NIFTY50 Trend and Key Levels To WatchNifty 50 has corrected almost 10% from its peak. Sentiment across the world is bearish. However, it may likely to hold 23000 levels. Incase it broke 23000, then you may witness blood bath.
Moreover, above 24550 Nifty trend may reverse its current trend.
It has multiple resistance based on fibo levels, price action resistance.
Its first hurdle is 23870-23900
Niftytrend
Nifty 50: Projected Growth Path to 34,500 by 2027 – Key DriversMy projection of Nifty50 reaching 21,500 and then gradually climbing to 34,500 by September 2027 suggests a long-term bullish scenario for the Indian equity market. This type of projection can be influenced by various factors:
Key Considerations for the Journey:
1) Economic Growth :
India's GDP growth trajectory will play a major role. Sustained economic expansion, driven by infrastructure projects, digital adoption, and manufacturing, could fuel market growth.
Global capital inflow into emerging markets like India due to favorable growth prospects might also support this rise.
2) Corporate Earnings :
A robust increase in corporate profitability will be critical. If sectors like IT, banking, infrastructure, and energy witness strong earnings growth, it will push the index higher.
3) Institutional Participation :
Continued investment by Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) and Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) could provide consistent upward momentum.
4) Policy Support :
Pro-business government reforms, favorable monetary policy, and stable inflation could act as catalysts.
Regulatory support from entities like SEBI ensuring market transparency and investor confidence would bolster market growth.
5) Global Markets and Trade :
Stability in global markets, alongside favorable geopolitical conditions, will be important.
Trade relations and global commodity prices (e.g., crude oil) might significantly influence this trajectory.
Risks to Watch :
Geopolitical tensions, global economic slowdown, or sharp interest rate hikes by central banks could derail this optimistic scenario.
Overvaluations might lead to corrections if fundamentals don't keep pace.
Sentiment Cycle Indicator is rockinganother good movement captured by my sentiment cycle indicator. it is on 15 min chart and still shows great momentum, green (BUY) , red (Sell) and no color no signal / no trading zone..
it looks aweosome on 5 mins where as in sideways time there was no signal and good buy/sell signal both side today..
Escalation in Russia, Ukraine war spoils the Nifty recovery Nifty was doing quiet well and had a strong momentum going forward. On the daily chart it had gone substantially above 200 days EMA (23541) and reached 23780. Three of things happened after that.
1) There was a massive escalation in Russia Ukraine war where Putin approved use of Nuclear weapons if required. At the same time news of Ukraine hitting Russia with ATACMS US made Long Range missile. (Bloomberg reports). This is a massive event with long global consequences. Which might be parting 'gift' from Biden to Trump. (Probably to create a difficult situation for incoming Trump).
2) Nifty hit 50 hours EMA or Mother line at 23770. As all who read my posts regularly, those who have watched my videos, taken training from me and Those who have read my Mother, Father and Small Child theory know the consequences of the same. The mother line acted on and pushed the Nifty down towards the doldrums again where it closed the day below (200 days EMA or Father line at 23541) at 23518. This is a massive jolt and only time can tell if Nifty can stage a recovery again on 21st November 2024, Thursday. As we have a holiday due to Maharashtra elections tomorrow. To know more about one of the most accurate Mother, Father and small child theory which makes your equity investment easy read my book The Happy Candles Way to Wealth creation available on Amazon in paperback edition. The same is available on Kidnle and Google Play book in E-Version.
3) Third possible thing was Bulls would not want to carry long positions with impending Maharashtra election results. The election is tough to predict with political mess in Maharashtra. Elections in India are anyway difficult to predict now a days.
These reasons led to massive fall of 262 points. This fall can disharten the bulls as well making the upward recovery difficult again. Positive closing in Green is the only good thing that we can take forward from today's action.
Supports for Nifty remain at 23350, 23110, 22796, 22499, 21890 and finally 21313. Below 22796 is a pure bear territory.
Resistances for Nifty remain at 23629, 23770 (Major Mother line Resistance which blocked the up move today), Post that there will be Father line resistance of 200 Hours EMA at 24311. After 24311 closing or weekly closing bear can take a back seat and Bulls will have capacity to pull Nifty above 25012 or even 25351 and above.
Disclaimer:
The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
Nifty1! Daily Chart Analysis- NFANifty1! Daily Chart Analysis- NFA
-Price rejected from daily resistance (Mid point of red rectangle) aka daily sibi.
-Rejection from mid point of sibi shows its willingness to go further down to next imbalance(BISI-D)
-Expecting 23342 as next draw on liquidity (Green line labeled as top of daily bisi).
