Nvidia (NVDA) -> Path Ahead Is ClearMy name is Philip, I am a German swing-trader with 4+ years of trading experience and I only trade stocks , crypto , options and indices 🖥️
I only focus on the higher timeframes because this allows me to massively capitalize on the major market swings and cycles without getting caught up in the short term noise.
This is how you build real long term wealth!
In today's anaylsis I want to take a look at the bigger picture on Nvidia.
After Nvidia - just a couple of months ago - perfectly retested the bottom support trendline of the rising channel at the $120 level Nvidia stock pumped more than 300% towards the upside.
We do have next resistance coming in at the $600 level and although Nvidia looks quite overextended, I do expect more bullish continuation to retest the upper channel trendline.
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I know that this is a quite simple trading approach but over the past 4 years I've realized that simplicity and consistency are much more important than any trading strategy.
Keep the long term vision🫡
NVDA
NVDIA Can it hold the MA200 (4h) and rally hard?NVDA has hit and is so far consolidating on the MA200 (4h), touching it for the first time since January 6th 2023.
It is a triple support as besides the MA200, the price hit the bottom of the Megaphone pattern and the Rising Support (also since January).
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 525.00 (top of Megaphone).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1d) is almost turned oversold. The lowest it has been since September 26th 2022, which was the market's global bottom. An additional buy indication.
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Nvidia's Highs, Lows, and the Journey AheadNvidia, a renowned tech industry stalwart, is navigating through market turbulence, having witnessed its stock soar to record highs and subsequently decline, leaving investors pondering its future trajectory. On August 24th, the stock marked a record $502, but the $500 level acted as a psychological barrier, triggering a 15% retreat from its peak as it likely represented a pinnacle for investors.
This decline has momentarily stabilized above $400, with buyers striving to elevate the price amidst prevailing market forces. The low at $403 on August 14th is pivotal; breaching it could see the price descending to $400 and potentially to the next substantial support at $346, mirroring November 2021’s high.
Despite these oscillations, Nvidia boasts a year-to-date gain of 184%. If the current support sustains, a revisit to the $500 level is plausible. The ongoing scenario raises questions—Is this downturn transient, or does it herald a prolonged decline? Observing upcoming market trends and Nvidia’s performance will be crucial in deciphering the longevity of this downturn.
NVDA, AI MARKET Volatility-DRIVER, Prospects and Considerations!Hello There!
Welcome to my analysis about NVIDIA on several timeframe perspectives. The fourth industrial evulotion is accelerating massively with many stocks adopting the AI technology and others, the ones that are still operating on old economy level and do not adopt the new technology seems to depreciate and do not move forward with the rally similar as it has been seen within the dot-com bubble where 90% of the stocks within the market have been burned and did not recovered. Now, a major question is if NVDIDIA is catching the same fate and if it is ripe for a huge bearish bubble burst or it continues to print solid continuations and upside potential as it made within the recent times.
In this case the main AI Stock Index is a important indication as well as the fact that NVIDIA is continuing with the trend dynamics here. Especially as NVIDIA already moved faster and approached the all-time-high it has room for further continuations similar as it is within the wave developing within the AI Stock Index. This means that NVIDIA is having the target-zones within the upper boundary of the channel at around 1000. Once these have been reached it could turn out to be a major bearish distribution zone if the market changes and interest rates climb to higher levels. Therefore it will be important how and if NVIDIA shows up with bearish momentum because this is going to alter the dynamics.
In this manner, thank you everybody for watching, support is greatly appreciated, all the best!
VP
TSLA NVDA AAPL MSFT AMZN GOOGL META Price ForecastWelcome to the daily how to make money online with stock market Mega Cap 7 Tech stock, Nvidia Microsoft Google Apple Amazon Meta Tesla Stock, Technical Analysis Show where I break down the price action and let you guys know what the most likely scenario I think will be going forward.
00:00 QQQ & Sp500 ETF Stock Price Forecast
07:22 Tesla Stock TSLA Forecast Technical Analysis
09:18 Nvidia Stock NVDA Forecast Technical Analysis
11:58 Apple Stock AAPL Forecast Technical Analysis
13:45 Amazon Stock AMZN Forecast Technical Analysis
15:36 Google Stock GOOGL Forecast Technical Analysis
17:28 Microsoft Stock MSFT Forecast Technical Analysis
18:46 Meta Forecast Technical Analysis
AVGO and SOXS Preparing to Move BigSOXS the 3x Inverse ETF for Semiconductors, has broken out of a Bullish Head and Shoulders and now sits at the 89EMA. If things go as expected, SOXS should be clear to at least give us a 60-150% rally. At the same time, we also have a Bearish AB=CD on AVGO and what looks to simply be filling of a gap it made at $830 after breaking below its own slanted Bearish Head and Shoulders neckline as seen here:
If things go as I expect them to, we will see AVGO open the week to aggressive downside with minimum overall targets as deep as 50% below current prices.
