look to Sell at 90.60 (stop at 90.84) Our profit targets will be 90.00 and 89.85 Resistance: 90.60 / 90.80 / 91.10 Support: 90.20 / 89.90 / 89.60 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Short
by OANDA
EURNZD to breakdown?EURNZD - 24h expiry Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible. An Evening Doji Star formation has been posted at the high. A break of bespoke support at 1.8000, and the move lower is already underway. Daily signals for sentiment are at overbought extremes. A higher correction is expected. We look to Sell a break of 1.7999 (stop at 1.8049) Our profit targets will be 1.7879 and 1.7859 Resistance: 1.8072 / 1.8099 / 1.8130 Support: 1.8000 / 1.7950 / 1.7900 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Short
by OANDA
NZDJPY Channel Up Buy SignalThe NZDJPY pair is on a Bearish Leg of the long-term Channel Up, below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) but above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), which is the long-term support. In fact the latter has been holding since June 02 2023. The minimum Bearish Leg decline within this pattern has been -3.77% so having almost completed this fall during the current pull-back, we now turn bullish on this pair, targeting 94.500 (+5.44% rise, which has been the minimum % increase of Bullish Legs within this pattern). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
NZDUSD to continue in the downward move?NZDUSD - 24h expiry There is no clear indication that the downward move is coming to an end. Further downside is expected. Short term RSI has turned negative. A move through 0.5925 will confirm the bearish momentum. The measured move target is 0.5890. We look to Sell at 0.5960 (stop at 0.5984) Our profit targets will be 0.5900 and 0.5890 Resistance: 0.5950 / 0.5965 / 0.5990 Support: 0.5925 / 0.5900 / 0.5890 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Short
by OANDA