Bear Trap in JSW STEELBear Trap is form in JSW Steel there are multiple signals that show stock will goes bullish
1) Trend line Break Down ( Invites the sellers)
2) After break down did time pass and form big bullish candle that shows involvement of Sharks
3) It takes Liquidity of That big bullish candle
Nifty 50 - Short-Term Relief Rally in Progress?Analysis: Nifty 50 seems to be showing signs of recovery after a correction phase, with a potential inverse Head and Shoulders pattern indicating a bullish reversal. The neckline near the 23,700 level appears crucial, and a sustained breakout above this level could drive the index towards 24,042 and 24,461 in the coming weeks.
Key support levels to watch are 23,327 and 22,755 , as they represent areas where buyers might step in. Meanwhile, the RSI indicates that the index might be exiting the oversold zone, adding weight to the recovery thesis.
A zig-zag consolidation can be expected before a sharp move higher, as shown by the projected trajectory. A breach of 24,816 could signal a strong rally toward 25,600 and beyond .
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 19/11/2024Gap up opening expected near 23550 level in nifty. After opening if it's starts trading and sustain above 23550 level then strong bullish rally expected. 23450-23550 levels are the consolidation range for nifty. Downside movement expected below 23450 level and this rally can goes upto 23200 level in case nifty starts trading below 23450 level.
NIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 19-Nov-2024Trading Plan for 19-Nov-2024
Intro: Previous Day’s Chart Analysis
On 18-Nov-2024, the market exhibited a mix of bullish recovery and consolidation. Yellow regions indicated sideways movement, suggesting indecision in the market. Green zones demonstrated bullish recovery attempts, while Red zones highlighted bearish breakdown scenarios. Intraday resistance at 23,725 played a key role in limiting gains, while support at 23,324 helped prevent a deeper sell-off.
Gap-Up Opening Scenario (+100 Points or More):
If Nifty opens around 23,600–23,700 , look for rejection near the resistance zone at 23,657 . Wait for a confirmation candle before entering short positions, targeting the 23,456 support.
If momentum sustains above 23,657 , expect bullish continuation towards 23,725 . Initiate longs after a retest of 23,657 , with a stop loss at 23,600 .
Avoid initiating trades if Nifty stays within 23,657–23,725 without a clear breakout or breakdown.
Flat Opening Scenario (+/- 50 Points):
A flat open near 23,462–23,475 would place the market in the No Trading Zone . Observe price action in this zone to gauge direction.
If the index breaks below 23,456 , short with targets at 23,396 and 23,324 , maintaining a stop loss at 23,475 .
For bullish setups, a breakout above 23,475 could lead to a move toward 23,657 , with stop losses placed at 23,450 .
Gap-Down Opening Scenario (-100 Points or More):
If Nifty opens near 23,324–23,350 , monitor for a pullback to 23,396 . Short positions can be initiated on rejection at 23,396 , targeting 23,291 and 23,123 .
A strong recovery above 23,396 could indicate bullish reversal potential. Longs can be considered after confirmation, with targets at 23,475 .
For aggressive selling, watch for a breach below 23,291 , which may trigger further downside to 23,123 . Use tight stop losses to manage risk.
Risk Management Tips for Options Trading:
Avoid chasing trades immediately after the opening bell; let the first 15–30 minutes establish a clear trend.
Use stop losses based on hourly candle closes to reduce the impact of market noise.
Limit position sizes in volatile zones and avoid holding positions into key economic events.
Keep track of implied volatility (IV) levels to assess premium pricing; avoid overpaying for options.
Summary and Conclusion:
The market's reaction near critical levels such as 23,657 (resistance) and 23,324 (support) will determine the trend for the day. Bullish momentum above 23,657 could target 23,725 , while failure to hold 23,324 may lead to a retest of 23,123 . Follow disciplined trading, and remember that patience and risk management are key to navigating uncertain conditions.
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. All information provided is for educational purposes only. Traders are advised to conduct their own research or consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Nifty near Mid channel & 50 Weeks EMA (Mother Line) support. Nifty after closing below the 200 days EMA Father line on daily charts, may find support near 50 weeks EMA (Mother line of Weekly chart). The 50 weeks EMA is at 23233.
Before reaching there today's low of 23350 will also be a support. If by chance both these levels are broken the mid channel support for Nifty seems to be at at 22800 zone. Below which the bears have potential to drag Nifty further down to 22500 or even below 22K levels. To know more about Parallel channels and how they work or my Mother Father small child theory you can read my book The Happy candles way to wealth creation. Available in Paperback or E-version on Amazon and Google Play book.