NVDA: the trendline broke. Off to the next trendline.the trendline going back to Feb 2023 has been broken decisively, retested and failed with conviction. Even though August low hasn't been taken out yet, there is a good chance that it will be. Right now a bounce seems more likely. Daily RSI has a pretty nice bullish divergence, but it is not a guarantee that the pullback is done. Next week, we will need to see if price get another retest up to $438 breakdown area or even back to the bottom of the broken trendline and fail from there.
From EW count perspective, the price breakdown, specially the trendline break has a greater probability of a higher degree correction. I changed the count and brought it down two degrees to have Aug high as intermediate degree wave 3 and now getting wave 4 correction. That pairs well with the wave 2 correction back in December. Intermediate wave 4 can get pretty ugly. The invalidation point is all the way down to $188. So this correction could be over or could mess around with investors for a while. Right now, there is a channel support and below that there is another trendline support. There are various fib support in between. So, for now, safety is priority. Long or short, need to be careful about sticking around for too long. Good news is, when this id over, there is a final blow off leg coming up with target between $700-$750.
00:00 Economic Data, Rate Hike Data, Sentiment data, AAII Data 0Welcome to the daily how to make money online with stock market Mega Cap 7 Tech stock, Nvidia Microsoft Google Apple Amazon Meta Tesla Stock, Technical Analysis Show where I break down the price action and let you guys know what the most likely scenario I think will be going forward.
00:00 Economic Data, Rate Hike Data, Sentiment data, AAII Data
03:25 QQQ Forecast
08:43 Sp500 ETF analysis
10:10 Tesla Stock TSLA Forecast Technical Analysis
12:28 Nvidia Stock NVDA Forecast Technical Analysis
13:49 Apple Stock AAPL Forecast Technical Analysis
14:38 Amazon Stock AMZN Forecast Technical Analysis
16:02 Google Stock GOOGL Forecast Technical Analysis
17:16 Microsoft Stock MSFT Forecast Technical Analysis
18:28 Meta Forecast Technical Analysis
TSLA NVDA AAPL MSFT AMZN META GOOGL Price ForecastWelcome to the daily how to make money online with stock market Mega Cap 7 Tech stock, Nvidia Microsoft Google Apple Amazon Meta Tesla Stock, Technical Analysis Show where I break down the price action and let you guys know what the most likely scenario I think will be going forward.
00:00 QQQ Forecast
06:55 Sp500 ETF analysis
09:54 Tesla Stock TSLA Forecast Technical Analysis
11:21 Nvidia Stock NVDA Forecast Technical Analysis
13:45 Apple Stock AAPL Forecast Technical Analysis
14:45 Amazon Stock AMZN Forecast Technical Analysis
16:34 Google Stock GOOGL Forecast Technical Analysis
17:43 Microsoft Stock MSFT Forecast Technical Analysis
19:17 Meta Forecast Technical Analysis
NVDA - AnalysisNVDA
W1 - There is a double top, which may indicate a fall in price. After breaking through the trend line, the nearest target will be at level 345, if the price consolidates beyond the level of 401, it will be possible to consider a change in trend and in the global movement of the target to 269.83
The trend line may also be broken and the uptrend will continue
What can you expect?
Movement to levels 401 - 345.02 - further correction and formation of the next pattern is possible to understand the picture and how to act
Short
Targets – 401 - 374.59 - 345.02
Long-term perspective (retest needed\3rd wave) – targets 345.02 - 306.34 - 269.83
Long - will be considered when the situation changes.
TSLA NVDA AAPL MSFT AMZN META GOOGL Price ForecastWelcome to the daily how to make money online with stock market Mega Cap 7 Tech stock, Nvidia Microsoft Google Apple Amazon Meta Tesla Stock, Technical Analysis Show where I break down the price action and let you guys know what the most likely scenario I think will be going forward.
TSLA NVDA AAPL MSFT AMZN META GOOGL Price ForecastWelcome to the daily how to make money online with stock market Mega Cap 7 Tech stock, Nvidia Microsoft Google Apple Amazon Meta Tesla Stock, Technical Analysis Show where I break down the price action and let you guys know what the most likely scenario I think will be going forward.