Resistances for Nifty on the upper side are at 23658, 24122, 25012 and 25898. Above 25989 Nifty will aim to make a new all time high again as channel top currently seems to be near 27K. RSI is also suggesting that Nifty can make a substantial come back any time now.
Bollinger band lower band width has been pierced today both in daily chart as well as weekly chart indicating that market is heavily oversold and short covering can lead to a moderate recovery or substantial recovery sooner than later. The signs of bottom formation are clear unless FIIs begin another round of aggressive selling. The selling by FII has been continuous but seems to have decreased in the last few sessions rising further hopes for recovery.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 18/11/2024Flat opening expected in nifty. After opening if it's sustain above 23500 level and indicates bullish reversal from this level then possible upside rally upto 23750 in opening session. But in case nifty starts trading below 23450 level then possible strong downside fall in nifty upto 23200- level in today's session.
In Depth Analysis for Nifty 50 Index (1-Hour Chart)Symbol: Nifty 50
Timeframe: 1-Hour
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Technical Analysis:
The Nifty 50 index is currently trading at 23,559.60, moving within a well-defined downward-sloping channel. The price is nearing a crucial support zone (23,480-23,570), which could act as a potential area for a short-term bounce. However, the overall trend remains bearish unless a breakout occurs above the resistance levels.
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Key Observations:
1. Trend: The index is clearly in a downtrend, forming lower highs and lower lows within the channel. The bearish sentiment remains dominant.
2. Support & Resistance:
Immediate Support: 23,480-23,570. A breakdown below this level could lead to further downside toward 23,200.
Immediate Resistance: 24,070-24,540. These levels correspond to the midline and upper boundary of the channel.
3. Volume Analysis: Declining volumes on the recent down move indicate a potential loss of selling momentum, suggesting the possibility of a short-term pullback.
4. Potential Reversal Zone:
A break above 24,070 could trigger a short-covering rally, pushing prices toward 24,540.
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Trade Setup:
1. For Bulls:
Entry: Consider going long near 23,480-23,570, provided there are bullish reversal signals like a hammer or bullish engulfing candle.
Target: 24,070, and an extended target of 24,540.
Stop Loss: Below 23,450, to minimize downside risk.
2. For Bears:
Entry: Look for shorting opportunities on rejection near 24,070 or at the channel’s upper boundary (24,540).
Target: 23,480 and further downside to 23,200.
Stop Loss: Above 24,600.
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Potential Scenarios:
1. Bullish Breakout: A decisive close above 24,070 will confirm a breakout from the channel, opening doors for a move toward higher levels.
2. Continuation of Downtrend: If the index fails to hold the 23,480 support, it could continue its bearish trajectory to 23,200.
NIFTY - Trading Levels and Plan for 18-Nov-2024** Nifty Trading Plan for 18-Nov-2024 **
Previous Day Overview:
On 17-Nov-2024, Nifty displayed a consolidative pattern near the Important Zone for Long-Term Trend at 23,711 , signaling indecision among traders. The chart highlights three key trends: Yellow showing a sideways movement, Green representing bullish attempts facing resistance near 23,808 , and Red depicting bearish pullbacks testing support at 23,504 . The session emphasizes the significance of these levels in determining market direction.
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** Opening Scenarios: **
Gap Up Opening (100+ points above)
If Nifty opens above 23,808 , it could test the Last Resistance for Intraday at 24,009 . Monitor the price action in the first 15-30 minutes for consolidation near 23,900 . A sustained breakout above 24,009 could indicate strong bullish momentum. Avoid chasing trades in case of high volatility; instead, wait for a retest of 23,808 as support for a safer entry point.
Flat Opening (within ±50 points)
A flat opening near 23,559 may provide a clearer picture of market sentiment. If Nifty holds above the Opening Resistance at 23,711 , a bullish move toward 23,808 is likely. Conversely, a breakdown below 23,568 could lead to a retest of the Opening Support at 23,504 . Prioritize risk management, as a flat opening could result in sideways movement initially.
Gap Down Opening (100+ points below)
A gap-down opening near 23,504 will shift focus to the Support Level at 23,123 . Allow the first 30 minutes for price stabilization; if Nifty sustains below 23,504 , expect a bearish move toward 23,123 . However, a quick recovery above 23,504 may present a reversal trade opportunity targeting 23,711 .
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** Risk Management Tips for Options Trading :**
- Use well-defined stop-loss levels, preferably based on hourly candle closes, to avoid unnecessary losses.
- Reduce position sizes when trading gap openings to manage volatility risks effectively.
- Opt for at-the-money (ATM) or slightly out-of-the-money (OTM) options for better liquidity and quicker premium adjustments.
- Avoid over-leveraging, especially in highly volatile market conditions.