- Stock Market QQQ & SPY in a neutral trend
- Stock market hourly trend will be our guide
Micron Tech forming a flag?MU is very interesting to me at the moment, it's currently formed a flag and as you can see in the chart we have had a steady up trend across the board in both price, RSI and MACD.
You could argue MACD has already broken out of a triangle type formation to the upside even.
The risk-to-reward ratio is quite good, you can place a trade with a stop loss just under the flag and it gives you almost a 9:1 RR. With a more liberal stop loss, you are still
looking at an R:R of almost 3:1.
The main concern here is if the tech sector start lagging in general, this could easily lag with it. Which is why I am inclined to buy the breakout and not the flag formation.
Cheers
🔥 ARM IPO: Worth the hype? Should I chase? What even is it?ARM DD:
Before you read this, understand that trying to buy IPOs when they begin trading isn't guaranteed and if you market buy, you will get roasted. It's not good to chase IPOs. No matter if this is the next NASDAQ:AAPL NASDAQ:TSLA and NASDAQ:AMZN combined, do not chase and only make wise and calculated decisions while trading.
I've been waiting for this IPO for a while. It's finally here. It might be the most over anticipated IPO in a while. Trade carefully. Do not chase blindly. Have a plan. Trade the plan. If it doesn't come, move on.
If you learn something or want to trade with me, give me a follow & join my community. Thanks.
IPO valued @ $55B.
Around $51 per share.
They are only releasing 9% of the total shares to the public. So it has a tiny float.
SoftBank is the owner, they bought ARM 7 years ago.
The floor for me is 40B USD valuation. Meaning, around $38.50 is support. Where did I get that number? NVDA was closing on buying ARM for 40B USD in 2020.
NASDAQ:NVDA , NASDAQ:INTC , NASDAQ:AMD , NASDAQ:AAPL , NASDAQ:GOOG , TSM, Samsung, are all interested in investing in ARM.
What does ARM do?
ARM is not a chip manufacturer.
ARM designs chips & system processors & holds patents to chips and they license their technology to other big tech like AAPL, NVDA. Hence, NVDA wanted to buy them for 40B USD.
THE POSITIVES:
SoftBank bought out someone's 25% stake in ARM recently. For 16B USD. That puts it at a FWB:64B valuation in their eyes. That means the owner of ARM expects ARM to surpass 64B USD.
NVDA CEO loves ARM, but NVDA failed to acquire it.
NVDA CEO has been selling NVDA. Around 150k shares this year. Last sale 14M USD on 9/11/23. IMO he's freeing up to buy ARM @ IPO. Remember SoftBank is a 90% owner. Everyone who wants it gets it at IPO. Yes, even NVDA CEO.
The float is tiny, and asset managers .
NYSE:TSM expressed interest of 100M USD investment
This might be the most hyped IPO in a while.
THE NEGATIVES:
SoftBank is a known dumper.
SoftBank bought ARM in 2016 for $32B. They tried flipping it in 2020 for 40B USD to NVDA. So they were happy with a 8B flip USD in 4 years. Sus. Shows signs that if ARM does well, they'll unload.
Because SoftBank are known dumpers, once they dump one time, investors will get shook.
Their net income is low. Under 550M.
Their revenue is around $2.7B.
Their net income dropped YoY.
Again, I will evaluate if I'm buying this and post my entries/ exits in my community. Welcome to join.
Stay tuned.
$DISH ready to rip! Beautiful bottoms bounce with a 1:3 risk:reward
✅MACD cross/approaching 0
✅daily RSI broke 50
✅volume uptick
I like Jan 2024 swing as well as common shares here
Adding on break and hold of $7.00
NVDA: On the trendlineFriday selloff has started doom and gloom predictions everywhere. Yes, the selloff was kind of aggressive, but not the worst one in the recent few months. And price has fallen back on the trend line going back Feb and May bottoms. If the trendline breaks next week, then the next support is at $414. If that breaks, then things will start to take a nasty turn. Below $400 there is a slim support at $375 and then pretty much nothing until $320 - $317. But by then, the technical damage will be too difficult to restore. There is another trendline going back last year oct and this year Jan bottoms. That will be a more important trendline to hold. So, basically if we do not see a hefty bounce next week, then it might be time to call it a top for a while (at least for a year or so)...But if we do see the bounce and another ATH, then $650-$700 will be the area to watch for...