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** Summary & Conclusion :**
For 18-Nov-2024, the key levels to monitor are 23,711 on the upside and 23,504 on the downside. A breakout above 23,808 could signal bullish momentum, while a breach below 23,504 may indicate bearish pressure. The market remains poised for both sideways and directional moves, depending on the opening scenario.
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**Disclaimer:**
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This trading plan is for educational purposes only. Traders are advised to conduct their own analysis or consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
#nifty50 analysis for upcoming week 18-22nd Nov 2024Nifty Takes a Beating: A Deep Dive
Last week, the Nifty 50 index experienced a significant downturn, closing at 23,532, a 600-point drop from the previous week's high of 24,336. The index breached the crucial support level of 23,550, dipping as low as 23,484. Currently hovering near its 50-week exponential moving average (50WEMA) at 23,230, the Nifty is expected to consolidate within a range of 23,100 to 24,000 in the coming week. Wednesday our markets will be closed due to Maharashtra elections so volatility will be high.
As previously highlighted, the monthly chart has weakened, and its impact is already evident. A further correction seems likely before a sustainable bottom is formed. A breach of the 23,250 support level could trigger a deeper correction of 7-7.5%, potentially taking the index down to 21,555. To resume its upward trajectory, the Nifty needs to convincingly close above 24,500 on consecutive days.
The S&P 500 also faced rejection from a critical Fibonacci level of 6,013, resulting in a 2.7% correction to 5,870. A breach of this week's low of 5,853 could lead to an additional 1.2% decline to 5,783. Such a move could intensify selling pressure in global markets, including India.
Key Technical Analysis of Nifty50: Upcoming TrendIntroduction:
Understanding key support and resistance levels is essential for traders and investors looking to capitalize on market movements. This article provides an in-depth analysis of the Nifty50 index's weekly chart, highlighting essential price levels and trends that indicate potential bullish or bearish movements in the coming months. With Nifty's recent performance, it is crucial to evaluate these technical levels to identify future price action possibilities.
1. Previous Resistance Turned Strong Support
Nifty previously broke out of a strong resistance level around the 19000 mark, which now acts as robust support. This previous resistance level, marked with a red zone, signifies a major price zone that could halt potential downward movements, providing a solid foundation for buyers if Nifty pulls back to this level.
2. Support Trend Line and Bullish Continuation
A support trend line, indicating an ongoing bullish trend, extends from early 2023 to the current date. This trend line has been a crucial indicator of the index's positive momentum, providing support on multiple pullbacks. As long as Nifty respects this trend line, it could continue its bullish trajectory, making this level ideal for those looking to enter long positions.
3. The Key Support Zone at Last Swing Low
A major support zone sits around the 21000 level, marked by Nifty’s last swing low. This green zone is a significant area of buying interest. If the index begins a downward correction, this support zone will be closely watched by traders looking for signs of reversal or continued decline.
4. Trend Reversal Zone and Bearish Potential
If Nifty breaks down below the support trend line, it would signal the potential start of a bearish trend. Sellers could see this as an opportunity to enter short positions, especially if the breakdown is accompanied by strong volume. This area is essential for risk management, as a trend line breakdown could lead to a decline toward lower support levels, such as the 21000 zone or even further to 19000.
5. Reversal Confirmation and New Highs
On the upside, a reversal confirmation near the current support trend line could signal a renewed bullish push, with the possibility of Nifty making new highs. If this reversal takes place, it would present an attractive opportunity for long-term investors and buyers aiming for a rally continuation.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 14/11/2024NIFTY will open gap up in today's session. After opening 23750 level will act as an immediate resistance for nifty. Downside 23500 level is important support zone. In case nifty gives breakdown of this level and starts trading below 23450 then strong downside expected. Any bullish rally only expected above 23800+ level.
NIFTY50 // Breakdown or Reversal?www.tradingview.com
Everyone has seen a severe breakdown in Nifty in recent days and approx. 11% correction. But hey, wait a minute.
Did you checked the level where it is holding right now?
It is the same level from where it has taken a pause and breakout in past. Meaning, we can consider it as a strong buying zone.
Along with the above, it is also a level where 38% retracement is there from Fibonacci retracement perspective.
Consider the level of support at 23500, if Nifty doesn't goes below from here next week, be ready for a resume of bull run again.
So, the next resistance will be : 24500, 26300, 28200, 30000
and, the support will be : 22500, 21600, 21000.
Please note, there is an open gap between 20300-20500. That is the only concerning area. If it goes there to fill the gap, the last support will be 19900.
So, wait for the end of the current weekly candle. If you could see there are approx 6 divergence too on weekly candle which suggest change in situation.
Good luck.
Thanks
StoxWare team